Emperor Norton I asked:
I don't know if you are trying to compile a feasible Alternate history, or are asking only the question of who would be in Roosevelt's cabinet.
I am trying to compile a feasible Alternate history.
In this ATL Roosevelt's cabinet in his 1913 administration includes men from his previous administration and new men, such as George Ray Wicker as Secretary of Commerce and Raymond Robins as Secretary of Labor.
Derek Johnson said
I would also be interested to know about the likely nature of the Congress.
Congressional elections 1912: House of Representatives: Democrat 223, Republican 158, Progressive 54. Senate: Democrat 54, Republican 32, Progressive 10.
1914 elections: House of Representatives: Democrat 212, Republican 132, Progressive 91. Senate: Democrat 52, Republican 28, Progressive 16.
1916 elections: House of Representatives: Democrat 198, Republican 110, Progressive 127. Senate: Democrat 50, Republican 24, Progressive 22.
in 1916, Jeanette Rankin was elected to the House for Montana on the Progressive ticket.
In the new Roosevelt administration, Frances Kellor is appointed the first women cabinet member as the new Secretary for Social Welfare.
In 1917, the world war continues with neither the Allies or the Central Powers able to secure a decisive victory. A revolution in Russia in March overthrows the Tsar and establishes a democratic government which continues to fight the war (as in OTL). Alexander Kerensky becomes chief minister in July. On other fronts, the progress of the war is as in OTL.
The dogged defensive retreat of the Germans on the Western Front and the complete failure of the Russian summer offensive gives rise to tentative peace negotiations. The proposal by Emperor Karl I of Austria-Hungary in June for a confederation of his Empire is warmly welcomed. On August 4, he announces, that following Pope Benedict XV's peace proposal, a cease fire by all armed forces of Austria-Hungary on all fronts. When this news becomes known in Germany, there is widespread demand for peace. The Socialist and Catholic Deputies in the Reichstag vote for peace negotiations and demand the abdication of Kaiser Wilhelm II. He abdicates and retires to live on his estates in Prussia. Prince Max of Baden becomes Kaiser as a constitutional monarch. The new German government negotiates a ceasefire without conditions with the Allies on the Western Front. The Russian army, having more or less collapsed, agrees to a ceasefire. The smaller powers also agree to a ceasefire. On August 16, all fighting ceases.
On November 28, 1917, the Peace Summit opens in Geneva. It involves all the powers who had fought in the war. The main decisions: National borders returned to the status quo ante the outbreak of war, except that Alsace-Lorraine is returned to France, subject to the results of a plebiscite of its citizens; the Russian part of Poland becomes an independent Polish state under a democratically elected government. The Ottoman Empire is reduced to roughly the present borders of Turkey in OTL. Agreements are made on the level of armed forces each nation would have. A League of Nations is established with its headquarters in Geneva. (Its constitution and powers are similar to those of the League in OTL).
Roosevelt hails the peace as a victory for democracy. American troops come back to ticker tape parades in New York and other cities. He says that it is now our solemn task to bring true democracy to America.
The Fair Voting Act, 1918, outlaws all devices such as poll taxes and literacy tests which have deprived black people of the vote.
The Justice for Negros Act, 1918, outlaws all segregation in public buildings and on public transport. It bans all restrictions on grounds of colour for appointment to posts in the federal government. Several black people are appointed to miiddle ranking posts in his administration, up to the level of Under-secretary.
Most Democrats are opposed to these Acts, on the basis of States Rights. However a significant minority, including James B. Cox of Ohio and Alfred Smith of New York support them. The Republicans, who regard themselves as "the friend of the Negro", also support them.
There is passionate debate about whether the United States should join the newly formed League of Nations. Roosevelt and the great majority of the Progressive party are in favour of joining with safeguards to protect American national interests. The Democrats are divided, with the Dixiecrats being opposed and the northern progressives being in favour. The Republicans are overwhelmingly opposed.
1918 Congressional election results: House of Representatives: Progressive 174, Democrat 166, Republican 95. Senate: Democrat 46, Progressive 29, Republican 21.
In January 1919, following the death of the President, Vice-President Hiram Johnson suceeds to the Presidency.
1920: After a hard fought battle in the primaries and at the convention between Hiram Johnson and Robert La Follette for the Progressive nomination, Johnson finally prevails. The convention chooses La Follette as his running mate.
The Democrats nominate James B. Cox for President and Robert Latham Owen for Vice-President.
The Republicans choose Henry Cabot Lodge as candidate for President, and Frank Orren Lowden for Vice-President. (I have read Alternate Histories in which Warren G. Harding, Senator for Ohio, is chosen by the Republicans as their candidate for President, and he wins the general election by a landslide over James B. Cox. It is unbelievable that the GOP would have ever nominated such a tenth rate person for President, let alone that he would be elected President).
In this election the anti-war Progressives have returned to the party.
Election campaign: The Progressives campaign on their record of social welfare reform and economic prosperity. If elected they promise to enact a system of privately run health insurance, which will cover the whole pupulation, and to appoint a high-level commission to investigate the possibility of establishing a welfare state. They propose staying in the League of Nations with safeguards to protect the national interest. The Democrats campaign on 'time for a change' and 'return to stability'. They propose to set up a high level commission to investigate whether the United States should remain in the League of Nations. The Republicans campaign on a policy of economic conservatism and withdrawal from the League.
A feature of the election is the courting of the Republican vote. Johnson and La Follette stress that their roots are in the GOP; they did not leave that party, instead it left them. The Progressives are a continuation of the highest, noblest and most enlightened traditions of the GOP.
The result of the election for President: Hiram Johnson and Robert La Follette, Progressive 268 electoral votes. James B. Cox and Robert Latham Owen, Democrat 250 electoral votes. Henry Cabot Lodge and Frank Orren Lowden, Republican 13 electoral votes.
Congressional election results: House of Representatives: Democrat 203, Progressive 153, Republican 79. Senate: Democrat 49, Progressive 31, Republican 16.
Jeanette Rankin is elected as a Progressive Senator for Montana.