The World of Tricolors and Traditions: Human History Without Napoleon

Fantastic work as always! I'm guessing a certain Klemens von Metternich played some kind of role in the process, even if he's not mentioned in the update. Also, I'm pretty surprised by the Hohenzollerns' attitude. Having fought several wars against the Hapsburgs, already with a powerful military and in the process of modernizing and industrializing, and relatively safe from the French peril, what is in for them? What are they winning by ceding land and incorporating their entire kingdom into the Empire? I would instead expect them to move towards full independence and disengage from Austrian affairs at this point, asserting themselves as a central and northern European power.

Thank you!

At this stage Metternich is still just another member of the diplomatic corps, though he's certainly working his way up, similar to his spot OTL at this point. Unlike IOTL where he went to Paris, ITTL he accepts the other offer presented to him: diplomatic representative of the Emperor to the Imperial Capital of Regensburg - the Empire being an increasingly important political venue, and the continued hostility of Paris, makes this a better choice. He, among many others, will be important players in updates soon to come.

The Hohenzollerns are in a very awkward situation, yes. To be fair, they're really coming out with more land in the process - the entirety of Franconia is now more firmly theirs. Also, note that dropping those territories closer to the Rhine puts them even further out of range of the French. Mediatisation and full territorial inclusion into the Empire (along with the nifty prestige points of recognized Kingship) has given them more compact borders, make all the more defendable by Imperial protection against Polish or Russian invasions to the East.

It's worth remembering that they were some of the first to drop out of the War of the First Coalition, and as part of that peace deal did not raise arms against the French again in the Second Coalition. Their military prestige is thus at a low ebb, relatively speaking, and diplomatically they're not exactly seen as the most reliable at the moment. Don't worry, though, they'll have their day in the sun soon enough.

I discovered this TL today, and I read it all in one shot. Your work is really impressive, watched !

Thank you, I'm really glad you've enjoyed reading!
Wonderful TL!

Thank you!
 
Thank you!

At this stage Metternich is still just another member of the diplomatic corps, though he's certainly working his way up, similar to his spot OTL at this point. Unlike IOTL where he went to Paris, ITTL he accepts the other offer presented to him: diplomatic representative of the Emperor to the Imperial Capital of Regensburg - the Empire being an increasingly important political venue, and the continued hostility of Paris, makes this a better choice. He, among many others, will be important players in updates soon to come.

The Hohenzollerns are in a very awkward situation, yes. To be fair, they're really coming out with more land in the process - the entirety of Franconia is now more firmly theirs. Also, note that dropping those territories closer to the Rhine puts them even further out of range of the French. Mediatisation and full territorial inclusion into the Empire (along with the nifty prestige points of recognized Kingship) has given them more compact borders, make all the more defendable by Imperial protection against Polish or Russian invasions to the East.

It's worth remembering that they were some of the first to drop out of the War of the First Coalition, and as part of that peace deal did not raise arms against the French again in the Second Coalition. Their military prestige is thus at a low ebb, relatively speaking, and diplomatically they're not exactly seen as the most reliable at the moment. Don't worry, though, they'll have their day in the sun soon enough.



Thank you, I'm really glad you've enjoyed reading!

Thank you!
Thanks for answering!
 
Part 10: Poor Places
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"I do not have to forgive my enemies. I have had them all shot."

-Last words of Ramón María Narváez, when asked about his opponents in life, 1868


Part 10: "Poor Places"
A wide variety of events from a wide variety of places, and the beginning of the next war.


Excerpt from: The First Republic, by Pannacotta Fugo, 2011

[...] by this point, Jean Bernadotte had already been head of the Army of Italy for nearly 18 months, his position was secure despite the downfall of his former patron, the Director Barras. Hoche and the post-coup Directory had ventured to sack many of the more corrupt or unworthy of those appointed by Barras, yet Bernadotte had proven himself a venerable military mind and an adept political infighter. Indeed, though many of Barras’ appointments were made in exchange for a pouch of coins, Bernadotte had actually earned his position, appointed by Barras to place a reliable ally in a key position as unrest against the Republic (in reality, against Barras himself), intensified. Ultimately, Bernadotte’s sheer geographical distance left him uninvolved in the War in the Vendee or the unceremonious dismissal of Citizen Barras.

Bernadotte, ever the controlling sort, found himself in the awkward position of being an occupying authority - while the Cisalpine Republic was essentially a French puppet state, Bernadotte himself held very little sway over the proceedings there, other than being the iron fist within the velvet glove of fraternite. However, placed in control of both the area’s French Army as well as the organization of a Cisalpine Italian military to assist in the campaigns no doubt soon to come, Bernadotte was, without directly implementing policy, the most important actor in Northern Italy.

His invasion of the Papal States and Naples had gained territory for the Cisalpine Sister Republic, gaining him goodwill among the liberals and secularists of Northern Italy who represented the revolutionary vanguard of pan-Italianism. It was his goodwill among a key constituency of powerful stakeholders that wedged open the gate to greater control of proceedings in Italy - acting, essentially, as the go-between of France and the Cisalpinese, keeping a foot in each camp, with real credibility in both. Thus it was through Bernadotte that the authorities of the Cisalpine Republic voiced their desire to unite more of the peninsula, and it was through Bernadotte that authorities in Paris voiced their desire to consolidate borders and widen the recruitment base for the Italian Legions…. and it should thus come as no surprise that Citizen Bernadotte became First Director of the new Republic of Italy. The Republic of Italy would, in the years preceding the War of the Third Coalition, be permitted to absorb the Republic of Liguria as well as the nascent Republic of Etruria. This expansion, largely thanks to the lobbying of Director Bernadotte, earned him a distinct power base on the Italian peninsula, and the trust of the region’s revolutionary stakeholders [...]

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The Republic of Italy in 1807, featuring engravings of Bernadotte and a personification of Italy.




Excerpt from: The Rising Continent: Africa's Tumultous Past and Hopeful Future, by Eugene McClaskey, 1999

[...] France choosing to abolish slavery, and seeming to actually stick to it vis a vis its recognition of Haitian autonomy, put new pressure on the United Kingdom to take action. While abolitionism had gained traction in France as a result of revolutionary circumstances and foreign policy concerns, it was Britain’s relatively well-developed (for the time) civil society that brought slavery under increasing scrutiny among the English.

Slavery had already been made illegal within the Kingdom proper since the 1772 court decision Somerset v Stewart, though no mention was made of the practice among the colonies nor the international slave trade. Domestic pressure for further action on slavery remained strong, and abolitionist committees of correspondence had grown in popularity far beyond their original supporting cohorts of free blacks and quakers to include a wide supporting base of liberals, intellectuals, moralists, and even everyday Brits who began to speak their mind on the subject more forcefully.

By 1806, the political power of the abolitionists, known as ‘The Saints’ in the House of Commons, had increased to the point that outlawing the slave trade had become increasingly likely. Yet for the decades prior to the actual abolition of the slave trade, the movement of enslaved African people across the Atlantic had been one of England’s most profitable businesses. A middle ground solution between outright abolition and the gradual winding down of the slave trade was decided upon - a scheme of African resettlement.

The Sierra Leone (literally: ‘Land of Freedom’) scheme had not been universally accepted. In general, resettlement and back-to-Africa plans were more likely to be encouraged by conservatives and landowners who desired a ‘solution’ to the ‘problem’ of an increasing population of free blacks, who made up the backbone of the abolitionist movement. Yet the Freetown settlement did have supporters among Britain’s blacks and those free blacks present in the colonies; the town had been settled by free blacks from Britain proper in 1792, and grew with settling cohorts from Nova Scotia and Jamaica in 1792 and 1800, respectively.

The colony had gotten off to a bit of a poor start, by any reasonable measure. Indeed, the Cline Town settlement had nearly been sacked by the nearby Temne Chiefdom, and successive waves of settlers more often than not brought rebellious captives from the various Maroon Wars and slave uprisings Britain experienced over the 1790s. Gradually, though, conditions improved - Freetown began to grow, and the Tenme agreed to allow further settlement along the northwestern Grain Coast. However, growing British interests along the coast of West Africa had brought them into increased contact with the native polities of the region. European factory posts along the West African coast had long necessitated some degree of informal diplomacy with the Kingdoms of the area, yet the generalities of native political organization necessitated little more.

Prior to sustained European contact, African statehood was a fairly loose affair, in which state power emanated outwards from the capital and from towns in a series of increasingly large concentric rings, fading into the periphery of actual state control into the wilderness. For Africa simply had quite a lot of room - if a tribe or even an entire village wasn’t keen on pledging loyalty to a King or Chieftain, it was a simple enough affair to simply relocate away. Relocation of large groups had thus been common for many centuries, perhaps dating all the way back to the great Bantu migrations. Yet the more concerted arrival of the Europeans, with their strange ideas of firm international borders and more exclusive Westphalian sovereignty forced a shift in perspective, at least among those polities set against the settlements and factories the white man had constructed.

To this end, different African authorities responded in different matters. The densely populated Niger River region and delta had long been home to kingdoms and empires more recognizable as states by the Europeans, a trend only continued with the rise of the Sokoto Caliphate and the other Fulani Jihadi states which had spread out across the Sahel. In spite of being called the Fulani Jihads, and being led largely by Fulani warrior-clerics, the Sokoto Caliphate was culturally anchored in an emergent syncretic Fula-Hausa people, and gradually grew outwards towards the South and the richly dense farming lands along the Niger. To the West, Fouta Jallon and Fouta Toro expansion brought them into direct contact, and occasionally competition, with the declining Jolof Kingdom as well as the French holding of Fort-petit-sud (formally Saint-Louis), through which European goods and arms began to flow.

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Photo of the Asante Golden Stool with its immediate caretaker, 1935

Indeed, it was competition and trade which would create the incentive to consolidate politically and expand externally: the numerous trading posts set up along the Gold Coast, maintained by the Dutch, the British, and even the Danish, gave the ascendent Ashanti Empire a number of useful trading partners and even the opportunity to play potential threats off of eachother, if the realm’s leaders were adept enough. To the great fortune of the Ashanti, they possessed the skills of Konadu Yaadom, the Asantehemaa Queen Mother of the Empire. In 1803, Yaadom successfully engineered the suicide of sitting King Panyin, having left him no other options other than outright civil war that he would most certainly lose, and saw one of her many sons installed as ruler, whose early death saw him replaced by another son of Yaadom, whose eventual death by disease saw another son of hers installed… altogether, from the coup until her death at 94 in 1844, Yaadom would be Queen Mother for three of her sons, and was for the entire duration the real power behind the throne (or, as it were, the stool).

Yaadom cultivated a distinct political base in the Empire, and realized quickly the benefit that could be gained through cooperation with the Europeans. Some historians have argued that the Ashanti-Fon Wars of 1806 to 1808 should really be considered a theater of the War of the Third Coalition, which overlapped with this African struggle for nearly two years - with the Dutch on the side of the Ashanti, and the British on the side of the Fon Confederacy, the battle took the shape of a proxy battle [...]



Excerpt from: The Rise and Fall of the Ottoman Empire Volume IX, by Muhammad Avdol, 1987

[...] although encouraged by the British to undermine the Ottomans from within, the Mamluk chieftains Ibrahim Bey and Murad Bey did not actually benefit from British arms. Thus, although the struggle was fierce, the Ottoman army under Muhammad Ali Pasha was able to re-establish control of the Egypt Eyalet. This was, in theory, carried out on behalf of the Sultans in Constantinople. Yet despite being carried out by an Ottoman general, the settlement of the final Mamluk revolt was largely conducted by Albanians, who were really solely loyal to Muhammad Ali. Ali’s ability to carve out an independent base of power in Egypt, best summarized in his declaration of himself as Khedive of the province despite the illegality of such a move by a mere military commander, stands as a key example of the collapse of Ottoman authority over its provinces over the course of the Wars of Revolution.

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Massacre of the Mamluks at the Cairo citadel
Oil on Canvas, Horace Vernet, mid-19th century

Turkish loss of grip upon the hinterlands began in Serbia, which soon became a key flashpoint in the escalation of tensions ahead of the War of the Third Coalition. The chief matter which so greatly escalated tensions between the Ottomans and the Russian Empire was the nominal autonomy of the principality of Serbia. Tolerated as pseudo-autonomous since the Hapsburg-supported First Uprising, Ottoman desire to re-establish absolute control over the small principality brought them to loggerheads with the Austrians as well as the Russians, who sought by any means necessary to undercut tacit Turkish support for the French Republic and Poland. Indeed, the fact that the Hapsburgs and the Romanovs had found a common foe left Ottoman Turkey extremely vulnerable to a ‘death by a thousand cuts’ along the periphery.

There was an opening, a way out, for the Porte, in the divergence between Russia and Austrian aims. The Hapsburgs were most interested in pursuing the strategy already mentioned - peeling off territories along the borders of the empire, particularly in the Balkans, to provide buffers against the Turks. In this, the British were largely in agreement, having cast their lot with Muhammad Ali Pasha, and working to expand European presence along the Barbary coast to get at the source of Mediterranean piracy, rather than just attacking the pirates themselves. Theoretically under Ottoman suzerainty, the Beyliks of Tunis and Algiers received European dignitaries to their courts throughout the conflict, and the more astute among the Barbary rulers found success at playing the Coalition and the French off of eachother.

The Russians, meanwhile, kept their eyes squarely on the straits. Ever on the hunt for warm water naval access, breaking out from the Black Sea and gaining a foothold into the Mediterranean was the primary goal of St. Petersburg throughout the period. Of course, Russian aims also included the protection of Christians within the empire, with particular focus in the Caucasus and the fellow-Slavs of the Balkans. The Tsardom still regarded the autonomous principalities of Crimea and Circassia as their exclusive subjects, although under existing treaties the Ottomans remained their nominal protectors as well. These considerations were certainly important to Tsar Alexander I.

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A Chronic Case
Political Cartoon, Charles Bartholomew, 1903

Still, the opportunity existed for the Porte to play St. Petersburg and Vienna off one another. The Habsburgs (and, indeed, the Brits) were opposed to the Russians coming to the Mediterranean, and the Russians were resentful of any attempt by the Austrians to influence the Slavs of the Balkans who were viewed as natural Slavic brothers who belonged under Russian protection. Both were distrustful of each others’ designs on the territories of Poland. Had the Porte been well-led, they perhaps could have navigated these stormy seas. Unfortunately, they were not.

Reform efforts by Selim III, spurred on by the conclusion of a partnership with the French and in expectation of the re-eruption of war in Europe, had proved highly unpopular among the Janissary military class, whose privileged position in the Porte’s bureaucracy was directly threatened by military reforms. Many Janissaries, especially those in and around the Empire’s Turkish heartland, had very few actual military duties, instead acting as a kind of non-landed militant gentry. However, the Janissaries did command the arms of the Empire, and, just as seen with Muhammad Ali, their non-Turkish origins often allowed prominent Janissaries to carve out distinct bases of power.
The Yamaks, recruited from the Muslims of the Balkan sanjaks, proved a particularly dangerous threat to the Porte’s authority. Indeed, the instigator of the Coup of 1807 was a Yamak by the name of Kabakçı Mustafa, who was able to call upon a small but loyal force of Bosnian militiamen (along with a number of fellow Janissaries), removing Selim III and Mustafa IV as a puppet emperor. The new regime, generally considered the first of the Janissary Aghanate, attempted to chart a middle course - to abandon the French alliance, of course, would leave the vulnerable empire at the mercy of the already-hostile Russians and Austrians. [...]



Excerpt from: Native Title in the Australian Colonies , by Rupert Murdoch, 2002

[...] reinforced by a number of unexpected allies: Irish convicts, transported to the continent as a punishment for participation in any number of abortive risings or nationalist organizations. The exact number of Irish convicts who fought on the side of the Australians is not precisely known - at least one was responsible for teaching Bembulwoyan some modicum of English, and it’s known that at least two Irishmen were present during the signing of the Treaty of Botany Bay, the first of the various aboriginal treaties hashed out between the British and native Australians.

The Botany Bay Treaty is quite rightfully considered to be a landmark event in the history of Australia, if not all mankind. The figures that came together for such a step forward are giants in this particular corner of the earth, figures who have more than earned the books written about them, hailing from diverse and unique backgrounds yet coming together for an important step forward in the history of relations between people. Bembulwoyan’s nascent confederation, whose martial skills were complemented by the breakout leadership of his son Tjedboro, were given a seat at the table by figures who crossed over between the communities like Yarramundi, who would become the first Australian to marry into a Euro-Aussie family, Yemmerrawanne, and Bennelong, all of whom spoke English.

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View upon the Napeans
Aquatint with hand colouring, Joseph Lycett, 1825

The Botany Bay Treaty, over the span of many decades, would eventually be largely superseded by other Treaties as European settlement spread outwards from the coast. Yet legal recognition of the Eora’s traditional connection to the land, and the treatment of the nascent Confederacy as a partner (an unequal partner, yes, but a partner nonetheless) who could and should be negotiated with fairly, set a critical precedent. The bar was set for dealings with the native Australians, a standard that both the French to the West and the Portuguese to the North were forced to observe, in general. Dealings with the native Australians would not always be as equitable or fair, yet with the threat of war hanging over the European powers, it was determined that native uprisings could not be spared, and thus revolts could not be risked. [...]



Excerpt from: The Mexican North, by Manuel Espinoza, 1999

Despite repeated demographic blows due to occasional flare-ups of smallpox and other Old World diseases, the Comanche remained extremely well-positioned, and controlled perhaps the first real native ‘Empire’ seen north of the old Aztec heartland in Mexico. Critical to keeping numbers ‘above water’ would be the assimilation of other tribes and groups, including via the capture and assimilation of Europeans, particularly Spaniards and Spanish Louisianians. For the Spanish-Comanche relationship would prove critical for the nation’s future - theoretically sovereign over the entirety of the region from the Mississippi River to the Pacific Ocean, Spanish control was in reality quite thin, and would only become thinner with the oncoming chaos that would grip the Spanish empire. The Comanche would take advantage of this, in due time [...]



Excerpt from: The Industrial Explosion, by Robert Speedwagon, 1895

[...] The Pyréolophore was truly an ingenious piece of technology, though even its creators were unaware of just how important it was. The creation of the internal combustion engine, quickly followed up with the addition of a functional temperature compression mechanism and an early fuel injection system, produced an invention that quite literally drives modern life, pun intended! [...]

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Reconstruction of the original Pyréolophore engine



Excerpt from: The Third Coalition, by Albrecht von Closen, 1921

[...] the root of the War of the Third Coalition, which so decisively shaped the future of Europe (and beyond), can be found in the bad blood between a father and son.

King Charles IV Bourbon of Spain had the dubious fortune of presiding over two distinct embarrassments to the upstart Republican French. His popularity was low, and the loss of colonies to the French had greatly diminished his prestige, along with the prestige of the Kingdom as a whole. His Prime Minister, Manuel Godoy, was even less popular: a womanizer and flirt who had committed the grave misdeed of being an ambitious man from common background, his continued presence and closeness to the King had pushed a not insignificant portion of the nobility into the camp of Ferdinand VII, a reactionary and brutish fellow whose grim legacy is well deserved. Resentment was beginning to bubble over against the King, against his son, against the nobility. A famine was ongoing, the average Spaniard was going hungry, and there was a distinct impression in the air that the Kingdom was headed in exactly the wrong direction.

And yet when the Tumult of Aranjuez did erupt into furious violence in April of 1808, the country and indeed the nations of Europe were surprised. The nobility were less surprised when Ferdinand sprung into action, forcing the issue to bring about Godoy’s resignation and, in time, the abdication of his father. One cannot fault Ferdinand for being an opportunist in this situation, for the state of the country was grim. Yet the tumult did not cease, and rioting began to spread. The long-starved residents of Madrid began to march, and the powers of Europe began to see grim reminders of 1793.


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The Fall of Godoy
Engraving, Francisco de Paula Martí, 1814

What happened next, though, remains controversial, and will likely never be fully understood. In those chaotic days, the court did not keep very good records, and lord knows that fleeing one’s home makes bookkeeping rather difficult to maintain. Some things are clear. As chaos in the streets of Madrid began to intensify, a cohort of Spanish liberals led by General Rafael del Riego made a public request to Paris for intervention, to bring about a stabilization of the country and its hinterlands, whose semi-autonomous Basque and Catalan areas had been more gripped with unrest than the core of the Kingdom. Whether the nascent popular revolt was started or at least encouraged by French instigators cannot be known, and despite the privileged position del Riego would enjoy under French occupation, his actual ties to Paris remain a mystery.

Unlike the unfortunate Louis, the Bourbons of Madrid managed a hasty escape, and perhaps saved their necks from the guillotine. The precise thoughts of each man is not well known, as none kept a diary; of the three Bourbons claimants, only the papers of Charles V have been preserved, and are today held by the Mexico City Museum of National History. The now-former King Charles fled to the North, bringing with him a small entourage and, of course, no diary, leaving his decision to announce his resumption of the Crown to be explained only by the dubious memoirs of Godoy. The nascent King Ferdinand and Carlos, his brother, fled South, perhaps knowing that the British fleet at Gibraltar could save their skins. Still largely in command of the Mediterranean, the Balearics became King Ferdinand’s capital in much the same way that the Savoyards had fled to Sardinia. Carlos’ decision to flee to the New World would be perhaps the most mystifying if unexplained; thankfully, as stated, his papers remain, and it is possible to hear the man’s reasoning in his own words - he simply deemed being as far as possible from France, for the time being, to be the wisest course of action. Not unreasonable!

Yet the forces of history, now set in motion, cared very little for the family drama beginning to unfold between a father and his two sons. In those days of confusion, the French soldiers who began their arduous trek through the mountain passes of the Pyrennes experienced very little opposition to Paris’s delight. For, indeed, Spain had been a particular thorn in the Republic’s side! Even with the superior numbers and training of the levee en masse, the previous two Wars of Coalition had been wholly undesirable from a tactical perspective, with France facing two major fronts, at least. The potential for success to the East had thus been constantly held back by the difficulties the army continued to face in the West, although in the waning days of the Second Coalition War it appeared that the Spanish army was on the verge of collapse. Now, the opportunity stood wide open to sweep across the entire Iberian peninsula, eliminate the second front, and be able to focus entirely on the Holy Imperial armies across the Rhine. It was as a result that the Third Coalition coalesced, as the fall of Spain would perhaps doom the rest of Europe to the French…



Author's Note: March is always a busy month for me, so I hope this update was worth the wait! I still hope to minimize such long periods between updates, but with this being my last semester before concluding higher education, and perhaps the last year spent wholly in America, I've got quite a bit going on.... however, the past few weeks weren't spent solely on my own business.

I have a general idea of where the timeline will be going, and I've confirmed to myself that at some stage I'll transition over to a graphic TL set in modern times, like after getting into the 20th century. A lot is still to be done, and plenty will be decided as the events unfold, but I've roughly sketched out the broad trends to take place.

Thanks again for reading.
 
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Republic Spain? Now that is something I have never seen before and I'm really interested seeing how things will turn out, especially if it spills over to Portugal...

Also, with slavery abolished and no napoleon, Haiti won't suffer it's bad otl fate and hopefully will be able to develop well and stand as a power in it's own right(as well as base for exporting republicanism and abolition like OTL they did with Bolivar) although I imagine US southern states will be shitting their pants at such free black republic in their backyard...

Poor Ottomans, between the ambitious Russians and Austrians looking for glory, hopefully they won't suffer too much from this war.
 
Will Republican Spain agree to give representation for the colonies?
It's a interesting thought, especially if they want to decide they want to do away with the caste system and slavery... Except that even during the constitutionalist revolt that Fernando VII was forced to accept, not even they took the proposition of accepting something like the abolishing of the caste system or slavery or even any sort of representation of the colonies.

It should also be noticed that by now, the majority of the population didn't enjoy Spanish rule any longer and the discontent had been simmering for a while now(with examples of it boiling over like during Tupac Amaru's rebellion) that came both from the peasantry and slaves(for obvious reasons as well as the fact they were getting poorer) and from the Criollos who wanted free trade, were European educated so were long aware of ideas of the likes of Locke and Montesquieu and just didn't like how essentially all the big important roles were filled by Spaniards who could dictate the future of the colony. It will be interesting to see whatever OP cooks up to deal with it.
 
Good work!

Thank you!

Republic Spain? Now that is something I have never seen before and I'm really interested seeing how things will turn out, especially if it spills over to Portugal...

Also, with slavery abolished and no napoleon, Haiti won't suffer it's bad otl fate and hopefully will be able to develop well and stand as a power in it's own right(as well as base for exporting republicanism and abolition like OTL they did with Bolivar) although I imagine US southern states will be shitting their pants at such free black republic in their backyard...

Poor Ottomans, between the ambitious Russians and Austrians looking for glory, hopefully they won't suffer too much from this war.

Will Republican Spain agree to give representation for the colonies?

I will caution that Spain isn't Republican *yet* - French troops have entered the Spanish northeast, but how far they've actually gotten will be detailed in the next post. Certainly not to Madrid.

America is certainly not keen on the Haitian matter, though their affairs will also be highlighted soon. In general the national government in the US is more dysfunctional that OTL, and diplomatically they're increasingly isolated. Since France has de facto recognized Haitian autonomy under black rule, and the US is locked in an alt-Quasi war with the UK, not much the USA can do.

I can certainly say that the Ottomans won't suffer as much as they did IOTL, though the road ahead is difficult for them. The Janissary Aghanate is a very deliberate parallel to the Shogunate in Japan - so, will a Turkish Meiji come forward? Time will tell....
 
Incredible chapter! Bernadotte is an ace as usual, so that's good.

And boy, spain can't never seem to catch a break even without napoleon there huh?
 

Stretch

Donor
Considering the OTL current upcoming referendum on an Indigenous Voice to Parliament in Australia, I love this alt Australia where natives are recognised as owning their land and being seen as people capable of negotiating is wonderful. (Also, Rupert Murdoch the bigoted media mogul being a seemingly respectful author is hilarious)
 
Part 11: March of the Pigs
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"And the Lion said: come and see, I have brought Hell here. Every day I will bring Hell to the strong-girded men who you send me, and when I stack their corpses high enough, I will climb your walls and bring Hell inside."

-Record of the War of the Stones


Part 11: "March of the Pigs"
The fundamentals of the War of the Third Coalition


Excerpt from: The Third Coalition, by Albrecht von Closen, 1921

Certain historians, no doubt cheeky figures who think themselves clever, have called the 3rd Coalitionary War the ‘Second War of the Spanish Succession.’ Such an appellation, of course, forgets the theaters of the war not primarily concerned with Iberia. Yet the wry nickname does contain a kernel of truth, for the War of the Third Coalition began with the question of who, exactly, should rule Spain?

This question, exacerbated by familial feuding, would spark a war with theaters on nearly every continent, and untold death on a massive scale. Had the Spanish Royal Family been less dysfunctional, perhaps the political situation in Spain could have been resolved, managed by the Coalition. Yet where similar Royal flights in Italy had produced Courts-in-exile on holdings that could be protected by the Royal Navy, a la the Sardinian Savoyards, the Spanish case was far more complicated. The Tumult had come about as a result of infighting between father and son, King and Heir. With the Madrid Putsch and the organization of a revolutionary militia (or, rather, a whipped-up radical mob), both men had fled from the capital to the North and the South, respectively. For the moment, legally, Ferdinand was the recognized King of Spain, having compelled his father to leave the throne.

Ferdinand, having fled to the port city of Alicante, enlisted the aid of the Royal Navy to ferry him to the Balearic islands and officially declared war on the French Republic, in tandem with the Coalition. Despite his safety on the Baleares, Ferdinand was nevertheless unpopular with the citizenry, particularly thanks to his decision to permit the landing of Royal troops in a number of Spanish cities to occupy them and hold against the threat of revolution. Already struggling to secure his legitimacy, Ferdinand was now seemingly under the sway of the British (protected largely by British troops, his islands protected by British ships), the long reviled protestant enemy of the Spanish, giving away more Gibraltars.

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Ferdinand VII of Spain in his robes of state
Oil on Canvas, Francisco Goya, 1815

Over the protests and advice of the Portuguese and the British alike, King Charles took the opportunity to make his move. Full of bad blood for his treacherous son, Charles had fled to Galicia and had quickly cobbled together a loyal army. Now, with his son's popularity low, Charles declared he had been forced into abdicating under duress, and his son's current rule was declared naught but an interregnum between two non-consecutive reigns of Charles IV of Spain.

Further, Charles declared that his firstborn would be officially disowned, and that the heir to the throne would instead be the second-born, also named Charles. The junior Charles, known more popularly in English texts as Don Carlos, had fled across the Atlantic to New Spain. Close-minded, power hungry, bull-headed and ruthlessly stubborn, Don Carlos had long sought power and it now appeared to fall into his lap. In the coming days, Carlos' position far across the ocean would become immensely important to the politics of the metropole and the empire. What exactly was the state of politics in Spain proper? A Civil War, to put it bluntly.

The revolt in Madrid, anchored among the urban intelligentsia and the liberals of Madrid's salons, appealed to the common man more on the grounds of the monarchy's failure than any perceived alliance with France. While technically invited into the country by del Riego, to the average Spaniard the French were, at best, interlopers. The situation was worsened by the French strategy of peeling off sister republics, in this case encouraged by the Basques and Catalans who had ascended to positions of influence in the French Republic - in particular, Dominique Joseph Garat.

Garat, the last representative of Labourd and an unsuccessful advocate for the retention of Basque autonomy in the face of Jacobin centralism, found himself with a great degree of power over the fates of his brethren across the Pyrenees. Lazare Hoche may not have been the most astute political infighter, but knew how to best use the personnel at his disposal, and Garat was one of the first civilian officials sent across the border to begin establishing governing authorities along the Pyrenees. New Phoenicia, named for the ethnological theories of the time concerning the origin of the Basques (the Phoenicians, it was claimed, had made their way along the Iberian Coast. A ludicrous theory, yes, but one Garat believed), was established with Garat himself at its head as First Citizen. Garat was tasked with whipping up Basque nationalism as well as organizing the new Republic along modern lines - the young Republic would live or die by Garat’s hand, with a Sword of Damocles in the form of direct French annexation hanging over his head.

In Aragon and Catalonia, meanwhile, the French craftily played to both progress as well as tradition. Since the 1707-1716 Nueva Planta decrees, traditional Catalan and Aaragonese autonomy, including their respective parliaments, had been abolished in favor of absolutist centralisation in Madrid. Now, the invading French attempted to allay local concerns and discontent by re-establishing local administrations for Catalonia and Aragon, in Barcelona and Saragossa, respectively. Occupying authorities were careful not to state the exact nature of these governments, whether they were national or subnational within some future Spanish government, and the mandates for these parliaments were kept similarly hazy. In this way, the French could have their cake and eat it too.

Responding to the invasion, and to the Jacobin regime headquartered in Madrid, local juntas began to crop up wherever a local base of power could be carved out. As the war continued into 1808 and 1809, ambitious local generals and meek former bureaucrats alike began to declare themselves for either of the governing courts, when (to quote one angry Spaniard), the ‘disillusioned second son chose to stick his nose in where it didn’t belong.’ Don Carlos, declared by the senior Charles to be his heir, now declared (much as his brother had done) that his father was unfit to remain on the throne, and claimed the throne for himself. Suddenly the two-way civil war on the royalist side gained a third side!

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Excerpt from: The Third Coalition, by Albrecht von Closen, 1921

[...] while the offensive South had yielded no small gains, French efforts to the East had been largely frustrated in the face of more concerted German defense. Institutional reform had reinforced the Holy Roman Empire’s ability to respond to invasion, though Prussia remained resentful and leaning towards Paris, and German troops found it impossible to make a real push back across the Rhine. Instead, the French-German border became something of a bloodbath, waves of troops throwing themselves against the defensive encampments each side had spent the past few years constructing.

To the South and East, the Ottoman and Polish fronts. An Austrian offensive into Bosnia and Southern Serbia, assisted by the Serbian legions long fostered in the Banat, had managed to capitalize against ineffectual and demoralized Turkish troops, still reeling from the Janissary uprisings that had rocked Constantanople over the past few years, and smaller local uprisings against Turkish suzerainty across the Balkans made conducting forward offensives difficult. Yet with force of numbers Ottoman troops had managed to prevent a rout, or a deeper push into the Turkish heartland.

Poland, meanwhile, benefitted from Prussian neutrality, leaving one long frontier militarily negligible. A two- or three-front war would prove more difficult, but with Austrian forces split between the French and Turks, Polish-Lithuanian troops could focus on the Russian border. The Commonwealth’s military leadership and their French tactical advisors determined that a push to the South could yield results: the territory of Ukraine and ‘the Wild Fields,’ still settled sparsely only by bands of Cossacks and former Ottoman dependencies, had been subject to increasing centralizing pressures of centralization since the last rounds of Turkish-Russian wars. Military and political leaders alike praised both the proud independent traditions of the Ukranians as well as the past ties between Poland and Ruthenia.

On the Italian front, the French and Italian forces decided on a ‘South-first’ strategy, designed to eliminate the last thorn in the side of Revolutionary control of the peninsula: the Kingdom of Naples. The Bourbons had briefly been pushed from the ‘boot’ of the peninsula in the 2nd Coalition War, yet a combined British-Sicilian naval-land counter-offensive had established the Bourbons in the city of Naples yet again. Yet nationalist fervor also desired the freeing of Venetia from the Habsburg yoke, conceded to the Austrians under difficult circumstances but lying right across the Padan Plain, ripe for the liberation. While the island of Sicily was largely protected by the still-unchallenged British navy, eliminating the hostile Bourbons from the Italian mainland was an achievable goal.

On_The_Extinction_Of_The_Venetian_Republic_%28Robert_Anning_Bell%29.jpg

On The Extinction Of The Venetian Republic
Robert Anning Bell, 1907

While the British navy was defending the islands of the Mediterranean, they were also on the offensive among the islands of the East Indies. There were bright spots for the Revolutionary coalition, largely thanks to allies on the ground. For instance, a surprise attack by the growing Vietnamese fleet upon the Dutch navy resulted in one of the first outright naval victories by a non-European navy upon a European one since the dawn of modern imperialism. Yet this strategy had also been co-opted by the British, who could depend on native kingdoms in Southeast Asia and the wider East Indies to keep the Vietnamese contained and, chafing under unsettled Dutch rule, throw off the Batavian yoke.

Indeed, Britain remained largely unchallenged at sea and a constant threat to the North. Multiple French cities faced potential food shortages as grain shipments were made impossible along both the Mediterranean and the Atlantic, and the British had enacted a doctrine of naval harassment within nearly the entire Atlantic basin. Impressment became a key strategy for the Royal Navy, serving both to reinforce troop numbers and to restrict potential trade to France, and if a ship was seen flying the flag of any power not explicitly allied to the British Empire or the Third Coalition, it was under constant risk of capture. The other edge of this sword would prove to be the entrance of the United States into the war.

The United States and the United Kingdom had been engaged in an informal, off-and-on-again naval trade war, the so-called ‘Quasi War,’ for most of the first decade of the 19th century. The young country’s second President, Thomas Jefferson, was an ardent Francophile, and had praised even some of the greatest excesses of the French Revolution. His successor after two terms in office, James Monroe, was caught between the horns of a dilemma - a Virginia planter personally opposed to the excesses of the French revolution, Monroe had spent a great deal of his post-US-revolution career as Minister to France, and had inherited a simmering conflict between the United States and its erstwhile parent. Yet there was theoretically no need to enter a formal war with the United Kingdom, until Monroe was made an offer he simply could not refuse.

As will be noted below, the collapse of domestic tranquility in Spain had disrupted the management of Spain’s vast New World empire. While one party to the civil war, Don Carlos, had hitched his metaphorical wagon to the resiliency of Spanish rule in Mexico, Spanish control over its colonies was made largely nonexistent by the presence of three royalist claims, each of whom jockeyed for the allegiance from individual juntas to beef up their legitimacy as well as their armies. The Madrid Government, meanwhile, cared very little for the faraway colonies when the priority was clearly to establish stable governance right at home. Colonies could be a matter of prestige, yes, but in the case of Spanish Louisiania, a colony could also be a useful bargaining chip.

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Discovery of the Mississippi by De Soto
Oil on canvas, William H. Powell, 1853

The trade would be simple. The Madrid government, despite its insurrectionary nature, did benefit from the legitimacy of holding the Spanish capital, as well as presenting a more unified front as compared to the three-way split among the royalists. Thus, if the nascent Spanish Republic was to, say, agree to return the Louisiana territory to France, they could be well within their right to do so. And if the French Republic was to agree to sell the Louisiana territory to the United States for pennies on the dollar, giving a key ally control over the continent’s waterway and one of the most valuable ports in the world, New Orleans, they too would be justified. The 2nd Treaty of Fontainebleau would thus more than double the size of the United States - but not for long. Spain (or *a* Spain, in any case) may have consented, France may have consented, and the US may have consented, but Britain certainly did not. Thus, as the US began to move troops and officials over to New Orleans, they were greeted by British frigates in the harbor. Within just a few weeks, and just after a regency had been declared for King George III, the man who had lost the colonies, his son and regent would formally declare war on the United States.

The ‘second revolution,’ or ‘Mr. Monroe’s War,’ whipped up no small amount of nationalistic fervor at the outset. Not all within the boundaries of the United States agreed, of course - native Americans, drawn together by the pan-Indian movement led by Tenskwatawa (‘the Prophet’) and a Shawnee Chief named Tecumseh, had held a number of back-channel discussions with the British via the remaining British forts throughout the Great Lakes area (which were cited as well for a justification for war) and believed that the only way to prevent American settler expansionism was to ally with the British - but broadly speaking, the public was in favor of the war. Even the Federalists of New England, generally more Anglophilic, were whipped up in the momentum of events, with the growing importance of French trade to even New England playing no small part. The United States seemed entirely united against the British menace - little did they know the disaster this war would bring.


Author's Note: Since it's been a longer writing process than I'd wanted, I decided to split the 3rd Coalition War into two posts - background in this one, resolution in the next one. Next post should be far sooner, assuming the process works out well.
 
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I really hope Carlos the Younger comes out on top. Anything would be better than Fernando el Patetico.

And the Americans will not end this war well, can't wait to see the outcome.

Excellent chapter!
 
Glad to see another chapter, hopefully Carlos Junior here will be victorious and do the wise thing of staying out of any coalition and rebuild the country instead of wasting money and troops Spain desperately needs, especially after the civil war.

Also, I imagine the Portuguese are making moves on Uruguay rn, especially as Spain has fallen into chaos and can't respond and Portugual always coveted that area, so we'll probably see Luso-Brazillian troops moving in to occupy and annex it.

French are doing good and hopefully will remain good, let's see how well they can deal with Spain that's not fully hostile to them as well as kicking the Bourbons out of the Peninsula for good.

Oh America, so far from God and so close to Britain, hopefully the Americans will able to learn from this for a round 2 in a couple decades.

Also, what's going on in Haiti? I know they're probably independent and free and have certainly moved into annexing Santo Domingo, but I wonder if the Brits will still do their expedition... That will see them decimated by yellow fever and guerrillas.
 
Very cool to see revolutionary republics emerge in Spain! I’m surprised that hasn’t been done more in alternate history. I’m also intrigued by the foreshadowing of how this Anglo-American conflict will go. Will Tenskwatawa and Tecumseh eke out a win with British support and lock the US out of the Midwest, while Louisiana (or at least New Orleans) is kept in British/Spanish hands? Even a limited success for the Northwest Confederacy would be interesting to see.
 
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