[2021-2025]
[Domestic US]
As Humbert's early second term years unfolded, Americans began to taste the benefits of a reformed Social Security system, improved education, and expanded healthcare benefits. But the effects of heavy protectionism and increased spending and taxing would hit American consumers hard before 2024, setting back the UP and giving the EP their big break. But for a time, things for the UP were good. But big business and those who were hoping to take advantage of globalization were hurt as China gobbled up other markets.
In 2024, the EP rocketed into office as prices skyrocketed on protected goods and Chinese trade partners retaliated with the US. The EP declared that such a trade war could help lead to a shooting war in the end, calling upon Friedman's Dell Theory of Conflict Prevention (Note: In TTL, the book was still written, though with a focus on Mexico and NAFTA's future) among others. Slyly, the EP promised not to remove the social security reforms, the education and healthcare program, but did say it would cut out corporate welfare. In actuality, the EP's campaign of reinvigorating the sluggish market was almost a self fulfilling prophecy. As news of Rober McConnell's election and the new EP Senate majority swept the world, foreign investment skyrocketed. Consumer confidence went up, and most of the boardrooms of the United States breathed a sigh of relief.
In 2025, the first Mexican states entered the Union, though not in their original form. Sonora was merged with the Baja Californias. Durango, Chihuahua, Nuevo Leon, and Tamaulipas all entered the Union as well, more or less in their original geographic forms. The populations ofthe states had significantly increased due to refugees and old American population flocking to the region for the low tax rates and business incentives. Though certainly not perfect, the government reforms imposed by McCain and Warner had done good for the new American states.
Many anti-American Mexicans unwilling to leave their homes refused US citizenship, and secluded themselves from the new society. Of course, US law dictated they could remain there, but would have to pay for any benefits the United States had added to the area. But eventually, those who did not leave grew tired of paying the extra cost and grudgingly accepted the US government as their own.
[Technology and War in 2025]
The United States continued to lead the world in technology in 2025, spurred on by many years of war and the fear of a rising China. Both the EP and UP agreed on maintaining high US defense spending, but the disagreement was on how to use it. In any case, this defense spending had become civilian accessible by 2025. The micromachined armor used by the Force Warrior 2025 development program was in service by 2020 (primarily in response to guerilla and insurgent warfare in the 2006 war) had resulted in a variety of new consumer products. By 2025, these 'miracle materials' were also in liscenced use by many other nations in a variety of fields. True nanobots were still not fully realized.
Alternative energy was spreading out of the United States, and by 2025 was in heavy use by Europe and Japan. China was still heavily petrol fueled due to its cozy relationship with many Islamic nations. A joint Allied Nations Group project promised to put a solar space powerplant array in orbit by 2030.
Artificial Intelligence and computing had expanded in leaps in bounds. Due to the plummeting costs of nanomaterial manufactures, carbon computers were phasing out high-end mainframes, with many theorizing that perhaps within the next decade they would be availible in regular desktop computers. The militaries of the world were the highest buyers of the products, and the beginnings of a 'computational arms race' were in the making as the ANG, China, Japan and EU all increasingly researched and developed new supercomputers. True AI wasn't quite there, but what did exist was enough to fool many people into thinking it was.
The technologies of war, the spurs of much of this advancement, were in high use by 2025. The United States and the ANG was said to maintain the world's 'best' air force in terms of training and technology. The US made F/A-22G used a carbon supercomputer, adaptive control surfaces, high resolution, long range radar, and packed ultramanuverable missiles with extremely 'intelligent' targeting and tracking computers. But it was rumored the US was researching into even more radical designs, such as switchblade fighters. The Chinese J-13/Mig-37 was a close second or third, unique not only because of its Russian Federation/Chinese cooperation, but the fact that China lead that project. Aerospace was becoming increasingly regionalized, as India, Japan, and even South Africa's resurgent economy began to design and manufacture their own aircraft. It was even rumored that true mobile lasers would be in implementation soon.
The US Navy had responded to the Chinese threat (now 6 carriers) with an increase to 14 Carrier Battle Groups, many utilizing new 'stealthy' designs, not just for carriers but for escort vessels like the Zumwalt and CG-21 series of designs. Chinese submarine technology had caught up with their Western rivals, but the Virginia upgrades and Australian advances in 'Acoustic Daylight Imaging' technology stood to turn the balance back in the favor of the West.
The European Union made their own advances with a standardized EU tank design, the EMBT-1. With British designed armor, a Rhinemetall ETC gun and a high-performance hybri-diesel engine, it set the standard for world armor. China itself took from old Russian Black Eagle designs. The United States looked like their Abrams II would be mounting an electromagnetic gun within the next few years.
And of course, space was on the verge of weaponization. The US and China had fleets of high turnaround shuttles capable of boosting cargo or weapons into orbit, while the US had chosen to refit its ballistic missiles as rapid-response deployers of satellites or ASAT style weapons. Many nations also employed space-based radar and sensors, and virtually every major nation or power-bloc maintained constellations of satellites.
[Africa]
The technological advances of the world had helped a neglected Africa. From 2015 onward, South Africa had experienced an economic rebirth, primarily due to the collapse of Harere's government and the 'turning point' in the war on disease through new vaccinations. The funding pouring into the nation went into the development of nuclear power and other alternative energy sources for the 'cultivation of Africa' program. Desalination plants and new, more efficient agritech systems allowed South African farmers to effectively feed not only themselves, but many of their neighbors. Investment in South Africa increased as their growing technology sector emerged. Without significant Western intervention, sub-saharan Africa was 'South Africa's domain'. A modern military force performed peackeeping duties, a friendly government gained the trust of other nations, and massive aid campaigns from the newly-wealthy nation were used to help their neighbors.
South Africa's success story had attracted the eyes of the world community by the early 2020s, and China was quick to step in. South Africa began absorbing Chinese consumer goods, and the Chinese gave plenty of diplomatic backing to the nation and its allies in Africa. But India pulled a heavy counterbalance, and soon the two nations were struggling over influence in the South African government. Other nations were divvied up by the two Asian powers, in the first time the emerging nations had begun seriously influencing extraregional politics.
[The Islamic World]
The Alliance of God only expanded as petrol demand slackened from the big-pocketed Westerners. Still discontent with Europe's influence through Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and the Caucasus Republic all joined in the years between 2021 and 2025. The Alliance of God was not a true alliance though, like brothers they quarreled within the household, but presented a united front when faced with foreign threat.
[Europe]
The Russian Confederation began its EU membership process in 2023, much to the dismay of the Federation. Germany was recovering from their economic slump, though many European core states were facing increasing problems with angry Muslim immigrants. The EU was still loosely organized, with a shaky Constitution emerging by 2022, though it hardly changed the Union's politics.
[The Two Russias]
An uneasy truce rested between the two nations. The Confederation enjoyed a more neoliberal government, and enjoyed EU support. The Confederation was also becoming a technology based economy, while the old Federation relied on its mineral and oil reserves. Interestingly, the Federation became heavily reliant on Chinese aid and loans, though they did not enjoy the relationship in any way. The xenophobic Federation government did not check or encourage the actions of its people when it came to race conflicts. Vladvivostok, the new capital, had a massive increase in crime rate as Russian and Chinese criminal organizations clashed.
[Asia and Oceania]
The Chinese and Indian government waged their silent political and economic wars through client states, and, as previously mentioned, those in Africa. India surpassed Chinese trade due to UP regulations, but China was eager to reclaim its spot. One of the major elements of tension was between Japan's growing military power and its alliance with India. Japan began designing and training Indian ships and crews for their Navy, providing regional counterbalances to China's emerging force. In Siganpore, the government affirmed a stance against Chinese political influence, in a surprise move. The new President stated "Embracing our heritage does not mean we must tie the puppetmaster's strings around our arms. Siganpore enjoys good relations with many nations besides China, and they are just as important. Similarly, our government cannot become a means to an end for Chinese interests."
Sino-Taiwanese relations continued to move back and forth between opinions, but overall Taiwan was increasingly fearful they would be subject to the first new 'hard' use of Chinese power.
In Korea, 2021 marked the end of the DPRK. The Dear Leader died under unknown circumstances, and the ROK quickly responded with a 'peaceful takeover'. For the world community, it was a wonderful end to 70 year tear between the Korean people. Korea quickly began to try and bring the former DPRK up to the living standards of the South. But Korean politicians were divided on foreign policy. Should they turn towards China, or stand by their traditional allies? Policy fluctuated back and forth, but overall Korea was more concerned with helping its new citizens rather than arming itself as other nations did.
Australia was experiencing a similar political problem. The Australian economy had become somewhat reliant on Chinese trade, but strategically Australia wanted to stand with the Allied Nations Group. Australia quietly began taking measures to decrease their reliance on Chinese trade, trying not to elicit too harsh of a political response from the full-fledged power of China.