Spane would be more or less useless in any conflict as they have no oil and the only way to get oil for Spane is via sea. The RN will certainly make sure there won’t be any. And without oil...
Inb4 the Soviets use even more tungsten in subcaliber ammunition.Spain: Hey stupido! We have tungsten!
Inb4 the Soviets use even more tungsten in subcaliber ammunition.
And competent rulers, because it bares repeating twice.Russia makes tungsten too? What DON'T they make (besides competent rulers)?
I actually wonder how the postwar Czechoslovak and Spanish military-industrial complexes will look like ITTL. The Czech situation certainly looks similar to OTL with the factories around Prague being likely destroyed and the Soviets having a lot of influence, but since the Czechoslovak state survived and has a proper standing army it's possible that its procurement would be more independent than it's OTL Warsaw Pact equivalent that standardized a lot around Soviet gear.
Socialist Spain is ruined on the other hand and is lagging behind in weapons' technology so we would likely see extensive cooperation with the Soviets, at least to rebuild the Army first. The relative isolation with the Soviet Union and peculiar geography may lead to many independent designs however.
Man, it is been a long time since I read one of your comments.
You have the ability to make complex history into literature, which is why I love reading them so much.
But let us remember something: on the world stage, Stalin was first and foremost a geopolitical thinker.
Like all geopolitical thinkers, every decision, good or (in the case of Stalin, very) bad, was based off the geopolitical interests of the Red Russian Empire he ruled.
Whether it was purging the Ukrainians, deporting the Chechens and the Volga Germans, or even enjoying a siesta with his fascist enemy, all of Stalin's decisions were based off securing his own power.
Building communist puppet states was not about spreading the workers' paradise, but engaging in the centuries-long Russian battle for more buffer states to defend against enemy invasion.
Whether or not Stalin intends to use Spain will depend on whether or not he sees Spain as necessary to the survival of his country.
OTL, he wasn't as committed to the Republicans as the Italians and Germans were to Franco, so I don't know TTL if he'll really care much about what Red Spain does with its existance.
TTL, if the Cold War comes early, perhaps he'll arm them as a bulwark against the West.
Or perhaps Spain's communist go for the Tito approach of "neutral, capitalist-friendly communism."
I agree that Stalin will be super-paranoid here, but I very much doubt that Stalin would intervene more in the Spanish civil war as a result. He didn't see it as a genuine revolution and I don't see how a successful defense of Czechoslovakia would chance his perspective on Spain being something to use and discard.The Declaration of Potsdam despite its emptiness ruffled feathers in Moscow as Stalin interpreted it differently as per his usual paranoid self, believing it to be the European component of a hostile anti-Soviet alliance.
I mean... I am sure Stalin supposed himself to be a cool-headed judge of geopolitics, but if you read the articles he wrote and compare them to his actions, it looks like the man was a zealot who believed his own bull.
I agree that Stalin will be super-paranoid here, but I very much doubt that Stalin would intervene more in the Spanish civil war as a result. He didn't see it as a genuine revolution and I don't see how a successful defense of Czechoslovakia would chance his perspective on Spain being something to use and discard.
Especially since Stalin believes that the Capitalist powers must be drawn into combat with each-others as part of the capitalist competition for scarce resources. So if he just lays low, the four major powers in Europe should end up at war against each other. No need for him to stick his thumb into Spain and provoke an anti-Soviet alliance that staves off the mutual annihilation of the capitalists long enough for them to annihilate HIM.
The only way I can see this changing is if he thinks that a Republican victory would strengthen the French left somehow without it backfiring on him. Perhaps if the British stated to pressure Stalin to counter the Italians in Spain (seems unlikely though, the British will be favorably inclined towards Italy in this scenario I think).
fasquardon
A foolproof plan!Stalin: OK, time to retreat to my dacha. Wake me up when the capitalists start destroying each other.
Beria. Don't worry, comrade Stalin. I won't...let you out of my sight.
Thankyou.That's...an understatement.
I am not sure why FDR would not run again just because there was no ww2.Nice update! I would look to see the situation of the US - without WW2, FDR probably wouldn't break the two-term rule and would support someone else to the presidency. Maybe a Republican wins?
I don't think he wouldn't run, but I think it's possible he doesn't win and the rule is still a "unstated" rule.I am not sure why FDR would not run again just because there was no ww2.
I think FDR would continue as the depression is still going and I think FDR would like to lead America out of the depression.I don't too see FDR running third term. Possible but not really likely. There is quiet strong respect for Washington's precedent and hardly anyone just violate that without good reason.
That was flawed thinking as Germany never had the ability to project power beyond Europe.It was the fall of france that led to him seeking a 3rd term due to how unprecedented it was- it convinced him that hitler was an existential threat beyond the European shores
I didn't say it was accurate.That was flawed thinking as Germany never had the ability to project power beyond Europe.