The Soft Underbelly - a Gallipoli TL

I recently became interested in the ramifications of an Entente victory at Gallipoli and started a TL on this premise. Here's the beginning of that TL.

The Soft Underbelly


Chapter I: Consequences of a Stroke, December 1914-May 1915.


In October 1911, Churchill was appointed First Lord of the Admiralty and continued to serve in that capacity into the Great War. While serving in this position, he put strong emphasis on modernization, was in favour of using aeroplanes in combat, and launched a programme to replace coal power with oil power. When he assumed his position, oil was already being used on submarines and destroyers, but most ships were still coal-powered, though oil was sprayed on the coals to boost maximum speed. Churchill began this programme by ordering that the upcoming Queen Elizabeth-class battleships were to be built with oil-fired engines. He established a Royal Commission chaired by Admiral Sir John Fisher, which confirmed the benefits of oil over coal in three classified reports, and judged that ample supplies of oil existed, but recommended that oil reserves be maintained in the event of war. The delegation then travelled to the Persian Gulf, and the government, largely through Churchill’s advice, eventually invested in the Anglo-Persian Oil Company, bought most of its stock, and negotiated a secret contract for a twenty year supply.

The most important brainchild of Winston Churchill was arguably his plan to land at the Gallipoli Peninsula. Plans had been floated to land at Alexandretta, which had a Christian populace and formed the strategic centre of the Ottoman Empire’s railroads, the capture of which would cut it in two. The Alexandretta landing was abandoned because militarily it would have required more resources than France could allocate, and politically France did not want the British operating in their sphere of influence, a position to which Britain had agreed in 1912.

However, by late 1914 the war on the Western Front had become a stalemate; the French-British counter-offensive of the First Battle of the Marne had ended and the British had suffered many casualties in the First Battle of Ypres in Flanders. Lines of trenches had been dug by both sides, running from the Swiss border to the English Channel as the war of manoeuvre ended and trench warfare began. The German Empire and Austria-Hungary closed the overland trade routes between Britain and France in the west and Russia in the east. The White Sea in the arctic north and the Sea of Okhotsk in the Far East were icebound in winter and distant from the Eastern Front, the Baltic Sea was blockaded by the Imperial German Navy and the entrance to the Black Sea through the Dardanelles was controlled by the Ottoman Empire. While the empire remained neutral supplies could still be sent to Russia through the Dardanelles, but prior to the Ottoman entry into the war the straits had been closed and in November they began to mine the waterway.

French Minister of Justice Aristide Briand's proposal in November to attack the Ottoman Empire was rejected and an attempt by the British to pay the Ottomans to join the Allied side also failed. Later that month, Winston Churchill, First Lord of the Admiralty, proposed a naval attack on the Dardanelles, based in part on erroneous reports of Ottoman troop strength. Churchill wanted to use a large number of obsolete battleships, which could not operate against the German High Seas Fleet, in a Dardanelles operation, with a small occupation force provided by the army. It was hoped that an attack on the Ottomans would also draw Bulgaria and Greece (both formerly ruled by the Ottomans) into the war on the Allied side. On January 2nd 1915, Grand Duke Nicholas of Russia appealed to Britain for assistance against the Ottomans, who were conducting an offensive in the Caucasus. Churchill viewed the Ottomans as the Central Powers’ “soft underbelly” and favoured these plans.

However, in December 1914 Churchill suffered a minor stroke, commonly attributed to his heavy drinking and smoking. In order to recover, he returned to the comfort of the Churchill family home in Oxfordshire: Blenheim Palace. He, however, refused to resign from his position of First Lord of the Admiralty and the government was reluctant to fire him in times of war when he was most effective, conflicting with advice from his doctors. A compromise was made: he was forbidden from working for more than three hours a day and Admiral John “Jacky” Fisher was given many of his responsibilities. Fisher promoted his own plan to procure a speedy victory, the so-called Baltic Project, a plan to land British and/or Russian forces on the flat beaches of Pomerania, less than 150 kilometres from Berlin. Fisher began started out with the most essential components by practicing amphibious landings and training effective minesweeper crews, who would man the first of over 600 specialized vessels needed. These also included landing craft, destroyers, light cruisers, monitors and heavy shallow draft support ships in the shape of the Courageous-class battlecruisers. Submarines and extensive mining, it was proposed, would protect the invasion force against the Imperial German Navy.

Churchill’s physicians and his wife Clementine kept him away from cigars and liquor as much as possible, and he spent the four months after his stroke pretty much sober. He found new energy and in an incredible tour de force he managed to recover and get a clean bill of health, allowing him to resume his full responsibilities as First Lord of the Admiralty by March 1st 1915. He scratched Fisher’s “Baltic Project” and dismissed it as suicidal, saying there would be so many sea mines and U-boats that one could walk from Denmark to Sweden, not to mention that the Imperial German Navy would fight a life or death fight on its home turf. He did, however, gratefully utilize the minesweepers and the officers educated in amphibious tactics for his own baby.

He pressed his plan for a Dardanelles Campaign, but if there was to be any hope of it taking place in 1915 than some alterations would have to be made. The only preliminary bombardment would take place on the day of the landings, which would ensure the element of surprise. Secondly, Entente forces would land on the western side and southern tip of the peninsula, avoiding a dangerous trip toward the Sea of Marmara. Cape Helles and Gaba Tepe, a headland overlooking the northern Aegean Sea, would be the main objectives of the early phase. The landings would be supported by one battleship, three battlecruisers, 28 pre-dreadnoughts, 23 cruisers, 25 destroyers, 13 submarines and one seaplane carrier. Churchill stated that even the loss of a dozen pre-dreadnoughts wouldn’t necessarily end the operation since these obsolete ships were never intended to face the full might of the Germans in the North Sea. They had therefore not been factored into the calculations of a full scale battle between the Grand Fleet and the High Seas Fleet to begin with. Their loss subsequently wouldn’t change the Royal Navy’s strategic situation vis-à-vis the German navy in the North Sea, which was one of naval superiority (besides that, without the war, many of them would have been decommissioned already).

On April 22nd 1915, the Dardanelles Campaign commenced with a massive naval bombardment with gun calibres up to 15 inches (381 mm), dropping thousands of shells on the landing beaches and the immediate hinterland. It was followed by the world’s first true amphibious operation on April 25th, which Churchill called X-Day The fact that the landings took place only 72 hours after the naval bombardment started ensured that the Ottomans hadn’t had the time to redeploy any reinforcements here. The 3rd Infantry Brigade therefore encountered little resistance and had taken the strategically important Gaba Tepe headland by nightfall. After that Anzac forces advanced toward the forts at Kilitbahir in order to cut off the defenders there. The Helles landing was made by the 29th Division, under the command of Major General Aylmer Hunter-Weston. The division landed on five beaches in an arc about the tip of the peninsula, named from east to west as ‘S’, ‘V’, ‘W’, ‘X’ and ‘Y’ Beaches. On May 1st, the 29th Indian Brigade (including the 1/6th Gurkha Rifles) landed, took and secured Sari Bair above the landing beaches, and were later joined by two other Gurkha battalions, the 1st/5th and the 2nd/10th; the Zion Mule Corps landed at Helles on April 27th. At ‘Y’ Beach, during the first engagement around the village of Krithia (First Battle of Krithia), the Allies were able to land unopposed and advance inland. There were only a small number of defenders in the village, and with explicit orders to break out from the beachhead the ‘Y’ beach commander decided to exploit this. During his short tenure as Churchill’s substitute Fisher had helped develop an amphibious doctrine, which dictated that any such operation would fail if the defenders managed to pin down the attackers on the beaches. It was therefore imperative that landing forces got off the beaches before the defenders could be reinforced to the point that they could encapsulate the beachheads and counterattack. The capture of Krithia on April 28th (X+3) was followed two days later by the seizure of Achi Baba, a height dominating the Gallipoli Peninsula.

By May 10th Entente forces had reached a line running from Gaba Tepe to Kilithbahir and Ottoman reinforcements couldn’t dislodge them. However, optimistic Entente plans to of an Ottoman collapse and a capture of Constantinople within a few weeks proved unrealistic. The initial speed of the Entente advance quickly slowed to a snail’s pace because major Ottoman reinforcements arrived and used the terrain to their advantage. The Entente presence swelled from a mere 30.000 to 200.000 men and they advanced up the peninsula slowly and methodically against determined opposition during spring and summer of 1915.

Simultaneously, the British and the French were busy trying to convince the Greeks and the Bulgarians to join the war against the Ottoman Empire and satisfy their territorial claims. That was made difficult by the fact that Bulgaria and Greece were bitter enemies: the former had started the Second Balkan War by stabbing its former Greek and Serb allies in the back, after which Romania and the Ottomans had intervened against Bulgaria. Both needed a final push in order to be convinced.
 
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ben0628

Banned
Interesting. I am taking a class on World War One in college now and we just went over Gallipoli about two weeks ago. Can't wait to see what comes next.

Curious to how you manage to persuade Bulgaria to join the Entente. Bulgaria has way too much of a grudge against the Serbs and Greeks to work with either one of them. Not only that, but the Entente can't promise them Constantinople because the already promised the Russians that.
 
Well the Entente may promise Bulgaria, but it does not mean Bulgaria will get it. I mean look how shabbily Italy was treated after the War and what few gains it received.
 
Well the Entente may promise Bulgaria, but it does not mean Bulgaria will get it. I mean look how shabbily Italy was treated after the War and what few gains it received.

They have no reason to believe such a promise, though, since it's obvious the Russians are expecting it too.
 
Still planning on use of something like the SS River Clyde as a LSI?

If so, it may be useful to put something bigger than machine guns in the bows.

Also the X lighters could do with guns to provide fire support - from what I've read few if any were due to shortages although they were designed to be able to have them.
 
Or landing up the northern side of Gallipoli and marching directly on Constantinople. Leaves the fixed defences defending nothing and advances as fast as the Turkish reinforcements march out and leads to a battle upon open ground but within range of heavy naval support.
 

ben0628

Banned
I recently became interested in the ramifications of an Entente victory at Gallipoli and started a TL on this premise. Here's the beginning of that TL.

The Soft Underbelly


Chapter I: Consequences of a Stroke, December 1914-May 1915.

In October 1911, Churchill was appointed First Lord of the Admiralty and continued to serve in that capacity into the Great War. While serving in this position, he put strong emphasis on modernization, was in favour of using aeroplanes in combat, and launched a programme to replace coal power with oil power. When he assumed his position, oil was already being used on submarines and destroyers, but most ships were still coal-powered, though oil was sprayed on the coals to boost maximum speed. Churchill began this programme by ordering that the upcoming Queen Elizabeth-class battleships were to be built with oil-fired engines. He established a Royal Commission chaired by Admiral Sir John Fisher, which confirmed the benefits of oil over coal in three classified reports, and judged that ample supplies of oil existed, but recommended that oil reserves be maintained in the event of war. The delegation then travelled to the Persian Gulf, and the government, largely through Churchill’s advice, eventually invested in the Anglo-Persian Oil Company, bought most of its stock, and negotiated a secret contract for a twenty year supply.

The most important brainchild of Winston Churchill was arguably his plan to land at the Gallipoli Peninsula. Plans had been floated to land at Alexandretta, which had a Christian populace and formed the strategic centre of the Ottoman Empire’s railroads, the capture of which would cut it in two. The Alexandretta landing was abandoned because militarily it would have required more resources than France could allocate, and politically France did not want the British operating in their sphere of influence, a position to which Britain had agreed in 1912.

However, by late 1914 the war on the Western Front had become a stalemate; the French-British counter-offensive of the First Battle of the Marne had ended and the British had suffered many casualties in the First Battle of Ypres in Flanders. Lines of trenches had been dug by both sides, running from the Swiss border to the English Channel as the war of manoeuvre ended and trench warfare began. The German Empire and Austria-Hungary closed the overland trade routes between Britain and France in the west and Russia in the east. The White Sea in the arctic north and the Sea of Okhotsk in the Far East were icebound in winter and distant from the Eastern Front, the Baltic Sea was blockaded by the Imperial German Navy and the entrance to the Black Sea through the Dardanelles was controlled by the Ottoman Empire. While the empire remained neutral supplies could still be sent to Russia through the Dardanelles, but prior to the Ottoman entry into the war the straits had been closed and in November they began to mine the waterway.

French Minister of Justice Aristide Briand's proposal in November to attack the Ottoman Empire was rejected and an attempt by the British to pay the Ottomans to join the Allied side also failed. Later that month, Winston Churchill, First Lord of the Admiralty, proposed a naval attack on the Dardanelles, based in part on erroneous reports of Ottoman troop strength. Churchill wanted to use a large number of obsolete battleships, which could not operate against the German High Seas Fleet, in a Dardanelles operation, with a small occupation force provided by the army. It was hoped that an attack on the Ottomans would also draw Bulgaria and Greece (both formerly ruled by the Ottomans) into the war on the Allied side. On January 2nd 1915, Grand Duke Nicholas of Russia appealed to Britain for assistance against the Ottomans, who were conducting an offensive in the Caucasus. Churchill viewed the Ottomans as the Central Powers’ “soft underbelly” and favoured these plans.

However, in December 1914 Churchill suffered a minor stroke, commonly attributed to his heavy drinking and smoking. In order to recover, he returned to the comfort of the Churchill family home in Oxfordshire: Blenheim Palace. He, however, refused to resign from his position of First Lord of the Admiralty and the government was reluctant to fire him in times of war when he was most effective, conflicting with advice from his doctors. A compromise was made: he was forbidden from working for more than three hours a day and Admiral John “Jacky” Fisher was given many of his responsibilities. Fisher promoted his own plan to procure a speedy victory, the so-called Baltic Project, a plan to land British and/or Russian forces on the flat beaches of Pomerania, less than 150 kilometres from Berlin. Fisher began started out with the most essential components by practicing amphibious landings and training effective minesweeper crews, who would man the first of over 600 specialized vessels needed. These also included landing craft, destroyers, light cruisers, monitors and heavy shallow draft support ships in the shape of the Courageous-class battlecruisers. Submarines and extensive mining, it was proposed, would protect the invasion force against the Imperial German Navy.

Churchill’s physicians and his wife Clementine kept him away from cigars and liquor as much as possible, and he spent the four months after his stroke pretty much sober. He found new energy and in an incredible tour de force he managed to recover and get a clean bill of health, allowing him to resume his full responsibilities as First Lord of the Admiralty by March 1st 1915. He scratched Fisher’s “Baltic Project” and dismissed it as suicidal, saying there would be so many sea mines and U-boats that one could walk from Denmark to Sweden, not to mention that the Imperial German Navy would fight a life or death fight on its home turf. He did, however, gratefully utilize the minesweepers and the officers educated in amphibious tactics for his own baby.

He pressed his plan for a Dardanelles Campaign, but if there was to be any hope of it taking place in 1915 than some alterations would have to be made. The only preliminary bombardment would take place on the day of the landings, which would ensure the element of surprise. Secondly, Entente forces would land on the western side and southern tip of the peninsula, avoiding a dangerous trip toward the Sea of Marmara. Cape Helles and Gaba Tepe, a headland overlooking the northern Aegean Sea, would be the main objectives of the early phase. The landings would be supported by one battleship, three battlecruisers, 28 pre-dreadnoughts, 23 cruisers, 25 destroyers, 13 submarines and one seaplane carrier. Churchill stated that even the loss of a dozen pre-dreadnoughts wouldn’t necessarily end the operation since these obsolete ships were never intended to face the full might of the Germans in the North Sea. They had therefore not been factored into the calculations of a full scale battle between the Grand Fleet and the High Seas Fleet to begin with. Their loss subsequently wouldn’t change the Royal Navy’s strategic situation vis-à-vis the German navy in the North Sea, which was one of naval superiority (besides that, without the war, many of them would have been decommissioned already).

On April 22nd 1915, the Dardanelles Campaign commenced with a massive naval bombardment with gun calibres up to 15 inches (381 mm), dropping thousands of shells on the landing beaches and the immediate hinterland. It was followed by the world’s first true amphibious operation on April 25th, which Churchill called X-Day The fact that the landings took place only 72 hours after the naval bombardment started ensured that the Ottomans hadn’t had the time to redeploy any reinforcements here. The 3rd Infantry Brigade therefore encountered little resistance and had taken the strategically important Gaba Tepe headland by nightfall. After that Anzac forces advanced toward the forts at Kilitbahir in order to cut off the defenders there. The Helles landing was made by the 29th Division, under the command of Major General Aylmer Hunter-Weston. The division landed on five beaches in an arc about the tip of the peninsula, named from east to west as ‘S’, ‘V’, ‘W’, ‘X’ and ‘Y’ Beaches. On May 1st, the 29th Indian Brigade (including the 1/6th Gurkha Rifles) landed, took and secured Sari Bair above the landing beaches, and were later joined by two other Gurkha battalions, the 1st/5th and the 2nd/10th; the Zion Mule Corps landed at Helles on April 27th. At ‘Y’ Beach, during the first engagement around the village of Krithia (First Battle of Krithia), the Allies were able to land unopposed and advance inland. There were only a small number of defenders in the village, and with explicit orders to break out from the beachhead the ‘Y’ beach commander decided to exploit this. During his short tenure as Churchill’s substitute Fisher had helped develop an amphibious doctrine, which dictated that any such operation would fail if the defenders managed to pin down the attackers on the beaches. It was therefore imperative that landing forces got off the beaches before the defenders could be reinforced to the point that they could encapsulate the beachheads and counterattack. The capture of Krithia on April 28th (X+3) was followed two days later by the seizure of Achi Baba, a height dominating the Gallipoli Peninsula.

By May 10th Entente forces had reached a line running from Gaba Tepe to Kilithbahir and Ottoman reinforcements couldn’t dislodge them. However, optimistic Entente plans to of an Ottoman collapse and a capture of Constantinople within a few weeks proved unrealistic. The initial speed of the Entente advance quickly slowed to a snail’s pace because major Ottoman reinforcements arrived and used the terrain to their advantage. The Entente presence swelled from a mere 30.000 to 200.000 men and they advanced up the peninsula slowly and methodically against determined opposition during spring and summer of 1915.

Simultaneously, the British and the French were busy trying to convince the Greeks and the Bulgarians to join the war against the Ottoman Empire and satisfy their territorial claims. That was made difficult by the fact that Bulgaria and Greece were bitter enemies: the former had started the Second Balkan War by stabbing its former Greek and Serb allies in the back, after which Romania and the Ottomans had intervened against Bulgaria. Both needed a final push in order to be convinced.

Is Kemal leading the Turkish defenses?
 
Update :).


Chapter II: The Fall of the Ottoman Empire, May-December 1915.


In January 1915, the Battle of Sarikamish had resulted in a stunning Russian victory, partially because Ottoman troops had been ill-prepared for winter conditions in the Caucasus Mountains. In the end, only 10% of the Ottoman Third Army managed to return to the original starting positions. Armenian volunteer units fighting for Russia decisively affected Ottoman operations at critical points, and Enver Pasha later blamed the Armenians for his defeat (this most likely led to the decision to carry out the Armenian Genocide, starting in April 1915). General Yudenich was praised for his success and was promoted to commander-in-chief of all Russian forces in the Caucasus. In the meantime, the Russian Black Sea Fleet supported his forces and got more freedom of movement because of the Dardanelles operation. Hafiz Hakki Pasha died of typhus and was replaced by Brigadier General Mahmud Kamil Pasha, who faced the daunting task of putting the Ottoman army in the Caucasus back in order in the face of troops being reallocated from his front to the GallipoliPeninsula. In March and April the front remained stable and despite Armenian cries for help Yudenich waited until the Gallipolli landings had diverted the Sublime Porte’s attention.

On May 15th, General Yudenich started his offensive and relieved the besieged Armenian town of Van, where 1.500 men with 300 rifles and 1.000 pistols and antique weapons had tried to defend 30.000 residents and 15.000 refugees. By the time the Russians arrived on May 26th, Ottoman troops had already broken Van’s defences and had begun ethnic cleansing, massacring thousands who by and large were unarmed civilians. The Russians were subsequently heralded as liberators and thousands of infuriated Armenians joined volunteer units in the Russian army, while Armenian rebels elsewhere hampered the Ottomans’ supply lines. Kamil’s job was to defend the same line with fewer troops (because troops had been redeployed to fight the Anglo-French forces on the GallipoliPeninsula and to discourage the Greeks and/or Bulgarians from opportunism). That proved impossible and by July 4th, when the Russian offensive finally petered out, they had already reached Trebizond and Erzurum, inflicting heavy losses on the defenders. The ramshackle Ottoman Third Army now faced the spectre of eastern Anatolia being battered even more by a future Russian offensive.

Bulgaria was promised the entire Adrianople vilayet (the remainder that was still part of the Ottoman Empire after the Balkan Wars). Greece was promised the Aegean islands of Imbros and Tenedos, the Gallipoli Peninsula, as well as the city of Smyrna on Turkey’s Aegean coast, all of which were dominated by majority Greek populations. Constantine I, King of Greece, had been educated in Germany and was the brother-in-law of German Emperor Wilhelm II and therefore favoured a neutral course, against popular opinion. Greece didn’t budge, but Tsar Ferdinand I of Bulgaria had no compunctions about siding with the Entente, despite descending from Austro-Hungarian nobility. He needed assurances that his army wouldn’t be stomped on. Besides that, Sofia needed convincing that going after the Ottomans was more promising than going after the Serbian lands Bulgaria it desired after its defeat in the Second Balkan War. Bulgaria hated Serbia’s and Greece’s guts after the Second Balkan War, but siding against them with the Central Powers was a no-go at this point. It would surely lead to defeat. Ferdinand weighed his options and gaining something at the peace table by siding with the hated Greeks and Serbs was better than neutrality and not being a part of the peace talks at all.

Tsar Ferdinand I observed how the Ottomans were being pushed into a corner – with enemy pressure on the Palestinian, Mesopotamian, Caucasus and Dardanelles fronts. Bulgaria was surrounded by hostile powers and deprived of support from the great powers, and that manifested in expansionist ambitions. Tsar Ferdinand I was the first to jump onto the Entente bandwagon because the buckling Ottoman Empire reeked of opportunity; Serbia, on the other hand, was holding on and Bulgaria assumed Greece would intervene on Serbia’s behalf if it joined the Central Powers. Ferdinand made the opportunistic choice, but refused to allow Greek and Serb forces on his front and wouldn’t send troops to help fight Austria-Hungary; they would only fight the Turks. Bulgaria signed a treaty with Britain, France and Russia, ending its international isolation, and on July 17th 1915 it started mobilizing an army of 600.000 men. One week later it launched an offensive toward Adrianople, which they had lost after the Second Balkan War. In Greece, support to join the war now became so great that the King had little choice but to reappoint Venizelos Prime Minister. Greece subsequently declared war one week after Bulgaria and – with the Ottoman navy distracted by the threat of the Anglo-French navies bringing Constantinople under their guns – seized control of the islands of Imbros and Tenedos. Additionally, 20.000 Greek soldiers were deployed to the GallipoliPeninsula and the Hellenic Navy supported Anglo-French naval operations in the area. The Bulgarian offensive against Adrianople turned into a siege with trench warfare like on the Western Front, tying down troops the Ottomans needed in other crucial areas (Bulgarian howitzers heavily damaged the Selimiye Mosque this time). Anglo-French-Greek forces on the GallipoliPeninsula tried to break through concomitantly. Meanwhile, the Porte was confronted by a renewed Russian offensive in eastern Anatolia and a British offensive toward Kut-al-Amara on the Mesopotamian front.

The Ottoman Empire’s war effort started to unravel rapidly: on September 3rd Bulgarian forces overcame the outnumbered defenders of Adrianople and the Ottoman defences in Eastern Thrace collapsed, after which Entente forces broke out from the GallipoliPeninsula as a result. The Anglo-French fleets cleared the minefields in the Dardanelles and threatened to steam north to bring the Ottoman capital under their guns, and the Russian Black Sea Fleet conducted its largest operations to date in order to divert the attention of the Ottoman Navy. The panicking pashas withdrew troops from all the other fronts they were facing in order to defend the capital of Constantinople from the pending onslaught. As a result, British forces marched from Kut-al-Amara to Baghdad, a distance of 160 kilometres, in three weeks and took the city on October 11th 1915, encountering fierce resistance from the outnumbered defenders. British forces in Egypt, in the meantime, broke out into the SinaiDesert and aimed to take Jerusalem. Aiming to solidify its position on the Black Sea, the Russians advanced westward along the northern Anatolian coast with fire support from the Black Sea Fleet. Given this calamitous military situation, on November 21st 1915 the Sublime Porte requested an armistice, after which peace negotiations commenced, negotiations that would prove to be rather one-sided.

Bulgaria gained all of east Thrace except Constantinople. Greece got the islands of Imbros and Tenedos, the Turkish Straits as well as the entire Anatolian coast from Smyrna to Sinope, fulfilling their “Megali” ambitions and resulting in mass expulsions of ethnic Turks involving enormous atrocities. In both cases they got even more than they’d initially been promised! After more than 450 years as a mosque, the Hagia Sophia was the scene of a mass that consecrated it as a Greek Orthodox patriarchal basilica once more. In the meantime, an agreement was reached known as the Sykes-Picot-Izvolski Agreement, named after the diplomats who had negotiated its terms (Izvolski, in fact, was the Russian ambassador to France). Russia would annex Turkish Armenia while France, with Russian back-up, claimed a patch of land encompassing south-eastern Anatolia, Lebanon, Syria and the Mosul vilayet. Great Britain got an area roughly comprising the coastal strip between the Mediterranean Sea and the river Jordan, Jordan, the Baghdad and Basra vilayets and a small area that included the ports of Haifa and Acre. In accordance with the Treaty of London signed in April 1915, Italy would annex Antalya province and the Regia Marina got basing rights there. Constantinople became an international city under a joint Anglo-French-Russian-Italian-Greek-Bulgarian control commission.

This peace would fuel a Turkish nationalist movement, but it stood no chance against the combined might of Britain, France, Russia, Italy and Greece and was crushed. Sultan Mehmed V and his successor Mehmed VI remained on the throne as puppets. Greek control of the Straits and Constantinople’s international status angered the Russians because in the Constantinople Agreement of March 1915 Britain and France had promised to give them the Dardanelles. France had succumbed to pressure from Britain, which was still reluctant to give the Russians unlimited access to the eastern Mediterranean Sea. Greece was much more pliable than Russia would be and it would never be a threat to British dominance there. Similarly, the composition of the control commission for Constantinople meant Russian influence on the Bosporus would be limited.

Given their total collapse and major retreat in the Gorlice-Tarnow Offensive in May-June 1915, however, the Russians were in a poor strategic and therefore also poor negotiating position. They could only sulk impotently – with Sazonov talking in passing to Anglo-French diplomats about living up to agreements – and had to let it go. For now, Russia was bought off with the half of the Trebizond vilayet that fell outside the original Sykes-Picot-Izvolski Agreement (as a result Russia now controlled half of the northern Anatolian coastline, virtually turning the Black Sea into a Russian lake). At any rate, a separate peace with Germany was unthinkable given how much resources been sunk into this war already; Russia needed its pound of flesh from the Central Powers. Anyway, these agreements, which had been negotiated outside of the Ottomans, were presented as a dictate and the Turks had little choice but to ratify them, which they did on December 20th 1915. This was known as the Treaty of Livadiya, the location of the Tsar’s summer retreat where representatives of the Entente governments signed it. The formerly formidable Ottoman Empire, once the nemesis of Russia, had been reduced to an Anatolian rump state.

The Ottoman Empire’s defeat and partition produced a radically altered geopolitical situation in the Middle East, although the geopolitical consequences wouldn’t be felt until much later. Prince Faisal – the third oldest son of Hussein bin Ali, Sharif and Emir of Mecca – was made “King” of the French mandate, known as the Kingdom of Syria. Both he and his French backers were faced by a multitude of problems. By drawing some lines on a map the French had cobbled together a multi-ethnic and multi-religious state. Religiously, Syria was made up as follows: 95% Muslim, including 80% Sunni, 9% Alawi and 2.5% Druze; 7.5% Christian and 0.2 % Jewish. Ethnically, Arabic speakers made up 60% of the population, Turks, 13%, and Kurds 17%, followed by Turkmen, Armenian, Greek, Assyrian and Circassian minorities. Particularly the former Mosul and Aleppo vilayets had many Kurds, while the latter also had a sizeable Turkish population. Around 20% of Syria’s population wasn’t Sunni Muslim and 40% wasn’t Arab, providing a potential for ethnic conflicts. The new Kingdom of Mesopotamia, composed of the Baghdad and Basra vilayets, was mostly Arab, but was divided between Sunnis and Shias. The British put a Sunni ruler, Hussein’s youngest son Prince Zeid, on the throne (who was 17 years old and therefore still a minor). Finally, there was Transjordan, ruled by Hussein’s second oldest son Abdullah. Transjordan would become the focal point of Arab frustrations as a result of British sponsorship for Zionism.
 
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A quick summing up of the action. Now to see if the peace will last and if current allies may turn on another?
 
Interesting to see a Dardanelles campaign that works - I do wonder the long term effects of carving up the Ottomans, who will get Constantinople, and who can hold onto their claims, but at the least, I am glad to see the worst of the Armenian genocide has been prevented.
 
Now that Ukrainian ports are open to shipping, Russians can again easily export their grain and import munitions, rather than rely on Murmansk, Archangels, or Vladivostok. Not to mention a lot of manpower being freed from Caucasus front. Plus British troops, mostly Indian, can be moved to European front.
So Entente got immediate boost, and a lot of long-term staying power.
 
Now that Ukrainian ports are open to shipping, Russians can again easily export their grain and import munitions, rather than rely on Murmansk, Archangels, or Vladivostok. Not to mention a lot of manpower being freed from Caucasus front. Plus British troops, mostly Indian, can be moved to European front.
So Entente got immediate boost, and a lot of long-term staying power.

The British Empire forces could also be used to end the war if Africa in 1916-17 freeing up a lot of material and manpower.
 
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