The Silver Knight, a Lithuania Timeline

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A Reply to Tobruk
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A Reply to Tobruk: East Africa’s Unitarianism

On March 1953, a letter informed General Mohan Kumar that his colleague would be returning to Surat from Massawa immediately. The unfortunate man had been found by a court in Harer to have been engaged in “lewd and illicit acts” with several women and at least one farm animal. The letter further stated that East Africa required no additional military assistance from India. It ended with a declaration that East Africa “would humbly prefer that the esteemed and beloved Comrade Amrit Ahuya station his soldiers— even the well-behaved ones that exist somewhere in his vast army— in places where they are needed.”

The General-Overseer in Harer had expected to face some trouble, but, as General Kumar reported to his higher-ups, “the East Africans are prideful as cats.”

The Popular Union of East Africa had long been the Commonwealth’s oddest duck. The government of Chairman Dawit Gebeyehu, headquartered in the Harar Capital District, presided over a theoretically Unitarian federation of an Ethiopian monarchy and, after 1941, a Somali sultanate with its capital in Hargeisa. The comparatively united and cohesive army that defended this state trained and fought alongside the Siddi Regiment, a force of former slaves from India. Additional members to the Federation were considered— the Nilotic peoples along the White Nile were considered a soft target, and control of their lands promised rewards— but the Peace of Jeanville, signed in 1944, snatched away Addis Ababa, which returned to its prior status as Nouvelle-Lyon. In the years since, India had loomed large. East Africa could not counter its influence by playing anyone off it, because the Union had long since collapsed. Under this stress, East Africa turned to its own strengths, refusing Indian incentives and calling Indian bluffs whenever possible. Its state ideology evolved from “Unitarianism but with monarchs” to a body of thought now known as the Harar School.

“It is possible to view the Germanian government as simply being a republic with a king on top,” Gebeyehu wrote in his 1952 Treatise of Government, “like a flower in a youth’s hair. However, the German König retains still the important duty of embodying the unity of the people and making them governable by the bourgeois-democratic government. Without the people there is no king, but the reverse is also true. The bourgeois-democratic government in Vienna exists alongside this bond of monarch and nation without disrupting it, and this is why Germania defeated France in the Great War. We owe our own titanic successes— an exemplar for all Africa!— against France to the willingness of commoner and monarch alike to set aside any differences and work together toward the great goal of human unity.” Generally, adherents of the Harar School believed in a Unitarianism that could exist alongside traditional authorities, and benefit from their (passive) involvement. Gebeyehu liked to claim that East Africa generally adopted the principle of constraining the monarch’s power in the manner of a bourgeois constitutional monarchy, but “a little differently, for our Constitution is the great path which Weber’s studies opened for humanity. In this land, we bees value our queens.”

The Unitarian Republic of Oceania might have better illustrated the tendency of authoritarian Unitarians to distance themselves from the excesses of the Union, but East Africa also took copious notes on the fall of Kubilay. In a Sengupta-broadcasted speech made after the Yenilemists’ declaration of their own Turkish state, Foreign Minister Ilyas Garuun reported that Harar was “appalled by the failure of the once-promising nation which Akarsu Kubilay, the First Comrade, devoted his life to. I think that we all find it hard to believe that Unitarianism managed to be so unpopular among so many of a country’s people. All of you who listen to my voice, be assured that we East Africans can and will do better.” Practical measures on this front included granting select small towns and villages the right to manage their own resources, and negotiate the price of those resources’ sale to the government. However, small-scale changes did not counteract the general pattern of authoritarian centralization. The authorities at the port of Berbera typically bypassed the nominal Somali sultan in Hargeisa, and reported directly to Harar on most matters of significance. Most of East Africa’s economy remained directly under the purview of the state. Meanwhile, it was often said in Gondar that a bar table with four or five drunk prefectural administrators sleeping on it contained more power than the geriatric Emperor Yaqob’s entire palace.

Privately, Lucknow had serious concerns about East Africa. The revolutions in Aceh and Burma had been carefully controlled from the start, and India’s hands only clenched tighter around Banda Aceh and Mandalay with the arrival of General-Overseers in those capitals. The war with France, however, had left East Africa poor but made it strong. While its navy and air force were still rudimentary nand largely composed of increasingly outdated Turkish surplus equipment, the state commanded the second best army in the Commonwealth— second only to India itself in both quantity and professionalism. Its industry, cut off from French competition during the war for independence and bolstered by the assistance of Indians and exiled Turks after that, had given the state and people a kind of quiet prosperity and productivity that lagged behind Western European standards but easily outcompeted any regional African society except for Egypt. Such an ally, India reasoned, would be useful. It could, with its geographical proximity to France’s remaining centers of power in Africa, serve as a bridge to the West. India also recognized that East Africa had acquired quite a bit of prestige in the eyes of its neighbors-- enough, in fact, to potentially inspire newer revolutions that could be controlled by India from the early stages.

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Fragments of a larger map which, owing to the changes in West Africa, has become outdated. I’ll post the full map eventually.

In the meantime, East Africa spent its spare change on linguistic research. French was still the official federal language and a compulsory subject in the education system, but efforts were taken to ensure that the Ethiopian education system left children with a solid footing in their mother tongue (be it Amharic, Tigray, Oromo, or something else entirely). Drawing on the talents of Ethiopia’s old translator corps and visiting academics from the wider Commonwealth or from non-Unitarian countries, Harar oversaw the construction of a Latin-based alphabet for the Somali alphabet which Hargeisa promptly adopted for the educational and cultural materials it produced for the Sultanate of Somalia. Other products of this period included compilations of existing research on the Nilotic languages spoken in France’s three inland protectorates. The effect of this charm offensive was to capitalize on existing sympathy for the East African cause.

During the East African war for independence, France had grown desperate. Presented with repeated failures by the Africa Corps, the exiled French colonial administrators in Spanish Mombasa ordered the Corps to establish contact with the inland empire of Wadai. This native state, which began modernizing its administration and army on the model of Fatahist Tripolitania to the north over the late 1930s and early 1940s, was the most powerful entity in the great unclaimed zone which covered the Sahara. Gritting their teeth, the French agreed to recognize Wadai’s control over Darfur and establish the border between Wadai and French Africa along the limits of the French zone of influence. In exchange, Wadai sent its mixed-bag army of camel-riders and modern infantrymen to help the French keep order in their empire. This move was certainly successful in deterring the Unitarians from any westward advances, and instrumental to the relatively simple resolution of the war as a whole. However, the people of the White Nile, Rift Valley, and Shilluk Protectorates remembered the terror that Wadai’s riders and the victory-starved Africa Corps had brought upon them. The wantonness, arrogance, and shocking cruelty of the French and their desert allies became a seed of bitterness. The close proximity of Wadai, whose new borders now included a section of the White Nile, watered this seed. The grievances of the Nilotic peoples did not immediately lead to the development of an indigenous nationalism-- this region had never, with the exception of the Shilluk lands, been ruled by any form of governance resembling a state before the arrival of the French. Instead of mobilizing for the sake of a new nation, the small but growing political class of the inland Protectorates looked toward Harar.

The Somalis of French Africa, much like the Nubians, were rather ambivalent about East Africa. The Nubians remembered the professionalism of Egypt’s troops, which had arrived in Jeanville on behalf of their old allies in France, and generally felt that their country could, with Cairo’s help, carve out its own path in the event of wholesale French imperial collapse. The Somalis, whether living in the French colony of Mogadishu or in the inland sultanates and chiefdoms under French influence, had not been ruled by East Africa but by the Union. The brutality of the Turks left deep scars, and unlike their compatriots under East African rule the intelligentsia of Mogadishu had grown to strongly distrust anything that smelled of blue-wing ideology. Protectionism, always a hit with the folk of rural areas and the recent migrants to the cities, gained greater support among urban professionals who owed their lives and livelihoods to the return to French rule.

In Nouvelle-Lyon, memories of the war for independence were strong. The older citizens remembered when the port was busy with ships from all over the Commonwealth. There was work for all who wanted it, and that work was the work of free men, not of colonial subjects. The younger citizens born since 1944 could not remember this heady time, but nonetheless inherited a dim sense that in Addis Ababa, Africans could be Africans again, and not Frenchmen-in-training. Nouvelle-Lyon’s view of the East African federation was not solely fleshed out by legend. Much of Nouvelle-Lyon’s Somali and Amhara population had left for Berbera after the Peace of Jeanville, and maintained ties of family, clan, and— after the normalization of French-East African relations in 1953— business with the population of Nouvelle-Lyon. When faced with demonstrations for the freedom of Nouvelle-Lyon and its possible union with East Africa as a third member of the federation, the French displayed restraint. They were understandably reluctant to mint any martyrs, but did not know how long that resolve would deliver results.

***

If Nijasure was Stalin, Gebeyehu is Tito. Here’s hoping East Africa has a longer lifespan than Yugoslavia.
 
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Chapter 100: Rage of the Heavens
Happy March 11th!

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Part 100: Rage of the Heavens (1956)

The fear of a war beginning in Asia and potentially engulfing the entire world was so massive that some unexpected third parties began to attempt to prevent it - for example, Innocent XII, the Pope of the Roman Catholic Church and the spiritual figurehead of the Italian Confederation. In March of 1956, when tensions between India and China entered a new high, he invited the leaders of the two Asian superpowers, as well as Germania and France, to Rome in order to negotiate a peaceful solution to the Ayutthaya Crisis. The elected Prime Minister of the Italian Confederation at the time, Amerigo Togliatti - also, interestingly enough, the first commoner to be elected to this position, not a duke or prince or noble from one of the many statelets composing the Confederation - was thinking even further. In his eyes, once the crisis is resolved, it would be a good idea to prevent similar tension by forming a "forum of negotiations" between all the nations of the planet, which could also serve as a platform for cooperation on various international events, be it sporting events or disaster relief. However, these plans did not come into fruition, as even though the Chinese proposed very generous terms - a referendum in Bamar-dominated regions and pulling out Chinese troops from Ayutthaya - they were declined. India not only wanted all of that, but also the removal of the current government of Ayutthaya in exchange for one less likely to threaten Indian interests - so, controlled revolution. Xiao Xuegang and his government could not possibly accept this.

Tensions rose not only through failed diplomacy, but also standoffs between Indian and Chinese soldiers in Indochina. By April of 1956, over one and a half million Indian soldiers, 3000 landships (outfitted for mountainous warfare, which as expected with Yunnan, Guangxi and Burma in the way), a staggering 11 000 aeroplanes and the Indian blue-water fleet stationed in Sanjay were ready for military operations. China could match that, in theory, but it would have necessitated a far higher level of economic mobilization, and as such, the general staff of the Shun military were worried that a war with India could result in a loss of Indochina and end in an attrition heavy standstill in Southern China. Initial estimations, considering the best possible outcome for both sides, put the line at which the Unitarian advance could be stopped somewhere close to Guangdong. What was not known was that India had no plans for such a prolonged war, but that is for later.

While both sides were preparing for war and considering their chances, border clashes were taking place in Indochina. Hoping to incite the Chinese into striking first and thus giving them a chance to declare war, Indian soldiers made constant illegal border crossings, opened fire with empty artillery shells (brushed off as "training") and tried to use Aankhein agents to brew trouble behind the enemy lines.

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Chinese soldiers arrive to Ayutthaya as reinforcements in face of the intensifying crisis, April 1956
The public opinion in Lithuania on the eastern crisis was more or less the same as in the rest of the Western world - sure, it's a bad thing that India and China will go to war soon, and it would be a shame if the war reaches here, but at least it's a war somewhere far in Asia rather than here.

The Democrat of Lithuania during the Ayutthaya Crisis was Telesforas Gelažius - a person one might remember as a junior officer of the Lithuanian Army who wrote down and released information about the last few months of Revivalist Lithuania, including Stankevičius's mental breakdown, in his memoirs. Because of the cooperation between Antanas Garšva and the Lithuanian military, all army officers were acquitted of the crimes they could have made during the Russo-Lithuanian War, and thus could continue to serve, but Gelažius decided to distance himself from the military and turned to civilian life, first starting a breadmaking business in Kaunas, then moving to politics, where he eventually ended up as the Democrat. For all intents and purposes, Gelažius was a continuation of the postwar democratic Lithuanian consensus, centered around Garšva's persona, and even though the neurasthenic politician no longer participated in the government directly, he still held a respectable amount of influence over it. Gelažius's primary role in the Ayutthaya Crisis was one - to give assurances to the German government that should war reach the European Defense Commission, Lithuania will not back down and fully commit to the war effort. It was obvious why Germania's Volker Braun would seek such an assurance - although Germania was by far the powerhouse of the Defense Commission, Lithuania was the second strongest military power in the alliance thanks to the fact that unlike the Central European states, it did not have to rebuild its army from scratch.

The rising tensions also saw a resurgence of the Party of Lithuanian Revenge, colloquially called the "Avengers" (Keršytojai) and now led by successful businessman Taunius Storkus. Storkus's political strategy was an abandonment of the movement's neo-Revivalist past in exchange for more run-on-the-mill nationalism and isolationism. With war seeming imminent, the Avengers would become the primary anti-war political force, wishing to see Lithuania abandon the "doomed alliance with Germany" and instead establish normal relations with the Commonwealth.

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Telesforas Gelažius, Democrat of Lithuania (1953-)

Tensions in Southeast Asia would reach a breaking point in May of 1956, as, after a long period of more and more intense standoffs and shootouts, the Indian government, blaming Thai and Chinese soldiers for attacking stationed Indian soldiers and even kidnapping some of them for information, presented the Fourteen Demands to the government of Ayutthaya. These included a demilitarization of the border between the Kingdom and Commonwealth territories, a no-questions-asked return of Bamar majority areas to Burma, and the removal of Prime Minister Kit Kongsangchai of Ayutthaya in exchange for a head of government "more amiable to Indian wishes and peace between the two countries". 48 hours were given to present an answer, and a lack of answer would be interpreted as a declination. Although both the King of Ayutthaya and the legislature of the Kingdom toyed with giving in to preserve the peace (Kongsangchai is even said to have prepared a resignation speech), in the end, recognizing that accepting the demands would result in Indian domination (and possibly because the Thais did not imagine India actually going through with a war against EASA), Ayutthaya declined. This was the last straw. On May 15th, 1956, India began an undeclared invasion of Ayutthaya, initiating the conflict now known as the Great Asian War, or the Second Great War in Urdu and Chinese languages.

Within a matter of hours, the prepared and overwhelmingly greater Indian Army began a three-way invasion of Ayutthaya - from Burma, Cochin and the Malay Peninsula, with over 800 thousand personnel counted among the invading forces. Unitarian aircraft dotted the skies, taking air superiority over the region and supporting the rapidly moving ground forces with close air support and tactical bombardment over the enemy cities. To many citizens of Ayutthaya, waking up to bomb sirens and explosions dotting their neighborhood was the first taste of the conflict. Although the kingdom had begun general mobilization a week prior to the war breaking out, the Royal military was not yet ready for such a large scale conflict - in the first few days, much of the fighting was done by Chinese garrisons, even though their country wasn't even at war yet. Much of the airforce was destroyed in hangars, while the small and underfunded navy was ripped to shred by Indian carrier planes. In this period of chaos, it took the Indians two days to advance across Cambodia and the Malay Peninsula to encroach on the outskirts of Ayutthaya, the capital.

This was when the Chinese legislature gathered to discuss these urgent matters. News were reaching the assembly almost every hour - town after town falling to Unitarian hands, the King of Ayutthaya ordering the evacuation of all people from the capital along the Chao Phraya before the city is encircled, and the establishment of a government-in-exile in China. The absolute majority of the legislature, including all major political parties, voted to support the Thai state and declare war on the Commonwealth - and this act was followed by one of the most memorable events in all of the conflict. To strengthen the morale of the Chinese people in face of what might be the largest war in their history, Empress Chunhua made a televised speech in the legislature, now known as the "Darkest Hour" speech, declaring the current war with India as the Empire's greatest test, one which will require the effort and unity of all of its inhabitants, and requesting said effort and unity from the listeners. To set aside their political and cultural differences and fight against the world consuming behemoth which threatens the very existence of the Middle Kingdom. The speech was the most viewed event in television at the time, with millions of Chinese watching it. And the Chinese certainly needed that unity for what happened only a week later.

Within the week after the Chinese declaration of war against India, followed by the rest of EASA, the war slowed down. All of Ayutthaya was occuped by Indian forces, and the Unitarians advanced into Dai Viet and Laos - however, without the same sudden surge which they had before. Sure, the less favorable terrain in those countries played a part, but it was still a bit confusing for the EASA general staff to see the Indians try to achieve exactly what they should fear the most, a prolonged war. Naval action began to take place in the Nusantara archipelago, too - Nusantaran, Lusang and Chinese fleets faced off against their Indian and Oceanic counterparts, with little immediate results. The one field of war where the Indians were definitely superior, however, was the air - the Indian Air Force was over two times larger than their Chinese counterpart and was composed of technologically superior aircraft. Even with the Shun mobilizing their air forces, the Indians maintained superiority not just over Southeast Asia, but also Southern China. It wasn't completely hard to figure it out, but India's war plan began to turn obvious - they were not planning to have a long war at all.

Instead, they relied on a superweapon.

Bomber raids over China began since the very first day of the war - before the war was even declared, Indian Nehru-51 long-range tactical bombers littered bombs on the ports of Guangdong and the ammunition factories in Kunming, causing widespread panic. With Ayutthaya's fall, they only intensified, though so did the Chinese response - hundreds of anti-aircraft guns were ordered to be produced until the end of the year, while more industrial effort was committed to interceptor production. The May 24 raid over the city of Changsha, a major manufacturing center in Hunan, appeared to be a yet another one of these daily aerial raids.

Instead, however, the entire heart of the city was consumed by a massive mushroom-shaped cloud.

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Morning of May 24 in Changsha
In a single flash, the world advanced into a new era.

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Map will be up soon.
 
Oh dear, the Indians have finally done it. They've unveiled a nuclear bomb. Hopefully, China will recovers and catches up to fight against the Indian Menace!
 
While the conflict is called the Great Asian War, I have a feeling that it won't be contained just in Asia. If previous chapters are anything to go by, there are plenty regimes which are only waiting for an opportunity to strike.
 
While the conflict is called the Great Asian War, I have a feeling that it won't be contained just in Asia. If previous chapters are anything to go by, there are plenty regimes which are only waiting for an opportunity to strike.
Yea, I'd imaging the Volgaks would want to resolve some border disputes with China (IIRC, they haven't been resolved), for starters.
 
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