Failure Must Be An Option
The Need for Flexible Mission Plans
Sep-69
OTR-23
Blue Streak test from Benbecula. Second test of a missile reworked under the fatigue life extension programme. Range: 1,598mi, impact 3,090' from target point.
The crew of Aurora 4 are welcomed back to Earth on the 15th in Paris, with a flyby and parade down the Champs Elysse, followed by an official reception hosted by President Pompidou. The following day in London, their reception is far less formal with an open-top bus parade through the city. Public events in both countries attract huge crowds as both British and French are keen to see (and hoping to meet) "our" first astronauts.
British and American intelligence services detect the failure of a large Soviet rocket at Baikonur. Highly classified US satellite images later show that the launch pad has been heavily damaged. The explosion was so large that it was also detected by another US satellite monitoring the Soviet Union for nuclear tests.
Sep-69 Overseas
Apollo 10/S docks with Spacelab for a two month mission, which is scheduled to include both Earth and Solar observations and several spacewalks. The mission has been altered to allow for the Lab's damaged solar panel and all goes well for the first 16 days. When the crew shut down the fuel cells on their Apollo spacecraft, greater power demands on the Spacelab lead to problems with cooling pumps which show up the next day. Careful control of the Lab minimises the problem until the fourth week of the mission, when one of the pumps jams, tripping protection circuits around the lab, including the other pumps. Several systems start to overheat before the system is switched back in. Two battery chargers appear to have been permanently damaged, leading to a further reduction in available power.
Alarmed by memories of the overheating problems with Apollo 3, three years earlier, and without enough power to operate the science platform continuously, ground controllers and crew agree to end their mission early.
They make a safe splashdown in the Atlantic after 27 days in orbit. NASA describes the mission as a success, noting that much has been learned about living and working aboard mankind’s first space station. A third mission to Spacelab will not now take place. Efforts will now shift to the improved Spacelab-2, scheduled for launch in mid 1970.
Oct-69
The first mission report from Aurora 4 is circulated within the Selene Project. The document highlights the many problems encountered on the mission (not all of which have been made public).
The Pilot's Report contains the crew's concerns:
- The crew were repeatedly overloaded with tasks by the ground. Controllers did not seem to grasp that tasks were taking longer than the time allotted in the flight plan.
- Multiple communications from ground controllers overlapped. On several occasions, two controllers attempted to talk simultaneously leading to confusion over important data.
- "Rest periods" on the flight plan were completely inadequate. Tiredness impaired the crew's ability to concentrate on several occasions, and in the Commander’s opinion this contributed to the errors made during rendezvous and re-entry procedures.
- The PROM computer data entry system should be equipped with an improved cancel/confirm device to help the crew avoid mistakes when entering commands.
The crew suggest that future flight plans should be divided into a series of sub tasks, some of which should be optional to allow the flexibility to cope with delays or other priorities. The pre launch flight plan of Aurora 4 become effectively irrelevant after 40 hours, with crew and ground struggling to coordinate tasks during the final day in orbit.
The flight characteristics of the PROM are described as good and the navigational and instrumentation tests were performed much as planned. Working in the zero gravity environment slowed down simple tasks such as reaching to flip a switch - particularly when the crew where not strapped in to their flight seats.
The rendezvous procedure resulted in heavy fuel use during the final approach to the inert VDL. The crew report that they felt approach speeds were too high and that not enough time was available to evaluate sensor and ground data, resulting in "over correction" - which then had to be corrected back, resulting in poor approach accuracy and high fuel use.
The Mission Controllers' report highlights further problems:
Support teams such as the Vehicle Systems and Medics report that their input into the conduct of the flight seems to have been ignored at several stages. Concerns raised by the Flight Surgeon as to the tiredness and hydration levels of the crew were not properly assessed when making changes to the flight plan.
The electrical and control teams expressed concern about continuing the mission without interruption when generator #2 failed, but again, these concerns do not seem to have figured highly in discussions with the Mission Controller once it was established that the crew was in no immediate danger.
All personnel felt they were under enormous pressure to continue with the flight plan and to complete as much of it as possible. While this pressure to deliver is unlikely to go away, future missions must be managed in a more flexible way. All parties report that time was limited during the flight. A more flexible flight plan might allow issues to be dealt with without compromising the primary mission.
The ground controllers report supports the crews' observation that too many controllers were communicating directly with the crew. At times, overlapping conversations were difficult to understand on the ground, even without the effects of radio static which the crew would have experienced.
Crew and controllers are asked to submit their suggestions for changes to the control procedures for future flights.
Tests on a duplicate PROM spacecraft on the ground show the likely cause of the generator problems on Aurora 4. Part of the confusion on the ground was due to the fact that telemetry showed that Generator No.2 had not actually failed - it was still running, using fuel and its control system was drawing power.
It seems likely that a spike in power consumption, probably related to the simultaneous startup of a cooling pump and the primary battery charger, momentarily tripped the overload circuit breaker on No.2's alternator. The problem seems to be that it did not quite fully trip, leading to several seconds of arcing in the breaker which would have blown an internal "overload link"; a traditional fuse which (unlike the breakers) cannot be reset. Consequently, the generator's engine was protected from any overload and continued to run normally, but with no means of actually delivering any electrical power.
The problem with the No.1 generator at 40:07 was a similar overload, however this time the circuit breaker tripped cleanly, meaning that the crew were able to reset it.
A series of tests on identical generator units are performed under simulated space conditions, with the conclusion that if the generators are overloaded, they will safely stall before overheating in any way that is likely to be dangerous.
The failure report concludes that the "overload link" fuses should be removed from future flights, on the basis that they are not necessary to protect the generators. It also recommends that the circuit breakers be modified for higher currents, but with a more sharply defined cut-off point.
FA-5 Black Anvil flight test from Rainbow Beach.
Short range, high altitude test flight to aid in the tracking of the RVGC and telemetry of RV deployment. The RVGC is tracked over 3,481mi until it re-enters over the Pacific. A number of payloads are known to have been deployed. Details remain Secret.
SERP-5
An improved “Diamant B” launches a fluid dynamics experiment from French Guyana. The spacecraft tests the flow of liquid Hydrogen through two new valve designs when under low gravity, as simulated by two small solid rockets. The mission is sub-orbital and lasts 21 minutes.
Oct-69 Overseas
The White House issues its initial response to the Space Task Group report delivered in July.
The need to tighten the Federal budget effectively precludes any increases in NASA allocations. The NASA budget for 1970 is $3.32Bn. Any new development could only be funded from 1971, and the President calls for a move to a more sustainable long term program to secure US technological leadership in space and reduce the cost of vital space based operations. Early plans for 1971 call for a budget of $3.1Bn for NASA.
The only project offered by the Agency that looks as if it might fit these parameters is the Space Shuttle, which has now completed its "Phase A" planning stage. If the shuttle could deliver cheaper access to space, a Space Laboratory would then appear to be of direct benefit to US science and industry.
The President and his advisors are not keen to continue a "publicity race" with the Soviets and they regard the lunar program as just that. It should not be lightly dismissed, but it might prove hard to defend when compared to projects such as the SST and national nuclear power programs. A new plan, potentially completed under this administration, would be much more palatable particularly if it controls costs and satisfies some of the vital strategic needs of the Air Force and NRO, not just the scientists at NASA.
Oct-69
Despite concerns over the development timescale, the Selene Board approves the decision to proceed with a redesign of the Constellation rocket to include reusable outer boosters. Britain's MoD has agreed that BAC can earmark 6 Black Anvil missiles for modification from 1970 and 71 production. 3 will be strengthened for use as the central "Core" of a Constellation launcher, the others will be fitted with additional systems for recovery and propellant transfer and used as "Wing" boosters.
A test programme will include single flights of both Core and Wing boosters. Two single "Cores" are planned to fly in 1971 to test the modifications. It is hoped to equip each of these flights with an ECPS to allow an early start to the testing of these large upper stages. Three solo tests of the "Wing" boosters will be made in 1971/2 to verify the performance of the recovery and propellant transfer systems. The plan calls for at least two of these to be recovered and flown again in 1972 as part of the first complete Constellation launch vehicle.
The development schedule is regarded as a highly ambitious one, although there is reasonable confidence in the ability to test fly the "Core" stages on time; modifications to these are limited to tank strengthening and the fitting of additional fuel ports.
Engineers testing the second prototype R-1065 engine encounter problems during a series of low throttle tests. At settings below 30%, the combustion becomes increasing unstable with dramatically increased vibration below 28-29% of the nominal setting. Efficiency also starts to drop markedly at this point. When a thrust setting 26% is tested, combustion roughness becomes so severe that further tests are suspended. SNECMA designers are very disappointed that this issue has resurfaced, as a new mixed gas-liquid Oxygen injector had been fitted to the prototype to solve precisely this problem.
The new injector had provided good results during earlier component tests and engineers are puzzled as to why it now appears to be no better than earlier designs.
Explorateur 5 / SSLV-10
Improved Explorateur spacecraft equipped with a new inertial guidance system, digital programmer and telemetry system. A new twin-lens TV camera will offer panoramic and close-up pictures of the surface and a robot arm will be used to test soil dynamics. Both cruise and lander stages have increased battery capacity and the lander carries more fuel to compensate for the additional weight.
The bad luck of the Explorateur programme continues, this time with a launch vehicle failure.
At 123s, the rocket starts to yaw away form the planned flight path. The vehicle is destroyed by the Range Safety Officer at 133s.
Nov-69
Investigations quickly establish the cause of the SSLV-10 failure. It is another fault in the radio-inertial guidance system, which caused the on board guidance to attempt to steer the rocket using data that rapidly became out of date. Both fortunately and unfortunately, this system was being used for the last time on this flight. It is due to be replaced by an all inertial guidance platform on SSLV-11 and subsequent vehicles.
Nov-69 Overseas
The Soviets announce their Zond 7 spacecraft has completed a loop around the Moon and returned to land in southern Russia. High quality film of the lunar farside is recovered and 38 photographs are subsequently published.
Several US firms submit proposals as part of NASA's "Phase B" space shuttle study process. All have been asked to produce a design for a reusable spacecraft capable of putting 15t of cargo into a low Earth orbit, or carrying a crew of up to ten and 5t of cargo to a Space Station.
North American Rockwell (builders of the Apollo spacecraft) propose a manned "flyback booster" with a smaller orbiter mounted on top. Both vehicles would use new, liquid Hydrogen fuelled rocket engines and the flyback booster would also be equipped with jets to allow it to ferry itself back to the launch site.
Grumman, who currently have the very uncertain contract to build NASA’s lunar lander, propose a much more conservative design, based on the Saturn III first stage (built by Boeing) and a new Hydrogen fuelled orbiter. Their proposal is unique in not being fully reusable (the orbiter has an external fuel tank) however, the firm's analysis shows that this “throwaway” tank actually saves money by making the orbiter smaller and easier to maintain.
Lockheed's proposal attracts a lot of attention, not always for the right reasons. They propose using two modified BAC Silver Star boosters to launch an orbiter mounted in between them. The boosters will be recovered (much as BAC is now planning), while the orbiter will use advanced Methane fuelled engines to continue to orbit. Their proposal is by far the cheapest as the boosters already exist, but is instantly seized on as being "too foreign" despite Lockheed's insistence that the entire system would be built in the US - with some parts co-developed or licenced from BAC and Rolls-Royce.
A joint Douglas/Martin design advocates a Shuttle as part of a complete launch system. Two boosters, each with an improved F-1 engine, would be fitted to each side of a throwaway tank, with a reusable orbiter mounted on the back. The boosters will also be used as part of several other launcher designs, capable of launching larger payloads without the use of the shuttle orbiter.
Nov-69
BAC report that the PROM could be modified to handle a crew of three with relatively few changes. The additional crewman would be accommodated in a new flight couch in the centre, set back from the two existing crew positions. Minor changes to the life support and thermal control systems are needed. Changes would add a 40-45kg to the mass of the CM, plus the mass of the crew. The report assumes that 3 man flights would be shorter than the 14 day baseline, so no increase in consumables is allowed for.
102 members of the United Nations, including the USSR, USA, UK and France, agree the “1969 Outer Space Treaty”. The signatories agree that they will not pursue any claim in respect of territory in space or on the surface of any celestial body for a period of 99 years. Spacecraft shall remain the property of the nation(s) that commissioned them. Manned and unmanned operations are permitted and encouraged solely for the purposes of peaceful exploration. All nations shall be obliged to assist any such peaceful space explorers who may land within their borders.
At a lively press conference in London, Selene managers announce that Explorateur 6 will be launched in December. Suggestions that the system is flawed are brushed aside and it is emphasised that the Project is about to fly "the largest and most sophisticated lander yet built" to the Ocean of Storms.
Nov-69 Overseas
Soyuz 6 and 7 dock in Earth orbit, spending 7 days linked together in what the Soviets describe as a "multiple compartment space station".
Dec-69
Pre flight tests on the SSLV-11 launcher at Rainbow Beach expose several faults in the links between the guidance system and the core. The rocket is moved back to its assembly facility while the problem is diagnosed.
Several much needed changes of procedure have been agreed for the Aurora 5 flight.
Aurora will adopt the US practice of using a "Capsule Communicator" whose duty is to act as the sole point of voice relay from the ground to the crew.
The "Mission Controller" and "Flight Controller" roles are revised to remove points of conflict. In future, the Flight Controller will concentrate on the mechanics of the flight, such as engineering issues and navigation. The Mission Controller will be in overall control of the ground crew and have the authority to change the flight plan and direct mission goals as may be appropriate on the longer flights that are being planned.
The original Aurora 5 mission plan has been changed considerably. On a 4 day flight, the crew will repeat much of the Aurora 4 mission at a slower pace. Revised planning and techniques for rendezvous will be tested on day 2. On day 3, a spacewalk is planned in place of the navigation tests conducted by Aurora 4, before further PROM systems tests and ground observation are made on day 4.
If all goes well, an optional one day extension to the flight will include a second spacewalk, subject to the agreement of the crew and Mission Controller. Rest periods are extended to 8 hours, with more time scheduled for meal breaks and contingencies during a nominal 24 hour operational day. Efforts will be made to synchronise the crew's sleep cycle with the flight plan during the days leading up to the flight.
Due to the limited number of launch operations personnel at Rainbow Beach, Selene managers are forced to choose between attempting to fly Aurora 5 or Explorateur 6 before Christmas. The decision is in favour of Aurora 5, as it is not known how long the SSLV-11 issues will take to fix. Aurora 5 on the other hand is almost ready to go, with all the hardware in place and the crew in the final stage of training. A launch attempt is scheduled for the 19th.
Hawker Siddeley confirms that it is proceeding with development of a second series of Hermes TV relay satellites, following agreement from the GPO that they intend to purchase two of these Mk.2 satellites for launch in 1973 and 74. The new version will incorporate lessons learned from the first series and improvements in technology and construction techniques. They will be slightly smaller and lighter, but will feature increased fuel capacity, improved generator designs and the ability to incorporate several different types of transmitter payload to cater to a wider range of customers.
The firm has received reservations from West Germany and Australia for one satellite each. Expressions of interest have come from Canada, Italy and a joint enquiry from Singapore and Malaysia, while discussions with Israel, South Africa, Japan and Iran regarding the sale of satellites are underway.
So far, there has been no success in cracking the potentially lucrative American market.
Dec-69 Overseas
NASA leaders make another attempt to persuade the White House to commit to sending American astronauts to the Moon. Although many in the agency are very supportive of the Space Shuttle, others argue against abandoning the steady progress that has been made towards a lunar landing. Instead of arguing for huge increases in funds to support a lander program, advocates of the lunar program now suggest lunar orbit flights, followed by a lunar orbital space station similar to the improved "Orbital Laboratory" now being built. Landers could then be deployed to the surface, equipped with robotic rovers or sample return systems.
A comprehensive report is put forward showing all the developments necessary to achieve this plan, which includes the requirement for more Saturn III launchers and improved Apollo spacecraft. US astronauts would be sent around the Moon in 1970, into lunar orbit in 1971, retrieve samples from lunar orbit in 1972 and conduct long duration scientific surveys in 1973. A manned landing could be accomplished by 1974 instead of the rover/sampler plan using a small "Lunar Excursion Module" deployed from the orbital station.
The report claims that this could be accomplished at the same budget levels needed to develop the Space Shuttle.
Dec-69
FA-6
Black Anvil flight test from Rainbow Beach.
Known to have been an "all up" test, including 8 active RVs. The impact points were around Christmas Island to permit precise tracking of the final stages of re-entry. A significant number of US assets are believed to have been deployed in support of the tracking of this flight.