What should I call it then, just plain old: the Treaty of Amiens?
edit: sorry if this post sounds harsh, its not meant to be
edit: sorry if this post sounds harsh, its not meant to be
What should I call it then, just plain old: the Treaty of Amiens?
edit: sorry if this post sounds harsh, its not meant to be
Really? When was the OTL second treaty of Amiens?
As to the OP, I think it's only doable if something goes differently on Brest-Litovsk. Some way to involve the Western Entente, maybe, so German concessions of taking less in the east are matched by not-losing in the west... or alternatively, by Brest-Litovsk being seen as a good model for peace in the west so that peace is a real option immediately after a halfway succesful German offensive.
If the German give away Alsace-Lorraine mean that they had lost point, no maybe or but.
Here the trick is to limit at the possible max the German loss.
One condition is Ludendoff not being in charge...otherwise reality will never be accepted by Germany.
Second condition is that both side decide to throw off their allies so to stop the war and cut the loss/gain something. (Italy for the Entente and the Ottoman and later the A-H for the CP)
Third condition is that the peace need to be signed earlier as 18 is too late, even if the Spring Offensive is succesfull they need just to wait the arrive of the americans, the German allies are on the verge of collapse and the German goverment still think that they can get away with basically a slap on their wrist.
.... Yeah, that's not happening. They're not getting back the Marianas or other random islands either. The Japanese aren't going to give back their only conquests and the Germans have no way of forcing them.
It's a internationally agreed treaty so it doesn't matter what the Japanese think about their conquests or not...
Well that's gonna be fun. Japan will demand them as their reward for participating in WW1. If they don't get these lands it was all for nothing and Japan is hindered in its long term strategic goals. They won't just randomly give them back. So who's going to force them to give them up for the sake of their enemy Germany? ...
3) Trieste goes to Italy
So to get it through, you'd need some massive German success coupled with a severe case of 'brains' on their side to go with it (i.e. knowing this is the best they can push for, and delay is worse; but that seems possible given the state of A-H and the Ottomans). This peace secures most of Austria-Hungary as one or more German puppets, after all.