Sorry I left this on hiatus for so long, but I'm picking this up again. There have been some real life concerns.
Chapter XII: Anglo-Russian Split and Renewed Naval Rivalry, 1926-1933.
After the Persian Crisis, German Emperor Wilhelm II wrote a long letter to his Russian cousin Tsar Nicholas II, whom he hadn’t seen or spoken since before the eruption of the Great War in 1914 (the state funeral of Edward VII to be exact). The letter explained that Germany’s interest didn’t conflict with those of Russia at all, while Great Britain’s often did and led to Russia caving and losing face for the sake of their alliance to the obviously unreliable French. After all, what had they ever done to help Russia gain a warm water port on the Bosporus? The French had done nothing to realize that goal in order to avoid offending the British so they could maintain an unnatural Anglo-French-Russian alliance to assist them in their petty anti-German feud, being sore losers over 1871. France fanning the flames of irrational and uncalled for Germanophobia and using deceit to get the support of other great powers had led to the war!
Things were set into motion over lingering tensions dating back years before the crisis in the Persian Crisis: in fact Anglo-Russian had slowly been deteriorating ever since the late 1910s as British tariff walls kept the Empire from importing from the growing Russian economy. Differing economic interests were eventually going to lead to a political breakup regardless of what had happened, it is believed by historians.
Germany by contrast had aspired to peace and had never opposed Russia in the Balkans (he trivialized Germany’s alliance to Austria-Hungary). Meanwhile, Wilhelm said, the expanding British Empire was obviously blocking Russian attempts to gain a place under the sun at every turn. He pointed out that, despite earlier agreements, Britain was obviously against a Russian Bosporus and was opposed to the alternative of a Russian port on the Indian Ocean too. Germany was willing to assist in return for being enabled to realize their dream of Mittelafrika (the concurrent and competing Prussian vision of Mitteleuropa as a pan-Germanist state-centric imperium encompassing large swathes of Central and Eastern Europe was quietly shelved).
Tsar Nicholas II’s response was that Russia and Germany could indeed help each other in achieving their goals and he announced a visit. In January 1926, the Imperial Yacht Standart left port with Tsar Nicholas II, his wife and his children onboard. This ship – with mahogany panelling, crystal chandeliers, stocks of caviar and champagne and a crew of 355 men – was a suitable floating palace for the Russian Imperial Family. With eight 47 mm (1.9 inch) guns, she was well-protected too. The ship arrived in Hamburg and from there the Tsar, his family and their retinue travelled to Bonn in a column of Mercedes Benzes. There they visited the modest country estate that the Tsar had called home during his days as a student and which had since become a Russian consulate. The Tsar met some of his old professors and a handful of acquaintances that he had kept in touch with from his days in the exclusive Corps Borussia Bonn.
Nicholas II and his following arrived in Berlin on January 26th 1926 on the pretence of attending the celebration of Wilhelm II’s 67th birthday the next day, but in reality important discussions concerning a potential Russo-German alliance took place. This was demonstrated by the fact that the Tsar and his family stayed as guests for three weeks at the New Palace in Potsdam, the Kaiser’s favourite residence, and the coming and going of diplomats in between lavish banquets and balls during that time. Needless to say, the French ambassador was on the verge of a nervous breakdown, but there was nothing he could do as he couldn’t match the German offer without jeopardizing good relations with Britain. The Russo-German rapprochement didn’t lead to an alliance just yet, but led to the 1926 Reinsurance Treaty (which is not to be confused with the one that ended in 1887). It stipulated that if Russia either tried to take the Bosporus or tried to realize an Indian Ocean port through force of arms, Germany wouldn’t oppose it. In return, Russia wouldn’t oppose a renewed German naval construction program.
Though officially a secret agreement, the major powers soon became aware of the 1926 Reinsurance Treaty between Germany and Russia and that resulted in a flurry of diplomatic activity. France witnessed the Entente – that it’d established decades ago and that they were trying to maintain even after the war – unravel. France’s allies Russia and Britain were rivals again, a situation France desperately tried to undo. As one historian has described it, French foreign policy of the late twenties consisted of “trying to bring the band back together again.”
Russia had no qualms with France and responded that it was perfectly willing to maintain the original Dual Entente between the two, but at a price France that proved unwilling to pay. What Russia wanted in return proved a breaking point in the Élysée Palace, the residence of the President of France: a Russian precondition for maintaining the Entente was French support for Russia’s plans vis-à-vis the Bosporus despite British opposition (or at least not standing in the way of said plans). The French leadership realized that agreeing to this could potentially amount to winding up in a war against Britain alongside Germany and Russia. At the minimum it meant a break in Anglo-French relations and being manoeuvred into a de facto Russo-German-French alliance, which no-one in Paris wanted. France was perfectly willing to negotiate on Russia’s behalf with Whitehall, but that wasn’t enough to St. Petersburg: Russia formally abrogated its membership of the Entente in 1927 after 33 years. The Anglo-French Entente remained.
Tensions in Europe mounted further over German naval ambitions, which would be a violation of the Treaty of Versailles if Germany ever acted on them. Despite being limited to one third of the tonnage of the Royal Navy in terms of capital ships (defined at Versailles as battleships and battlecruisers), Wilhelm II made it no secret that Germany should still have a battle fleet capable of rivalling the Royal Navy.
After Britain retired its older dreadnoughts, it was left with four King George V-class, four Iron-Duke-class, five Queen Elizabeth-class, five Revenge-class and four Saint-class battleships as well as three Courageous class, four Admiral-class and four Invincible-class battlecruisers by the late 1920s. This amounted to a grand total of 22 dreadnought battleships and eleven battlecruisers (next to this they had one fleet carrier and two light carriers and a modest submarine fleet). The admiralty continued to uphold the two-power standard, which dictated that the Royal Navy should be larger than the next two navies combined.
No navy in the world came close: the world’s second navy, the US Navy, had ten battleships and six battlecruisers thanks to the 1916 Naval Act. A proposed second naval act for an additional twelve battleships and battlecruisers was not passed: Hughes, who defeated Wilson in the 1916 Presidential election, stated “the United States shall not become the world’s most militaristic nation during my presidency and will therefore refrain from an unnecessary ruinous arms race against a country with which we have cordial relations.” During the Hughes Administration (1917-1925) the US continued its isolationist foreign policy and this didn’t really change under his Democratic successor William Gibbs McAdoo (former Secretary of the Treasury, 1913-1917). Hughes eventually did authorize the more limited 1924 Naval Act for four new battleships and six new battlecruisers to outbuild Japan.
The Treaty of Versailles limitations meant Germany would possess no more than 6-7 battleships and 3-4 battlecruisers. In 1917, Germany sold off all its older dreadnought, pre-dreadnought and battlecruisers to second and third rate naval powers such as Argentina, Peru, Spain and Iran (selling them was seen as more profitable than scrapping them, and some remained in service of foreign navies into the mid-50s). The existing battlecruisers were also all sold: Von der Tann (Spain), Moltke-class (Greece) and the Derfflinger-class (the Netherlands).
The High Seas Fleet kept its latest dreadnoughts: four 28.500 tonne 180 metre long Bayern-class battleships with eight 38 cm (15 inch) guns and a top speed of 21 knots. These would receive an overhaul to increase their speed and add anti-aircraft guns. They also completed two of their Anhalt-class super battleships (43.800 tonnes, eight 42 cm/16.5 inch main guns, 26 knots), which were superseded by the British Saint-class in armament (18 inch/45.7 cm guns) though not in speed (23 knots). Three Mackensen-class battlecruisers were completed as designed (31.000 tonnes, eight 35 cm/13.8 inch guns, 28 knots) while the remaining four were completed as aircraft carriers. The planned Yorck class battlecruisers (Yorck, Gneisenau and Scharnhorst) were re-designed, built and commissioned as aircraft carriers too, for a naval air arm totalling seven aircraft carriers. Germany had become the pioneer in naval aviation by the late 20s by necessity because it couldn’t build all-big-gun battleships as long as it abided by the Versailles restrictions. Besides that, Germany had also developed a significant force of U-boats under visionaries such as Rear Admiral Karl Dönitz, who hoped to strangle Britain with this submarine force in a future war.
Germany announced the 1927 and 1928 Naval Laws, emboldened by the 1926 Reinsurance Treaty as it guaranteed Russia wouldn’t back any steps against Germany Britain and France might take. The 1927 Naval Law envisioned doubling the battle line from one battle squadron of six battleships to twelve battleships in two squadrons. Six Kaiser Wilhelm-class ships – 60.000 tonnes each, equipped with four 46 cm (18.1 inch) twin turrets and a 28 knot top speed – were laid down. This new class followed the design philosophy behind the Bayern- and Anhalt-classes, being an enlarged version of them. Six Dohna-class battlecruisers, effectively fast battleships, were laid down too and mostly named after the Great War battlecruisers. Each one was superior to a Great War era battleship: 50.000 tonnes, three triple 42 cm (16.5 inch) gun turrets and a speed of 30 knots. They were innovative in the sense that they were the first German capital ship units with triple turrets. The 1928 Naval Law envisioned the construction of six 72.000 tonne Friedrich der Grosse- class, equipped with nine 48 cm (18.9 inch) guns. Accompanying ships such as heavy cruisers, light cruisers, destroyers, torpedo boats, and U-boats were also built. Of course aircraft carriers were constructed too. These ships were to be completed by 1936.
The 1927 Naval Crisis had begun. The initial Anglo-French response to the 1927 German Naval Law, a clear violation of the Treaty of Versailles, was one of outrage. France conducted a partial mobilization of its army while the Royal Navy took to the seas in force, resulting in another European war scare only two years after the last one. France hoped that Russia, despite its decision to withdraw from the Entente, would live up to its commitments by assisting in enforcing the Treaty of Versailles that it was also a signatory of. The Russian government headed by the liberal-democratic Prime Minister Pavel Milyukov, however, did nothing of the sort. Knowing the British Army was small and that it’d need significant time to build up its strength, the French backed off and effectively forced Britain to do the same. France’s General Staff wasn’t confident in their army’s ability to hold off the Germans until British and Commonwealth/Empire reinforcements arrived in strength without a second front provided by the Russians.