Well Louisiaba did better than I expected. thyfh i wonder if they ended up with too much and will not be able to hold it oce time and events miove Frnce's priorities elesewhere. The USA I expect will defitely claim it wa France that beat them rather than Louisiana and the Comanche.
Speaking of which it will be interesting how New Orleans approaches immigration and First Nation rights post independence.
I still feel the USA will win the war in the North.
GB has plenty of irons in the fire elsewhere, and will likely see New England as having got itself in this and the are not obligated to assist unless the Americans invade New England. From the earlier Brock scene I think Brock's biggest contribution in NA this time will be inspiring his friends in Mishigama that they need to be proactive in preserving their culture and identity going forward, and you;'ll see a split between a nationalist new way movement and traditionalists in Mishigama politics.
I think the Federal collapse will be coming inspite of the New England intervention. Considering the Yankees were not very popular with the federals in the first place them entering as allies may even lead some to give up seeing the cause as already lost. By contrast the USA forces have been getting morale boosting success like retaking their capital and the March to Sandusky; and their loss in the South now motivates them to save the country from further humiliation.
So my prediction is the New England expredition will encounter a major defeat in Pennsylvania which along with other events will lead to the Federal states collapsing. But the USa will be thearted insecuring total victory by two things, slave revolts in the South leading to a demand to bring the troops home; and GB being persuaded to support NE is the creation of a buffer state.
So we get either Republic of New York, or a rump Federal States made perhaps of New York, Rump Pennsylvania and New Jersey.
The peace satisfies no one. The Federals fell far short and resent being reduced to a minor state. New England sees a backlash over a costly intervention which failed to create a powerful ally and new suspcion toard Britain for lack of innvolvement. The USA sees both victories and msjor defeats having reclsi,ed most federal territory and crushed the slave revolts, but losing most of the purchase and failing to fully crush the Northern Rebellion; it becomes a blame game of populist politics and conspiracy theories further eroding democracy in the country.