The Pacific War in a Nazi victory timeline

Let's assume the Nazis are able to seize the Caucasus in 1942, and the Western Allies agree to am armistice shortly after. The Allies have successfully liberated North Africa and have probably occupied places like Sicily and Crete, but an all out invasion of Europe never occurs and Germany stands astride the continent. How then is the course of the Pacific war affected?

I'd imagine the allies would be able to send more forces to the Pacific than OTL, but they will still need to keep a certain amount North Africa, the Middle East and the free areas of Europe to protect then from Germany. Lend lease supplies could be used in the Pacific.

The Japanese will benefit from no Soviet entry into the war, but that will do nothing to prevent blockade and firebombing. They might also get a morale boost from the German victory in Europe.
 
Lend lease supplies could be used in the Pacific.

Fat lot of good that'll be. The US sent the USSR it's excess production and much of what works for a massive ground war doesn't really work out for an island hopping campaign.

They might also get a morale boost from the German victory in Europe.

Well, the flipside to that is that the Germans have just transparently hung them out to dry. I imagine the Japanese would feel pretty betrayed by that.
 
Agreed with ObsessedNuker: LL supplies are mainly for continental warfare and the build-up of naval-air production in the US would easily outrun the conversion of those industries. There's also the problem of sheer distances and logistics in terms of speeding up the Pacific War to any conceivable degree (At least from the naval/American direction).

However, you do likely see more secure feelings in Australia and less ill will towards the British there as their forces are brought back from Africa to defend the island. Chaing might also see more supplies dropped over the Himalayas.
 
The major benefit to the Allies in the Pacific is that all the amphibious lift can be diverted to the Pacific, which speeds up operations there somewhat, not sure exactly how much. Given how things are there isn't enough flexibility in the system to improve much more than that. War probably ends around the same time period

Most of the production used for ground combat really can't be converted before Japan gets stomped, and given that nobody trusts Hitler, it is probably still going to Europe and North Africa as the WAllies build up for the sudden but inevitable betrayal

What you would have is a conversion to a more sustainable armaments program focused on the long term preparing for round two with the Nazis
 

CalBear

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A major factor is exactly what the Treaty between the Reich and WAllies entails and when it comes into effect. Everything would pivot on those two items.

There was, by the late summer of 1942 (which is the earliest a Soviet collapse can be managed, since it the Heer spearhead didn't even reach the Caucasus region until August of 1942), absolutely no reason for the WAllies to accept terms. If the WAllies have driven the Axis out of North Africa, have taken Sicily (which pushes the scenario in late summer of 1943 post Husky) the WAllies are unikely to accept any offer from the Reich or offer any terms the Reich would find acceptable.

THis being the case, more detail is needed before a reasonable discussion can be had.
 
A major factor is exactly what the Treaty between the Reich and WAllies entails and when it comes into effect. Everything would pivot on those two items.

There was, by the late summer of 1942 (which is the earliest a Soviet collapse can be managed, since it the Heer spearhead didn't even reach the Caucasus region until August of 1942), absolutely no reason for the WAllies to accept terms. If the WAllies have driven the Axis out of North Africa, have taken Sicily (which pushes the scenario in late summer of 1943 post Husky) the WAllies are unikely to accept any offer from the Reich or offer any terms the Reich would find acceptable.

THis being the case, more detail is needed before a reasonable discussion can be had.

The OP only says probably, but historically you're right: Post-Husky is in late summer 1943. The peace offer would have to occur sometime in the intervening year, with the redeployment of German forces from the Eastern Front to fortify vulnerable points along the Italian and South Balkan coasts to fend off potential WAllied cross-Med. operations. It's going to be a tight timetable, but there is a small window in Late Spring 1943 where it's possible the Germans can bolster their Italian allies enough to make the required offensive look suicidal.
 
Couldn't some of what was originally LL'd to Uncle Joe wind up in Uncle Chang's hands, specially so if some of the effort originally expended on Germany found it's way to the CBI. Thinking in terms of a well endowed Indian Army pushing the IJA out of Burma to allow the formation of a large(r) Wallie equipped Chinese force to oppose the Japanese AND Chicom armies. Coordinate that with a "Take back the DEI and SEA" plan while subs of all stripes gambol in the enemy backfield...good times...
 
Couldn't some of what was originally LL'd to Uncle Joe wind up in Uncle Chang's hands, specially so if some of the effort originally expended on Germany found it's way to the CBI. Thinking in terms of a well endowed Indian Army pushing the IJA out of Burma to allow the formation of a large(r) Wallie equipped Chinese force to oppose the Japanese AND Chicom armies. Coordinate that with a "Take back the DEI and SEA" plan while subs of all stripes gambol in the enemy backfield...good times...
Not much, the Japanese cut off everything but the Hump going to China, and you hit diminishing returns there real fast. With the Soviets, a Soviet ship could just sail to the west coast, load up and sail back to Vladivostok, plus WAllied ships on the Iranian route and the Arctic convoys

To get a supply route to China, you have to at the very least kick the Japanese out of Northern Burma then build a road from Ledo (railhead in India) to Wandingzhen, or liberate all of Burma so the railway from Rangoon to Lashio and road from Lashi to Wandizhen are open. Can probably be done earlier, but supplies won't be reaching Chiang much faster than OTL until some time in 1944, probably don't get really used until 1945, by which point it is basically irrelevant to defeat of Japan
 
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