The NNPT in a Continuing Cold War?

Delta Force

Banned
The Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty came into force in 1970 following its ratification by the five official nuclear weapons states (the United States, Soviet Union, United Kingdom, France, and the PRC). At that time Israel was already a nuclear weapons state, and India became one with its 1974 nuclear test. By the 1980s the South African, North Korean, and Pakistani nuclear weapons programs were well underway. Many other states were pursuing nuclear weapons as well. South Africa abandoned its program in the early 1990s, and in 1995 conference of the parties meeting for the NNPT it was agreed to indefinitely extend the Treaty. Under the original terms of the NNPT, that was the only meeting at which it could have been indefinitely extended, and even with the end of the Cold War it took significant political maneuvering to ensure the proposal passed.

As we now know, within a decade of the permanent extension India, Pakistan, and the DPRK became nuclear weapons states, with several Middle Eastern states considering the option as well.

Suppose the Cold War had continued into the 1990s or the present day. Would the NNPT have been permanently extended in 1995, perhaps with greater pressure being placed on the nuclear weapons states to ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty? Alternatively, could the NNPT actually suffer an even more severe breakdown, requiring extensions every few years and seeing neutral states acquire their own nuclear weapons?
 
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