When I said 'huge' and 'outrageous' I did not mean ASB.
Perfectly aligned scenarios:
James K. Polk initiation to build a Nicaraguan canal prompts nations around the globe to build themselves one given the economic trade between Asia and Europe.
Prince Felix of Schwarzenberg reforms the Austrian empire in the Revolutions of 1849-51 and expands German Confederation borders to all of Austria gaining the upper hand in being able to create ‘Greater Austria’. A customs union is created between the Austrian Empire and the German Confederation creating the need for massive trade around the globe. The plan is to create a federation of monarchies, by liberating, creating and including the kingdoms of Romania, Bulgaria and Yugoslavia into a federal superstate of Europe whilst his future aims are to include the kingdoms of Poland and Ukraine.
Imperial Qing trade policy was broadly isolationist, with the Qianlong Emperor notably proclaiming that: “Our land is so wealthy and prosperous that we possess all things. Therefore, there is no need to exchange the produce of foreign barbarians for our own.”
Japanese Empire (Meiji restoration)
Drift scenarios of 20-30 years:
Simón Bolívar creates a union of Spanish colonies out of Columbia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia and Peru. (1820s – 1830s)
Dom Pedro I takes over Brazil and invades Portugal keeping the Kingdom of Portugal, Brazil and the Algarves United. (1815–1822) Dom Pedro I then marry Isabella II of Spain creating the second Iberian Union and the United Kingdom of Brazil, Portugal, Spain and Algarves.
The United Kingdom of the Netherlands remains intact. No state encroachment on Belgium traditional privileges or enforcement in using of the Dutch language in the south. Belgium Netherlands is given autonomy within the Kingdom and more power through more provinces given they represent 62% of the entire population. (The more populous Southerners felt significantly under-represented because of numerous northern provinces.)
Completely designed scenarios:
Maratha Confederacy - “According to British economist Angus Maddison from 1858 to 1947, India's share of the world economy collapsed from 24.4% to 4.2% between 1700 and 1950. India experienced deindustrialization. Compared to the Mughal Era, India during the British colonial era had a lower per-capita income, a large decline in the secondary sector, and lower levels of urbanisation.”
Étienne Eustache Bruix is picked as the fleet admiral to take Napoleon to Egypt instead of François-Paul Brueys d'Aigalliers. Bruix anchors the French Fleet properly at Aboukir Bay but Nelson attacks. The defensive line repulses the British and the battle rages for days. (maybe longer than over 3 as it did.) The French counter-attack upon the British retreat to penetrate the defensive line and through an exhausted and damaged British fleet, the French encircle the British and pick them off, winning the Battle of the Nile. As a result, Sidney Smith cannot get to Acre and improve the fortification because of French dominance in the eastern Mediterranean. Napoleon besieges Acre and defeats the Ottomans and signs a treaty create French Egypt and Syria.
Via the Red Sea, the French begin sending French troops and supplies to India in aid to battle the British. In the end, the Martha Confederacy land is not conquered but the state begins to modernize under French influence. The British are driven out of India which gave France the perfect opportunity to create French India; Napoleon, however, became too ambitious back home and was defeated by a coalition of nations. Instead, the Martha confederacy came to dominate the Indian sub-continent after the Napoleonic wars and was able to withstand Western influence through French modernization.
In the Frankfurt proposals of 1814 instead of Napoleon being offered France’s ‘Natural borders’ along the Rhine, Metternich offers Napoleon French Egypt and Syria with a Bonaparte on the French throne. Napoleon accepts.