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Problems with menthal health were quite common in House of Vasa. So what if greatest member of that dynasty "Lion of the North" Gustav Adolf also is affected by these problems, like his uncles-Erik XIV and Magnus? Menthal ilness would develop gradually and over time would be gettting worse, Gustav Adolf would be kind of Erik XIV reborn.
So as parrarel to infamous marriage of his uncle with low born Karin Mansdottir Gustav also marries against interest of his dynasty-he (maybe secretly, "Sigismund Augustus" style) marries his beloved Ebba Brahe, causing country wide scandal. That is his first step to madness, other would follow:
-Obviously his family would oppose his choice, making him more and more suspicious, especially towards family members, being afraid of usurpation attempts (especially taking into account recent family history: how his father Carl and uncle Johan get the throne). Thus his cousin Johan and brother Carl Filip would be certainly under suspicions. He would have, obviously, very bad relations with mother, who would not be happy about Ebba. Also, fearing usurpation by brother-in-law, Gustav would likely oppose any marriage plans for his sister. His growing paranoia would lead him one day to repeat fate of his mad uncle, although one thing would make removing him problematic, especially after deaths of Johan and Carl Filip: fear of Sigismund Vasa returning to the throne. So how would situation develop with King of Sweden being madman busy with making purges of real and imagined enemies, instead of OTL military genius turning Sweden into powerhouse?
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