**
Tokyo, Japan
March of 1978
“Mr. President, how was the trip? I trust that everything was in order”
“It was. Everything is always in order with these people; the only problem was that I had to come at all” responded the President as he sat grudgingly along with Ambassador’s Hodgson as they waited for the third man to come.
“If only the Red Chinks weren’t getting so antsy, I wouldn’t have to come so often, but now every time the Japs get a new Prime Minister they get me on a plane so that I have to shake hands and bow along with the little bastards. How many Prime Ministers have they been through since I took office, James?”
“Four, Mr. President” said the Ambassador as he glanced nervously at the glass of scotch that lied on his desk and that the most powerful man in the world also happened to glance, not without some longing.
“Ever since Mao died, everything has gone to hell. Why the hell did Nixon bother to come if the bastards won’t stay quiet for longer than five minutes? I thought these gooks were supposed to have some honor”
“Indeed, Mr. President” said the ambassador once more, almost whispering, as the door opened. It was the Deputy Secretary of Defense, coming straight from the airport to the Embassy.
“Don, you’ve finally joined us, about time. Good to see ya.”said the President to the new arrival as they exchanged handshakes at the door.
“It’s good to be here, Mr. President. How was the meeting with the Prime Minister?”
“As could be expected: the new guy is short, polite and bows a lot, just like the last one; will probably last a good year before they give him the boot.”
“Good to know” responded the deputy secretary with a little grin before sitting down and reassuming his serious expression.
“So, tell me, Don. How are things in Iran?”
“As well as they could be, Mr. President. The Soviets have not moved beyond Namin or Antara and no movement has been detected at their bases in Central Asia, so it’s probable that we can deescalate the conflict before the spring, which should give the Iranians enough time to deal with the insurgents”
“You said that the Iranians would deal with these rebels through the winter, what the hell is taking them so long?” asked the President to a reticent Rumsfeld.
“There have been complications. Despite our best efforts to provide the Iranians with the necessary help and information, they seem to count with inadequate means to bring this war to a satisfactory conclusion”
“Inadequate means? The bastards have the same weapons as we do! Some of their weapons are even better than the ones we have! What the hell do you suppose would happen if the Kremlin found out that our weapons are useless against theirs?”
“That won’t happen. The situation in Iran is being stabilized, sir. The Iranians have made great strides in their efforts against the insurgents at the Zagros Mountains; no new insurgent activities have been reported amongst the Kurds or the Baluchistanis and our men on the field assure us that it’s only a matter of time before Qom falls” responded Rumsfeld
“Ain’t that so? Well, they’ve been saying that for the past three months and here we are! I don’t want another Vietnam in our hands, Don, and I sure as hell don’t want another Iraq either!”
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President Wayne’s 1978 East Asia Tour was at first interpreted as a means to rebuild America’s presence in the region after the dissolution of SEATO the year before, as the Tour included stops in Japan, South Korea, The Philippines, Australia, New Zealand and Taiwan, all former members or dialogue partners in the case of South Korea, but most modern views see the Tour as a response to Hua Guofeng’s regime in the People’s Republic, which the Wayne Administration saw as a new priority in the region following Hua’s takeover and subsequent purges. This view is supported by the fact that after meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Kiichi Miyazawa [1] and addressing the Japanese Diet with mentions of “protecting our long standing allies and interests in the region”, President Wayne met with Chiang Ching-Kuo, President of the Republic of China, immediately afterwards and repeated the same line, this time with a clear mention of “threats old and new in the region”, A clear message for Beijing. [2]
[Taken from…Looking Back: 20th Century Presidencies in Context]
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“What many saw as a miraculous recovery at the State of the Union Address of 1978 was in hindsight a dangerous sign of how far the Republican Administration was willing to go to maintain the façade of normality and strength that they thought John Wayne should portray. I sometimes think that had they not worked so hard to cover it up, to pretend that everything was OK, that John Wayne might have had a healthier life and lived for many more years that he did”
[Taken from…The making of A President, Testimony of former United States Congressman, Jerry Brown]
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For One-Hundred and Fifty Years this great nation has acted as the natural protector and guarantor of the American continent, with the great cause of Liberty and Humanity always in our minds, our steady hands and hearts always acting on the guiding principle that is the defense of freedom in these lands given to us by God himself, and in those of our neighbors. Throughout our history we have acted as a beacon of democracy and freedom and we have expected our neighbors to the north and to the south to stand with us against the forces of autocracy, of fascism and communism.
Today the United States of America stands as the greatest democracy in the world and we as Americans stand proudly with our neighbors to the North and to the South. We will never waver in our defense of Freedom and Humanity in American soil, from the Arctic to the Strait of Magellan, from the height of the Andes to the Hudson Bay, nor will our resolve be ever weakened by any challenge that may lie ahead.
Let our position be absolutely clear: An attempt by any outside force to gain control or extend a sphere of influence over our allies in the continent will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assault will be repelled by any means necessary, including military force. [3]
[
Excerpts from the State of the Union Address, January 20th of 1978]
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By the spring of 1978, it was becoming clear that the days were counted for the military Junta in Iran. Having stamped out the Republic of Kurdistan and driven its leadership to exile in 1977 and more or less exterminated the guerrillas operating in the Zagros Mountain Range, the Loyalist Faction was still unable to subdue the Islamic City-State of Qom or make any significant achievements against the Communist insurgence in the northern provinces, fueled by Soviet arms, money and volunteers ever since early 1977. Furthermore, the regime was losing popular support and even ground that had been previously sought as secure, such as the cities, as was seen when the People’s Liberation Army of Iran and other similarly minded organizations began to organize Urban guerrillas and terrorist attacks in Teheran and other northern cities.
Unable to divert troops from the infructuous siege of Qom or operations at the Elburz Mountains or Baluchistan, the Junta sought to fight fire with fire and thus the Military and the Intelligence Agency, SAVAK, proceeded to arm the civilian population, creating two loyalist militias in the winter of 1977, with the purpose of using them as auxiliaries to the regular army. One was the White Revolutionary Guard, a group that while nominally formed by loyalists in support of the Shah’s government, was in fact little more than a violent paramilitary organization fueled by anti-communist hysteria and fears of a Soviet Invasion. This urban group, composed mostly of middle class men and university students, was complemented by the creation of the Fatherland Defense Corps, recruited mostly from the conservative rural lower classes and commanded by wealthy landlords who did not wish to see their peasants turn to communism as a result of the civil war chaos.
As could be expected, the situation far from improving took a dive in the winter of 1977 as pro-government paramilitary groups rampaged through the capital and its surroundings and the military government lost all semblance of legitimacy or authority. When the National Salvation Council was finally forced that the Shah, Reza Pahlavi, had been dead for nearly a year, the die was already cast.
[
Taken From...The Crescent and the Red Star: The Middle East and the Cold War]
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ALL FORCES IN THE GULF PROCEED WITH MAJESTIC
[
Communiqué from the USN Naval Communication Area Master Station, Mediterranean, May 2nd of 1978] [4]
Notes
1. He was the Prime Minister for the LDP in the early 1990s IOTL, but due to butterflies, he comes to office over a decade earlier after a few alternate leadership elections in the Liberal Democratic Party;
2. Hua Guofeng has not made any particularly aggressive move yet, this is mostly analyzed through hindsight and paranoia;
3. In a way, President Wayne is reinventing the wheel, as this is a reconstruction of the Monroe Doctrine along with something from the Roosevelt Corollary and the Good Neighbor Policy;
4. You got me, I don’t know who’d issue the order, but I guess that it would have to be given through the Naples Communications base; If you know any better about the workings of the USN in the 1970s, let me know;