The Great Silent One - Moltke the Austrian TL

Prelude
  • Hi everyone. After having some interesting conversation in a WI thread about an Austrian Moltke, I decided to formalize the ideas into a timeline. Given my lack of time to write, this will not be extremely detailed, but I hope you enjoy nonetheless. Feedback and criticism of course welcome. Many thanks to @Ludwig von Stieglitz and @Derek Pullem for their ideas. I will try to update at least twice a week and plan for the TL to go on until the end of the 20th century (if there is interest, of course).

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    Prelude:

    1805
    : Friedrich Philipp Victor von Moltke moves with his family to Graz in the Austrian Empire. The family is left impoverished after the French occupation of the city in 1809. [PoD]
    1812: A young Helmuth von Moltke goes to cadet school in Vienna.
    1818: Moltke becomes a lieutenant in an infantry regiment.
    1822: Moltke enters the Theresianum, which he finishes in 1826
    1827: After leading a cadet school for one year, he is employed on the military survey in Northern Italy.
    1832: Moltke is seconded for service on the general staff at Vienna, to which he was transferred in 1833 on promotion to first lieutenant.
    1838: He is sent as an advisor to the Ottoman empire, taking part in the war against Muhammad Ali. He goes on to publish numerous works that are well received in Vienna.
    1848: He becomes Chief of the Staff of d'Aspres II Corps, while rebellion breaks out in Hungary. The units stationed in Northern Italy go on to defeat the Piedmontese army at Custoza and Novara, and restoring order in Lombardy-Venetia.
    1857: Moltke becomes chief of the General Staff of the Austrian Empire and proposes reforms on the army structure an general modernization, including the adoption of new breech loading Lorenz Rifles.

    1859: Trouble again brews in Northern Italy.
     
    Chapter I - The Italian Question
  • Chapter I - The Italian Question
    (1859)


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    The Battle of Palestro
    Growing Italian nationalism could not be smothered at Custoza and Novara, and Sardinia-Piedmont was still eager to take the leading role in Italy. The war in 1848-1849 (later known as the First Austro-Piedmontese War) however proved to the government in Turin that it could not be achieved without support of another great power. Thus, Sardinia-Piedmont has been positioning themselves towards France for years, to the point of even taking part in the Crimean War against Russia. Napoleon III, ever the adventurer would agree to support Sardinian ambitions against Austria, in exchange for Savoie and Nice. Feeling confident, Sardinian troops start extensive maneuvers on the Lombardian border, with the aim of provoking Austria.

    Moltke, who was has been meticulously preparing for a new confrontation in Italy advises the emperor to take the initiative as he deems the current military situation favorable to Austria. Sardinia-Piedmont's orientation towards France has not gone unnoticed, but Moltke argues that the numbers are still on their side, along with general preparedness of the armed forces. Austria thus declares war on Sardinia-Piedmont, only to be shortly declared war on by France. The Second Austro-Piedmontese War begins.

    Moltke quickly takes the intitiative and advances with a speed that surprises both French and Sardinian generals. Austrian forces mobilize quicker and move to maneuver with such speed that catches the allied forces off guard. Imperial troops score their first victory against the French in a skirmish at Montebello on the 20th of May, staying quick on their heels and advancing north before they could regroup. The allied armies eventually offer battle near the town of Palestro, where the Imperial forces lead by Moltke manage to divide them and defeat them in detail. The Sardianian force practically ceases to exist, while the French lose over half their force as either killed or wounded and are struggling to retreat to the West. "Marengo Avenged!" - as Viennese newspapers would read shortly after the battle.

    The victory not only meant a regaining of Austrian prestige that was tarnished in 1848-49, but brought political changes in the German Confederation, where the Austrian victory over France gave them more leverage as the leading German state. Something that would raise some heads in Berlin.

    Indeed the Confederation would play a major role in Napoleon's decision to continue the war. Fearing involvement from German states, and cautious of having to face them alone, especially after the loss of men and materiel in Italy, he asks for peace. But not before what would be called "il Tradimento" in Trento even a hundred years later as French troops occupy Nice and Savoie as the retreat from Italy.

    The following Peace of Milan, engineered by Johann Bernhard Graf von Rechberg und Rothenlöwen, leaves Lombardy in Austrian hands and allows for the French occupation of Nice and Savoie, which the Piedmontese are powerless to stop. The peace leave Sardinia-Piedmont as a minor state, while France is left with some of their prestige intact as Napoleon manages to gain what he set out for. Moltke however warns that the Italian question will have to be addressed in the future, or there will surely be another conflict in the region.

    The more permanent Italian solution will however only be worked out 8 years later by the so-called Triumvirate of Vienna - Moltke, Count Belcredi and Ferdinand von Beust - in the Conference of Bern.



    Next stop: Schleswig and beyond.
     
    Chapter II - The Second Schleswig War
  • Chapter II - The Second Schleswig War
    (1864)

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    The Battle of Dybbøl

    Ever since the Schleswig War in 1848, there has been a fragile status quo between Denmark and the German Confederation over the territory of Schleswig, which has been governed separately from the rest of Denmark. This situation changed when the king of Denmark, Christian IX signed the so-called November Constitution in 1863, in an attempt to create a joint parliament. This was percieved in Germany as an attempt of annexation of Schleswig-Holstein, and was also a clear violation of the London Protocol.

    Otto von Bismarck, foreign minister of Prussia attempted to gain the initiative by taking the leading role in the Confederation by being on the forefront of defending the German people in Schleswig-Holstein. Thus, Prussia supported Duke Frederick VIII to occupy Holstein with Hessian troops in the name of the Confederation, while Austria was still warming up to the idea of a conflict. Bismarck proved to be a shrewd diplomat and there was now a fear in Vienna of losing control of the situation. As Hessian troops entered Holstein in December 1863, king Christian IX would merge Schleswig to the kingdom of Denmark. The pieces were now in motion, and Austria was still seemingly undecided on the matter.

    Count Beust, on behalf of Saxony along with Archduke Rainer Ferdinand and Johann Bernhard Graf von Rechberg und Rothenlöwen would convince the Kaiser that Austria, as a signatory of the London Protocol will have to act, lest they lose initiative to Prussia within the Confederation. On December 28 a motion was introduced in the federal assembly by Austria and Prussia, calling on the Confederation to occupy Schleswig to ensure that Christian IX abides by the Protocol. As this toned-down proposal implied Christian IX's rights to be respected, it was declined, thus Austria and Prussia would act as independent powers. An agreement was signed between the two powers, that instead of forcing Denmark to abide the Protocol, Austria and Prussia would jointly decide the fate of the Duchy. This was playing into Bismarck's hands, and Austria was now outmaneuvered politically. In the meantime, Austrian and Prussian forces moved into Schleswig, the former being under the command of Moltke.

    Bismarck now issued an ultimatum to Denmark to abolish the November Constitution within 48 hours, which was rejected by Christian IX. War was now inevitable, as a new agreement on March 11 declared the 1852 settlement void. Alarmed by the prospect of losing their influence in the Confederation and Prussian expansion into Schleswig-Holstein, Austria was now ready to use force. England called for a wider European conference in London, but would not come to pass, as the Austrians under Moltke would push the Danish army to the Danevirke after defeating them at the Battle of Kongshøj. The Danes attempted to use the cover of night and the severe weather conditions to retreat to the fortress of Dybbøl, only to be pursued and outmaneuvered by Moltke before they could reach the fortress and take up defensive positions.

    Much like the French at Palestro, the better lead Austrians would go on to defeat the already shaky Danish force and occupy the fortress, while Prussian forces advanced on Fredericia and took the fortress. The defeat outside Dybbøl would mean the collapse of the Danish Army, which was now retreating to the islands, supported by (mostly token) Swedish-Norwegian troops sent by Charles XV, as Jutland was occupied by the German forces. Denmark would go on to capitulate on the 18th of April.

    In the Treaty of Vienna, on the 25 of June, Denmark ceded Schleswig, Holstein and Lauenburg, along with other minor enclaves to the joint administration of Austria and Prussia. The war has proven the effectiveness of Moltke's reforms in maneuvers, mobilization and tactics along with the Austrian Lorenz needleguns. The war would also lead to the formation of the Vienna Triumvirate of Moltke, Count Belcredi and Ferdinand von Beust: the political alliance of three most powerful individuals in the Imperial court, who would have major parts to play in the coming events that would change the face of Europe.

    Note: the main difference here, besides the obviously better Austrian performance is the more decisive Austrian foreign policy against Denmark, mostly being pushed by Beust, which means there is no London Conference as in OTL. Other great powers, notably Russia and Britain aren't very happy with the German intervention(this will be addressed in the next update), so there is no silent consent of the Great Powers for the war, leading Sweden being more confident to send help. The war also obviously ends quicker as the Danes never properly retreat to Dybbol, which they mostly managed OTL due to Moltke being in Berlin. ITTL he is there from the start and stops it in its tracks, instead forcing a pitched battle.
     
    Chapter III - The Beust-Gorchakov Pact
  • Chapter III - The Beust-Gorchakov Pact
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    Friedrich Ferdinand von Beust and Alexander Mikhailovic Gorchakov


    After the conclusion of the Second Schleswig War, an uneasy feeling reigned over Germany and Europe in general. The Triumvirate has gained considerable influence in Vienna, where Austrian policies pursued for the last decades were now in question. It was clear from Bismarck's actions that Prussia did not believe in the future of the Confederation, and evidence pointed towards them aiming to create a federation of their own, gaining the leading role in Northern Germany and leaving Austria, the rightful leader of the German Nation, on the sidelines. It was becoming clear that the Greater German Solution, envisioned by Austria is not viable - at least not in the form envisioned, with a loose confederation of German states and Austrian non-German territories still part of it. Hungary has been a particularly problematic case, ever since the revolution in 1848, they have been governed directly from Vienna, with Franz Josef not being crowned as King of Hungary. The situation was unacceptable to the Hungarians who have, with the leadership of the statesman Ferenc Deák began a passive resistance towards Imperial rule. On top of that, Galicia was barely governed, being mainly a distant place where any Austrian official considered a commission to be an exile. While Veneto was mostly pacified, Lombardy remained a powder keg of revolutionary activity waiting for a fuse to be lit.

    On top of that, the intervention in Schleswig upset the other European Great Powers, as it happened without a consulting them in the proposed London convention. Luckily for Austria, Britain generally considered it a legal action, as it was based on the London Protocol of 1852. France was rather silent as well. Although defeated in a war just five years before the Schleswig crisis, the favorable peace treaty and the Habsburg support for their ongoing Mexican adventure meant that relations were at least cordial. Napoleon III was also somewhat between a rock and a hard place, as him pursuing his ambitions in Mexico alienated Britain. In such a situation, no confrontation with the wider German Confederation could be imagined. Russia, however, was a different case. Austria has enjoyed very good relations with the Czar, staying neutral in the Crimean War and in turn receiving help to defeat the Hungarian revolution in 1849.

    It was clear that in order to pursue a more determined policy in Germany, Austria has to come to an agreement with the Czar, as he was the only one in Europe currently who could act as a stopgap to any Austrian ambitions. Luckily, Prussia could offer little to the Czar, while Austria could give them much. Once it became evident that Austria has to tighten the Confederation in order for it not to fall apart (or even worse: to Prussian hands), they had to placate the Russians. The Triumvirate would be hard at work, just as the ink has dried on the peace with Denmark. Moltke would be updating Austrian was plans with Prussia, something he was sure to be inevitable. Count Belcredi started to formalize numerous proposals for a Hungarian solution, while von Beust met with Alexander Gorchakov, the Russian foreign minister in the city of Krakow in secret.

    In what would later be known as the Beust-Gorchakov Pact, Austria would promise Galicia to the Russian Empire, along with support for any future ambitions in the Balkans and against the Ottoman Empire, in exchange for neutrality in a conflict with Prussia and nonintervention in German affairs. Austria was ready for war politically, and it would now be upon Moltke to be ready militarily as well.
     
    Chapter IV – Bruderkrieg
  • Chapter IV – Bruderkrieg
    (1866)

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    The Battle of Grünberg

    With ever-increasing tension between Prussia and Austria over the administration of Schleswig-Holstein, the Triumvirate has been busy preparing for a possible confrontation in Germany. Moltke in particular has been meticulously preparing for the war, pushing the Triumvirate and the Emperor towards confrontation, as his reforms have been implemented successfully and the mobilization timetables, the general staff, the new conscription laws and the extended railway lines in Bohemia now had Austria at the peak of its ability. He warned however that with Prussia’s faster development due to the Zollverein, they might gain the upper hand, should the war not be fought soon.


    Diplomatically, the Beust-Gorchakov Pact secured the flank the Empire, as the Czar was now satisfied after the lull in relations after the Crimean War. As for Italy, the conscription laws allowed enough troops to be fielded to suppress any rebellion or keep France at bay in the unlikely event of them intervening.


    For Prussia, the situation was also tense. Bismarck has tested Austria in the Schleswig-question, but their heavy-handed reaction was mostly unexpected. Now, the whole Confederation was gravitating towards Vienna, and something had to be done to stop it. It was notably Crown Prince Friedrich Wilhelm, who opposed the idea of war with Austria, saying that the issue of Germany should not be decided by fratricide. While he would later accept the leadership of the Prussian army, his opinion on the war would make him very popular postwar. The Prussian army itself was a well-equipped and capable force, but the Chief of General Staff von Blumenthal, while a capable general, believed more in the unshakable discipline of the Prussian soldier than meticulous planning and logistics.


    Agreeing that the issue of Schleswig-Holstein had to be decided, Vienna brought the issue before the German Diet. Bismarck, fearing that the Vienna-oriented Confederation might turn against him, turned the offer down. Instead, Prussia occupied Holstein, declaring the Confederation to end, although de facto that only meant their withdrawal from it. Austria immediately mobilized, and the Brothers’ War started.


    The campaign that followed is considered Moltke’s magnum opus and a masterclass in organization, planning and execution. Imperial forces quickly moved, utilizing railways and invaded Silesia, catching the Prussians off-guard, who were slowly moving up to strike against Saxony and Bohemia. They instead found themselves to be reacting to Moltke’s swift advance which the Blumenthal scrambled to stop. Determining that the Austrians must be stopped before reaching the Oder and threatening Berlin, the Prussians quickly maneuvered to counter the Imperial army, which was advancing with machine-like precision, sweeping aside any opposition in Silesia. The Prussians, under the command of the Crown Prince, moved from Krossen towards the town of Grünberg, where the deciding battle of the war would be fought and Prussia’s imperial ambitions crushed. Weary from the forced march and generally disoriented, the Prussians fought gallantly, but were ultimately outmanoeuvred and eventually completely enveloped by the Austrians, to be defeated in detail. Grünberg would be the single greatest defeat in Prussian history, as the Crown Prince himself is captured, not willing to flee when he realized the severity of the situation and how his lines were completely unravelling. The Austrian army crossed the Oder on July 10th and was now marching on Berlin, while Blumenthal and the rest of the Prussian army was preparing a defense at Frankfurt-an-der-Oder. It would come to nought however, as the Prussians are again defeated, losing the town, and retreating to Berlin with what little forces they still had.


    Panic quickly ensued across the Prussian allies, as the Austrian Hussars started tearing the railway tracks outside Berlin. The North German cities started to sue for peace as masses gathered in the cities of the Rhineland, demanding an end to the conflict and readmission to the Confederation. The industrialists in Rhineland were particularly interested, as the loss of the Zollverein would have meant a terrible loss of profits. The Prussian administration fell as soldiers refused to fire into the crowds in Koblenz, and the new provisional administration declared secession from Berlin. Berlin itself would fall on the 22nd of July, after short fighting. The city is spared most of the damage, as Ludwig von Benedek refused to bombard the city.


    Bismarck’s gamble was over.
     
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    Chapter V - Garibaldi's Swansong
  • Chapter V - Garibaldi's Swansong

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    The injured Garibaldi being carried after the battle at Salerno

    As Germany erupted into war, so did Italy. The fires of revolution were never quite quenched on the peninsula, and the leader of the infamous Redshirts, Giuseppe Garibaldi was still at large. As the heavy boots of the Imperial army crossed into Silesia, the Appenines were lit up by the fires of revolution. The Redshirts stormed Naples and ousted king Francis, declaring him dethroned, while barricades were erected in Venice, Milan, Trento and even Rome. Garibaldi however underestimated the support for unification in the Kingdom of the Two Sicilies, as instead of quickly taking over the country, the revolutionaries were bogged down fighting the royalists and Neapolitan nationalists. The cities in the North fared little better, as the Austrian armies were well prepared for such an eventuality. With a surprisingly low number of Venetians deserting, the revolutionaries were defeated at Custoza, and the Imperials quickly marched on Milan, restoring order.

    Reeling from the defeats by the Austrians, the revolutionaries were caught by surprise when French forces invaded and occupied Piedmont. Most resistance in the North melted away and the two imperial armies began their long march to the south, France occupying Rome by early August and the Austrians under Archduke Albrecht reaching Naples by September. This would be the first, but not the last joint operation of the two ancient enemies. The remainder of the revolutionaries surrendered at Potenza, which Garibaldi would not live to see, having succumbed to injuries he incurred earlier near Salerno.

    The dream of a united Italy was over, but much work was ahead of the two Emperors.
     
    Chapter VI - Peace and Compromise
  • Chapter VI - Peace and Compromise
    (1866-1867)
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    The Peace of Prague

    As Austrian Dragoons paraded through Berlin, peace settled all over Germany. Prussia's gamble has failed, and the Kaiser in Vienna was now free to dictate his terms, deciding the fate of the Confederation. In the Peace of Prague, Prussia was effectively shut out of the Confederation, relegating it to be a secondary power. The terms were:
    - Prussia cedes Silesia to Austria
    - Prussia acknowledges the split of the Rhineland provinces as follows
    - Westphalia is given to the Catholic Hohenzollern branch under Karl Anton (including Kleves)
    - United Duchies of Jülich and Berg under Wittelsbach Prince Adalbert
    - The Grand Duchy of the Lower Rhine becomes Habsburg under Karl Ludwig
    - The province of Hohenzollern will be governed by Württemberg

    Furthermore, the Zollverein was reestablished, after being left by Prussia, now under Austrian leadership. The Confederation acknowledged Austria as its leader. German nationalism began to gain momentum, but Vienna was still at the crossroads. It was either the Confederation or the empire. A conference was shorty organized in Pressburg, to address the situation in Hungary and the East, to which a Russian delegation was also invited, raising many heads in Paris and especially London.

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    Ferenc Deák the "Wise Man of the Nation"
    Since the defeat in 1849, Hungary has never been properly reintegrated into the Empire, and Franz Josef never actually crowned king of Hungary. In response, the Hungarians began a practice of passive resistance, making the country a nightmare to govern. While many proposed armed resistance, especially Lajos Kossuth from his exile, passive resistance was propagated by the moderates lead by Ferenc Deák, who would later be known as the "Wise Man of the Nation" in the country. In the Conference of Pozsony (Pressburg's Hungarian name), the Habsburgs and the Hungarians agreed to what would later be known as the Austro-Hungarian Compromise, or simply Ausgleich/Kiegyezés, respectively.

    In this, Hungary managed to achieve most of what they have set out to in 1848, and some argued even more. The Compromise entailed:
    - Franz Josef would release his claim to the Hungarian throne, instead giving it to the Palatine ("Hungarian") branch of the Habsburg family
    - Joseph Karl I. would be crowned King of Hungary
    - Hungary nominally becomes an independent kingdom, but will remain in a military alliance with Austria, becomes part of the Zollverein and agrees to align any foreign policy to Vienna
    - Croatia is guaranteed their ancient right of self governance, remaining in personal union under Joseph Karl, governed directly by the Ban of Croatia (this is also known as the Hungaro-Croatian, or "Small" Compromise)

    Russia's presence at the conference might have been surprising to some, but the Beust-Gorchakov Pact ensured their presence at the table. And there was much to discuss. Alexander II was quite strained by the situation in the empire. Known as a great reformer, he was in the progress of reinvigorating the Russian Empire, to stand the test of time. He also firmly believed that the control of Galicia would allow him a stable base and better reach for the Balkans. However, the Polish situation was not in his favor, and his advisers feared that adding more Poles to the empire would create more unrest. Indeed, the Polish Uprising in 1863 quite perplexed the Czar, and he was very anxious to somehow solve the situation. When Russia signed the papers in Pressburg, what would be known as one of Alexander's great achievements was set in motion. In the conference, Russia was granted Austrian Galicia, with the notable exception of the city of Krakow. Russia in turn agreed to a guarantee of both Austrian and Hungarian borders, and got the silent nod for a free hand on the Balkans. The agreement for Austria's borders was also a blow to any Prussian ambition for the reversion of the peace with Russian help. There was however, much still to be done, as Gorchakov traveled to Poland in the summer of 1867.

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    Alexander II

    The Warsaw Conference was to become one of the major achievements of Alexander, and often cited as one of the greatest of his reforms. With the inclusion of Galicia into the empire, he had a bargaining chip. In the conference, later to be know as the Russo-Polish Compromise, the rights guaranteed in the old Constitution of the Kingdom of Poland were to be reinstated, and the country was no longer to be intergrated directly into the Russian Empire. Should the Poles agree to these terms, Western Galicia was to be included into the Congress of Poland. While many in Poland saw this as insulting appeasement, after 4 years of direct military occupation and oppression, there was much popular support for acceptance. There was also the case of the Galician Poles, whom those in support of the Compromise not wanting to "leave to the wolves". In the end, the Compromise was signed on July 30. While resentment to the decision would not go away overnight, it helped in seriously curbing revolutionary fervor in Poland by dividing the Poles on the issue. Poland would also see much development in the coming decades, which further eased tensions.



    As the ink dried on the papers in Pressburg and Alexander was trying to solve Polish issues, Austrian and French troops stared down on each other over the ruined barricades of Italy. Napoleon and his court were in panic. While the Austrian victory was mostly expected, very few thought it would be so decisive. And no-one in Paris thought that something like the Ausgleich might happen. Now France was facing a more united Confederation as ever, something that Napoleon III always tried to avoid confronting in its entirety. While there were talks of pressuring Vienna for concessions in the Rhineland, some even going so far as to suggest the use of military force. However, large part of the army was deployed in occupied Italy, and with black and gold flags flying high everywhere in Germany, the military was not confident that Austria at this point can easily be knocked out. Tensions remained very high, to the point of confrontation between the troops in Italy and in Alsace-Lorraine. The "Wacht am Rhein" would regain in popularity, becoming the de facto national anthem of the new Duchy of the Rhineland. German nationalism soared. Tensions would last well into 1867, but the signing of the Russian compromise convinced the French court that diplomacy should be the best approach, fearing that in case of war, Russia would support the Kaiser.

    The Bern Convention would create the new order in Italy, and in some sense, Europe. France and Austria would agree on the following:
    - Austrian forces evacuate Naples, and King Francis is restored to the throne and France is given the authority to occupy the Sicilies if further revolutionary activities happen.
    - French annexation of Savoy, Nice and Sardinia are recognized by Austria
    - The Papal States come under the joint protection of Austria and France, both guaranteeing their independence
    - Tuscany annexes Parma, Modena and Lucca. While nominally also neutral, Tuscany would in reality be in the Habsburg sphere of influence
    - Venice and Lombardy remain in the empire

    With this, the dream of a united Italy finally ended. Although agitation would last well into the 20th century, the borders would remain the same as Italian nationalism gradually gave its place back to regional patriotism.
     
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    Chapter VII - Kaiserreich
  • Chapter VII - Kaiserreich
    (1867)

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    The Congress of Vienna, also known as the Schönbrunn Congress
    In September, delegations from all over the Confederation gathered in Vienna to discuss the future of Germany. German nationalist fervor, that has been on a steady rise since the Schleswig war has finally reached its boiling point, and in the Great Gallery of the Schönbrunn Palace, Franz Josef declared both the Austrian Empire and the German Confederation defunct, and accepted the title of Emperor of Germany, to the standing ovation of the delegations, as all present sang the Kaiserhymne. The German Empire was born on September 22 1867.

    The congress sent shockwaves throughout Europe, as most great powers did not expect German nationalism to be this strong, mostly believing that the Confederation will keep limping on as a loose alliance. Now, however, they had to face the new balance of power.

    Prussia
    As Austrian and allied forces withdrew from the streets of Berlin, they gave their place to protesters, whose anger was aimed at both Bismarck and the King, who brought the country into the confrontation. The government fell in short order and King William, fearing that the nation might succumb to civil war, or outright fall to a liberal revolution, abdicated the throne. Bismarck was exiled, living the rest of his days in England. King Frederick III, leader of Prussian forces during the war, and outspoken critic of Bismarck's policy of German unification by force took the throne in a rather docile ceremony. Being a liberal, a man of peace and a German nationalist at heart, he was well received, and his coronation eased most of the tensions in the country. Still, the government was still in a very bad place. Having lost their richest provinces along with the industry, and finding themselves outside of the Confederation and the Zollverein, Prussia was little more than a secondary power. As Franz Josef was crowned Emperor in the fall of 1867, crowds took to the streets chanting nationalist slogans, and singing the Kaiserhymne. The government itself was divided on the next course of action, but the king stepped up. In a fiery speech delivered before the Landtag, he proclaimed that the future of the German people must not be put on the line for petty squabbles and that his firm belief is that brother should never shed a brother's blood even again. With that he sought the government's approval for Prussia to petition to join the German Empire. The petition passed shortly, and Berlin erupted in celebration. The Prussian petition was well received in Vienna, where the Emperor met the King in early November. As it was concluded, Prussia officially joined the German Empire on January 1 1868. It was also the date when the official flag of the empire was adopted, which is in use to this day, the horizontal black-gold-black, symbolizing the ties to the Holy Roman Empire, and combining the Habsburg black and gold with Prussian black. While the Confederation's black-red-gold was proposed, Franz Josef objected, as it had ties to various liberal movements, including the ill-fated "German Empire" of 1849. The new flag was to symbolize continuity along with being a well-known symbol of Germany since the middle ages.

    France
    Emperor Napoleon and his court received the news of a united Germany with apathy. The window of opportunity for military intervention was now closed, and all France could do was watch the behemoth spread its wings. Indeed, some French historians argued that the window of opportunity closed on the field of Palestro, and ever since then, France was just flowing with the events. Be that as it may, the Empire still had its dignity, and was looking to spread her influence wherever possible. Half of Italy was after all under French influence and Germany did not seem to want to contest expansion in Africa and the Far East. In fact, some, like Henri La Tour d'Auvergne we on the opinion that the Treaty of Bern allowed France to pursue a more vigorous colonial policy, at the expense of Britain. D'Auvergne was the one who urged regular high level meetings with Germany to ensure that there are as few conflicts of interest as possible, especially in Europe. Over the years, this meant that as long as France did not want to meddle with the status quo in Italy, Germany was mostly supportive of their African expansion (a well-known example of this was the Agadir Agreement much later). France also sought to expand their sphere of influence wherever still possible, most notably Spain, which was slowly coming under French political and economic influence.

    Russia
    The Congress of Vienna came of no surprise to Russia, although the fast pace of German unification did raise some heads in Moscow, and some argued that supporting the creation of such a juggernaut might have been a bad idea. The Czar however was looking elsewhere. After the compromise with the Poles, he considered Russia's western flank to be secure and sought to expand his influence in the Balkans. And that he did, as the rising nationalism on the peninsula was an extremely fertile ground for Russian influence. The powder keg only needed a spark, and the Czar was holding a torch.

    England
    If anything, Britain was divided on the German issue. Some argued that the new German empire would soon challenge Britain's place under the sun. Other dismissed it saying that Germany can never be fully united. What caused more concern was France's seeming lack of interest, and the Conference of Bern was interpreted by many as France securing their German border to better confront Britain. After all, once a Bonaparte, always a Bonaparte. As a response, extensive fortifications were built in the south, partly to deter any invasion attempts, and partly to calm the people. What cause even more concern was Russia's expansion. Being already in almost constant confrontation in Central Asia, some argued that Britain should go to war over the annexation of Galicia. However, Galicia was viewed as a worthless backwater and one could hardly convince the people that an exchange of a few quarter miles of swamplands in the middle of the steppe is worth going to war over. Nevertheless, the number of British agents in the Hindukush swiftly increased, as the Russophobes in London were banging their drums. Confrontation was more of a possibility than ever.

    Scandinavia
    Denmark's constitutional monarchy was rather recent when Schleswig-Holstein was lost to the Germans. Thus, a crisis soon followed, where Christian IX attempted to keep order in the country. Some argue that if not for Swedish king Charles XV's military and political support during the war, Christian might have kept the throne. We will never know, as the image of Swedish and Norwegian soldiers arriving in Danish ports had a profound effect in Denmark and all of Scandinavia, even if their actual support did not mean much - the war was over before they could be deployed in the field. However, the already blossoming Scandinavian movements gained great momentum after the war, and during the bloodless Autumn Revolution, king Christian was forced to abdicate as the army joined the protesters. Shortly after, king Charles XV of Sweden was invited to the throne, and the long diplomatic process of Scandinavian unification started. By spring a common constitution was accepted, and the Scandinavian Federation was born, uniting Sweden, Norway and Denmark into a new state under one king.
     
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    Chapter VIII - Balkans on Fire
  • Chapter VIII - Balkans on Fire
    (1877)

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    Taking the Grivitsa redoubt

    As the new order settled in Central Europe, the Balkans saw an increase in Russian activity. Although many in Petersburg urged war against the Turks as soon as possible, the Czar had to tread lightly, as the British opinion still had to be considered. With their Western flank secure, Russia could spread her influence in the Balkans, namely in Romania, Serbia, Bulgaria and Greece, attempting to create an Eastern Orthodox sphere of influence, while also spreading the idea of Panslavism.

    The Ottoman Empire's grasp on the Balkans has been deteriorating for quite a while, with none of the attempted reforms bringing any real settlement. An uprising in Herczegovina started in 1875 and gained much support from Russia and Hungary, the latter due to the pressure of the Croatians. The Ottomans committed more and more troops, but the uprising nevertheless spread to Bulgaria in the spring of 1876. The local Turkish troops cracked down on the uprising, and with the help of local Muslim irregulars (Bashi-bazouks) massacred at least 30000 people.

    News of the atrocities soon spread to Western newspapers, including the British Daily News, where Januarius MacGahan's article galvanized public opinion against the Disraeli government's pro-Ottoman policy. Unsurprisingly, Russia erupted in patriotic fervor, with both Slavophiles and westernizers voicing their support for a conflict with the Porte. The time was right for Russia to make the move.

    Open war erupted between Serbia, Montenegro and the Ottomans in June 1876, although even with Russian volunteers, the Serbian army couldn't achieve any offensive goals, being forced on the defensive. As the Balkans bled, Czar Alexander II of Russia, Kaiser Franz Josef of Germany and Count Andrássy of Hungary met in the Reichstadt castle in Bohemia to discuss the issue. While Franz Josef agreed to silently support Russian actions and promised nonintervention, Hungary agreed to direct military support of the Serbians, in exchange for border adjustments in Herzegovina, up to and including the city of Mostar, on behalf of the Croatian population of the area, as placating the Croatian side in the Dual Monarchy was essential in keeping other nationalities pacified. The Russians also outlined a direct annexation of Southern Bessarabia and the port of Batum.

    Serbia meanwhile was losing the war and asked for support from the Great Powers. Shortly, an ultimatum was presented to the Ottomans, to give Serbia one month of truce and start peace negotiations. However, as the harsh peace conditions by the Porte were refused, the offensives continued as the truce ended and Serbia was now in dire straits. Russia thus issued another ultimatum to the Turks to stop any offensive moves and sign a truce within 48 hours. This was backed up by a partial mobilization of 20 divisions. The Sultan accepted, and the Constantinople Conference was called where a compromise solution was put forward, giving Bosnia and Herzegovina and Bulgaria autonomy under the joint control of the Great Powers. Instead, the Ottomans adopted a new constitution that declared equal right to the religious minorities within the Empire. The Great Powers rejected, and the Porte announced that they will not abide by the decision of the Conference. With anti-Ottoman sentiment in Europe at its height, Russia finally declared war.

    As the war started, Romania quickly allowed Russian troops to enter the country and declared their independence. While the Russians had the numerical advantage with around 300000 men, the Turkish positions were still considerable, commanding around 200000 men and good fortifications. However, the Turks assumed that the Russians will march along the Black Sea coast and not along the Danube. This left the Danube vulnerable as there the only well garrisoned fortress there was Vidin. The Russians this advanced at a steady pace, the only major setback being the Siege of Pleven.

    As Russian and Romanian forces reduced the fortress and continued their marched on Nikopol, defeating the Ottoman forces lead by Osman Pasha, Serbia entered the war. Having secured monetary compensation from Russia, Serbian forces went on the offensive, aided by the Hungarian army, which pushed deep into Bosnia and quickly surrounded Mostar in Herzegovina. In Greece, much debate surrounded the crisis, with Theodoros Diligiannis' Oecumenical Ministry promoting Greek entry on the Russian side. The fall of Nikopol and Serbian entry, along with Russian pressure were successful in swaying the government, and Greece declared war and their forces marched towards Adrianople. The Russian advance culminated in the Battle of Shipka Pass, where Ottoman forces suffered a major defeat, leaving the way open for Russians to take Sofia and open the way towards Adrianople, while Greek forces took Thessaloniki with heavy losses.

    In the Caucasus, Russian forces advanced quickly, defeating the Turks at Bayezid in April, moving into Ardahan but failing to take Kars due to the arrival of Ottoman reinforcements. The city eventually fell as the Russians also received reinforcements in November. The Czar's forces marched on and took the city of Erzurum by February 1878.

    By January 1878 it was clear in London that if Britain did not step up, the Russians will take Constantinople. Therefore, Britain pressured Russia to accept a truce offered by the Porte, which they did. However, the Russian advance continued and only stopped at San Stefano after the arrival of the Royal Navy. While many in Petersburg were calling for war with Britain, cooler heads prevailed, as Russia was not yet ready to fight such a war. A preliminary treaty was thus signed at San Stefano.

    The following final Treaty of Hannover set the new borders in the Balkans and the Caucasus. While originally envisioning a larger Bulgaria, Russia was forced to concede to a more compromise solution by Britain and France. While Germany supported the Russian plans, they advised some modifications in order to avoid conflict between the Balkan states themselves. The Treaty entailed the following:
    - Bulgaria is split into a Principality of Bulgaria (including the cities of Pirot and Vranje) and Eastern Rumelia, governed separately
    - Serbia gains independence
    - Serbia occupies Bosnia up to and including Pristina with the exception in Herzegovina, which is annexed by Hungary, and will be administered by the Kingdom of Croatia
    - Greece annexes Kastoria, Edessa and Kavala, including the surrounding territories
    - Romania gains independence
    - Montenegro gains independence
    - Russia annexes Southern Bessarabia and in the Caucasus Batum, Ardahan, Kars, Olti and Sarikamish
    - Britain occupies Cyprus
    - France occupies Tunis

    In order to avoid atrocities, the powers involved would also agreed to population exchanges. In the following years, many Turks and Muslims fled the Balkans, mostly being settled in the Levant and Anatolia, sparking a large population crisis in the Empire. While the Great Powers sought to stop any atrocities, there were a great many committed during the expulsion of the Turks, especially in Bosnia and Bulgaria. In order to supplement the now missing population, the Serbian government initiated a program to repatriate the areas with Serbs, often bringing them from Hungary, where they were oppressed by assimilation policies. Similarly, Romania offered generous land grants to Transylvanian Romanians who were willing to settle in the now deserted areas. These policies, while initially unsuccessful due to the general poverty in the Balkans, would gain speed in the early 20th century as these countries continued to develop.
     
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    Chapter IX - The March of Imperialism
  • Chapter IX - The March of Imperialism

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    Although guns fell silent across the Balkans, tensions were not gone. Refugees, some by choice, others by force were moving all across the region while Russophobes were gaining momentum in London. New expeditions were sent to Central Asia, to map the region and estimate the possibility of a Russian invasion. When a Russian mission arrived in Kabul in 1878, the British in turn sent their own mission, which was turned back at the Khyber Pass. Soon after, Britain started the Second Anglo-Afghan War in order to assert British influence in the region. Unlike the first war, this one went without any great setback, as Britain assumed control over Afghan foreign policy, but leaving their internal tribal organizations to lead the country. In the coming years, Britain would also send officers to train the Ottoman military as well as accepting ship commissions, and even drawing up plans for a railway from Baghdad to Constantinople.

    For Russia, the years following the Turkish war were about consolidation and reform. Russian investment flowed into the newly independent Balkan countries as plans for new railroads were laid out to better support them in a possible future war. The key to Russian plans continued to be Bulgaria, which was still nominally under Ottoman control, and divided into the Principality of Bulgaria and Eastern Rumelia. This situation was beneficial to Russia, as they could exert their influence better on a divided Bulgaria, and many feared that unification might make Knyaz Alexander I too powerful. Russia thus tried to expand their influence further in Greece so that when unification finally comes, there will be a stronger counterweight and ensuring Britain that a unified Bulgaria would not have access to the Aegean Sea. After an uprising in Eastern Rumelia, Bulgaria finally united in 1885. The Ottomans, still weakened from the war, could only watch as the unification happened. Not risking another war with Russia, they recognized the new state in the Tophane Agreement. Serbia, while concerned about a new strong neighbor, ultimately did not act, and recognized the unification. They did however sign a number of treaties with Hungary, drifting closer to them politically and easing ethnic tension along the borders.

    After the brief involvement in the war, Hungary continued to enjoy what was called the "Second Reform Age", as benefits of being part of the German Zollverein were made evident. Railways, factories and shipping were greatly expanded during this period, leading to large-scale urbanization and transforming Hungary into a versatile mixed economy of a thriving agricultural sector and a fast-developing light and heavy industry sector. While the army saw limited action during the war in the Balkans, it became evident that reform is needed. A great number of Prussian officers would find employment in the Honved in the following years, creating a coherent and well-disciplined force. While Hungary never was much of a maritime nation, the new situation in the Balkans also lead to the extension of the navy, with the aim of being able to protect the Adriatic and project power into the Mediterranean if needed. This would take much time, but by the 1910s, Hungary would develop a decent naval force, mostly manned by seasoned Croatian sailors.

    In Italy, while tension calmed, they never quite went away, and various nationalist groups would pop up every now and then, leading to violence, but never managing to ignite an all-out rebellion. Such activities were prominent in the North, in the areas under direct German rule, and would largely dissipate only after the heavy-handed crackdown by the Germans following the "Venetian Valentine" in 1915.

    While France was indeed concerned by Russian expansion, the acquisition of Tunis left Napoleon mostly satisfied. Given that French focus was slowly shifting from the North to the Mediterranean and Africa, this addition to the empire was of great strategic value. The situation was very discomforting for Britain, as they were now getting increasingly tied up in the Great Game. Thus, both nations doubled down on expanding in Africa, which was becoming increasingly profitable in not only money but prestige. The gradual expansion also brought them on collision course with smaller colonial powers such as Portugal or the Netherlands, that feared conflict over spheres of influence. The French colonial policy, not only pertaining to Africa, but the Far East as well would be known as "Politique Mondiale", and would be a major source of bad blood between Britain and France well into the 20th century.

    By 1880, the Scandinavian Federation was a stable and fast developing state. Although the unification process was far from rapid, the union of the three kingdoms was successful, creating a new power in the North, which might not be able to stand up to the Great Powers, but was certainly not to be pushed aside. Ironically enough the Federation which was built in the face of German threat found itself to become its main trading partner. In the Malmo Agreement, both sides agreed not to contest the borders and relations began to improve rapidly. Swedish steel, Norwegian wood and Danish cattle would find its way into the Reich, bringing much profit and modernization in the form of machinery and luxury goods. The Scandinavian Welfare System had its foundations in 1880, but continues to bring prosperity to the people of the Federation to this day.

    The German Empire, often simply called "the Reich" in the Anglosphere, had a difficult few years after the unification with Prussia, but by the mid-1880's has consolidated her nightmare of a bureaucratic system, a leftover from the old days. Indeed, nationalist fervor was burning so hot, it was practically glowing and the industry followed with it. With a soaring industry, modern and ever improving army and an expanding navy, it was a behemoth, and Britain was growing concerned. Standing toe-to-toes with Russia and increasingly at odds with France, London did not want to deal with a new threat. Instead, they saw them as a potential balancing force in the middle of the continent, even though Germany was increasingly becoming stronger than both Russia and France. While the Kaiser was not much interested in the navy, he did accept that the Reich will need a large, strong navy to assert her influence around the world, although at this point the only German holding was a single coaling station in Eritrea, established in 1870 and expanded to the surrounding area during the Russo-Turkish War, named German Eritrea. German industrialists saw the area as an opportunity to expand Imperial interests, while nationalists saw it as a legitimacy of Germany's Great Power status. Thus, it was mostly handled as a source of pride and received much funding for infrastructure and other development. The prominent German statesman of the 20th century, Gustav Stresemann would say in 1922: "It matters not if [the colony] is unprofitable, as it is an investment in German prestige." Thus, while the Reichsflotte was never actually aimed to challenge the Royal Navy, the Anglo-German Naval Agreement was signed in 1882 to limit German sea power in exchange for the Heligoland Islands.

    As the Great Powers were increasingly expanding into Africa, it became apparent that expansion has to be regulated, lest it leads to war. In the Frankfurt Conference, the general outlines were set for the Great Powers' expansion into Africa, with the hope of avoiding conflict. German policy in particular favored the French, as it was believed that as long as France is free to expand in Africa, they will not contest German hegemony on the continent and would lead them on a collision course with Britain. And as France has Britain to worry about, they will not want to fight Germany. This, of course was not pronounced on the conference itself, but became more and more evident to Britain in the coming decades, leading to a cooling of relations after the naval agreement.
     
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    Chapter X - Fin de Siècle
  • Chapter X - Fin de Siècle
    (1880s and 1890s)

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    The 1880s and 1890s were often referred to as peaceful years, due to there being no wars between the major European powers. Instead, the last decades were characterized by the extreme growth of German industry, which has by now asserted its place as the major power on the continent. The growth of industry in the Zollverein benefited the German sphere of influence greatly, as both Hungary and Scandinavia saw huge growth in all sectors. And not only that, as arts and sciences also boomed in this era, so much so that it is still one of the most common eras presented in German movies. It was also the era when Moltke died in peace in his estate in Graz. Regarded as a hero all over the Empire, his grand statue stands proudly on the Hauptplatz in Graz, with the humble inscription "the Great Silent One".

    As arts, sciences and industry blossomed in Europe, the Fin de Siècle would not be called peaceful elsewhere. The Great Powers, especially after the 1885 conference have been expanding their influence with force around the world. The French Empire in particular was expanding rapidly in not only Africa, but also Indochina, which even lead to a war with the Qing Empire. While Napoleon III was mostly remembered for his renovations in Paris and around the country, he was anything but a successful military leader, both his Mexican and his Italian adventures ending in failure (even though his expansion of French interests in the Mediterranean were successful). He has also been criticized in allowing the Habsburgs to unite Germany, thereby sidelining France in Europe. His son, Napoleon IV was in turn very successful in promoting French expansion, creating a huge empire in Africa, and Asia, even defeating China in war. His rule was also characterized by expansion of the navy, greatly perplexing Britain, raising tensions and almost culminating in a war over Fashoda in 1898. The French were quite aggressive in pushing their claims in Africa from early on, but tensions abated a bit after the 1885 conference, where France came to an agreement with Germany over the future of the Congo. German colonialists have already started to establish themselves in Cameroon, Namibia and in the African Great Lakes region. These were however mostly private enterprises, hoping to get government support, the only "proper" German colony being German Eritrea. In the conference, Germany agreed to step away from Cameroon and abandon other German incursions in West Africa. In turn, France allowed for the purchase of Djibuti, which would be hard to defend from the British, but was a useful addition to German colonies in the region. To appease Britain and avoid conflict, the German Empire also abandoned Namibia and the Great Lakes region in return for a free hand in Ethiopia. Germany also arbitrated the division of the Congo between Britain and France, blocking the Belgian king's attempt for it to be recognized as his personal estate. Germany annexed Ethiopia in 1894 under the pretext of restoring order during an uprising against Solomonic rule. While the Ethiopian government initially welcomed German assistance, in the end they became a protectorate, although the emperor himself was nominally allowed to rule the region. Ethiopia would go on to become the most developed parts of Africa, due to heavy German investment. The colony itself would also see many European settlers as agricultural practices allowed for more farmland to be claimed. Interestingly enough, a great number of Jews would emigrate to the Tigray region, at the calling of some Jewish intellectuals, who propagated a Jewish homeland in Africa and union with the local Jewish population. The program was supported by the German government as a means to bring settlers and investment to the region.

    For Britain, these decades were quite stressful, so to speak. The rise of France in Africa prompted aggressive expansion by London, while also having to fight the Boers and putting down an uprising in Egypt. The Hannover Conference was hailed as a success in gaining the opportunity to build a railway from the Cape to Cairo, although this meant that the Germans were allowed to set themselves up in Ethiopia and the rest of the Horn of Africa. Another important focus for British policy at the end of the century was the support for the Ottomans. British military staff were training Ottoman forces, British weapons were sold, ships were commissioned and the Constantinople-Baghdad railway was started to be constructed. Fear of French naval expansion and Russian meddling in the East were the most pressing matters, with London trying everything to drive a wedge between the two powers, mostly by trying to warm up to the Germans, the Ethiopia agreement being also part of this. The success is of this is questionable at best, as Germany enjoyed warm relations with Russia and slowly easing into cooperation with France. Luckily for London, the French were also suspicious of Russian intents in the East, especially the Levant, as well as their ties to Germany, so no grand anti-British alliance formed between them.

    However, as France felt they might be cornered on the continent, Emperor Napoleon called for a regular conference to maintain the status quo. Welcomed by both Germany and Russia, the Continental Council would be the greatest French diploatic achievement of the era. The council would be called yearly, involving the three Great Powers (often called League of the Three Emperors, or Dreikaiserbund in Germany) and most European states with the notable exception of Britain and the Ottomans, it would be a mere formality at first, but it laid the foundation of European cooperation to be realized in the 20th century.

    For Russia, the end of the century was about consolidating their new sphere of influence in the Balkans, continuing with the Czar's reforms, industrialization, and expansion in East Asia. The construction of the Transsiberian Railway started in 1891, aiming to connect European Russia with Vladivostok. The potential military and industrial benefits of the finished railway were troubling for not just Britain, but a new rising power in the East, Japan. Czar Alexander II would not see the turn of the century however, as the Great Reformer died in early January 1894 in the Winter Palace. His son, Alexander III succeeded him on the throne, only to die in early November, succumbing to cancer, to be succeeded by Nicholas II. Thus, 1894 would be known as the "Year of the Three Czars" in the Russian Empire. Nicholas was greatly influenced by his old grandfather, and while considered a bit more conservative, he was eager to continue the reforms.

    As the 20th century was drawing near, three crises shook up the calm waters in Europe.

    The first was the Cretan Crisis in 1897, where an uprising occurred against Ottoman rule in Crete, the rebels desiring union with Greece. The Ottomans marched in to crush the revolt, only to be confronted by Greece who pledged support for the rebels. Russia immediately sent a dispatch to the Ottomans, warning them that any aggression against Greece will mean war. In turn, the British demanded that the Greeks stand down. Not yet willing to go to war, Russia eventually offered a compromise, giving Crete autonomy within the Ottoman Empire. War was averted, but the incident would have great ramifications in the decades to come.

    The second one was the Fashoda Incident, pitting France and Britain against each other in Sudan. In an attempt to exclude Britain from the region, a French expedition was sent up the Nile to Fashoda, only to be encountered by a much larger British force. While the incident itself was bloodless and actually civilized, it caused a great uproar in both countries, sparking a diplomatic crisis and further driving a wedge between the two empires.

    The third one was the Cuban Crisis, initially between the United States and Spain in 1898. Spain was undergoing much trouble for a while, with the Carlist Wars and continued uprisings in Cuba and the Philippines. The United States, seeking to expand into the Caribbean supported Cuban independence, with many newspapers agitating against Spain, calling for American intervention. Business interests in the US however were not in favor, and there was only limited support until the mysterious explosion of the USS Maine outside Havana harbor. The incident was met with great uproar in the States and the Democratic Party pushed the president to declare war. President McKinley was hesitant, but succumbed to pressure and sent an ultimatum to Spain to withdraw military forces from the island. They were however met with unexpected opposition from France. Ever since the settlement in Italy, France has been trying to expand their influence in the Mediterranean, and considered Spain to be a key to this. Napoleon thus agreed to support the Spanish government, and sent a note to the US to stand down, meanwhile sending a squadron to Cuba with a detachment of the Foreign Legion. The US was now in a difficult situation. Fighting an ailing Spain was one thing, but fighting a Great Power was completely different. However, if they withdrew, the humiliation would be so great that the president might be forced to resign. Luckily however, France was also preoccupied with the crisis over Fashoda and was not willing to confront both the US and Britain. While many in both Britain and the US agitated for war, McKinley saw this as a peaceful way out of a situation he never wanted to be in in the first place. A compromise was thus reached that was acceptable for both sides. Spain would grant widespread autonomy to the island, and both sides would recall their forces. War was averted, but Spain was now firmly in French hands. Most of the Cuban revolutionaries would agree to sit down and negotiate as French forces arrived on the island, employing the ancient tactic of carrot and stick to force them to accept. Spain would thus manage to keep Cuba to some extent, but would lose the Philippines not long after, as the Republic of the Philippines was declared.
     
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    Chapter XI - Rising Sun
  • Chapter XI - Rising Sun
    (1900s)

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    Siege of the Legations

    The 20th century marched in to the sound of guns. Since 1899, the so-called "Boxer" movement in China has gained much popularity, promoting anti-foreigner and anti-Christian ideas. By 1900, the movement has become so great, that by burning churches and attacking missionaries became rampant. While the Great Powers expected the Chinese court to step up against the militia, Empress Dowager Cixi, in fear of an outright rebellion against her rule, conceded to the rebels and declared war on the foreign powers. An expedition lead by Britain and supported by foreign powers under Vice Admiral Seymour was sent to defend the foreign legations in China, only to find themselves attacked and put under siege. The Great Powers soon dispatched forces to relieve the legations and punish the rebels. This would be known as the Six Nation Alliance, consisting of Great Britain, France, Germany, Russia, the United States and newly emergent Japan.

    The situation was quite a headache for Russia, since the quick rise of Japan in the region has already been a cause of concern. In 1895, Russia intervened to put an end to the Sino-Japanese war, supported by both Germany and France. The Triple Intervention created a de facto Sino-Russian alliance and greatly alienated Japan. Now, with Japan also taking part in the intervention, Russia simply could not afford not to get involved, especially since it was a good opportunity for further gains in China. The necessity of involvement was thus not a question, but great debate surrounded the extent of it. In the end, Russia provided support to the alliance, but allowed for only limited incursions into Manchuria, mostly to punish any aggression, such as the bombardment of the town of Blagoveshchensk. The Russians were indeed in the best position to attack China, and the possibility of a large Russian invasion caused concern in London. Thus, even though London had to commit more forces to the war, they were more confident not having to content with a grand Russian force looming over them. Japan was also forced to commit large forces to suppress the rebels in Manchuria, ultimately invading the whole region and crushing Manchu bannermen and boxers while looting the countryside.

    The rebellion was ultimately defeated, with Beijing occupied. In the countryside, atrocities were common against the population, especially by British and Japanese forces, as both German and Russian troops were given very strict orders to be lenient. Indeed, Russian troops caught looting were summarily executed to keep order. The rebellion officially ended in September 1901 after the signing of the so-called Boxer Protocol. However, Japanese forces remained in Manchuria, which caused great anger in Petersburg.

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    Battle of Mukden

    Tension rose to a boiling point in 1904 when negotiations broke down between Japan and Russia over the future of the region. Russia demanded that Japan abides the protocol and evict Manchuria, and rejected their counterproposal to create a neutral buffer zone in the region. Not willing to back down, Russia declared war in 1904.

    Hoping for a quick victory, Russia invaded Manchuria, and thus started one of the most humiliating episodes of the Russian Empire. The invasion was initially successful, brushing aside Japanese garrisons and taking Harbin, thereby securing the Chinese Eastern railway, the Russians were stopped in the disastrous battle of Mukden, which ultimately lead to the loss of Port Arthur, which they could not relieve in time. As Russian navy forces were sunk in Port Arthur, and the army retreated from Mukden, but not pursued by the Japanese due to heavy losses from the battle. This allowed the remaining Russian forces to reach Harbin. Due to the defeat, no further offensive actions were possible and reinforcements were slow to arrive. It thus depended on the navy to decide the war. The Russian Baltic fleet was on its way to relieve Vladivostok, which was now in danger of being attacked directly. The Japanese Combined Fleet under Admiral Togo confronted the Russians at the Tshushima straits and destroyed it. Russian humiliation was complete and people took to the streets all around Russia. The Czar accepted the offer of negotiating peace by the United States.

    In the Treaty of Portsmouth, the Russian Empire accepted Japanese dominion over Korea, evicted forces from Manchuria, and signed leases for Port Arthur. This was the first instance of a European Great Power being defeated by an Asian nation and the consequences changed the balance of power in the world tremendously. To quell the protests around the Empire, the Czar accepted the formation of the Duma, and releasing the July Manifesto, granting widespread rights to the population. The Czar's power was thus severely limited, although he still had the right to veto, no laws could be passed without the consent of the Duma. This was all formalized in the Constitution of 1905, which also reassured the special rights given to Finland and Poland within the empire. Another interesting sideshow was the exile of Rasputin at the advice of Sergei Witte. Rasputing was sent to Siberia, and was soon found dead in a frozen river. The Tsarevich was sent to a German clinic in Bavaria to be treated for his haemophilia, accompanied by his mother.

    As the new Russian government eased in, it was clear that widespread reform was needed in the army. Russia now had a new enemy in the East to worry about and it was imperative that relations with Germany and France stayed friendly, so steps were taken to improve relations, including more support for the Continental Council. In the East, finishing the Trans-Siberian Railway came to be of utmost importance, as well as improving the defenses around Vladivostok. Coastal artillery and fortresses were built to deter any attack on the port, while also enlarging Russian forces in the Far East.

    Internationally, the Japanese victory meant their rise as a Great Power. The Anglo-Japanese Alliance was renewed in 1905, and Japan was allowed by Britain to intervene in the Philippines, which had been fighting a civil war ever since gaining independence from Spain. For France and Germany, the reforms in Russia meant good business, and cooperation continued in Africa, causing alarm in London every once in a while, such as during the Agadir Agreement, where Germany supported French annexation of Morocco. France was now firmly in control of much of West Africa and the Mediterranean coast and was looking eagerly towards Ottoman Libya, prompting further British support for their military modernization.

    The Treaty of Portsmouth was also a major diplomatic victory for the United States after the blunder in Cuba, and the US government started to promote themselves as the great peacemakers among the Great Powers.
     
    Chapter XII - The Great Drum-roll
  • Chapter XII - The Great
    Drum-roll
    (An overview of the world at the turn of the decade)

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    Emperor Franz Josef in 1910

    The German Empire

    Ruled by Emperor Franz Josef, Germany at the end of the 1900s was a prospering, rich and militarily powerful nation that was slowly wresting the leadership as the cultural center of Europe from France as well. German industry soared, as the major industrial centers of the Ruhr, Rhineland and Bohemia contributed to Germany dominating the world steel market along the USA by 1910, putting Britain to the third place. German corporatist mentality, strong bureaucratic tradition and the reliance on trade associations instead of cut-throat competition helped smaller firms to function alongside large corporations. German machinery, iron, steel and other heavy industry was now dominating the world market with no sign of stopping. Expansion of the railway system and modernization of the agriculture were also prominent, as well as the extreme growth of chemical research, making Germany the chemical center of the world. The German banking sector also rose to prominence post unification, with Vienna slowly rising to be the banking center of Europe. As a result of the economic miracle, the German middle class grew exponentially, although it never gained such political power as in France or the US. Following the unification with Prussia, many welfare programs from Prussia and Saxony were adopted in the Empire as a whole, which included old age pensions, accident insurance, medical care and unemployment insurance, making the German Empire the first modern welfare state. German women's organizations also gained prominence, leading to the formation of the Association of German Women's Organizations. Welfare proved to be successful in reducing the outflow of German immigrants to the US, and was thus also supported by the industry.

    Cultural life in Vienna blossomed and the era was considered the new Golden Age of the city. This contributed to an interesting image of Germany abroad. For some, it was an image of factory chimneys, roaring furnaces and steam-clad locomotives, to some goosestepping soldiers and to increasingly more people, an image of Viennese coffeehouses, operas, concerts and cultural gatherings with an Alpine backdrop. While the German Empire, mostly due to the venerable Kaiser was mostly considered as a pillar of the Old Order, cities like Vienna, Prague, Munich, Cologne and Hannover had quite the bohemian scene of young artists.

    They say that no-one is more fanatical than a convert. This is probably true for the Prussian soldier, who has fought and died on the field of Grünberg and was now providing the backbone of the Reichsarmee. While post-unification many Prussian officers left Germany to find employment elsewhere (mostly Hungary), the Prussian military classes have become ardent supporters of the Empire. And they were needed, as Prussian discipline was essential in creating the unified Reichsarmee of the German Empire, which has by 1910 become the strongest in Europe, and some might say the world. Franz Josef himself saw the new unified army as the base on which newfound German pride and nationalism could be built on, and it was a powerful foundation indeed. The German Reichsflotte was a commendable blue water force, but was always forced to play second fiddle to the army. The Anglo-German Naval Agreement also placed limitations on German dreadnoughts, although it competing in numbers with the Royal Navy wasn't the goal of the German Admiralty. Nevertheless, the navy did much research in developing asymmetric counter to British sea power, most prominent of which was submarine development, of which Germany had by far the largest and most modern force. There were also early proposals for building reliable platforms for seaplanes in order to replace reconnaissance balloons and blimps with faster moving airplanes.

    German Africa also saw much development during the time, with modern irrigation, railroads and prospecting expeditions to try to exploit the natural resources of the Horn of Africa. In parallel, many Germans moved to Africa, partly because of the population boom and partly because the government's generous handouts of land in order to boost the region. German Africa was often called rather useless by many politicians, yet the state considered it as a source of prestige to hold onto it, and invest money in development. Djibuti in particular would become a booming port that hosted many nationalities and was the central setting to many paperback adventure and espionage novels later in the 1930s.



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    The Royal Navy at sea


    Great Britain

    The United Kingdom was the undisputed master of the sea 1910, controlling an empire on which the sun never set. But things were not as easy as just 30 years ago. England had few allies and increasingly more enemies. While Russia's defeat and the alliance with Japan was reassuring, many thought that Britain was chaining itself to a corpse, by supporting the Ottoman Empire. And supporting she did, British officers trained Ottoman armies, Ottoman ships were built in British shipyards and British weapons were shipped at steep prices. In fact, the reports from the foreign office and the officers in the field painted an admirable picture on the progress of the Ottoman military reforms, especially after the Young Turks forced the adoption of a constitution in 1908. Britain also gained firm control of Iran after the 1905 revolution against the Shah, thereby properly surrounding Russia in Eurasia.

    British industry which was at the forefront of the world was now slowly being sidelined by Germany and the US, but the wealth from the colonies and the sheer prestige commanded by Britain was still enough to fill every Briton's heart with pride. Being mostly alienated themselves on the continent in Europe, Britain also looked to establish cordial relations with other powers in order to not become completely isolated. The support for the USA during the Venezuela Crisis in 1908 improved relations with the former colony, while the renewal of the Japanese alliance gave them a strong ally in the East.


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    Jean-Baptiste Marchand leading French colonial forces in Africa

    The French Empire

    The ever-expanding "Liberal Empire" of Europe under Napoleon IV was no longer the major military force on the continent, yet the idea of Gloire never died. Relentlessly pushing ever forward on the Dark Continent, France controlled vast territory in Africa, and French armies were not at all something that could be dismissed easily. Lacking the huge population of her neighbor, France was still a strong, stable and prestigious nation. After his father's "loss of the reins of Europe", Napoleon IV has taken initiative in the Mediterranean, expanded both army and navy and pursued the most shrewd diplomacy since Talleyrand. As a result, the Western Mediterranean was controlled from the City of Lights, either directly or through allies like Spain and Sicily (the formal alliance was ratified in 1908 and was known as the Marseilles League). The French navy was expanded considerably, and like Germany, looked to chepaer asymmetric methods to counter Britain. Unlike the Germans who relied on U-boats, France invested much in smaller torpedo boats which would be useful in the shallow inner seas, while relied on large capital ships in the wider oceans.

    By 1910, there wasn't much to conquer in Africa, and France was looking more and more eagerly towards Ottoman Libya, which was increasingly drifting away from Constantinople. This caused much concern in Britain, as Libya was right next to British Egypt. Thus, the Ottomans moved forces to the region to restore order and discourage any French adventuring. Still, the Foreign Legion was ever so close, while the Sultan ever so far...

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    The Czar with his family

    The Russian Empire

    The defeat by Japan saw monumental changes in Russia, which was called by the Czar in his memoirs as the "conclusion of Grandfather's work". The near-revolution and reforms that followed the defeat set Russia on the course for becoming a truly modern state. But the road was long and enemies were watching Mother Russia's every step. Modernization of the army immediately started, as well as the enormous work of finishing the Trans-Siberian Railway to supply and protect Vladivostok. Because Russia was now surrounded again. Not in Europe perhaps, but Britain forced her to a corner all across the Eurasian continent. "But John Bull might learn that a cornered bear is a dangerous beast" - as an 1910 editorial in the Pravda put it. German and French loans allowed for the building of new railways, purchasing of Krupp guns, and erecting forts around Vladivostok. The navy was partly rebuilt, although it was little more than a coastal force defending the Baltic and Black Seas. Russian society also slowly changed. Industrialization brought around urbanization and a new working class, which the somewhat idealist Nicholas tried to rely on for support by providing better working conditions and subsidies. It was still a long way to go, but the first steps were taken.

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    Satirical comic of the Gilded Age

    The United States of America

    In 1910, the US was in a comfortable place. Unchallenged on the American continent, the ever growing industrial powerhouse could just sit back and enjoy the benefits of the Gilded Age. While the steady flow of immigrants brought some troubles in the form of organized crime and poverty in some areas, it also brought a cheap and reliable workforce which allowed to the US to become an industrious and rich nation. While the blunder of the Cuban Crisis did tarnish US reputation globally, they have since made up for it during the Venezuelan Crisis, an event which eased real and imagined tensions between Britain and the US, although alienating the Germans and French a bit. The US Navy proved to be a strong enough force to dissuade any European intervention in the Americas and enforce the Monroe Doctrine. Isolation worked for the US, and they were happy to stay that way.

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    Nippon Kaigun


    The Japanese Empire

    Following the defeat of Russia and the subsequent annexation of the Philippines, Japan was considered by all to be a Great Power. Militarism was on the rise and both army and navy were strengthened as Japan prepared for further expansion. China was in turmoil, and the opportunity was there to expand Japanese influence. However, the Philippines was in a state of civil war and restoring order took much time, money and manpower. Russian modernization also did not go unnoticed, and Japan prepared for a second round of confrontation.

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    The Beiyang Army in training

    China

    Following the humiliation of the Boxer Rebellion, the days of the Qing were numbered. The slow and steady decay of Qing power was marked by rebellions and formation of various anti-Qing groups. By 1910, the nation was close to falling apart, and the imperial dynasty was finally overthrown during the Xinhai Revolution in 1911. The new republican government was anything but stable however, as warlordism was on the rise, while Japan effectively occupied Manchuria. The new government mostly relied on the Beiyang Army, the only modern force in China to keep power and reached out to European powers in an attempt to modernize. Germany was the first to step in, offering army advisers and modern equipment to boost the new government in an attempt to bring them into their sphere of influence. Unlike other Great Powers, Germany was the most accepted in China, due to them not having any major holdings in Asia.

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    A poster from the unification days

    The Scandinavian Federation

    Scandinavia enjoyed a long period of peace and prosperity at the turn of the century, and by 1910 was a stable and strong regional power. Unfortunately for them, they were nested between giants. Thus the government in the new federal capital in Malmö was orienting towards their greatest trade partner: Germany. With the ultimate goal of joining the Zollverein, Scandinavia strengthened her ties with the large Southern neighbor. Culturally, the Scandinavian movement was soaring, as linguists were attempting to bring the three main languages in the North closer together. The common national anthem was adopted in 1902, which would be Andersen's poem Jeg er en Skandinav, put to music by Otto Lindblad.

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    The Royal Castle in Budapest

    Hungary

    A member of the Zollverein along with Tuscany, Hungary enjoyed extreme development during the turn of the century. Improvements in agriculture and widespread industrialization lead to urbanization and Hungary was slowly becoming a truly modern state. A great boom in population due to improved medicine contributed greatly to the state's Magyarization policies in rural areas in Western Transylvania, Upper Hungary and the southern regions, where modern school systems and sometimes outright harsh treatment sped up assimilation. Hungary also became a heavily militarized state in the era, mostly in fear of the surrounding new nations in the Balkans that had ethnic population inside Hungary. Although a German ally and protected by various treaties by Germany and Russia pertaining to their respective spheres of influence, Hungary armed herself nonetheless. The employment of Prussian officers after German Unification laid the grounds for the modern Honvéd, and the tradition of hiring retired German officers to adviser roles was still very much in fashion in 1910. It was also the era when Budapest grew considerably, becoming a major transportation and cultural center, often called the Pearl of the Danube.
     
    Chapter XIII - The Cretan Crossroad
  • Chapter XIII - The Cretan Crossroad
    (1913-1914)

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    Ottoman troops during the military occupation of Crete

    The second half of 1913 saw Europe slowly drifting towards a new crisis as trouble was brewing in Crete. Since the war the island has been under Ottoman administration, with considerable autonomy... at least on paper. The Ottomans not respecting the autonomy has lead to numerous uprisings before, the last one being in 1897, after which Ottoman administration became more lax on British urging. There simply was too much risk in igniting a new war in the Balkans over such an issue, as Greece supported the rebels each time. Now however, the Young Turks were in charge and the reconstruction and rearmament of the Ottoman army was finished, and the new government was eager to reassert Ottoman power on rebellious provinces. The renewed harsh treatment on the island lead to a slowly escalating unrest that occasionally broke into open fighting starting the summer of 1913. Greece in particular was supporting the rebels both politically and covertly with weapons, something that drew the ire of the Young Turks and lead to increased nationalist agitation all around the Ottoman Empire. Anatolian Greeks were often attacked and harassed.

    Since the war with Russia, the Ottoman Empire has modernized considerably with British help, the army was well-trained, well-armed with British weapons and the infrastructure was improved to match it. Fortresses were built from Albania to Constantinople and new railroads helped the transportation of troops across Anatolia. British officers were mostly satisfied with Ottoman progress, which in 1913 made London think. It was getting clear that there will have to be a confrontation with Russia, the question was sooner or later. After the 1905 reforms, the Russian Empire was modernizing very fast. Railroads, domestic industry, and army reorganization caused much concern. Russian military presence was increased across Eurasia, the Great Game has never been more tense. Troop numbers were increased across Central Asia and in the East, particularly in Vladivostok, which became a fortress of the mightiest proportions. Heavy naval guns of German make defended the fortified harbor and concrete forts were built inland to allow defense in depth. The Russians learned their lesson and were not going to let the Ruler of the East to fall into enemy hands. The city became the symbol of the military reforms, as the fires of the ancient Russian fears of being surrounded were kindled by propaganda. Russian historian Dimitri Obolensky would later call this the "Vladivostok Syndrome". The finishing of the Transsiberian Railway in January 1914 caused great alarm in Britain, as Russia could now supply Vladivostok with ease.

    London was worried that with the current pace of Russian reforms there will be no war: they will simply swallow up everything from Constantinople to Manchuria. On the other hand, many others saw Russia as a giant on clay feet after the Russo-Japanese War. Both these factions oriented Britain to be more pro-war, especially as the frantic Russophobe press agitated the masses daily with sightings of Cossacks on the Indus or Russian ships near the Dardanelles. Still there was one thing to worry about: the Continental Congress. France, Germany and Russia had amiable relations and there were fears of Germany joining them if it came to war. There was less sch concern for France, for two reasons: first of all, France has never been comfortable with the idea of Russia gaining any sort of presence in the Levant. Second of all, it was argued that France would likely not go to war on the Russian side unless Germany was on the same side. There was still considerable skepticism regarding Germany in French military circles and a Russian-allied France would be much isolated from her ally, and outgunned at sea, having to mostly fight the war across the immense continent of Africa.

    These concerns were however put to rest in February 1914 when an Italian Communist assassinated Archduke Franz Ferdinand in Venice on February 14. The even known as the Venetian Valentine sparked a new wave of unrest in Italy and an such an uproar in the rest of Germany that was never seen before. The Evidenzüro, the German secret service was first to take the blame for not knowing about the assassination attempt. The bureau would be reorganized shortly after the incident, while the Kaiser signed the order for the Italian provinces to come under military administration. Early March, the Reichsarmee occupied key government buildings, railway hubs, roads and bridges all across Veneto and Lombardy. Under newly appointed Reichskomissar Archduke Friedrich, the Evidenzbüro were given a free hand, arresting real and suspected revolutionaries, both Communist and Nationalist. The occupation polarized the Italian movements greatly, as nationalists and communists distrusted each other greatly. No one was safe, agents were everywhere and any armed resistance was crushed with extreme force by the army.

    The German occupation and subsequent French crackdown on their own domestic Communist movements proved to be great breathing room for the Ottomans, who ordered the military occupation of Crete in April. After this, events started to spiral out of control. The appearance of the Ottoman army sparked outright rebellion, and Greece demanded that the Ottomans abide by the Treaty of Hannover, recalling troops. The Ottoman government responded by moving more troops to Europe and appealed to Britain saying that they are only restoring order to a rebellious province. Britain stood by her ally, and told Greece to stand down and cease the support for the rebels. For Russia, the crisis came at a bad time and immeadiately started to disperse troops along the immense length of the Eurasian borders with Britain and her allies, while sending a diplomatic note saying that they will not tolerate any breach of the treaty. In response, a British expeditionary force was sent to Anatolia, in order to dissuade any Russian action against the Ottomans. However, as fresh Ottoman troops arrived in Thrace, Greece ordered partial mobilization of her forces, which was soon answered by an Ottoman mobilization. Russia sent an ultimatum for the Porte to stand down, which was promptly ignored. Russia thus declared war on the Ottomans on the 10th of July, 1914. Britain soon followed suit, as did the Greeks. Serbia and Bulgaria followed on the 15th and Romania on the 17th. Japan delared support for Britain and declared war on the Russian Empire on the 20th of July, and Persia on the 28th.

    The stage was set for the Eurasian War.
     
    Chapter XIV - The Eurasian War
  • Chapter XIV - The Eurasian War
    (1914)

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    Bulgarian counterattack at Burgas
    At the beginning of the war, Britain had a clear and simple plan: pushing forward on all fronts across the length of Eurasia. Russia generally being thought to be a giant on clay feet, the general staff believed that they will break before they bend, and a general offensive along such a massive front will quickly push them over the edge, logistics-wise. Only the Balkans were a critical are where Russia could concentrate enough force to be a serious threat. Thus, the bulk of the British expeditionary force was deployed into Thrace to support a quick Ottoman advance against the Balkan nations. The plan called for a three-pronged offensive against Bulgaria and Greece. One long the coast to Varna, one along the Maritsa river to Plovdiv and Sofia, and one against Greece towards Salonika. Were these three objectives reached, it was believed that Bulgaria would be out of the war and Greece forced on the defensive. The success of this also depended on the effectiveness of the extensive British-built fortifications in Albania and Vardar Macedonia. If Bulgaria could be knocked out before Serbia takes Albania and links up with Greece, the Balkans can be braced for a Russian counterattack... provided Russia doesn't crumble under the strain in Asia.

    In Asia, three main theaters were designated. One in the Caucasus, which would be defended by British and Ottoman troops, one in Central Asia, where Britain would attack through Afghanistan and Persia with the aim of taking Russian Central Asia and cut their railroad links to the Far East. The last theater would see a Japanese advance on Vladivostok from Korea along with a secondary attack through Manchuria on the Amur river to cut the Transsiberian Railroad to the city.

    Thus, at the outbreak of the war, the Ottomans, already mobilized in Europe, wasted no time to attack. The Ottoman First and Second Armies under Esat Pasha crossed the Bulgarian border on the 25th of July and scored a series of crushing defeats against the Bulgarians, taking Burgas by the end of August, advancing further on Varna, as Bulgarian troops were reeling to consolidate their lines. However, the secondary Ottoman attack along the Maritsa, supported by the BEF under John French has taken Plovdiv and now had its eyes on Sofia. Thus, the Bulgarian army, which has lost most of its best forces and equipment around Burgas, was now forced on the defensive, sending frantic appeals for her allies for help, and Romanian troops soon started arriving to Varna to prepare for the defense of the city.

    Greece fared little better, as they were facing the bulk of the BEF Second Army and the Ottoman Third Army. Although unlike the Bulgarians, the Hellenic Army managed to retreat from the initial advance more or less intact as a fighting force, eventually stopping at Salonika, where their numbers were shored up with reservists. Although the Greek force was smaller compared to the Bulgarian, they were defending a narrower front. Yet, they still faced the possibility of a British naval invasion, thus had to leave significant forces to defend the Peloponnese.

    The Serbian (and Montenegrin) army in the meantime attempted to advance into Albania and the Vardar valley, cutting the Ottoman European territories in half. However, the offensive ended in nothing short of a disaster, as the Serbian forces, ill equipped in modern artillery were met with stiff resistance in Albania and Macedonia. Prepared lines of forts and trenches in difficult mountainous terrain stopped the offensive in its tracks, to which the Serbian general staff answered with throwing more men against them, leading to staggering losses. Serbia was soon asking for Greek assistance from the south, but in the face of the British-Ottoman attack on Salonika, Greece could spare little more than troops for border raids, and remained on the defensive in the West.

    In Asia, British troops entered Afghanistan in an attempt to mount an offensive from there to Russia, while Persian troops crossed the border in Central Asia. The Caucasian front was in the meantime fortified with British colonial forces from India and Africa in preparation for a Russian attack. Subterfuge played a great role on this theatre, as both Russian and British agents crossed the border in an attempt to stir up unrest among the locals. Most famous of these was probably Colonel T. E. Lawrence, commonly known as Lawrence of Transoxiana.

    The war seemingly progressed well in Europe and Central Asia, due to the slow reaction from Russia. Although British agents reported that the Russian mobilization and troop deployment was faster than expected, they had to contend with such a wide front, that there was no meaningful presence of Russian troops in Europe or the Caucasus until well into Autumn 1914. The Russians also made the mistake of believing that their Balkan allies would be able to take on the Turks in Europe, taking everything West of Thrace by the end of the year at best, or holding their prewar borders until the winter at worst, while Russia can deploy troops along Eurasia. This proved to be an almost fatal mistake, as by the end of September Bulgaria was only barely holding on, Greece buckling and Serbia failing to achieve any objectives. Romania was of little help as well, as their troops were mostly used up for the defense of Bulgaria, while many were kept in reserve in case Bulgaria falls and Bucharest has to be defended.

    The first main setback however came from East Asia. The Japanese took some time to ship forces to Korea, and only launched their offensive towards Vladivostok by the end of August, which ended in an unprecedented failure. Vladivostok was a fortress unmatched anywhere in Asia and possibly the world, defended by concrete forts, modern artillery, machine guns, trenches and prepared razor wire. Hundreds of thousand of Japanese troops would die in the offensive in the first major Allied defeat of the war. Along with the bloody frontal offensive, the Japanese army attempted to swing around the city through Manchuria and cross the Amur, cutting the railway lifeline to the city in half. The vast distances in Manchuria however proved to be a challenging obstacle as Japanese cavalry met Russian Cossacks in the field. Expecting swift success, the Japanese were instead forced to an orderly retreat by the superior Russian cavalry and the extensive use of armored trains, which proved to be extremely useful or the Russian war effort.

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    The Battle of Vladivostok

    Cossacks proved their worth not only in the Far East, but in Central Asia as well, as the theater soon devolved into extensive maneuvering across the wide plains with Allied forces failing to achieve any meaningful success. "Transoxiana swallows up divisions by the dozen, and the only gain is grass and wind." - Lord Kitchener would write in one of his letters.

    By October, the first large Russian formation finally arrived in the field, and reinforced the Bulgarian and Romanian troops, stopping the Ottoman offensive at the Battle of Varna. The battle was pivotal for the whole Balkan front, as this was the first major Ottoman defeat, and securing a stable line at Varna allowed for more Russian forces to be distributed in the field. Their arrival was welcome, as Serbia faced a large-scale uprising in Bosnia at the start of November, and Russian forces were plugging the gap in their lines in preparation for a push into Macedonia. The front also soon devolved into trench warfare around Sofia, as Russian artillery arrived. This meant a that the Ottoman army and the BEF failed to achieve two of three operational objectives, although the fall of Salonika and the retreat of the Greek army in October to the Voras mountains was at least a little consolidation.

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    The BEF at Sofia

    The British General Staff was in panic, as now Russia could move as many troops to the Balkans as they wished. Sir Charles Douglas reported to the Prime Minister that unless a major offensive is mounted to take Varna and cut the Russians from the Balkans, the whole front was in danger. The Parliament quickly voted for more troops to be deployed in the Balkans and also authorized Sir Winston Churchill to go forward with his plan of an amphibious landing in Greece. Japan also planned for a renewed offensive through Manchuria to finally surround Vladivostok, moving troops and supplies to the region, despite official protests from China, which nominally still owned the region.
     
    Chapter XV - No Man's Land
  • Chapter XV - No Man's Land
    (1915)

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    The green fields of Thrace

    As the year ended, Russia was busy to make use of the lull in the fighting to shore up her allies in the Balkans. Although Stavka was urging for an immediate counteroffensive in the Balkans, the reality was that Bulgaria, Serbia and Romania all needed to recuperate from their losses and thus the offensive was pushed back. In the meantime, the steady arrival of Russian soldiers and war material strengthened the lines with even more barbed wire and trenches. Greece however was left out in the open, as the initial Serbian offensives failed to link up with them in Macedonia. The fall of Salonika was also a terrible blow, but at least the Hellenic army could retreat from the city in order, choosing not to defend it in the face of overwhelming British forces and naval bombardment by the Royal Navy. The new Greek lines in the Voras mountains would be tougher to fight through.

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    The Royal Navy in the Baltic

    The Royal Navy was in a bad place at the end of the year, as the senior service could contribute very little to the war effort aside from occupying Greek islands and blockading the Dardanelles. The Admiralty thus pushed for every opportunity to contribute and not have their ships sitting at the docks, the first and largest of which almost ending in disaster. In early Autumn, elements of the Grand Fleet sailed to the Baltic to carry out raids along the coast and possibly seek open engagement with the Russian Baltic Fleet. The raid was operationally successful with the fleet shelling various harbors in the Baltic, but not forcing the Neva Barrage protecting Saint Petersburg with naval mines and shore batteries. The Baltic Fleet never left to seek engagement with the British, but Russian submarines were sent out to harass the enemy and take out any potential targets. While limited in capability, the Russian submarine Pantera managed to sink the British destroyer HMS Vittoria with a single torpedo. Being highly alert and on the edge, the British sunk the Scandinavian coastal defense ship Thule two days later, mistaking it for a Russian minelayer in the dense fog. The Thule Incident caused quite an uproar in the Scandinavian government, especially since the ship was claimed to have been in Scandinavian territorial waters. While Britain accepted the blame for the mistake, they refused to acknowledge the location and claimed it happened in international waters. The crisis deepened when Russia secretly approached the Scandinavian government to join the war on their side in exchange for the Aland Island. The British secret however got wind of this and His Majesty's government sent a heavy worded letter to Scandinavia to cease any communication with Russia on the matter. As British papers were clamoring for war, Germany stepped in as mediator, as the crisis ended with Britain paying for the lost ship along with compensation for the sailors' families, while the issue of the location was dropped. While quickly forgotten in both England and Russia due to other events, the Thule Incident left a deep mark on Scandinavia, as it exposed them as being vulnerable between Great Powers. The incident proved to be the catalyst for Scandinavia joining the Zollverein a year later and the signing of the Hamburg Pact, a formal military alliance between the German Empire and the Scandinavian Federation.

    As the new year arrived, Britain prepared for new offensives. The first goal was to knock Greece out of the war by a landing in the Peloponnesian Peninsula, the second was to finally take Varna. In Asia, a joint offensive with the Ottomans and Persians was prepared to take Baku, supported by British Indian troops. The last one was a renewed Japanese attempt at Vladivostok, supported by an ANZAC contingent.

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    Landing at Volos

    The Peloponnesian Campaing started on the 15th of January with a landing operation by mostly Canadian troops, supported by naval artillery from the Royal Navy. British high command expected a quick victory, only to find the Greeks well prepared for the assault. Having held back reserves and considerable material for such an eventuality, the British landing force soon found itself pinned down by artillery and machine gun fire, and having to assault well-prepared trench lines uphill. The situation devolved to another dreaded stalemate, but with the British now having their backs to the sea.

    The attack on Varna saw a different kind of action, with the first use of gas in warfare. Targeting the weaker Bulgarian and Romanian-manned positions, the use of chlorine gas proved to be extremely successful. The British rapidly advenced and took the city of Shumen, attempting to encircle Varna from the West. However, as Bulgarian-Romanian forces melted away, the line was soon strengthened by the arrival of Russian forces. Having only limited supplies of gas shells, the attack was stopped by the immense weight of Russian manpower before the British and Ottoman troops could reach Dobrich. It now became evident that the Russians were finally here in force, as seemingly endless numbers of divisions plugged any gap before they could be exploited, often through terrible losses. By the end of February it was evident that Allied momentum was lost and further attacks to encircle Varna were abandoned for the time being.

    The Caspian Campaign in the meantime promised more success. The Indian colonial forces were relocated and any further incursions into Central Asia from Afghanistan were ceased. Although originally planning to assemble a Caspian flotilla to support the campaign, the idea was soon abandoned as Russia transferred new ships and submarines to the Caspian Sea by railroad. The campaign however proved to be a hard-won success, the hilly terrain of the region allowing the determined Russian defenders to inflict heavy losses to the allies, especially the unseasoned Persian troops. Baku fell by latte February after gruesome assaults by the Indian and Sikh divisions. The victory was applauded in Britain, many expecting the collapse of Russian oil production. However, it soon became evident that Baku oil production while fast-growing, was not making much contribution in the grand scheme. Still a morale boost was much welcome on the home front.

    The renewed Japanese attacks on Vladivostok were a series of bloody frontal assaults, trench warfare and large cavalry movements in Northern Manchuria. Even though bolstered by ANZAC troops, Vladivostok stood defiant, throwing back attack after attack. British officers reported extremely determined, yet extremely foolish Japanese frontal assaults with little to no regard to the loss of human life. The Japanese army also formally took control of all Manchurian infrastructure, and pressed the local population into the army to provide for the ever-depleting workforce. This prompted much objection from Beijing, which was mostly ignored by Tokyo.

    By the start of Spring 1915, Varna and Vladivostok were still in Russian hands, while Baku was lost and the fate of Greece was up in the air, as a British breakout in the Peloponnese could signal catastrophe. However, Stavka was now ready for a counterattack, and Aleksei Brusilov presented his proposal for the operation.
     
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    Chapter XVI - Ruler of the East
  • Chapter XVI - Ruler of the East
    (1915)

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    British-Ottoman forces expected the Russian counterattack to try and relieve Varna by dislodging the forces entrenched in Shumen and making an attempt to push the allies back to Burgas. Brusilov however had something different in mind. In his plan, the main push would come from Sofia, towards Plovdiv. If the city is successfully taken, Russian forces can either turn against the Varna front, or attempt to liberate Salonika, thereby linking up with Greece. Considering the danger the fall of Varna posed to the Russian front, the possibility of an offensive from Sofia was dismissed by British high command, expecting only secondary or diversionary attacks from that area.

    The attack, known as either the Russian Spring Offensive or more commonly the Brusilov Offensive began in the middle of March, with the main thrust being towards Plovdiv. The offensive began with a massive, yet brief and very accurate artillery barrage, which lead to the British believing it was merely a diversion. The attack did not allow for the BEF and Ottomans to bring up reserves and properly evacuate forward trenches. The first sections were quickly overrun, with Brusilov masterfully focusing the attacks on the weakest points in the line. The front quickly collapsed as Russian forces achieved a complete breakthrough. Plovdiv fell five days later, the Czar's forces taking more than 200,000 prisoners. Sir John French himself could barely escape as the city fell and immediately reported that the whole front was now in jeopardy. Catastrophe loomed.

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    Russian troops at the outset of the Spring Offensive

    Panic ensued in the British high command, as there were hardly enough forces to plug the giant gap in the front where four entire Russian armies were now marching through. Sir John French vehemently argued that Salonika has to be abandoned as well as the Volos front in order to contain the Russians. However, both the British and Ottoman chiefs of staff were on the position that the Russians will try to turn north to encircle the Varna front, which has to be recalled. This hesitation would prove to be disastrous, as the Russian attack indeed soon turned south, with only meager Ottoman forces standing in their way, they could force their way through the otherwise difficult terrain of the Rhodope mountains, taking Smolyan and Sandanski, endangering the right flank of the BEF holding Salonika. After much deliberation, the decision was made to evacuate the city and withdraw to the defense of Thrace. The evacuation of the city was carried out both on land through the city of Xanthi and by the Royal Navy in the frame of Operation Dynamo.

    Despite the best efforts though Xanthi soon fell under Russian guns as Brusilov's forces attempted to cut off the allies from Salonika. The city eventually fell by April 10th, and the encirclement of Salonika was complete, with Greece launching a renewed offensive on the city from the West, while the Russians took Kavala. The Serbians also launched a renewed offensive into Vardar Macedonia, this time finally successful, with the remaining Ottoman troops withdrawing into fortified Albania. Due to the titanic effort of the RN, most of the men in Salonika were evacuated, but the wounded and much of the war material had to be left behind. Greek and Russian forces ceremoniously met on what would become Aristotelous Square after the postwar rebuilding of the city and held a large Orthodox mass.

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    The Russian mass in Salonika

    The fall of Salonika also was followed up by the abandoning of the Volos operation, with the remains of the Canadian forces evacuated by the RN under sporadic Greek artillery fire, before the Russians could transfer heavier equipment to the area. The Varna front was now also in grave danger, especially since the tremendous losses greatly demoralized the Ottoman troops. While the British newspapers tried to present the loss of Salonika as a mere setback, and a last ditch effort by the Czar, the reality was that the British-Ottoman forces either retreat to the defense of Thrace before the Russians consolidate, or face the danger of being cut off from Constantinople. The comber order was given on the 5th of May and the allies commenced the retreat to more defensible lines consisting of Burgas, Yambol, Edirne and ending in Alexandroupolis, commonly known as the Alexander Line.

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    The retreat to the Alexander Line

    Brusilov, now being in an advantageous position to strike at Constantinople, took his time to consolidate the gains, repair railroads and align his plans with his Balkan allies. Meanwhile, Petersburg was in teeming with activity, as the Czar's government now had to tread carefully. While knocking down Britain a bit was not much objected by any other Great Powers, it has been the cornerstone of French policy in the Orient to not let Russia become too strong. While old treaties did guarantee that Germany allows Russia a free hand in the Balkans, Constantinople was a whole different matter. It was also clear that despite the losses, Britain has enough resources to keep the war going in Asia, but with French and German support, they could be forced to the table. Thus, during a series of secret meetings, it was decided that Germany will support Russia diplomatically as long as they do not directly annex Constantinople, which was an also acceptable term for France, but along with that Russia would not formalize any claims in the Middle-East and North Africa. The collection of these agreements were later called the Petersburg Protocols.

    Meanwhile, Russian armies in the Balkans swelled as a new offensive was prepared for the summer to finally take every Czar's dream: Constantinople. As a follow-up to the British-Ottoman retreat, Dimitrovgrad and all surrounding areas were taken with minimal losses. In the scorching heat of early July, the second phase of the Brusilov Offensive began, now supplemented by Greek, Serbian, Romanian and Bulgarian forces. The attack's main focus was Edirne, where the first Russian gas attacks were carried out, along with a massive but yet again brief artillery barrage. Secondary attacks were carried out towards Burgas and Alexandroupolis. The allied line held, and the the Battle of Thrace saw the most terrible slaughter ever witnessed, with continued mass offensives, infiltration attacks, extensive use of gas, high explosive shells and a great number of airplanes. The relatively short front was advantageous for the British-Ottoman forces, who managed to inflict gruesome casualties. The battle raged from early July to the end of August, when the last fortress in Edirne finally fell and the road was open.

    The disaster prompted heated arguments in the allied command, with most of the British officers arguing that the city should be abandoned as it could not be defended. The Ottoman officers were however adamant to defending it to the last man... and probably reducing it to rubble in the process. The Porte argued that the loss of the city could lead to a serious demoralization of all Ottoman forces, while the British said that if the Ottoman army is left to die there, there would be no forces left to fight on. The final push was a polite note from France, Germany and their allies that both sides are to avoid the destruction of a city of such historical significance. Thus, the British using the threat of a continental intervention convinced the Ottomans to declare Constantinople an open city. On September 7, all British and Ottoman forces were evacuated to Anatolia. On the 12th of September, the first Greek column marched into the city, followed by a Russian guards infantry division.

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    Greek forces entering Constantinople

    While both Britain and the Ottoman Empire planned to continue the war, they first had to contend with the enormous shockwaves made by the fall of the City of Constantine. While in Russia the reaction was obviously ecstatic, as well as all cities around the Balkans, British anti-war newspapers now started to question if the hundreds of thousands of British boys that now lay dead in the dust of the Balkans were worth it. On the other hand, Russophobic voices urged the nation to now fight more than ever, before the Russians take over the world. Indeed, new plans called for a renewed push into the Caucasus, planning to cripple Russia enough that they may sue for peace on favorable terms. This was an overly optimistic view, to say the least, as since the fall of Baku, the Russian lines have not moved an inch, and reinforcements from the Balkans were now starting to arrive in the Caucasus Front under the command of Nikolai Yudenich. Also, in a rather embarrassing action, a Russian Cossack force managed to slip through Afghanistan and break into the Hindu Kush, torching some postal offices and villages, ceremoniously watering their horses and washing their sabres in the Indus and then leaving before getting caught. The small expedition became the stuff of legend, and would be immortalized in the 1966 Russian movie Quiet Flows the Indus. The expedition was lead by a man named the Mad Baron.

    The Porte was also undergoing serious trouble as morale broke down among the armed forces, food riots erupted around Anatolia and outright rebellion was only averted by the army presence in major cities. The so-called September Crisis was mostly contained and the allies prepared for the fight in the Caucasus, beginning an offensive in the middle of October, with the aim of achieving a quick victory to restore morale. The attack soon bogged down in the rough terrain as Russian lines were reinforced.

    At the end of October however, disaster struck again. The fall of Constantinople and the countless Japanese failures in Manchuria finally convinced the Republic of China to take a side. While having provided a large workforce for Russia ever since the Japanese Army instituted military rule in Manchuria, China was reluctant to confront both Japan and Britain, especially due to the government's shaky hold on power. But with the defeat of Britain in the West, Russian diplomats finally convinced China to take a step against the Japanese occupying their lands. The Republic of China declared war on Japan on November 1st and the Beiyang Army moved into Manchuria. Japanese forces were caught by surprise, having all of their flank wide open. Although the quality of the Chinese troops was lacking, their manpower and opening of such a wide front was just what Russia needed, starting an offensive of their own, as well as supplying weapons and officers to their new allies. The Manchurian offensive saw the first experimental use of armored cars in large numbers by Russia. The wide plains of Manchuria proved to be ideal for their use, even if they were unreliable. The effectiveness was noted by a young German military attache to the Russian forces named Heinz Guderian. Chinese forces also invested Hong Kong, but even with Russian artillery the siege was only for show, due to heavy presence of Royal Navy naval artillery. Despite tremendous Chinese losses however, the Manchurian campaign lead to the Japanese and British forces retreating to the Yalu River, where the front stabilized by the end of the year.

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    Russian armored car in Harbin

    By the start of 1916, the Ottoman attack into the Caucasus proved to be a failure, with Russian forces only stopped from taking Erzurum by timely arrival of British reinforcements. Lord Kitchener at this point likened their alliance to the Ottomans to being chained to a corpse. By December, Arab revolts were becoming rampant in the Levant as well, and the Ottoman Porte was close too collapse. On January, the Young Turks removed the Sultan from power and informed the British government that they will sue for peace.
     
    Chapter XVII - Waning Crescent Moon
  • Chapter XVII - Waning Crescent Moon
    (1916)


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    The Young Turks


    While the takeover of power in Ankara by the Young Turks was mostly bloodless, it further destabilized the whole of the empire, with Syria exploding into open rebellion supported by the Russians, swiftly followed by further uprisings in Arab territories in the Palestine and especially in Libya, where the virtual absence of Ottoman troops caused the Porte's control to collapse. The military garrison of Tripoli choosing to surrender to the revolutionaries in return for safe passage from the city into Egypt, which was carried out by a mix of Ottoman and British vessels in the harbor. Fearing for a general Arab uprising in Egypt, British forces planned for a quick campaign to pacify Ottoman Tripolitania, but the situation in Anatolia caused this operation to be delayed. Not long after the change of government in Ankara and the fall of Constantinople, pro-Ottoman elements of the army started to desert en masse, while others refused to follow orders, sometimes leading to exchange of fire between Turkish units along the front. British reports to London warned a general collapse of the whole front, which was evident for the Russians as well. Late February, Yudenich launched a new offensive in strength, the original aim of which was too probe the Anglo-Tuskish lines and achieve a better position, perhaps even exploit a gap if the situation presents itself. The attack was more successful than expected, as the Turkish forces at the outset were already fighting among themselves in and around Erzurum, with British caught in the middle. When the Russians attacked, Turkish lines basically dissolved, leaving Erzurum wide open for attack. British forces instead chose to retreat in order to avoid being encircled, and the city fell soon after. Lord Kitchener reported that the Turks were now on the verge of complete collapse, and could hardly be called a coherent force. He requested for British forces to be recalled from Anatolia, and instead set up new defensive lines in Syria or the Palestine. The plan was solemnly approved slowly after fighting broke out in Ankara itself as order broke down across the country. Yudenich, not having expected such a breakthrough, did not prepare to follow up on the attack, and had to stay in Erzurum to regroup his forced, planning for a new offensive toward Ankara late Spring, using the veteran forces that were on their way to reinforce the front from Europe. Limited offensives also started towards retaking Baku, a line which has so far held, mainly due to the heavy presence of British Indian forces. British high command did expect a large scale attack there in the Summer as well, as soon as the Russian lines were reinforced.

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    The fall of Erzurum saw pro-Ottoman elements rise up in Ankara. The Ankara uprising was a bloody affair, pushing the Turks to the verge of collapse, only being saved by the arrival of veteran troops from the front under the command of Kemal Atatürk. By the end of March, Ankara was again pacified and the Turkish army was purged from Ottomanist elements, only for them to realize that the military situation was untenable. Britain was retreating to the Levant, getting embroidered in the fighting in Syria and pushing into Palestine from Egypt (using up the forces that were planned to invade Libya). Riots were the order of the day in most major cities, especially ones with large Greek or Armenian populations. The new Republic of Turkey was in a de facto state of civil war. To add insult to injury, the new Arab government in Tripoli declared independence, declaring the Republic of Libya. There wasn't much either Britain or Turkey could do at this point, although an British force was prepared in South Africa to restore order in the region. It was too little too late however, as the French Empire immediately recognized the new state, and the Foreign Legion crossed the border one day later, while the French Navy sailed toward Tripoli, citing concerns for the security of the region. The move caused an uproar in London and caused many to call for war against France. This was however, everyone knew to be unfeasible. While a plan to seize various French holdings around the world by the Royal Navy was proposed, this would mean a wider war across the whole of Africa, something neither the army, nor the general populace was ready for. In fact, the French move was welcomed by some. The pacification of the Arabs prevented any spillover to Egypt, and it was well-known that France did not want Russia to gain too much power in the Middle East, especially in the Levant. In fact, Ankara was willing to let go of Libya, given the catastrophic situation in Anatolia.

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    British troops in Jerusalem

    On the 10th of April, the Republic of Turkey approached both Germany and France, and requested mediation and a general armistice on all fronts. This was clandestinely supported by Britain, as neither France nor Germany would accept Russia gaining too much. The war was of course an embarrassment unlike anything for centuries for Britain, but a Franco-German mediation in the face of a lingering Turkish civil war could be better sold on the home front. On the 15th of April, Turkey, Russia, the Balkan states and Persia issued an armistice, followed two days later by Japan and China. The Eurasian War was over.

    The Republic of Turkey, fearing a prolonged civil war, also accepted the presence of Continental Congress troops to maintain peace in certain areas during the armistice. This was embarrassing, but it was preferable to just letting the Russians occupy all of Anatolia. Violence against Greeks, Armenians and other nationalities was now rampant, along with deserted soldiers preying on the countryside and Arab rebellions. In the middle of May, German troops under General Paul von Lettow-Vorbeck arrived in Smyrna, creating a pacified zone, while also providing camps for various refugees around the city (mostly Greeks). Similarly, a French force arrived in Trebizond, supported by a Spanish contingent. Not much later, Albania declared independence, with the remaining Turkish troops in the country mostly defecting to the new government. The government, in fear of a Serbian-Greek invasion also asked for the presence of Congress troops, which materialized in a German-Hungarian contingent being dispatched.
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    Germans in Smyrna

    The peace conference was to be held in the exhibition room of the famous porcelain factory in Sévres, near Paris, starting July 20th. The signatories were on one side: the Russian Empire, Serbia, Romania, Bulgaria, Greece, the Republic of China. And from the other side: the United Kingdom and her dependencies, the Republic of Turkey, Persia, Albania and the Japanese Empire. Observers were the Empire of France, the German Empire, Spain, Hungary, the Kingdom of the Two Sicilies and Tuscany.

    The terms were as follows:
    - Bulgaria and Serbia split the region known as Vardar Macedonia
    - Albanian independence is recognized by all parties
    - Greece gains Thrace and Macedonia up to and including Adrianople as well as Constantinople, the rest being annexed by Bulgaria
    - Britain and Turkey evacuate all Aegean Islands, returning them to Greece
    - Cretan independence is recognized, the island is evacuated by Turkish troops
    - The Russian Empire annexes Trebizond, Erzurum and Van, including the surrounding region into a new Greater Armenian Autonomous Oblast
    - Greece, Bulgaria and Turkey agree to population exchanges
    - Baku is evacuated, British-Persian troops retreat to original borders
    - Syria remains under Turkish control
    - British protectorate of the Palestine is recognized
    - Japan renounces all claims in Manchuria and the Russian Far East, in turn Russia agrees to sell Northern Sakhalin to the Japanese Empire
    - Japan retains control of Korea, while Chinese control over Manchuria is recognized, China in turn leases Port Arthur to Russia. The Yalu is recognized as the border, along with the Tumen and the Paektu Mountain

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    Treaty of Sévres

    The Treaty of Sévres was a ground-shaking event, that effectively ended the Ottoman Empire and restored Constantinople to Greek control. Soon after, population exchanges started, moving the Greeks of Smyrna to Thrace and in turn moving Turks and other Muslims (mainly Bosnians and converted Bulgarians) to Anatolia. While the exchange is today remembered as a terrible event for most of those involved, it is widely believed that along with the presence of Congress troops, it helped prevent an even greater catastrophe, even a possible genocide. Crete soon held a plebiscite, voting almost unanimously to join Greece. Armenians also moved to the new autonomous Russian Oblast in great numbers, while Turks were promptly expelled. While it was likely the worst humanitarian event in the 20th century, German and French aid narrowly prevented widespread starvation in the regions, while the Turkish army slowly regained control of Anatolia. They did not have much luck in Syria, and were thrown back after three half-hearted offensives into the region. The conflict eventually ended when Turkey formally recognized the independence of Syria and a small Kurdistan. Syria could not enjoy independence for too long however, as it civil war soon broke out in the country, which was ended by a Franco-German intervention in early 1917, splitting the region into a French and a German protectorate. Kurdistan also quickly came into conflict with Persia, as they feared their own large Kurdish population to rise up in rebellion to join the new state. The Persians did mobilize in December 1916, but were recalled when Russia declared Kurdistan to be under their protection. A large exodus started as Kurds from nearby states flooded into the new state, setting it up to be the wealthy and prosperous country we know it today.
     
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    Chapter XVIII - Postbellum
  • Chapter XVIII - Postbellum

    Not long after the ink dried on the Treaty of Sévres, Europe settled in for a new period of peace. The horrors of industrial scale warfare prompted the Eurasian War a new nickname: the Last War.

    The Russian Empire
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    The Czar attending a memorial service for fallen soldiers and honoring veterans

    Ecstasy could not even begin to describe the signing of the peace in Russia. Their ancient enemies destroyed, their ancient rivals humbled and Constantinople restored to Orthodox Christianity. The immense loss of life however ingrained itself deep into the Russian psyche. Maimed soldiers were seen begging on the street in every city and there was little the state could do to alleviate their suffering. The war put tremendous strain on the Russian economy, and it was decided that modernization and industrialization must continue. Soldiers, now returning to the fields and factories however could wield considerable influence, more so than before, leading to a significant improvement in working conditions. This was mostly due to fear of another uprising akin to 1905, but now with a considerable number of veterans among workers. Russia in 1917 was still mainly an agricultural state, and the road was long yet still. In 1920, the health of the Czarevich's health took a turn for the worse, and Nicholas started to distance himself from politics, more so than ever, leading to the Duma gaining more control of the affairs of the state, even signing some of this powers away in 1922, leading the way to Russia becoming more and more a constitutional monarchy. The lessons of the war were also learnt, and STAVKA ordered research into new artillery, paving the way for new Russian doctrines based around the successful rapid artillery barrages during the Brusilov Offensive. While armored cars were used with some success in the Far East, Russia instead decided to rely on artillery (and later, anti-armor artillery) for large scale offensives. The new territories in Anatolia were swiftly incorporated into the Greater Armenian Autonomous Oblast, which guaranteed Armenians and Greeks considerable self rule, somewhat similar to Finland and Poland. Nevertheless, most Greeks in Trebizond instead chose to leave for the home country, as invited by the Greek government. In their place, Russian settlers were urged to move to the area, along with the many Armenians that were now fleeing from other parts of Anatolia, the Middle-East and Persia. The new Oblast would be a tumultuous place for the coming decades, but as housing projects, new industry and railway was brought into the area in the early 1930s, things have settled down.

    Great Britain
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    London in the early 20's
    A monumental task now lay before Britain: waking up from the lethargy of defeat, something unseen for a century. As the government resigned after the war, the empire was in shambles. A great many lives were lost, not only British, but Canadian, Australian and Indian. Voices about secession were heard from all three, as Canadian and Australian politicians claimed that their boys have been thrown into the mouth of a beast for nothing. In India, nationalist ideas began to gain prominence as veterans returned from the war, ironically the only force that was not subjected to a severe defeat. Something had to be done, before these voices became too loud, and in 1926 a plan was drafted to keep the empire together in a new Commonwealth. The plan outlined a series of changes which included representation of the Dominions in London, as well as a degree of self-governance. The proposal at first included Canada, Australia, India and South Africa, with possibility of other territories gaining representation later, which was mostly tied to development (Malaya and Thailand were proposed to be the next, sometime in the 1950s or 60s). While satisfying most parties on paper, these changes would take decades to take hold, but provided a model for other Great Powers in the future. Britain thus remained the pre-eminent power, although the industrial output was now far outshined by Germany and trailed closely by the United States. A famous group of writers and other artists in London, called the Lost Generation have often noted that the 20th Century will likely be known not after a British, but a German monarch. Some even more pessimists said it might be a Czar. The new Palestinian territories were quickly incorporated into British administration, with the aim of setting up a buffer between Egypt and Russia. While most of the Levant, especially Syria saw a lot of violence during and directly after the war, the Palestine was relatively quickly pacified. London made an effort to get Jews settle in the area, but given the (perceived or real) instability of the region, most Jews that were leaving the former Ottoman Empire instead chose to settle in German Africa, a place with already considerable Jewish population. Nevertheless, some Jews did settle in the city of Tel Aviv, which is to this day the largest Jewish city in the Palestine. Another effect of the war was the resurgence of the ancient rivalry between Britain and France. The French seizure of Libya and their interference in the peace angered many in London, and new plans were drawn up for a possible future war with France. A war, where the Royal navy could finally be put to use. There were however fears that like the Eurasian War, this hypothetical conflict might not be easy. France now controlled all of the Western Mediterranean, with the exception of Gibraltar and Malta, and operating from their many ports (including their access to Spanish and Sicilian ones) they could effectively shut down British incursions into these waters using cheap torpedo boats and submarines, and even endanger Egypt overland. And a large scale battle over the vast African continent was very much undesirable, especially since France had an edge in troop numbers and infrastructure.

    The French Empire
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    Prestige. Gloire. Often repeated words in Paris coffeehouses after the war. France, without fighting a war has won Libya and managed to put their foot in the door in the Levant. While the great prize, Jerusalem has eluded them, Syria proved to be an excellent stepping stone to gain control of the Arab states in the Fertile Crescent. As Syria and Iraq descended into civil war, the Russians were quick to recognize the Kurdish state and support them in the face of a Persian incursion. The Empire however had to be cautious, as Germany also wanted a piece of the cake, and the had boots on the ground to back it up. Eventually, an agreement was reached, known as the Luxemburg Settlement, and Syria was split, the North and East coming under French control based around Aleppo, while the South, including Beirut and Damascus became German imperial holdings. With this, the Kurds were allowed, with French help and Russian arms, to seize the city of Mosul, while the Foreign Legion marched into Tikrit, and the towards Baghdad. Britain strongly protested this move, but could do very little. The public would not accept another war, and a French buffer was still preferable to further Russian expansion. As France surrounded and took Baghdad, the German Ostafrikengeschwader sailed into the Persian Gulf and took Kuwait, along with all the former Ottoman coast, including and up to Bashrah. This completed the division of the Middle East, putting a wedge between Britain and Russia. In the 1920's, France continued to flourish culturally, while also investing in the army and the navy considerably, with the aim of being able to counter Britain in a potential war. While relations were amiable, considerable fortifications were also erected in Alsace-Lorraine to dissuade any German invasion.

    The German Empire
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    Emperor Karl at the funeral

    As the Venetian Valentine died down by 1917 under the heavy boots of the Reichsarmee, Germany was ready to flex her muscles in the wake of the Ottoman collapse. Fearful of too large gains of either France, Britain or Russia, Vienna decided to seize as much valuable terrotory as possible. This ended in the division of Syria with France, that was later organized into two new German dominions: Lebanon, based around Beirut, and Damascus. The former was envisioned to be a haven for Christians in the Middle East, and indeed many chose to move there during the civil war, creating a melting pot of various Christian denominations, united mostly by their tacit support for German rule, and fear of Muslim aggression. As France advanced East along the Euphrates, so has Germany, as the Reichsflotte seized Kuwait and German forces moved to take Basrah. Germany was could now be counted among the major colonial powers and was looking at the turn of the decade with hope. However, in October 1918, Kaiser Franz Josef finally died. The man who has lead his nation through the revolutions, the Italian and the unification wars and into the 20th century was now gone. With Franz Ferdinand having been killed in Venice, it was now up to the new Kaiser Karl to fill the shoes of his father. A timid and religious man, he was well liked by the population and eventually prove to be a capable and stern Emperor. In the 1920s, Germany continued its almost unchecked growth, becoming the world's industrial powerhouse. The military was greatly reformed under Karl as well, as a new generation of Prussian officers have risen to prominence in the Reich. The lessons of the Eurasian War were put to good use, in particular the new doctrines based around armor, as observed by Russian successes in Manchuria. While Russia did not trust the flimsy constructions and Britain instead focused on heavy armored vehicles known as tanks that used tracks to overcome obstacles (but were cumbersome in turn), German engineers attempted to combine the two into a fast tracked vehicle with rotating turrets. The man behind these designs was Günther Burstyn with his idea of the Motorgeschütz. His research was given huge funding with the help of Heinz Guderian, and his construction became the core of what would become the German Panzerkorps. Fixed wing aircraft were also developed greatly in the 20s, with German airplane industry coming to dominate the world. As planes became bigger and more reliable, so have Zeppelins become more and more obsolete. Although used extensively well into the 30s and 40s, after the accident of the American blimp Manhattan in London, they have faded greatly. The only place where they remained in extensive use was Africa. Originally, hauling cargo was much easier over the vast distances, which led to their use as such well into the 50s, and after that as a source of leisure. African blimp cruises are still extremely popular today, albeit only affordable to the wealthy. As for Africa, the end of the war had a profound effect on German East Africa. On the one hand, Germany offered many refugees from Europe to settle in the region, hoping to bring expertise that could be used to fuel local industry. While people from the Balkans did not go in great number, Italians and Czechs from the Reich were more inclined to undertake the journey to be provided free land and not be subjected to Germanization. Ironically, since the lingua franca in the colonies was German, they eventually mostly Germanized themselves. Hungary was also a large exporter to these colonies in terms of dissidents. Many Slavs and Romanians were given a choice to move to German Africa or face prosecution and prison. Given how this journey was effectively free as opposed to a long American trip, many decided to go. Another important group to move there was the Jews. Fleeing the wars in the former Ottoman Empire, they were happy to join the other faithful in Ethiopia, where Aksum would virtually become a Jewish city by the mid 20s. The inflow of immigrants contributed to improvements in infrastructure, but was of course not without conflict. The traditional pastoral life of the locals was greatly upset by the settlers, and the unregulated nature of the local economy contributed greatly to their impoverishment. By the end of the decade however, the price of coffee rose enough that the state stepped in, providing funds to modernize the plantations wit modern irrigation, infrastructure and most importantly laws protecting plantation workers as well, most of whom were natives. This improved the quality of life on East Africa greatly, and would become a reference point for other modernization projects across Africa. Today, German East Africa is not only a major provider for coffee and cotton, but also a major tourist destination.

    The Empire of Japan
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    While the defeat and immense losses in Manchuria had been terrible, they haven't made a huge dent in Japanese militarism. In fact, it was seen as the failure of the army, while the navy has defeated the Russians before. The political climate in relation to expansion into China however was seriously affected. The general view now was that a major land war on the continent is to be avoided, and that static defenses were the way to go forward. Thus, the Korean border was fortified to the extreme, becoming the most well fortified area in the world. Russia, while mostly exhausted, was now back, and free to expand their navy in the Pacific: one more reason for the IJN to take the lead into leading the Japanese effort. The 20s were mostly spent with consolidation in Japan. As Korea was properly incorporated, and efforts were made to industrialize the Philippines, Japan was now also reconsidering their ties to Britain. Had it not been Britain that dragged them into an unwinnable war across the trackless wastes of Manchuria and Siberia? However, for now, the alliance with Britain stayed, yet new objectives and plans were drawn. Japan desperately needed resources to fuel her booming industry. And having been thrown out of China, there was one place that was ready for the taking: the wast islands of Dutch Indonesia.

    The Republic of China
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    The Republic of China was often seen as a state ready to implode. Yet, as the Beiyang Army marched victoriously across the streets of Beijing, the nation was beginning to show signs of life. Yuan Shikai's regime has never been more popular, nationalist flags were flying high in all major cities. But all was not yet well. Shikai was now becoming increasingly confrontational with the Kuomintang, and some sources indicate that he intended to crown himself emperor riding on the surge of his popularity. What might have happened is up to speculation, as Shikai died in August 1916, leading to new elections, which were won by the Kuomintang by a landslide, placing Sun Yat-Sen into the presidential seat. Although there were fears of the Beiyang army disintegrating in the face of Shikai's death, and some units did disband and join various frontier warlords, most of the army swore allegiance to the Kuomintang, and stayed an intact force. Sun, after his inauguration promised to restore peace to the country, and the newly renamed Republican Army soon embarked on the long Western Expedition, a campaign to restore order to all provinces, lead by General Chiang Kai-Shek. The campaign would be an arduous task, and would only be declared finished in 1928. In the meantime, Sun recognized the need for modernization of the state and declared the "Ten Thousand Steps" program with the aim of industrializing and modernizing China. For this, Sun invited German investors, experts and military staff to train. This move also served to create more formal ties with the German Empire, as Beijing had little trust for either Japan, Russia, Britain or even France, due to their presence in Indochina. A new China was born.
     
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