The Granma sinks

There were plenty of anti-Batista groups other than Castro's. One of them, which I have written about, was the Revolutionary Directorate. It is possible that if the Granma had sunk, the Directorate would not have launched its failed March 13, 1957 attempt to storm the Presidential Palace and kill Batista when it did--and therefore its leaders might have survived (and perhaps an attack on Batista at another time might have worked). As I noted, "BTW, it is even possible that the attack had an anti-Castro as well as anti-Batista aspect. It is not clear just why the attack was timed for the day it took place, but it is interesting that it took place not long after Herbert Matthews' famous story which revealed that Fidel Castro was alive and well in Oriente province; this article immediately made Castro an international figure, and convinced many people in Cuba as elsewhere that Castro was winning, that Batista's days were numbered, etc. It is at least possible that one motive for the timing of the DR attack was to take power before it was anticipated that Castro would do so..." https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/wi-1957-cuban-revolution.429786/#post-15954827
 
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