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What would it take to get King Louis XVI of France to not spend blood and gold on aiding the American revolution? I was toying with a butterfly effect of some timelines I've been working on being that France has some potentially valuable colonies that they don't want to risk losing to the British, and so they don't support the American Revolution. However, this doesn't seem to be realistic as IOTL they had some very valuable Caribbean colonies that could have been attacked by the Royal Navy, but risked them anyway just to annoy Britain by aiding their rebellious colonies.

Is Louis XVI just so completely into sabotaging King George III that he would help the American Revolution no matter what? Or would there be something that would make him think twice?

(I didn't find anything in my searches, but for all the money I spent on my MLS degree I am concerningly bad at searching sometimes. Please post the threads if this has already been discussed)
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