The effects of no Iraq War on the UK?

What would the effects of no Iraq War have been on the UK. With a POD of Al Gore wining in 2000 but 9/11 still occurs resulting in the war in Afghanistan still happening but America deciding not to invade Iraq.

How does the rest of Blairs term unfold? I expect him to beat whoever the Tory leader is 2005 with a decreased majority but more than IOTL. What would his legacy be and when would he step down and Brown take over without the effects of Iraq?
 
I've often thought that there's an outside chance (veeeery outside) that Blair is still PM without Iraq.

FWIW, I think a lot of the intra-party hostility would've played out like it did OTL. I think there's a chance he might have wanted to stay on until 2008/09 to beat Thatcher's record. Of course, that presents its own problems because the economic crisis would still have occurred (assuming no other PODs), which is obviously a problem for Labour in any general election. The response to that crisis might have been very different without Brown's leadership at the crucial time - I think Blair has spoken since about how he would've pursued deflationary measures at the time but that might just be because he wanted a way to criticise Brown (who knows with those guys) - so that would've been very different (worse IMO but that's something people can disagree about). In that context, we might end up with something like a Cameron-lead pro-austerity government in 2010 anyway.

Of course, if your POD is a Gore win in 2000 then obviously the international scene would be very different so Blair might be very different in response to that. (Blair's love-in with Bush was basically conditioned, as all things in the Labour party are, by his response to the defeat in 1983: namely that he had to attach himself to whoever the American president was. A different president in '00 and '04 would probably make his foreign policy very different.) My one speculation is that, without the discrediting of liberal interventionalism due to Iraq (although that would depend on how Afghanistan goes), Britain might have more seriously contemplated intervention in Zimbabwe in c.2008.
 
I think that Blair would last till 08 maybe 09 without Iraq hanging around his neck. Though maybe something else comes along.

Depending on how electorally successful labour is here I can see them still with a substantial majority come the crash. I still think Brown would succeed him at some point but I’m not sure Blair would’ve handled the crisis as well. Then given labour may be in a stronger position a recovery under Brown/Blair could continue without the austerity we saw.

Of course, if your POD is a Gore win in 2000 then obviously the international scene would be very different so Blair might be very different in response to that.

That was just the first POD that came to mind while writing this but keeping Blair as labour leader. I thought that was more likely than a cabinet revolt against him to overturn Iraq.

I agree that his attachment was based on a response to “83. Would Britain manage to intervene in Zimbabwe if Afghanistan was still ongoing and who would go in which them as African politics is my forte.
 
What are the odds that Blair would continue on until it’s him and Cameron facing off in an election? And how would he fare against Cameron?
 
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