rcduggan,
They don't have to unite more than OTL, they have to co-operate more. The Western Confederacy would most likely still exist because the incursions would still continue, and it would be in the member tribes best interests to stay in the confederacy because it represents a United Front against the Spanish, British, and Americans. The Confederacy would actually fair better in a world where the US had broken up because it can play the states off against each other, and because the states would be fighting each other over their claims.
So, I misspoke on Virginia and New York, but then again I was chasing the butterflies from a United states divided sort of POD, and thinking that New York might be Distracted by a New England Confederation of some sort.
Florida will stay Spanish, It might go French if TTL has a counterpart for Napoleon and he decides that he wants a New World Empire. Georgians or not, Because while Spain could care less about law and order in Florida They want to control the Florida Strait.
The Settlers were not the Issue for the 5 tribes really, It was the Indian removal act that was. and the AoC government couldn't enforce that. neither could Georgia, Virginia and the Carolinas acting on their own.
about the Dozen Nations thing I was thinking that New England might confederate and either Virginia or Pennsylvania would hold Maryland and/or Delaware.
I honestly think that the AoC govenment would dissolve sooner or later. Politicians are that stupid. New England used to threaten secession every few years at the beginning, South Carolina threatened secession over Nullification of all things, and Hell, the Conch Republic's (Key West, FL) been de jure independent for over 20 years now. There is nothing more American than trying to declare your Independence from America.
Besides, the thread title is "The Divided Nations of America" it's kinda implicit that the United States dissolves, sorry.