The Corrupt Bargain of '68

The US Presidential Election of 1968 was an interesting one to say the least. It marks one of the few times a third party has been able to make a significant dent in the electoral college. So what if Wallace and the American Independent Party had been able to secure enough electoral votes to throw the election to the House of Representatives?



In the above scenario, Wallace wins both Carolinas and Tennessee while the Democrats win in Nevada. This leaves the GOP just short of 50% of the Electoral College and thus IIRC throws the fate of the election to the House.

My question is this how would Wallace's impact on the election be felt and what would it be?
 
Okay. In this scenario, the Presidency is decided by Congress, with the House of Representatives deciding the President and the Senate chosing the vice-president. Each state has one vote in the house, and each senator has one vote in the senate. We are dealing with the 90th congress here, which had democratic Majorities of 64:36 and 247:187, respectivly.

The Democratic States are Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia. Total is 29 states.

The republican States are Alaska, Arizona, Delaware, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Total is 18 states.

Illinois, Oregon, and Montana are split evenly. Total is 3 states.

The Democrats will elect Humphrey President even if the split states swing for the republicans. In the senate, it is a simpler matter, with each senator most likely voting along party lines, and the democrats holding a large enough advantage to push through Munskie even with defections.

Humphrey/Munskie win in 68 if the election it goes to congress. The question is what happens next.
 
Okay. In this scenario, the Presidency is decided by Congress, with the House of Representatives deciding the President and the Senate chosing the vice-president. Each state has one vote in the house, and each senator has one vote in the senate. We are dealing with the 90th congress here, which had democratic Majorities of 64:36 and 247:187, respectivly.

The Democratic States are Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia. Total is 29 states.

The republican States are Alaska, Arizona, Delaware, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. Total is 18 states.

Illinois, Oregon, and Montana are split evenly. Total is 3 states.

The Democrats will elect Humphrey President even if the split states swing for the republicans. In the senate, it is a simpler matter, with each senator most likely voting along party lines, and the democrats holding a large enough advantage to push through Munskie even with defections.

Humphrey/Munskie win in 68 if the election it goes to congress. The question is what happens next.

Would Southern Democrats in 1968 have voted for Humphrey??
 
Would Southern Democrats in 1968 have voted for Humphrey??

Not sure. This is right at the transition point in the south between democrats and republicans. However, I think the humphrey campaign could have kept enough onboard given it's majorities in congress (not to mention the democrats dominating most southern congressional delegations) to get elected.
 
Would Southern Democrats in 1968 have voted for Humphrey??

Aside from possibly a couple states they wouldn't vote for Wallace, and again a few in the Deep South might vote for Nixon, but I think Humphrey retains an overall majority of House delegations.

For the Congressmen, most elected well back, their ties to the Democrats still trump their ideological sympathies to Nixon.
 
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