2014, Part 1, Big Brother
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Many expected Vince Cable to run for President but his popularity amongst Lib Dem supporters was falling

"Eying up this year's election and amongst rumours of a Presidential bid, Vince Cable had turned his guns on both party leaders by criticising their “economic illiteracy”. In a speech in the City last night, the business secretary appeared to lay the blame for economic stagnation at former Prime Minister George Osborne. “It is extraordinary and irrational that with capital so cheap there wasn't more public investment. It isn’t as if our infrastructure doesn’t need investment,” Dr Cable said at the annual Trade and Industry dinner at the Mansion House. "I have now served under two Prime Ministers of different parties and neither of them seemed to have ever picked up an economics textbook." Despite being the Lib Dem's most senior figure, Cable is becoming increasingly unpopular amongst Lib Dem registered supporters. One YouGov poll showed Cable coming third in a hypothetical primary of ten senior Lib Dems."
- Cable attacks economic "illiterates'' - Robert Lea, The Times (2013)

As the election drew nearer and nearer both Vince Cable and Ed Balls began to turn on the spending taps, Balls announced the Government would be raising the minimum wage to £8 by the end of the next Parliament. Balls said it was “not good enough” that one in six people in the Commonwealth were on low pay. The minimum wage had been one of the coalition’s great success stories rising from £5.80 when they came into office to £7 an hour. However the coalition still faced criticisms from it’s left flank and the trade union movement who argued the wage should be £10 an hour.

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Many union leaders felt Ed Miliband "owed" them

The minimum wage debate revealed a crack in the Labour family, presumptive nominee Ed Miliband found himself caught between his Prime Minister and the Unions who had backed and bankrolled his campaign during the primary. Miliband was repeatedly pressed in the media on which side he was on, whether he wanted £8 or £10. Miliband had come under attack during the primary for being too close to the unions and being a “puppet” of Jerry Hicks, Unite’s left-wing General Secretary. Eventually Miliband sided with Balls supporting the £8 minimum wage target, much to the disappointment of the young progressives who had backed him in the primary.

Early 2014 also saw an escalation of tensions abroad and in the middle east. Two Britons were among 20 victims of a suicide attack at a restaurant in the Afghan capital, Kabul. Among them was Del Singh, Labour Party State Senator in the South East, who was among 12 foreigners and eight Afghans killed. A suicide bomber detonated explosives outside the restaurant. Wabel Abdallah, the head of the IMF's Afghanistan office, was one of the victims - as were two US citizens. The area in which the attack took place - in the Wazir Akbar Khan neighbourhood - was home to many foreign embassies and organisations. Singh served as a Labour member of the South East Senate and as South East Labour's Europe and Foreign Aid Spokesperson. He had before been an adviser to the European Mission in Kosovo and had worked on UN and DFID-funded projects in Afghanistan. Ed Miliband said Singh, had "dedicated his life to working with people across the world who needed his support. My thoughts are with the family and friends of Del Singh."

“A Labour MSEP has been confirmed as among 20 people killed in a suicide bomb and gun attack in the Afghan capital Kabul. Dhamender Singh Phangurha, 39, known as Del Singh, was killed in the attack at a restaurant in the city. Born and raised in Southampton, he was a volunteer at two charities for the homeless and mentored job seekers. Labour Party nominee Ed Miliband and other party figures have paid tribute to him. Local politicians have also paid tribute. Trade Secretary John Denham said: "Del was an inspirational man and one of the nicest people you could meet. Everything he did was driven by a passion to make a real difference to people's lives." Fellow MSEP Anneliese Dodds said: "Del was a very generous, warm-hearted man. He always spoke about how he was proud to have started his working life alongside his mother on the shop floor of Mr Kipling's cakes in Eastleigh. Del then worked hard to get university qualifications and go on to a career in international development." - BBC South East News (2014)

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Singh was the first elected official to be killed in a terrorist attack for 24 years

The Kabul bombing followed a wave of unconnected terror attacks across the Middle East, including in Baghdad and Cairo. In Bannu the Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for a bombing that killed 19 people. In response to the attacks Conservative nominee Micheal Howard pledged to bring in emergency laws to track calls, texts and visits to websites in order to prevent extremist attacks. The measures were necessary to defend national security against terrorist threats Howard argued. The consequences of not acting were “grave”, the President said. The measures were partly a response to a ruling by the ECJ. This ruling struck down regulations requiring companies to retain data for police use for a year. Internet and phone companies would soon start deleting the data. Buckingham said the move would have “serious consequences” for police and counter-terror investigations. Howard said the new laws will also create a “clearer legal framework” for when police want to intercept communications. The need for new laws is “urgent”, Buckingham said. Howard was confident if re-elected he could reach cross-party agreement. “It is the first duty of government to protect our national security and to act when that security is compromised,” Howard said. “As events in the Middle East prove, now is not the time to be scaling back on our ability to keep our people safe."

"Judges could risk Britain's security by opposing new proposed anti-terror laws, Michael Howard has said. Writing in the Daily Telegraph, President Howard warned judges not to thwart his wishes. He argued it was the job of the President and MPs to balance new counter-terrorism measures against the human rights of suspects. But Green MP Mark Cridge, said: "The President shouldn't be overriding international human rights law." Natalie Bennett recently said Parliament would oppose any new anti-privacy laws Howard proposed. President Howard Parliament and the judges are being difficult. He blames the government for drawing the courts into the "political sphere" by enhancing the Human Rights Act. The new amendments mean judges have to decide whether new laws are proportionate to their intended effect. The President says the judiciary, together with the government, have a duty to play its part in combating the terrorism threat. But he says he is worried that "judicial activism" has reached an unprecedented level. Writing in The Daily Telegraph, he said: "elected officials must be supreme."” - Howard warns judges over terror, Andrew Sparrow, the Guardian (2014)

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Howard's campaign strategy became increasingly populist, going after judges and the courts

Whilst the two main parties were engaged in debates over low pay and civil liberties, UKIP was also facing controversies of its own as it prepared to hold its presidential primaries. A UKIP Member of the South East Parliament David Silvester was suspended after blaming floods in the Commonwealth on the legalisation of gay marriage in 2011. In a letter to his local paper, Silvester, South East UKIP’s communities spokesperson, said he had warned the Prime Minister the legislation would result in "disaster". He said Ed Balls had acted "against the Gospel". UKIP South East leader Marta Andreasen said he was entitled to his "view of the world", but had defied a request not to do further media interviews. "So we suspended him." Conservative Senator Andrew Robathan said UKIP was "the only big protest party at the moment. It still counts one or two fruitcakes" among its members. He told BBC One's Sunday Politics: "Protest parties hoover up a lot of votes. That's why we've got to be very clear now in our European message that we're the only party that can reform Europe and give people a proper choice. The first [EU] referendum for over 40 years." UKIP Chief Whip Mark Reckless told the Sun on Sunday that "about 15" of the 51 MPs elected for UKIP in 2011 would not stand again. "Some have been pushed and some have jumped," he explained. "Politics needs people with personality and backgrounds and they will all have one or two flaws."

The Slivester affair damaged UKIP just months before the Presidential and Parliamentary election. Senior UKIP figures like Farage, Nuttall and Bannerman had been desperately trying to shed the “fruitcake” image of the past to portray themselves as a responsible party of Government, pointing to their governing successes across southern and midland England. UKIP’s strong hand against SIlvester also created divisions in the party over free speech, with the Faragists wanting a disciplined party that would at least hide their bigotry. Some of UKIP’s right wing faction, like London MP Raheem Kassam, publicly broke with the party line to defend Silvevster. With UKIP polling on 17% they couldn’t afford a slip-up.

“In the run up to parliamentary elections we will hear the oft repeated claim from UKIP that they are going to “win” the elections. They aim to gain a large minority of the seats on offer through the complex system of PR. UKIP followers who love to set out their case on this site have been “warning” us of this possible outcome for many months. Today I am giving UKIP supporters a free chance to make their case. Last summer it was revealed that our current UKIP MPs have the worst attendance and voting record of any party in the Parliament. Three of their MPs turned up for less than half the votes. As Mr Nuttall said at the time ” I’ll hold my hand up, as my attendance record is flaky to say the least”. They prefer to draw the pay and support staff costs to help them campaign and take up issues around the country. UKIP also enjoys the biggest loss rate of MPs by a long way, finding it difficult to keep people in their party once elected to office. It would be good to hear some answers from UKIP on what we could expect if 100 UKIP MPs are elected in 2014.” - John Redwood speaking at an election hustings in Reading (2014)

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Howard expected he would need UKIP to form, so he appointed right-wing former Cabinet Secretary Michael Gove as his personal emissary to the party

Critically assess Micheal Howard’s record on human rights and civil liberties (30 Marks) - A Level Politics Exam (2019)
 
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Closer Look, Andrew Marr Show interview with Vince Cable
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Vince Cable on the Liberal Democrat Primary (Andrew Marr Show)

By Andrew Marr


AM - As we’re heard earlier the Lib Dem primary is revving up as free marketer and self described “leader of the lib dem resistance" Danny Alexander has announced his candidacy for President. The first Lib Dem to do so. You’d have thought an incumbent Chancellor would walk the primary if he wanted to but a recent YouGov poll has Chancellor Cable at just 22%, 13 points behind Sheffield Mayor Nick Clegg, the presumptive front-runner. Chancellor where did it all go wrong?

VC - Well look I still haven’t made up my mind about running for President so obviously those candidates who have strongly hinted at running are going to have an advantage in a hypothetical polls.

AM - Isn’t that the problem though Chancellor? Your supporters are tired of you dilly dallying, more than that they’re angry at the coalition, a recent poll showed only a third of Lib Dem supporters believed being “very pleased” with the coalition.

VC - Well the thing about being in Government is that you have to take tough decisions and those decisions aren’t always popular. But I’m proud of my record in Government. I established a £6 billion Green Investment Bank for example, you can’t do that as Mayor of Sheffield.

AM - A barbed attack at your opponent I see.

VC - No not at all Nick’s a very talented young man and should he decide to run he would make an excellent President, I’m just saying that national experience is a virtue. In the last 15 years we’ve gone from being a protest party to the natural party of Government, we’ve been in power for 10 of the Commonwealth’s 15 years of existence, that's a good thing. We can’t throw the baby out with the bathwater every-time we have to make a controversial decision.

AM - But in 2009 Nick Clegg managed to get 21% of the vote, the BBC’s poll of polls has you on just 14%, lagging behind Nigel Farage or Steven Woolfe. Wouldn’t it be better for you and your party for you to say categorically on this show, I’m not running ,I’ll let a fresh face take the wheel?

VC - Look I will make up my mind in the coming days. But this personalisation of politics needs to stop, talking about who’s up and who’s down in this and that poll, its irrelevant to most people’s lives. What is relevant is what we’ve done in Government, like raising the minimum wage.

AM - So do you think Senator Alexander was wrong to announce so early?

VC - You’d have to ask him, to be frank I think Danny has a lot more free time than me to organise Presidential bids, I spend most of time trying to get our country's books balanced.

AM - A large plank of Alexander’s policy platform is for the party to distance himself from Labour, and he’s polling at 16% currently. Do you agree with Senator Alexander and a large chunk of your own supporters that the coalition’s outlived its usefulness?

VC - Coalitions have and always will be a tool to get things done. When you start getting sentimental about this party or the other it clouds your judgement. I think this coalition has achieved great things, I’m proud of this coalition and I’d like to see it continue, but that doesn’t mean if a better offer comes our way I wouldn’t consider it. It’s about the national interest.

- 3rd January 2014
 
Lib Dem Primary, Part 1
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Polls showed the Lib Dems falling to as little as 11% in a generic Presidential battle

“Through our fair Commonwealth's endless primaries the yellow team are lining up to have their go. Nick Clegg or Vince Cable may be the natural heirs to the Lib Dem throne but Guido understands some people in his party have other things in mind. Heading the list is leader of the "resistance" Danny Alexander. Yes, Danny Alexander is now fast becoming the man tipped to be the Lib Dem Presidential nominee. A move that's going to go down like a lead balloon with Tim Farron and those on the left of the party. Guido has learned that Alexander is "already positioning himself" for the primary election. Alexander's main rival is Nick Clegg but he's been out of Westminster politics for four years. It seems that even though the future may not be bright, it may at least be Danny. Besides Cable's age being against him it's also understood that his wife is against the idea too. When asked about media speculation Rachel Cable said that not only was she not keen on such a move but insisted that she was also a "big fan" of Nick Clegg. Ouch.”
- Danny Alexander 'Positioning Himself' for Presidential Bid, Guido Fawkes (2013)

Scottish Senator and former Cabinet Secretary Danny Alexander was the first Lib Dem to announce his bid to become President in a long-form interview with the left-leaning Guardian. Of the major Lib Dems Alexander was seen as the most critical of the traffic light coalition. He had voted against the coalition agreement in the Senate and was a vocal opponent of Ed Balls from the Government’s backbenches. Alexander hoped to put clear water between himself and Cable by making himself the loud and proud voice of market Liberals. Pledging to end the coalition with Labour and move the party closer to working with the Tories. Alexander leaned into his economics training and knowledge of the economy in his Guardian interview, pledging to bring “economic security” to the Commonwealth against the “two populists” (Howard and Miliband) and emphasised this with his slogan “A Better Britain”.

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Alexander had been close to Osborne during the 2008-2011 coalition

“Central government should be given the power to build new homes to solve the housing crisis, Danny Alexander has suggested. Such a move would provide a "backstop" if housing associations and developers failed to meet targets, he said. It would be a departure from historic housing policy, which has seen national governments take a back seat to regional governments. The Lib Dem's Parliamentary manifesto outlines a target of building 400,000 homes a year. The scale of the housing problem meant it was worth seeing "what intervention we can make", the candidate told his party's annual conference. "A radical approach would be for the government to also have a direct role in house-building. Not just affordable house-building but in the private market also. Government could form a view of the amount of housing needed at any point in the cycle. If this number was less than the amount that was expected to be built then you would have a capacity for the government to step in.”
- Give national ministers power to build new homes says Danny Alexander, BBC News at Ten (2014)

The next candidate to announce was Sheffield Mayor Nick Clegg, whilst losing the Presidency in 2009 he had put in a strong performance and he had managed to flip the deep red city of Sheffield to the Lib Dems. Despite the Council being a Labour/Green coalition Clegg had managed to make a success of his mayoralty, even winning Sheffield the Commonwealth's “Capital of Culture” award. Best of all for Clegg, his role as Mayor had kept him out of the coalition's factional infighting that had plagued the Liberal’s parliamentary caucus, allowing him to swoop in as the unity candidate to bring together the party’s warring factions. Clegg emphasised his unity credentials by supporting a policy of equidistance between the two main parties. Clegg remained popular amongst Lib Dem members and kept in the media eye through frequent TV and radio appearances. A combination of Clegg’s charisma and his unity message made him the bookies favourite. Clegg emphasised his experience and his youthfulness with the Slogan “More to Do”.

It was at this point Vince Cable decided to get into the race as Deputy Prime Minister and Chancellor he had been the favourite candidate for years, but gaffes in Government and the coalition’s growing unpopularity had soured Cable’s brand, especially amongst Lib Dem members. At 72 years old, Cable had been at the heart of politics for nearly 20 years and many Lib Dems longed for a fresh face. Despite this Cable had many advantages, his time as Chancellor had courted him rich and powerful friends and he had a strong base of support amongst Lib Dem MPs, he was very much the establishment candidate. Cable ran as a “sceptical supporter” of the coalition, pledging to negotiate the terms but not collapse the whole thing like Alexander wanted. Cable’s repeated indecision on a bid, coupled with his late entry had garnered him much mockery in the press and he would need to make up a lot of ground to catch up to Clegg. Cable decided to embrace his experienced establishment image with the slogan “Actions Speak Louder than Words”, a direct dig at his two young opponents.

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Cable's age was a great handicap to his Presidential bid

“The honourable lady asks what this Government had done for the sciences. This Government is working with employers to review engineering skills and boost careers. In September we announced a £500 million boost for STEM teaching in universities. This Government will never leave research and development behind as we know it is the future of our country. This Government is working to build a technologically advanced green economy. Her side wants to burn it all down with fossil fuels and fracking. I'm sure the good people of Anglia know what the better option is.” - Vince Cable at Deputy Prime Minister’s Question (2014)

A fourth surprise entry was former Deputy Prime Minister and DWP Secretary Ed Davey. Having been unseated by Chris Huhne in 2011 and overseen the collapse of the 2008 Osborne coalition, many expected Davey to retire to a quiet life as a fairly junior Cabinet Secretary. But Davey decided to take one last go to salvage his reputation. Davey had a lot of the same advantages as Cable, an establishment figure with extensive support amongst donors and political elites. He was also a leading voice on the climate and renewable energy. Like Clegg, Davey hoped to chart a middle ground between coalition supporters like Cable and free marketers like Alexander. Davey’s main focus however was climate, pledging to be the greenest President ever, his slogan reflect this “A Britain You’d Like to Live in”.

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Davey made his Presidential campaign all about the climate

A last minute entry was former Northern Ireland Secretary Tim Farron. Of all the candidates Farron was considered the closest to Labour and the most left wing. He ran as the pro-coalition candidate, even more so than Cable. He embraced cooperation with Labour and the Greens and proudly talking up the coalition's achievements like increased investment in renewable energy and an increase in the minimum wage. Farron had been out of the spotlight for several years after leaving the Cabinet in 2011, but this had given him plenty of time to build his Presidential team. Farron’s outspoken support of the coalition was a risky strategy, polling showed the coalition as very unpopular amongst Lib Dem supporters, Farron’s devout Christianity was also identified as a weakness amongst the overwhelmingly secular Lib Dem selectorate. Farron’s slogan emphasised his social democratic roots with the slogan “opportunity for everyone”.

With Farron as the last candidate to announce the primary began in earnest, one thought hung over nearly every candidate's mind. Clegg and Cable were the ones to beat, thus the game for all the other candidates became to bring the big dogs down to make space for the minor candidates. Tim Farron opened the campaign most aggressively in a viral speech in Leicester attacking all the other candidates for putting the coalition at risk. Pointing to Howard and Osborne’s pledged £24 billion pounds worth of cuts. “Some of my opponents want to end this coalition, either to jump into the void or jump into the hands of Micheal Howard. When I talk to the asylum seekers in my constituency I know we can’t risk it, when I look at the empty space where council houses should be, I know we can’t risk it.” If the Lib Dem higher echelons wanted to avoid the Primary becoming a referendum on the coalition they had already failed.

“Third parties should pick their battles. Securing a concession that is seen as self-serving or irrelevant by voters can undermine the wider strategy. Third, small parties’ success rests upon the performance and profile of the party leader. Successful junior coalition partners have leaders with a strong public profile and a clear personal record. Such a German Greens, for instance, in Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer. Parties with weak or unstable leadership have fared poorly. Like the FDP, who changed leaders in mid-term and then fought the 2013 election with a third man as their lead candidate. Vince Cable's decision in 2013 to take a Deputy PM and Chancellor has made it harder for him to prove to voters a personal contribution to government. Cable announced last week that the coalition would offer free school meals for all young children. This is the kind of signature policy he needs to defend against the accusations that his role has been to support a Labour agenda.” - Lessons for the Liberal Democrats in the run-up to 2014, Lecture by Akash Paun, LSE (2014)

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Lib Dem conference agreed on a Parliamentary manifesto in early 2014

To what extent had the Lib Dems achieved their policies in Government between 2008 and 2014? (30 Marks) - A Level Politics Exam (2019)
 
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View attachment 574652
Polls showed the Lib Dems falling to as little as 11% in a generic Presidential battle

“Through our fair Commonwealth's endless primaries the yellow team are lining up to have their go. Nick Clegg or Vince Cable may be the natural heirs to the Lib Dem throne but Guido understands some people in his party have other things in mind. Heading the list is leader of the "resistance" Danny Alexander. Yes, Danny Alexander is now fast becoming the man tipped to be the Lib Dem Presidential nominee. A move that's going to go down like a lead balloon with Tim Farron and those on the left of the party. Guido has learned that Alexander is "already positioning himself" for the primary election. Alexander's main rival is Nick Clegg but he's been out of Westminster politics for four years. It seems that even though the future may not be bright, it may at least be Danny. Besides Cable's age being against him it's also understood that his wife is against the idea too. When asked about media speculation Rachel Cable said that not only was she not keen on such a move but insisted that she was also a "big fan" of Nick Clegg. Ouch.”
- Danny Alexander 'Positioning Himself' for Presidential Bid, Guido Fawkes (2013)

Scottish Senator and former Cabinet Secretary Douglas Alexander was the first Lib Dem to announce his bid to become President in a long-form interview with the left-leaning Guardian. Of the major Lib Dems Alexander was seen as the most critical of the traffic light coalition. He had voted against the coalition agreement in the Senate and was a vocal opponent of Ed Balls from the Government’s backbenches. Alexander hoped to put clear water between himself and Cable by making himself the loud and proud voice of market Liberals. Pledging to end the coalition with Labour and move the party closer to working with the Tories. Alexander leaned into his economics training and knowledge of the economy in his Guardian interview, pledging to bring “economic security” to the Commonwealth against the “two populists” (Howard and Miliband) and emphasised this with his slogan “A Better Britain”.

View attachment 574653
Alexander had been close to Osborne during the 2008-2011 coalition

“Central government should be given the power to build new homes to solve the housing crisis, Danny Alexander has suggested. Such a move would provide a "backstop" if housing associations and developers failed to meet targets, he said. It would be a departure from historic housing policy, which has seen national governments take a back seat to regional governments. The Lib Dem's Parliamentary manifesto outlines a target of building 400,000 homes a year. The scale of the housing problem meant it was worth seeing "what intervention we can make", the candidate told his party's annual conference. "A radical approach would be for the government to also have a direct role in house-building. Not just affordable house-building but in the private market also. Government could form a view of the amount of housing needed at any point in the cycle. If this number was less than the amount that was expected to be built then you would have a capacity for the government to step in.”
- Give national ministers power to build new homes says Danny Alexander, BBC News at Ten (2014)

The next candidate to announce was Sheffield Mayor Nick Clegg, whilst losing the Presidency in 2009 he had put in a strong performance and he had managed to flip the deep red city of Sheffield to the Lib Dems. Despite the Council being a Labour/Green coalition Clegg had managed to make a success of his mayoralty, even winning Sheffield the Commonwealth's “Capital of Culture” award. Best of all for Clegg, his role as Mayor had kept him out of the coalition's factional infighting that had plagued the Liberal’s parliamentary caucus, allowing him to swoop in as the unity candidate to bring together the party’s warring factions. Clegg emphasised his unity credentials by supporting a policy of equidistance between the two main parties. Clegg remained popular amongst Lib Dem members and kept in the media eye through frequent TV and radio appearances. A combination of Clegg’s charisma and his unity message made him the bookies favourite. Clegg emphasised his experience and his youthfulness with the Slogan “More to Do”.

It was at this point Vince Cable decided to get into the race as Deputy Prime Minister and Chancellor he had been the favourite candidate for years, but gaffes in Government and the coalition’s growing unpopularity had soured Cable’s brand, especially amongst Lib Dem members. At 72 years old, Cable had been at the heart of politics for nearly 20 years and many Lib Dems longed for a fresh face. Despite this Cable had many advantages, his time as Chancellor had courted him rich and powerful friends and he had a strong base of support amongst Lib Dem MPs, he was very much the establishment candidate. Cable ran as a “sceptical supporter” of the coalition, pledging to negotiate the terms but not collapse the whole thing like Alexander wanted. Cable’s repeated indecision on a bid, coupled with his late entry had garnered him much mockery in the press and he would need to make up a lot of ground to catch up to Clegg. Cable decided to embrace his experienced establishment image with the slogan “Actions Speak Louder than Words”, a direct dig at his two young opponents.

View attachment 574655
Cable's age was a great handicap to his Presidential bid

“The honourable lady asks what this Government had done for the sciences. This Government is working with employers to review engineering skills and boost careers. In September we announced a £500 million boost for STEM teaching in universities. This Government will never leave research and development behind as we know it is the future of our country. This Government is working to build a technologically advanced green economy. Her side wants to burn it all down with fossil fuels and fracking. I'm sure the good people of Anglia know what the better option is.” - Vince Cable at Deputy Prime Minister’s Question (2014)

A fourth surprise entry was former Deputy Prime Minister and DWP Secretary Ed Davey. Having been unseated by Chris Huhne in 2011 and overseen the collapse of the 2008 Osborne coalition, many expected Davey to retire to a quiet life as a fairly junior Cabinet Secretary. But Davey decided to take one last go to salvage his reputation. Davey had a lot of the same advantages as Cable, an establishment figure with extensive support amongst donors and political elites. He was also a leading voice on the climate and renewable energy. Like Clegg, Davey hoped to chart a middle ground between coalition supporters like Cable and free marketers like Alexander. Davey’s main focus however was climate, pledging to be the greenest President ever, his slogan reflect this “A Britain You’d Like to Live in”.

View attachment 574654
Davey made his Presidential campaign all about the climate

A last minute entry was former Northern Ireland Secretary Tim Farron. Of all the candidates Farron was considered the closest to Labour and the most left wing. He ran as the pro-coalition candidate, even more so than Cable. He embraced cooperation with Labour and the Greens and proudly talking up the coalition's achievements like increased investment in renewable energy and an increase in the minimum wage. Farron had been out of the spotlight for several years after leaving the Cabinet in 2011, but this had given him plenty of time to build his Presidential team. Farron’s outspoken support of the coalition was a risky strategy, polling showed the coalition as very unpopular amongst Lib Dem supporters, Farron’s devout Christianity was also identified as a weakness amongst the overwhelmingly secular Lib Dem selectorate. Farron’s slogan emphasised his social democratic roots with the slogan “opportunity for everyone”.

With Farron as the last candidate to announce the primary began in earnest, one thought hung over nearly every candidate's mind. Clegg and Cable were the ones to beat, thus the game for all the other candidates became to bring the big dogs down to make space for the minor candidates. Tim Farron opened the campaign most aggressively in a viral speech in Leicester attacking all the other candidates for putting the coalition at risk. Pointing to Howard and Osborne’s pledged £24 billion pounds worth of cuts. “Some of my opponents want to end this coalition, either to jump into the void or jump into the hands of Micheal Howard. When I talk to the asylum seekers in my constituency I know we can’t risk it, when I look at the empty space where council houses should be, I know we can’t risk it.” If the Lib Dem higher echelons wanted to avoid the Primary becoming a referendum on the coalition they had already failed.

“Third parties should pick their battles. Securing a concession that is seen as self-serving or irrelevant by voters can undermine the wider strategy. Third, small parties’ success rests upon the performance and profile of the party leader. Successful junior coalition partners have leaders with a strong public profile and a clear personal record. Such a German Greens, for instance, in Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer. Parties with weak or unstable leadership have fared poorly. Like the FDP, who changed leaders in mid-term and then fought the 2013 election with a third man as their lead candidate. Vince Cable's decision in 2013 to take a Deputy PM and Chancellor has made it harder for him to prove to voters a personal contribution to government. Cable announced last week that the coalition would offer free school meals for all young children. This is the kind of signature policy he needs to defend against the accusations that his role has been to support a Labour agenda.” - Lessons for the Liberal Democrats in the run-up to 2014, Lecture by Akash Paun, LSE (2014)

View attachment 574651
Lib Dem conference agreed on a Parliamentary manifesto in early 2014

To what extent had the Lib Dems achieved their policies in Government between 2008 and 2014? (30 Marks) - A Level Politics Exam (2019)
Just saying I think you mixed up Danny Alexander and Douglas Alexander bear the start. Great work though!
 
Closer Look, Ed Miliband's "Together" Speech
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Together (Speech at Tigers Stadium, Leicester)

By Ed Miliband


Michael “cut the Green crap” Howard's been found out

At the last election he pledged “no hospital closures”, and Osborne closed that very same A&E department he stood outside making that pledge.

He’s been found out because he changed his logo to a tree before an election, and tried to sell off the forests after the election.

And he’s been found out because he supported the cruel, the vindictive, the unfair Bedroom Tax. That Ed Balls reversed.

And you know what gets me even more? You know what gets me even more? Is that even now, with all the tales of misery, hardship, injustice, he thinks a bit of re-branding will get him off the hook. So he says he'll bring in a “spare room subsidy” instead, as if that will make the problem go away. Well, Michael Howard, you’ve been found out.

So friends, there is a choice of leadership at this election. A real, stark choice of leadership. Leadership that stands for the privileged few or leadership that fights for you and your family. This isn’t just about leadership and government and my plan for Britain’s future. It’s also about all of you.

See, we can’t build the country we need without you. Without mobilising every part of Britain.

So I say to young people: we need your hope, your energy, your vitality.

I say to every older person: we respect your service and we need your wisdom.

I say to every business: you can be part of this and we can’t do it without you.

I say to every entrepreneur: we need your ideas, your enthusiasm.

I say to every charity: we admire your spirit and we want to hear your voice.

I say to every nurse, every teacher, every public service worker: we salute your dedication and we know why you do what you do.

I say to every person in our country who believes that tomorrow can be better than today: we need you.

Together we bring up our families.

Together we look out for our neighbours.

Together we care for our communities.

Together we build great businesses, the best in the world.

Together we teach the young.

Together we heal the sick.

Together we care for the old.

Together we invent cures for the most terrible of diseases.

So, of course, friends, together we can rebuild our country.

Together we can reward hard work.

Together we can ensure the next generation does better than the last.

Together we can make our NHS greater than it has ever been before.

Together we can make Britain prouder, stronger in the world.

Together we can restore faith in the future.

On our own, we can’t but together we can.

In the next few months the British people face one of the biggest choices in generations.

A choice between carrying on with the same President, for the privileged few.

Or a different, better future for our country.

We are ready.

My plan for Britain’s future.

Let’s make it happen.

Together. Thank you very much.

- 14th January 2014
 
Lib Dem Primary, Part 2
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Alexander tried to bridge his "Tory-lite" image by agreeing to interviews with left wing papers like the Guardian and the Mirror

“His daughter Isla was born after Alexander entered the cabinet. He tells me he managed three days' paternity leave, and that he has yet to find the right balance between work and home life. He was allied with Nick Clegg, oversaw Clegg's Presidential campaign in 2009 and became his campaign manager. He played a key role in drawing up the Lib Dem manifesto, and led for the party in the post-election politicking. He tells me the depth of the economic crisis necessitated a formal coalition rather than Lib Dem support for a minority government. There were also negotiations with Labour, but he says the numbers didn't add up and that some key Labour figures were less than enthusiastic. "I got the sense from both Ed Balls and Ed Miliband they'd had enough of being in government and wanted a spell in opposition," he says. "They knew what the challenges were coming down the track. Parties that have been in government for a long time sometimes need a time in opposition to renew themselves."
- Danny Alexander: 'I want to be able to say I did the things I thought were right', The Guardian, Stephen Moss (2014)

Most pundits agreed Danny Alexander had the strongest start of the campaign, the only candidate other than Clegg not to have served in the Traffic Light coalition, Alexander had a strong base of support amongst the party’s right flank and the freedom to speak out and savagely critique the coalition whenever he wanted. Alexander savaged the coalition's borrowing and spending plans, calling them “completely infeasible”. A large part of Alexander’s primary strategy was to attract Cameron supporting Conservatives alienated by Howard to switch registration and back his candidacy, spending a vast amount of money on Facebook ads targeting moderate Conservative supporters.

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Liberal blogger Mark Pack formed the "Liberals United" pressure group to try and bring the party back together after the bruising primaries were finished.

As the election calendar turned to the debate in Brighton, Cable staffers were worried. Cable was by far the oldest candidate in the field, worse, as Deputy Prime Minister he would go into the debate on the defensive, defending his record and his Government against a group of much younger opponents. Cable had already struggled in the opening of the primary, whilst he maintained a strong second place in the polls a poor performance could ruin him.

“I am proud of my community and proud to have been a Mayor. I am indeed rooted in Richmond. It has been my home for over 40 years and a place I am proud to have been its Mayor. There are of course many people who have influenced me and I placed a great emphasis on working with my Liberal Democrat councillors. We worked as a team and they ensured I was kept informed and grounded on local issues. Although I never met him, one former constituent has a very special influence on me is Alan Turing. He lived in Hampton for a short while and worked at the National Physics Laboratory in Teddington. It is hard to overestimate his immense role in the development of modern computing. Not to mention helping to shorten the Second World War through his work at Bletchley Park in breaking the Enigma Code. Shamefully, he was driven to commit suicide at a time when homosexuality was still illegal in this country.” - Meet Vince, VinceCableforPresident.org (2014)

As the debate began Alexander continued his aggressive streak against Cable and the Government, especially on the issue of borrowing. He pointed out that the Traffic Light Government had borrowed over £100bn more in three years than the 2008 coalition he had been a part of, he urged his other candidates to “get a grip” “we’re meant to be the sensible ones, the adults in the room, but Vince, Tim and Ed sign off on whatever Ed Balls wants, and it’ll be our children paying the price.” Alexander said, with both parties lurching towards populism under their Presidential nominee, it was the role of the Lib Dems to straighten the ship and keep Britain afloat. Urging his fellow candidates not to “abandon their responsibilities.”

Whilst his speeches weren’t as impressive as Alexander’s, Clegg too had a strong debate. The 2009 Cleggmania magic still hadn’t worn off, and like Alexander he enjoyed the advantages of being distant from the coalition, he still had a huge amount of money and name recognition left over from his strong 2009 bid and he put it to good use. Clegg said the Lib Dems had to get back in touch with their “local roots” pointing to how he had worked with Tories, Greens and Labour in Sheffield to get things done. Whilst his criticisms weren’t as aggressive as Alexander, he too turned his guns on the Cabinet candidates saying it was time for them to “step aside for a new generation of Liberals”.

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Clegg pitched himself as a generational shift in contrast to more established figures like Cable and Davey

“We've learnt our lesson from tuition fees - and we've learnt it the hard way. There will be no repeat of that mistake. The commitments I make will constitute an ambitious, liberal vision for Britain. But they will also reflect the tough fiscal realities the country continues to face. Yes, the recovery has been secured, but the years of restraint are not done. Wherever a policy costs money we should be stress-testing it to make sure it is workable as we continue to balance the books. We need workable proposals which build on the things we've already done. I'll protect spending from cradle to college in the next parliament. When I say that I will keep on cutting income tax. I will bring down income tax down Budget after Budget, year after year. I'll finish dealing with the deficit. It is because of our record in both Governments that this country is a better place. So I say to my colleagues, don't trash the Traffic Light Government, but don't trash the 2008 Government either.”
- Nick Clegg debate speech on Coalitions (2014)

On the other side of the coin, Cable struggled in the debate, all of his aides' worst fears had come to pass. He found himself the target of every attack and on the receiving end of the most difficult questions from the moderators. Cable was not a natural public speaker, his answers often being academic and technocratic. He also struggled to define himself in the coalition, whilst he couldn’t reasonably distance himself from Labour due to his senior role, he also failed to fully embrace the coalition like Farron did, putting him in an awkward middle ground taking hits from all sides.

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In an tense and aggressive debate, Cable found himself caught in the crossfire

Farron too struggled in the debate, his pitch to the party’s left wing came under increased scrutiny when it emerged that Farron had voted campaigned against legalising gay marriage in the Cabinet. Farron’s strong socially conservative and religious views went directly against the kind of voters he was trying to court. Thus Farron alienated his younger progressive base, with the party’s coalition sceptics also alienated Farron had nowhere to go and found himself cornered in the debates.

As usual Ed Davey struggled to make an impact. Whilst his speeches weren’t particularly bad they were boring and bland. Pundits struggled to work out who the core Davey voter was, with pro-coalition establishment Lib Dems supporting Cable and free-marketeers supporting Clegg and Alexander, there simply wasn’t room for Davey. Whilst his debate performance wasn’t as disastrous as Cable’s, there was no chance he would rebuild his flagging political career, yet alone be the nominee.

As the debate concluded polling showed Alexander as the strong winner, with 39% of registered supporters saying Alexander had been the most convincing, followed by Clegg on 27%, Davey on 18%, Farron on 9% and Cable on just 7%. Alexander’s strong performance gave his campaign a much needed bump and polling on who supporters would vote for kept Clegg in the lead at 36%, followed by Cable on 23%, Alexander and Farron tied for third on 14% and Davey on 13%. Alexander now had the selectorates attention, but he languished at a distant third place, he would need to build a lot more momentum if he wanted to pass Cable, let alone challenge Clegg for first place.

“In recent months, the Presidential ambitions of Alexander have become obvious. He has strengthened his team with the appointment of Peter Carroll and Graeme Littlejohn as senior staffers. A source notes, "has been popping up in places like the Mirror and chatting much more to MPs". The man mocked as "Beaker" has also ditched his glasses, lost some weight and dyed his hair. H is positioning himself as the "change candidate". "Ed Davey's not up to it," one Lib Dem said. As for Alexander, I was told: "He looks like a faithful paladin of David Laws but he's ambitious". For now, Clegg's position looks secure, strongly ahead in the polls. Sources point to Clegg's "canny" appointment of Paddy Ashdown as his campaign chair as one reason for his continued domination. "Every time there's a crisis, Paddy's on the news channel", one notes. As Peter Mandelson shored up Gordon Brown's position, so Ashdown serves as Clegg's political life support machine. With Vince Cable unprepared to wield the knife, Clegg against expectations, is almost certain to be the nominee.” - Danny Alexander is manoeuvring, George Eaton, New Statesman (2014)

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Despite his debate success, Alexander's role in the Osborne coalition haunted his campaign

To what extent did Conservative “switchers” influence the Liberal Democrat 2014 Primary (2014)
 
Closer Look, New Statesman Article on UKIP Primary
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Raheem Kassam, Nigel Farage’s back-room boy, rules himself out of Presidential Bid

By Stephen Bush


Raheem Kassam, the controversial UKIP London MP has ruled himself out of a Presidential bid. He has instead thrown his weight behind Nigel Farage. It is a mark of how close UKIP has moved to the heart of the British establishment that one of their main figures has ascended from the spadocracy.

Nigel Farage used to castigate Ed Balls for having worked as a special adviser and little else, but Raheem Kassam was his aide for several years. His only other jobs have been in the right-wing blogosphere.

Farage has one big advantage going into the primary: the support of Ukip’s mega-donor, Arron Banks. He will likely stand against Suzanne Evans, Douglas Carswell and Paul Nuttall, who are all reportedly preparing for Presidential runs.

Kassam's refusal to run is a gift to Farage. Kassam, 27, was born in Hillingdon, west London, to Tanzanian parents of Gujarati descent. They are practising Muslims but their son says he has not followed the faith for a decade. Like Evans, he came into politics through the Conservative Party, and sat on the board of its youth wing. Although his political colours have changed since then, his allegiance has always been to the far right. He once listed Barry Goldwater, the Republican senator who voted against the Civil Rights Act as a hero.

Kassam worked for the Commentator, a right-wing blogging platform, but left on bad terms with Robin Shepherd, the site’s founder and editor. Later articles on the Commentator attest to the acrimony. One brands Kassam “weird”, and the latest mention of him appears under the headline “Ukip MP Raheem Kassam is a criminal, and we can prove it”.

His time there did earn him the approval of the conservative polemicist James Delingpole. In 2012, Delingpole brought Kassam on board as managing editor when he set up the British outpost of Breitbart News, the right-wing website. Breitbart sees itself as the house journal of the “alt right”, hardline on immigration and invested in denying climate change.

Given his hardline views, it is not surprising that Kassam felt more at home in Ukip than the Conservatives. In 2009 he switched from blue to purple, joining Farage’s office later that year. Soon at the centre of the tensions between the Ukip leader and powerful Libertarian Caucus chair Douglas Carswell. Carswell and Farage were at odds over strategy. Carswell was concerned that his Farage’s anti-immigration rhetoric would imperil the party. The Faragites defeated the Libertarians in 2011 with Nuttall winning the Parliamentary leadership. Such is the enmity between Carswell and Farage that Farage's allies will do their utmost to prevent him from becoming the nominee.

Kassam stepping aside is a strong sign that Farage will be seeking the Presidency a second time. Whispers travelled around Westminster that Farage was leaving politics with his eye on a lucrative new career as a pundit on Fox News. Allies say Farage is sticking around as the knowledge that Ukip had fallen into the hands of his old enemy would sour his retirement. Kassam wouldn't throw his bid away with being fairly certain Farage was running.

Kassam has loyally stood aside for his old boss, now the question is will the other Faragites do the same? Steven Woolfe, Malcolm Pearson, Aaron Banks, Dianne James, Paul Nuttall are all loyal Farage allies said to be pondering their own bids. If Farage doesn't announce soon they may decide to role the dice themselves. Too many Faragites and the hated Douglas Carswell may find himself the new Emperor in purple.

- 22nd January 2014
 
Lib Dem Primary, Part 3
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How to respond to tax rises became a key wedge issue

“I was very distressed to hear the Secretary musing on the raising of tax. The level of VAT we have at the moment is the right one for the country and I would not advocate any further increases. The right measure for small businesses is a reduction in business rates. We must seize the opportunity for every Member of this Senate to make the argument on how they want this system to be reformed. Tax and spend doesn't work Mr Presiding Officer. We know it doesn't work and has never worked, so why does this Government insist on wringing every penny from the British public?”
- Danny Alexander speech about VAT on the Senate floor (2014)

Coming out the debate it was clear Alexander had the momentum, Alexander quickly secured a raft of high-profile endorsements, most notably from former Senate President David Laws. Both Alexander and Clegg continued to climb in the polls. Some polls even saw Alexander overtaking Cable for second place. With Clegg far in the lead and the other candidates far behind, the contest quickly became a battle for second place. Clegg knew the best outcome for him would be if Alexander joined him in the final round. Compared to Alexander, Clegg was positively socialist, and he was sure most of the Cable and Farron voters would fall behind him. But if he came up against Cable in the final round, it would be anyone’s game.

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Cable tried to portray himself as the safe bet, warning the party would fall into "chaos and infighting" under Alexander

As Lib Dem supporters made the long journey up to Edinburgh for the party conference there had been little in the way of October surprises, polling showed Clegg with a clear lead , followed by Alexander and Cable still tied for second place. Rumours that Cable would go on the offensive, or that Farron would drop out and endorse Cable in return for the Vice Presidency came to nothing, so the pro-coalition wing of the party remained divided.

“The Lib Dems are divided over Labour. Activists would much rather see the party in coalition with Labour. A poll of candidates for the Sunday Politics and a poll of members for Lib Dem Voice both showed a preference for this by a margin of about 3 to 1. But a majority of those polled wanted a renegotiated deal to the one currently agreed with Labour. Leading figures have been talking about their reservations to Labour, and Miliband in particular. As a result a continued Labour/Lib Dem coalition is looking less likely. There are multiple areas where Labour and Lib Dem policies overlap. A continuing Labour/Lib Dem coalition has until now seemed a strong possibility. After this week that’s more doubtful. Of course, this could be another example of shadow bargaining – talking tough – but it does not feel like that. Cable sounds as if he isn’t keen on sharing power with a future President Miliband at all. Already many Liberals can't say the words "Miliband" without including "hard-left" "radical" or "unions".” - Things we've learned from the Lib Dem conference, Andrew Sparrow (2014)

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As Liberal Democrat national Chair Daisy Cooper announced the results there were still no surprises. Cable had narrowly eked out Alexander for second place in the first round, but after Davey was eliminated the majority of his support went to Alexander, catapulting Alexander into the final round, where he was subsequently crushed by Clegg. Cleggmania had never quite let go of the Liberal Democrats and Clegg was crowned the nominee in a landslide. Now the question emerged, could he rekindle some of that 2009 magic?

Clegg's victory speech was most striking for its aim to reclaim patriotism. “I love Britain” was the refrain of its opening section with Clegg listing the things that made him proud to be British. Clegg underpinned that Britain, for all its eccentricities, was a force for good in the world. "we’re at our best when we’re leading and engaged, not withdrawing and isolated." He contrasted “great liberal qualities” with the extremism emerging in other European countries. “That’s the real question in May. One party wants out of Europe. Another is flirting with exit. The other lot don’t have the courage of their convictions on this – they’re saying nothing at all.” Clegg directly linked this patriotism with the purpose of the Lib Dems: “we are the guardians of a modern, open and tolerant Britain. The guardians also within the national government." Clegg gave a lofty centrist pitch: “we are the only party who will not ask the British people to choose between a stronger economy and a fairer society. They don’t have to. They can have both if we make our shared mission enabling every single person to get on in life.”

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The Lib Dems had stepped up their social media game in the lead up to the election

“Given the Lib Dems dire standing in the polls this has been an upbeat conference. That's partly because it has been free of any whiff of scandal or controversy that has dogged many of their recent conferences. No tuition fees style dramas and Chris Huhne distractions here. But it's also because the Lib Dems feel as though they have found a clear way of defining themselves - the party of IN - as in IN Europe. Not the most catchy catchphrase, but a positioning that sets them apart not from Ukip but from the Tories too. Nick Clegg believes that the main parties have let Ukip and Tory Eurosceptics define the debate on Europe. He is now filling that vacuum with plenty of pro-European rhetoric. That will be the focus of his keynote speech here in Edinburgh. As one of Nick Clegg's advisers put it to me, it is rare for the two smaller parties to dominate the debate like this. UKIP has mined a fruitful vein of votes in being the clearest anti-European voice and taken the protest votes. Nick Clegg is hoping that there are votes to pick up in being the clearest voice on the opposing side.”
- Nick Clegg to 'defend tolerant and modern Britain', ITV News at Ten (2014)

Now came the time to choose a running mate. Clegg had told aides he wanted a factional ally who he could work with on policy, preferably someone younger with Westminster experience, someone distanced from the coalition would be an added plus. Eventually his aides drew up a final shortlist of four names; Danny Alexander, Vince Cable, Alistair Carmichael and Ed Davey. David Laws and Michael Moore had been considered but were dropped during the vetting process.

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Moore had ruled himself out of a national bid, instead seeking the Lib Dem nomination for Premier of Scotland

Clegg dismissed Davey out of hand, he had all the worse traits of the other three candidates, he had been a minister in both coalitions so alienated both sides of the party and he had come an embarrassing fourth place in the primary, appointing Davey would also reopen the old wounds of Chris Huhne’s 2011 leadership challenge. Clegg also dismissed Carmichael, whilst Carmichael was an attractive candidate, left wing and popular in Scotland, Clegg felt the ideological distance between the two would cause problems on the campaign trail.

This left Clegg with two options, Cable his sitting Chancellor and 2009 running mate, or Alexander his former campaign manager. Cable had gravitas and experience, picking him could help bring the party back together. But the primary had been bruising and Clegg’s friendship with Cable had diminished somewhat since 2009 and he was worried Cable would contradict him on the campaign trail, or dominate the media’s attention. In the end Clegg went with Alexander, they were close friends with similar ideological perspectives, Alexander could help him win back Scotland and distance himself from Miliband and Cable on the debate stage.

Clegg announced Alexander in a visit to a Transport Research Laboratory in Berkshire to mixed reactions. Many in the Labour camp were worried that the Lib Dems nomination of two anti-coalition candidates boded poorly for the continuation of the alliance. The Clegg/Alexander ticket was possibly the most right wing, pro free-market Lib Dem ticket in a long time, Alexander made this clear in his acceptance speech, urging the same Tory voters who switched parties for him in the primaries to campaign and vote for Clegg. Now, not only was Howard taking hits from the right-wing UKIP, he also had to watch his left flank for Nick Clegg.

“Whilst Lib Dems had their eyes on Conservative voters on the other side the Tories were thinking the same thing. Conservative election strategists Lynton Crosby and Jim Messina targeted these Liberal Democrat areas. A key part of this plan was the ‘decapitation strategy’ in the South West, where thousands of Liberal Democrat votes were up for grabs. Conservative strategists micro-targeted potential switchers from the Liberal Democrats to the Conservatives. They contacted them through centralised targeting messages and contact from their local team. A fear of a radical Ed Miliband and messages of a "strong mandate" were especially effective on eurosceptic rural South West Lib Dem voters.” - The Electoral Meltdown of the Liberal Democrats, Lecture by David Cutts, Chatham House (2014)

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It now fell to Clegg to hold the crumbling Liberal coalition together

To what extent was the Clegg/Alexander ticket a “clean break” from the Chris Huhne era (30 Marks) - A Level Politics Exam (2019)
 

CalBear

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Hi, not trying to advertise but I am now beginning work on a new future TL. 😀 Great work Powerab!
Pro-tip: The second you say "Hi, not trying to advertise" you both ARE trying to advertise and lying about it in the space of five words.

Please don't do that.
 
Well if the creator of the thread liked my post, that could imply that said creator is perfectly fine with me posting it.
 
The creator is surely a good man, but he is not the owner or the ruler of this forum: the Moderators did the rules here to avoid chaos, infighting, historical revisionism, bumping, trolling, spamming and others similar things not useful to a civil and educated discussion on alternative history. Probably you didn't think about it, but I (and surely others people) was tricked to think there was a new post only to read your totally unnecessary auto-promotion. I have not a problem with you and I will read with interest your eventual works but that is disappointing and wasting-time and that's the reason why it's warmly discouraged.
 

CalBear

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Well if the creator of the thread liked my post, that could imply that said creator is perfectly fine with me posting it.
Yet so many others, including the person who reported it and at least one Mod found it to be entirely inappropriate.

Is this REALLY the molehill that you want to defend to the last?
 
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