In this TL, Winston Churchill and the Conservatives win the 1945 general election, after several PODs during the Second World War.
When the book 'Guilty Men' was published in TTL, it recognised that the Opposition parties were just as in favour of appeasement as the National Government, and so many figures in the Labour Party appeared in the book alongside the members of the National Government who were in the book IOTL. Consequently, the public perception was that both sides were in favour of appeasement, and that who was to blame for it was no longer a political issue, as Churchill, who had been opposed to appeasement from the start, was Prime Minister, and the politicians who were in favour of it were quickly withdrawing from public life.
The Conservatives ensured that their constituency organisations did not fall into disrepair during the Second World War, while the war itself went the same as OTL. This means that the following by-elections went differently to OTL:
- Cambridge University (1940) - Conservative hold
- Newcastle North (1940) - Conservative hold
- Grantham (1942) - Conservative hold
- Wallasey (1942) - Conservative hold
- Rugby (1942) - Conservative hold
- Maldon (1942) - Conservative hold
- Belfast West (1943) - Ulster Unionist hold
- Eddisbury (1943) - Conservative hold
- Skipton (1944) - Conservative hold
- West Derbyshire (1944) - Conservative hold
- Combined Scottish Universities (1945) - Liberal National hold
Holding these constituencies gave a significant boost to the Conservatives and this, combined with the constituency organisations being maintained and up to date, means that the Conservatives in TTL were more confident entering the 1945 general election. In addition to this, Churchill also decided to contest Epping once again, rather than Woodford, as the threat of losing his constituency was less due to the Conservatives’ renewed electoral fortunes - while this affected the election outcome very little, it certainly gave a morale boost to the Conservatives, as it demonstrated that their leader was confident of victory.
During the 1945 election campaign, the Conservatives put greater emphasis on their commitment to implementing the Beveridge Report, and emphasised their commitment to a 'Four Year Plan' to reform post-war Britain, including a major house building project. In addition to this, the Labour campaign encountered more problems then OTL, as many politicians, economists and journalists questioned the feasibility of implementing the Beveridge Report while the UK was still in recession - this damaged Labour's credibility. In contrast, Churchill's view, that the Beveridge Report would be implemented once the economy was in a more healthy state, received greater support, and so the electorate decided that this would be the most sensible method of implementing the Report.
With all these factors in place, the 1945 general election resulted in the following outcome:

Having secured a third consecutive victory for the Conservatives (a landslide victory, too), Winston Churchill was able to accept King George VI's invitation to form a Government, and began his second term as Prime Minister.