Different Allies
February 10, 1943 – Tokyo, Imperial War Cabinet Meeting
In a loud tone Foreign minister Togo stated “I am not satisfied with the Prime Ministers explanation! The loss of Formosa is a serious blow to the Empire. The Americans have established their B-17s on the Island and now our holdings in the whole of Southern China are imperiled.” The Prime Minister regarded Togo with distain, he ached to remove him, but the moderates were in ascendance and the Prime Minister lacked the internal power to deal with him. “The foreign minister’s satisfaction is, of course, of great interest to me. However the fact remains gentlemen that the failure of the Navy to intercept the American fleet doomed our troops even before the battle began.” Here Tojo cast and eye down to Admiral Kondo.
“As I explained to the cabinet and the prime minister” answered the admiral “The Americans had a minimum of 6 carriers to support their landings. More critically they also had long range aircraft from their new bases on Luzon. If you wish me to sail the fleet to its destruction however, I assure you they will soon present us with the option. With the fall of the island the whole of our position in Southern China is untenable. The garrisons can not be supplied except by sea and the Westerners make that impossible. I would advise the cabinet to expect a major landing in China before the spring. For that Field Marshal Hata will be better able to advise the cabinet.”
Hata tugged on his immaculate uniform. His voice was calm. “As you all are aware the recent campaigns in China (1) demonstrated our ability to advance at will into the Chinese countryside. But when the Americans deploy their army this will change. Our garrisons in the South at Hong Kong and in the Fujian province are vulnerable. We hold only the coastal ports and some of the surrounding countryside. When the occupation of Formosa is complete those positions will become untenable. I intend to draw our troops back to our central railheads, where they can be supplied. Also this will place them under cover of our air force. Unfortunately this will allow the Americans to land on the mainland, but they will find little more than ashes and graves.”
“Will the English return?” asked Togo. Admiral Kondo answered “Yes, we can expect them to re-occupy Hong Kong. Either the Americans or the English are going to take over Indochina. The fleet can deal with any direct American Advance into the Yellow Sea or the Home Islands, assuming we have land based support and the Americans do not. If they adopt a cautious policy of advance under the cover of their new air bases, we shall have some difficulty.”
“But you can make they wade through a river of blood. There is a peace party in the West. They lack the bushido spirit of our race. If we can make the cost of their advance high enough, they will seek terms.” Offered the Justice Minister. Tojo looked at him with some alarm. The he looked over at Kiichiro, the old man was had been brought back in to stiffen the cabinet, now he wondered if he made a mistake. “Terms?” asked the Home Minister. Tojo was stunned, Kiichiro was a key ally again the moderates. Togo jumped in immediately. “The Home Minister brings up a critical point. Whatever terms we can get now are no doubt better than what we shall get later. I think it is proper now to begin a discussion of under what conditions we can end this war.”
There it was out in the open at last, thought Kondo. He looked around the cabinet. All eyes focused on the Home Minister. Hiranuma Kiichiro was the key here. He had created the secret police and sanctified the war in China. If he would defect, then Tojo was isolated and his government must fall. Finally Kiichiro broke the silence. “Yes a discussion of terms now is appropriate. The longer we delay opening negotiations the worse things will become. With all due deference to the Justice Minister, it will be far more costly in our blood than theirs.” Now all eyes turned to Tojo.
February 18, 1943 – Raleigh Times
(API) Tokyo, Japan – Neutral sources have confirmed that Prime Minister Tojo has resigned from office. The new Prime Minister is Hiranuma Kiichiro. Kiichiro was Prime Minister of Japan in 1939. He had resigned his office after the defeat of the Japanese in Mongolia by the Soviets. His elevation is considered a positive development in the war. Secretary of State Hull sounded a cautious note of optimism over the fall of Tojo, “The removal of a criminal such as Tojo is positive, no matter who takes his place. Prime Minister Kiichiro has an opportunity now to right some of the grievous wrongs committed by the Japanese Empire. But Japanese should be aware that a simple change of Ministers is insufficient to effect change. “
February 18, 1943 - Changchun, China - Imperial Palace
The Emperor walked slowly in the small garden attached to the Palace. Beside him the Russian ambassador kept pace. The evening dinner had ended two hours ago and the summons to meet with the Emperor in private meant his evening was just beginning. “I am told by my ambassador in Tokyo that the new Government will be seeking terms from the allies.” The ambassador nodded. “Of course the removal of our dear friends the Japanese would be most unfortunate. Their settlers and industry are most vital to the continued prosperity of the realm. It would mean that the bandit Nationalist would no doubt seek to extend their control.” “Yes, that would be possible.” Offered the ambassador, already guessing where this was leading. “Given the close ties between our two governments such a development would be looked at with some disfavor by Chairman Stalin no doubt?” asked the Emperor “Possibly” said the Ambassador “The people of the Soviet Union have a deep affection for your country and yourself.” This meant exactly nothing, mused the ambassador in silence.
The Emperor stopped and motioned for the Russian to sit. “If we could formalize our relationship, in a way similar to your relationship with Mongolia.” Began the Emperor. “Than in the unfortunate case that the Japanese were forced to end direct support of my realm our own mutual interests would be protected.” The ambassador thought furiously. If Manchukuo became a client state of the USSR it would keep the Nationalist out. Of course the Communist in China might want something. Maybe they could be integrated into the new relationship. The Japanese might even accept the political loss if they could keep some of the economic gains (2). “Of course it would also prevent the Germans from operating freely within our borders. They have a formal alliance now with the Nationalist bandits I believe.” Ah, thought the ambassador a good point. The Union could ill afford any serious war on the frontier. If the guarantee scared off the Nationalist and kept the Germans out it might be worth it. Of course if the Nationalist invaded, Molotov could decide then if he wanted to honor the guarantee. He looked at the young Emperor, it appeared that Puyi had more than half a brain. “I will forward your interest to the Foreign Minister, your majesty. Who know what may come of this?”
(1) Zhejian-Jiangxi in our TL, launched to avenge and deal with the Doolittle raid, here conducted as a punitive expedition to expand Japanese control\
(2) Japan had 200,000 settlers and massive investment in Manchuria
February 10, 1943 – Tokyo, Imperial War Cabinet Meeting
In a loud tone Foreign minister Togo stated “I am not satisfied with the Prime Ministers explanation! The loss of Formosa is a serious blow to the Empire. The Americans have established their B-17s on the Island and now our holdings in the whole of Southern China are imperiled.” The Prime Minister regarded Togo with distain, he ached to remove him, but the moderates were in ascendance and the Prime Minister lacked the internal power to deal with him. “The foreign minister’s satisfaction is, of course, of great interest to me. However the fact remains gentlemen that the failure of the Navy to intercept the American fleet doomed our troops even before the battle began.” Here Tojo cast and eye down to Admiral Kondo.
“As I explained to the cabinet and the prime minister” answered the admiral “The Americans had a minimum of 6 carriers to support their landings. More critically they also had long range aircraft from their new bases on Luzon. If you wish me to sail the fleet to its destruction however, I assure you they will soon present us with the option. With the fall of the island the whole of our position in Southern China is untenable. The garrisons can not be supplied except by sea and the Westerners make that impossible. I would advise the cabinet to expect a major landing in China before the spring. For that Field Marshal Hata will be better able to advise the cabinet.”
Hata tugged on his immaculate uniform. His voice was calm. “As you all are aware the recent campaigns in China (1) demonstrated our ability to advance at will into the Chinese countryside. But when the Americans deploy their army this will change. Our garrisons in the South at Hong Kong and in the Fujian province are vulnerable. We hold only the coastal ports and some of the surrounding countryside. When the occupation of Formosa is complete those positions will become untenable. I intend to draw our troops back to our central railheads, where they can be supplied. Also this will place them under cover of our air force. Unfortunately this will allow the Americans to land on the mainland, but they will find little more than ashes and graves.”
“Will the English return?” asked Togo. Admiral Kondo answered “Yes, we can expect them to re-occupy Hong Kong. Either the Americans or the English are going to take over Indochina. The fleet can deal with any direct American Advance into the Yellow Sea or the Home Islands, assuming we have land based support and the Americans do not. If they adopt a cautious policy of advance under the cover of their new air bases, we shall have some difficulty.”
“But you can make they wade through a river of blood. There is a peace party in the West. They lack the bushido spirit of our race. If we can make the cost of their advance high enough, they will seek terms.” Offered the Justice Minister. Tojo looked at him with some alarm. The he looked over at Kiichiro, the old man was had been brought back in to stiffen the cabinet, now he wondered if he made a mistake. “Terms?” asked the Home Minister. Tojo was stunned, Kiichiro was a key ally again the moderates. Togo jumped in immediately. “The Home Minister brings up a critical point. Whatever terms we can get now are no doubt better than what we shall get later. I think it is proper now to begin a discussion of under what conditions we can end this war.”
There it was out in the open at last, thought Kondo. He looked around the cabinet. All eyes focused on the Home Minister. Hiranuma Kiichiro was the key here. He had created the secret police and sanctified the war in China. If he would defect, then Tojo was isolated and his government must fall. Finally Kiichiro broke the silence. “Yes a discussion of terms now is appropriate. The longer we delay opening negotiations the worse things will become. With all due deference to the Justice Minister, it will be far more costly in our blood than theirs.” Now all eyes turned to Tojo.
February 18, 1943 – Raleigh Times
(API) Tokyo, Japan – Neutral sources have confirmed that Prime Minister Tojo has resigned from office. The new Prime Minister is Hiranuma Kiichiro. Kiichiro was Prime Minister of Japan in 1939. He had resigned his office after the defeat of the Japanese in Mongolia by the Soviets. His elevation is considered a positive development in the war. Secretary of State Hull sounded a cautious note of optimism over the fall of Tojo, “The removal of a criminal such as Tojo is positive, no matter who takes his place. Prime Minister Kiichiro has an opportunity now to right some of the grievous wrongs committed by the Japanese Empire. But Japanese should be aware that a simple change of Ministers is insufficient to effect change. “
February 18, 1943 - Changchun, China - Imperial Palace
The Emperor walked slowly in the small garden attached to the Palace. Beside him the Russian ambassador kept pace. The evening dinner had ended two hours ago and the summons to meet with the Emperor in private meant his evening was just beginning. “I am told by my ambassador in Tokyo that the new Government will be seeking terms from the allies.” The ambassador nodded. “Of course the removal of our dear friends the Japanese would be most unfortunate. Their settlers and industry are most vital to the continued prosperity of the realm. It would mean that the bandit Nationalist would no doubt seek to extend their control.” “Yes, that would be possible.” Offered the ambassador, already guessing where this was leading. “Given the close ties between our two governments such a development would be looked at with some disfavor by Chairman Stalin no doubt?” asked the Emperor “Possibly” said the Ambassador “The people of the Soviet Union have a deep affection for your country and yourself.” This meant exactly nothing, mused the ambassador in silence.
The Emperor stopped and motioned for the Russian to sit. “If we could formalize our relationship, in a way similar to your relationship with Mongolia.” Began the Emperor. “Than in the unfortunate case that the Japanese were forced to end direct support of my realm our own mutual interests would be protected.” The ambassador thought furiously. If Manchukuo became a client state of the USSR it would keep the Nationalist out. Of course the Communist in China might want something. Maybe they could be integrated into the new relationship. The Japanese might even accept the political loss if they could keep some of the economic gains (2). “Of course it would also prevent the Germans from operating freely within our borders. They have a formal alliance now with the Nationalist bandits I believe.” Ah, thought the ambassador a good point. The Union could ill afford any serious war on the frontier. If the guarantee scared off the Nationalist and kept the Germans out it might be worth it. Of course if the Nationalist invaded, Molotov could decide then if he wanted to honor the guarantee. He looked at the young Emperor, it appeared that Puyi had more than half a brain. “I will forward your interest to the Foreign Minister, your majesty. Who know what may come of this?”
(1) Zhejian-Jiangxi in our TL, launched to avenge and deal with the Doolittle raid, here conducted as a punitive expedition to expand Japanese control\
(2) Japan had 200,000 settlers and massive investment in Manchuria