The Bourbon Nightmare: a TL

You are a mine of information! Thankyou, this is all noted. I had forseen a strengthening of Denmark who, while at first occupied with Norway, eventually gravitates towards Germany, and ultimatly faces off with Prussia.
Just a point I think you could help me with, alliances. Sweden was historically a French ally, but Arvid Horn sought closer ties with Britain. Would he continue this policy or been more inclined towards the new Bourbon superpower which could ultimately secure them possessions in America? And from the Maritimes' point of view? Seek toll concessions from the Danes or a closer trading partenership with the ressource rich Swedes? I have my own ideas but I'd like you imput.

Nice installments!
I'm just not sure how likely is that rump Scotland, even more considering that Edinburgh doesn't belong to it (how is the situation there? The people in Edinburgh consider George as king of Scotland too?). But the rest of the history seems very interesting indeed.
Thankyou!:D
Well utimately, this Scotland is absolutely dependant on Bourbon aid. The threat of the Auld alliance (and a fair deal of political instability, but that won't last long) is the only thing keeping Britain from trampling all over James.
As for Edinburgh, George is still king of Great Britain, Scotland included, and ultimately they're going to see themselves as more British than "Highlander", as James' scots will be known, especially with his absolutist leanings...

Also, as Elisabeth Farnese isn't married to Philip V, do you have any idea who would be her husband? Considering that she is the heir of Parma she would probably be one of the most interesting "brides" of Europe at that time.
To be honest I haven't decided yet. However I was thinking maybe house of Savoy?
 
To be honest I haven't decided yet. However I was thinking maybe house of Savoy?

Well, if you want to annex Parma to an Italian state, then you can choose Francesco d'Este of Modena, or Prince Carlo Emanuele of Savoy.
If you prefer an option outside the Peninsula, there is Charles Albert of Bavaria.
Other idea could be Felipe allowing the Duke of Orleans to have some kind of compensation by his recognition as king of France, and allowing the Duke's son, Louis d'Orléans, to marry Elisabeth, therefore granting the Orleans a duchy in Italy.
 

Valdemar II

Banned
You are a mine of information! Thankyou, this is all noted. I had forseen a strengthening of Denmark who, while at first occupied with Norway, eventually gravitates towards Germany, and ultimatly faces off with Prussia.

Quite likely, through Prussian may be cut down early. If it goes completely wrong for them, they may be partipated between Saxony, Poland and Denmark.


Just a point I think you could help me with, alliances. Sweden was historically a French ally, but Arvid Horn sought closer ties with Britain. Would he continue this policy or been more inclined towards the new Bourbon superpower which could ultimately secure them possessions in America? And from the Maritimes' point of view? Seek toll concessions from the Danes or a closer trading partenership with the ressource rich Swedes? I have my own ideas but I'd like you imput.

With Norway the incentiment to adopt a alliance with England has been strengthen, but England aren't interested in continued Swedish expansion. While France would support Swedish expansion, but on the other hand the peace which made Sweden leave Germany will have alienated France. So I think a English alliance are more likely. Of course the question are how Sweden will evolve, if it tries continued expansion* in Europe England will turn against them, but if it tries to build up domestic industry and infrastructure a alliance are logical.

Just one thing about the Duchy of Ingria. I could see it seek close relationship with Denmark, and invite West European settlers and mechants in a attempt to develop the territorium. It has a enourmous economical potential as the gate for the Russian trade to the west.

*At least on large scale, if Sweden try to conquer Denmark, England will find it unacceptable. But expansion in East Baltic England won't care about.
 
So... (this is my very first post here and I must say, this site is made of pure gold.) Its nice to see/read of Sweden gaining a colonial empire (?) :3 I hope to see it grow.
 
So... (this is my very first post here and I must say, this site is made of pure gold.) Its nice to see/read of Sweden gaining a colonial empire (?) :3 I hope to see it grow.

Welcome to AH, hope you have fun and all that jazz. :)
And Sweden hasn't really got a colonial empire yet, but we'll see;)

And sorry everyone for the mini hiatus, been rather busy at school, but I am working on the next chapter. Should been poseted soon.
 
Welcome to AH, hope you have fun and all that jazz. :)
And Sweden hasn't really got a colonial empire yet, but we'll see;)

And sorry everyone for the mini hiatus, been rather busy at school, but I am working on the next chapter. Should been poseted soon.
Ah x3 I missunderstood then but alls fair.
 
Part 4: The Boot of Europe

Italian affairs took an interesting turn in the early 18th century, starting in 1714 with the Ottoman-Venetian War[1]. Hoping to regain the former territory of Morea, the Ottomans declared war on the Venetians who were in a week position in Greece. Relying on local Greek support the venetians had lightly garrisoned the region, however many orthodox Greeks felt oppressed by Italian rule, and some even remained reminiscent of the Ottoman millet system. The few Venetians troops would have been quickly defeated had it not been for the intervention of the Hapsburgs. Prince Eugene, having just returned from the War of Spanish Succession, marched an army from the north into the Ottoman lands securing a series of victories. Meanwhile, with Portuguese naval support negotiated by the Austrians, the Venetians defeated the Ottoman navy and managed to land reinforcements, relieving the siege of Corinth. On Crete, fresh Portuguese and Venetian soldiers launched attacks from the Venetian fortresses of Spinalonga, Gramvousa and Souda[2], reclaiming much of the island, and placing it once again under Venetian control.

Not having expected Austrian intervention, the Ottomans focused their efforts on the Austrians, with a few large battles, notably the battle of Belgrade. However by 1715, the Sultan sought to end the conflict before any more land was lost to the Austrians. In the Peace of Corinth the Venetians held onto Morea, quickly fortifying and increasing the garrison there, and regaining Crete. The Austrians made some gains in the north, restoring the former lands of the Kingdom of Hungary. The Portuguese for their part were compensated monetarily by the Venetians, and received a small indemnity from the Ottomans. While Venice had re-established its position in the eastern Mediterranean, it also revealed their dependence on the Austrians. A brief period of resurgence would follow the war, but ultimately the Venice was on the slippery slope of decline, exacerbated by the stirring of sentiment among their Greek population.

Italy was also witness to the rising power of the House of Savoy. Having become kings of Sicily following the Philip Wars, they continued to rise in power under Victor Amadeus II. With the blessing of his ally Felipe, or Philippe, Bourbon, he secured for his eldest son, Victor Amadeus, a marriage with Elisabeth Farnese, heiress of Parma. The Holy Roman Emperor however was incensed, claiming that Parma was an imperial fief. For the time being the last of the Farnese line continued to rule, with a general pro-Bourbon stance. A child was born in 1717, Antonio Emmanuel, which served to intensify the conflict. The Pope finally suggested mediation and in the Treaty of Bologna, the Emperor Charles VI agreed to the Savoy succession of Parma, in exchange for Savoy to drop all possible claims on Tuscany, as well as the recently re-adopted title of King of Jerusalem. In the agreement the Kingdom of Sicily accepted the pragmatic sanction of 1713, naming Maria Therese and her future husband as heirs to the Hapsburg Empire.

Victor Amadeus also sought greater influence outside of Italy. Having established a Sicilian navy, he set about using it. The Royal Sicilian Company or the Società Reale Siciliana, which ironically was financed largely by Genoan bankers, at first plied the Levant trade from the central position of Sicily. However in 1719 Philip Bourbon granted Victor Amadeus trading rights to the newly established city of Bourbonbourg on the Colbert river[3]. The company was the biggest seller of slaves to Louisiana from 1720-1722. The doors had been opened to the outside world, and while the Mediterranean remained their main haunt, their sights had been set further afield. When the king once again began persecuting the Vasdesi[4], and needed somewhere to send them, he found the solution outside of Europe...

Meanwhile, in Tuscany, a succession crisis was keeping grand Duke Cosimo III busy. With only one infertile son as heir, he sought alternatives to follow him. Matters were complicated by the fact that both the Hapsburgs and the Bourbons claimed parts of the duchy as fiefs. But the Duke was determined that the Duchy should remain independent (from the Hapsburgs or Bourbons at least) and thus suggested a number of solutions: giving the duchy to his daughter Anna Maria Louisa despite salic law, or willing the duchy to the House of Este[5]. He even considered bequeathing the duchy to the Church, being a pious man, subject to dreams calling him to “advance the glory of St Peter”. It was even the reason for a number of accords between Cosimo and the Pope Clement XI easing the debt of the duchy. When the Treaty of Bologna pitted Hapsburg and Bourbon interests in Italy, the Pope used the opportunity to gain recognition of Cosimo’s will, leaving the Tuscany in papal hands after the extinction of the Medici male line. However, following the death of his only son Gian Gastone from overindulgence, both the Emperor and Cosimo had a change of mind. Charles insisted that a feudal overlord the duchy should revert to him, whereas Cosimo was entertaining the idea of restoring the Florentine Republic[5].

In 1720 the Tuscan question came to a head. While the Bourbons were occupied in the short Anglo-Bourbon War, the Emperor pushed ahead his claims on the duchy and marched a small occupying army into northern Tuscany by way of Modena. This in itself enraged the locals, but when the imperial army arrived, it found itself enduring attacks from small militia bands. Cosimo had rallied together the pitiful Tuscan army, but alongside him could be found a papal army and a large mercenary army paid for by mysterious benefactors. The imperial troops stayed long enough for a short skirmish before retreating back to Milan. Pope Paul thoroughly expected Charles to back down and sent a conciliatory offer of peace, however Charles refused. While many in Italy feared the Hapsburgs, in fact Charles was in a precarious position. The series of ruinous war fought since the beginning of the century had left the Empire heavily in debt. What’s more, his efforts to change the Bohemian and Hungarian constitutions to allow his daughter’s succession rankled many. The raising of taxes for the latest Italian War sparked rebellion in Bohemia and Hungary as well as Alsace.

The rebellion boosted confidence in Italy and the Pope was able to form the League of Florence with a mixture of promises of land, money or threats; an alliance of the Papal States, Tuscany, Modena, Naples (representing the Bourbon interests) and Sicily. This aggressive attitude was new among the small, disparate states, however financial aid from the Pope and the Bourbons allowed for the creation of armies, largely from Italian mercenaries. Meanwhile the republic of Venice fell into the Hapsburg camp, being forced to bear the brunt of attacks while Charles subdued the rebellions. A Sicilian army, under the command of the Prince of Piedmont, took Milan in early 1721 and then moved to occupy Brescia along with a contingent from Modena. A larger Papal-Neapolitan force marched on Venice, however they met an imperial army on the way and were forced back into Ferrara where battle was met. While a tactical defeat for the Austrians, whose greatest general, Prince Eugene of Savoy, was killed, it was a pyrrhic victory for papal forces that had to withdraw. A stalemate followed with the Austrians unable to send a war-winning army, and the Italian’s exhausted. Feelers were made for peace and Charles accepted.

The Treaty of Verona severely limited Hapsburg influence in Italy, effectively ending centuries of domination, reduced to the Duchy of Milan, which was only retained due to a general fear of further Sicilian expansion. Barred from territorial gains, Sicily negotiated a series of trade concession, particularly from the Venetians who were subsequently overtaken in the Mediterranean trading. As well as this, Victor Amadeus received a large sum of money from the losers. The House of Este received the duchy of Mantua, despite promises made of receiving Tuscany. Tuscany was transferred to papal authority except for Siena which was transferred to the Kingdom of Naples[6], returning to Bourbon control. Cosimo died during the negotiations and with him the Medici line.

While the war seemed rather minor on the face of it, subtle changes had occurred across the peninsula. For the first time in centuries, a foreign power had been defeated and the first shackle of Italy’s constraint removed. The Hapsburgs had managed to force the majority of the Italian states against it, and the first hints of nationalism started to show with the formation of joint armies. In Tuscany, where the wish of independence remained strong, the first whispers were heard of secularisation. And finally, the subtlest of all, the war had allowed the re-emerging bankers of Genoa to gain a greater control of the treasuries of almost every state. And we all know that money makes the world go round...


**********
[1] - The same war occured OTL, but without Austrain help from the start the Venetians lost Morea

[2] - These were the last remaining Venetian outposts on Crete. They also were lost along with Morea OTL

[3] - OTL's New Orléans, since the Duc D'Orléans whom the city was named after orginally has fallen somewhat into disregard, on the Mississippi river which at the time was known as Colbert river, and has never changed name.

[4] - Waldesians as we would know them, they are Protestants from the hills of savoy and piedmont. Known TTL by their Italian name due to them getting more limelight in the future, in Italy.

[5] - All these were possiblities considered by Cosimo OTL, but he changed his mind so often he never got any one else to agree to any.

[6] - The republic of Siena being a former Spanish fief, it's only right that it should go to the Bourbons of Naples now.




Sorry for the delay, but what with school and exams, I'm afraid updates might be sluggish until the holidays. Still, I shall push on...
 
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And for those of you interested by cartographic representation, voilà! Europa 1721 after the Treaty of Verona!

Bourbon Nightmare 1717 legened.png

Bourbon Nightmare 1717 legened.png
 
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Valdemar II

Banned
Nice update and I like the map .

I think this may turn the Habsburgs more hostile to at least the Papalcy and maybe even the church itself. Making them more positive to ideas as Febronianism. Joseph II tried in OTL to make reform which was positive Lutheran (allow priest to marry, take over clerical property* and make the priest government officials*). With the Papalcy being seen as a secular opponent even the Arch Catholic Maria-Theresa may look to a more state run Church. Interesting at this point Hidden Protestants was still strong even in Austria proper to say nothing about Hungary and Bohemia. Charles may adopt a more pleasant attitude to them.

*In the Habsburg possesions
 
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I'm not so sure I see this in 1715. Orleans had control of the country's administration; he'd have the support of Holland and England; and the Emperor would also be opposed. Suddenly he can just walk in and take charge?
 
Nice update and I like the map .

I think this may turn the Habsburgs more hostile to at least the Papalcy and maybe even the church itself. Making them more positive to ideas as Febronianism. Joseph II tried in OTL to make reform which was positive Lutheran (allow priest to marry, take over clerical property* and make the priest government officials*). With the Papalcy being seen as a secular opponent even the Arch Catholic Maria-Theresa may look to a more state run Church. Interesting at this point Hidden Protestants was still strong even in Austria proper to say nothing about Hungary and Bohemia. Charles may adopt a more pleasant attitude to them.
I'm definately looking to transform the catholic church in this TL. Expect gallicianism to pop up in it's various national forms all over. And Hapsburgs arn't going to be very pleased with the Pope, that's for sure.

Oh and I fixed the map.

Nice... Sweden looks better off than in otl...
Appearances can be deceptive....or not.

I'm not so sure I see this in 1715. Orleans had control of the country's administration; he'd have the support of Holland and England; and the Emperor would also be opposed. Suddenly he can just walk in and take charge?
He may have had control of the administartion, but not all of it, he had his opponants in high places. What's more Louis XIV left france heavily endetted. As for foreign support, England's got a succession crisis on it's hands, the Dutch have various obligations in Denmark and England, not to mention a debt nearly a big as France's, and the Emperor has Ottomans to bash. Felipe had a quickly recovering nation behind him as well as considerable support in France, and ultimatly, fate was on his side. (Me being fate here;))
 

Valdemar II

Banned
One thing looking at the Duchy of Ingria, like I said earlier I expect a closer relationship with Denmark (Menshikov may even a marriage between one of Catherines daughters and Christian VI of Denmark ). Beside that there's a need for develop Ingria, but home to the main port of Russia to the Baltic the Duchy are not going to lack capital. Likely they would do it best to build up St. Petersburg by trying to gain westen mechants and getting the people whom already live there to stay, especially because the moving of the court and the new inward focus will result in many moving from the city again. Beside that they need to build the rest of the Duchy up. Here the solution can be to offer religeous freedom and freedom for taxation for a periode and military service to make westerners willing to settle there.

Mennonites and other Anababtist group like the Amish would be obvious target for such policies. At least for the rural areas, Petersburg itself will likely attracts Dutch, Danish and German mechants.

Linguistic and religeous the area are going to be interesting the majority of the population was Finnish speaking and Lutheran at the time. In OTL that was turned around and Russian became in majority, here we're not likely to see the Russian migration to the area, and instead of the area being split up in large estates among the Russian nobility, we're more likely to see it sold/given to westen immigrants (most of whom will be German Lutherans) both mechants (sold to) and nobles (for serving in the Ingria adminstration and army) with the natives forced into service for them.
I wouldn't be surprised if Menshikov become inspired by the Danish Briefadel (patent nobility), where rich landowners was raised to nobility after the productivity of their land*.
The other aspect are the rural immigrants, these will logical be freeholders and likely most of them will be German speakers. So Ingria could end up as a second Estonia or a second Prussia purely linguistic and religeous. Because of the low Population of the area (between 50-100 000 without St. Petersburg***) I lean to the later.
Ingria will likely raise it army much like most state began to do in that periode, first it will be made mostly up by foreigners, but they will likely shift to a officer corps made up by poor German nobles (second sons), while the some of the army will raised among the serfs as conscrips****, the rest will likely be a mix of Russians, Poles and Germans "mercenaries"*****. The navy personnel will likely be made up by Danes, Dutchmen and Norvegians (lots of Norvegian will likely be hostile to serve in the Swedish navy).
Because the Duchy will have to relative high salary to gain recruits to army and navy, even the common soldiers will likely be lower middle class.
The result will likely be a rather well discipned and behaved army and navy.
The armies size will likely be 5-10 000 proffesionel soldiers and around the same raised as conscrips among the serfs. Beside that we likely see St. Petersburg being able to raise a militia of a few thousand for defensive purposes.
Of course this is nothing to the 160-200 000 Sweden can raise in War or even 70-100 000 Denmark can raise. But it's still a useful for defense, especially because of the fortification the Duchy will likely invest in. The reason I see them invest in that, are because the Danish-Ingria navy will likely be superior to Sweden navy and as such they can wait any war with Sweden (or Russia) out, if the Swedes (or Russians) are unable to take St. Petersburg.

*A man became Baron if he owned 1000 hartkorn** land, while a count had to own 2500

**Unit of production a average family farm produced between 6-8 hartkorn

***St. Petersburg will be giant sized compared to the rural population, in OTL it had in 1725 75 000 inhabitants, likely it will be somewhat lower with the shorter periode it was capital and the lack of a Russian Estonia. So it will likely have 30-50 000 inhabitants still enourmous, but not to the same degree.

****Because of the low population of serfs, they will have to find alternative sources than the serfs, and thank to the rich state they will be able to it.

*****Think Foreign Legion rather than the mercenary companies of the 30YW.
 
Part 5: Blowing Bubbles


The economic situation in the Europe was rather dire from 1715 onwards, with crippling debt hindering recovery. Almost all Northern European states had taken part in crippling wars, dramatically draining resources, reducing capital, limiting commerce and therefore leading to a general recession. The centre of banking at the time; Amsterdam, had been left penniless after funding a series of interventions and wars for the United Provinces and other nations, only to find that no-one could repay their debts. In France an already dismal set of debts inherited from Louis XIV had been doubled by the war between the duc Orleans and Felipe, the latter who had also drained the slowly recovering Spanish treasury. England had also run up huge debts, not only with the Bank of England, but the Bank of Scotland which was subsequently seized by James Stuart, and bankers in Amsterdam. The Scandinavian nations had ruined themselves in the Northern War, Sweden in particular had sold nearly every possession. The German states had also significantly reduced themselves economically, and were getting worse with exorbitant tolls becoming the norm following the Danish example. Only along the Mediterranean, where the rising Italian states had reinvigorated trade, could any reasonable money be made. And it was from here that the recovery commenced, with the resurrection of Genoa as a centre of banking.


At first stimulating and then reaping the rewards, the bankers of Genoa had given a boost to the merchants of Venice and Sicily. Palermo in particular became the centre of Mediterranean trade, selling everything from wine to silk to sugar to grain, all produced on the island and with production growing. Slaves also were shipped from Africa, or bought from the Barbary pirates, to be sold in America, Europe or even in the Ottoman empire which was opening up to Sicilian traders. The Sicilians, in union with the Knights of Malta, also began the system of exchanging black slaves for white along the Barbary coast. The losses incurred in such a project were often offset by the prestige earned for the kingdom.


The rest of Europe however, sought quicker solutions to their problems. Across the whole of northern Europe taxes were raised to new heights, often inciting revolts in already troubled areas such as in Ireland and Catalonia[1], or igniting conflicts that would last such as in Provence or Aquitaine. Another solution sought was overseas trading; instigated by John Law[2], an Scottish Economist, who had created the Royal Bank of Scotland for King James. He believed that trade, and not money, constituted the wealth of a nation. He created The Royal Scottish Trading Company to take up the national debt, and issued the first paper money, increasing the exchange of wealth. The system knew success in it's first years, greatly reducing the debt that James had incurred establishing his Kingdom (and by consequence probably allowed the Irish War to happen). A myriad of companies in other countries sprung up to mirror the success, such as: the Swedish East Indian Company, the Danish Caribbean Company, The Antwerp Company, The South Seas Company, The Muscovia Company, or The Philippine Company; and in exchange for trading rights, many companies took on part of the national debt. Speculation on the promise of great wealth from America and Asia inflated share prices to ridiculous levels, more often than not supported by the government, creating what was known as the “Bubbles”, massively inflated share values that were unmaintainable. Large parts of the debts were repaid, but the companies were unable to make returns on their promises of unimaginable wealth, and thus the bubbles burst, almost simultaneously across Europe, rendering the companies worthless, crashing the stock markets and leaving thousands of investors in financial ruin[3].


What followed was a period of extreme mistrust towards bankers, trading companies and speculation in general which lasted for varying lengths in different states. In England, trading continued as normal almost immediately, while in the Bourbon lands, a whole generation kept their purses firmly closed. It took a decade for most of the rest of Europe the regain trust. The bubbles had caused a great deal of change. Many had gone from riches to ruin, particularly amongst the growing bourgeoisie, leading to disgruntlement, with many families moving either to America or to Italy in the hope of new opportunities. These people were often well educated, and grouping together they commented on the ephemeral nature of wealth, among other things, leading to a new spirituality and a search for simplicity which was taken with them to their new homes. On the other hand, a few lucky speculators made a fortune, creating a new generation of entrepreneurs who would change the old order.


In general, by the 1730s, the economy had recovered thanks largely in part to the relative peace enjoyed in the 1720s. The crash had hit Europe hard when it least needed it, but a side effect was a small number of lucrative companies that managed to survive the crash. These new trading entreprizes would help recovery and expand european influence. But as the northern countries once again set out to dominate the market, they found themselves in competition with the southern nations of Italy, that had jumped in and taken up the slack, and the Bourbons whose recovery rode on the back of America...

**********
[1] - Ireland at this time has ongoing religious strife and persecution, which will be discussed later. Catalonia still feels sore over the War of Spanish Succession, in whihc they backed the wrong candidate and paid heavily as a result.
[2] - John Law is a rather interesting character, ahead of his time in ecomomics. He was responsable for OTLs Bubbles in France where he was employed. He scheme might have worked though if it wasn't such a huge debt he was working with.
[3] - These bubbles hapened OTL, although on a smaller scale and only in England with the South Sea Company and France with the Mississippi Company.


Sorry for the delay since my last update, but I've been passing my Bac. But now I'm on holiday so I should have more regular parts done.
 
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Unfortunately very little of this is historically plausible.:(

To start, practically everything about the United Kingdom is wrong. Even Scotland had little support for the return of the Stuarts so long as they remained Catholic and support in England effectively nil in England with that condition remaining.

In addition your map has England keeping the most valuable and settled portions of Scotland, so describing this as dependent on France would be charitable given that this rump Scotland would be outnumbered more than 10 to 1 by England, Wales and Hanoverian Scotland. Then there would be the many Scottish clans hostile to the Stuarts...

Do not forget that his claim to England was identical to his claim to Scotland which renders compromise impossible on both sides. To admit he is not the rightful king of England destroys his claim to Scotland while his rival admitting that claim to Scotland has effectively recognized the claim to England.

Given the reported supremacy of the Royal Navy France can give no aid and James can't possibly hold anything alone.





As for the overwhelming power of a Bourbon kingdom including Spain, France and the combined colonial empires that would be the same combination which went down to defeat in the War of Spanish Succession only recently ended.

This war, barely months(!) over when this TL starts, saw France and Spain consistently unable to match the total number of soldiers fielded by their opponents and which saw almost every battle for more than a decade end in defeat for the Bourbons. Further, the aggressions of Louis XIV had shattered Bourbon credibility in diplomatic circles to the point that only three minor powers served briefly as Bourbon allies in the war and two let the coalition buy them off in 1704.


For this TL to work you need to somehow pretend that the past few decades of history wrought by the Bourbons, ending only months earlier, has somehow been forgotten by all of the statesmen of Europe.
 
Unfortunately very little of this is historically plausible.:(

To start, practically everything about the United Kingdom is wrong. Even Scotland had little support for the return of the Stuarts so long as they remained Catholic and support in England effectively nil in England with that condition remaining.

In addition your map has England keeping the most valuable and settled portions of Scotland, so describing this as dependent on France would be charitable given that this rump Scotland would be outnumbered more than 10 to 1 by England, Wales and Hanoverian Scotland. Then there would be the many Scottish clans hostile to the Stuarts...

Do not forget that his claim to England was identical to his claim to Scotland which renders compromise impossible on both sides. To admit he is not the rightful king of England destroys his claim to Scotland while his rival admitting that claim to Scotland has effectively recognized the claim to England.

Given the reported supremacy of the Royal Navy France can give no aid and James can't possibly hold anything alone.

I am aware that James is in an untainable possition, that is why what is going to happen is going to happen. But bluffing can go a long way, and France can always slip the odd ship through with money or a few soldiers. The RN isn't impenatrable.

But yes, James is in something of a dreamworld, while his trusted ministers are bluffing their way through, and the Hanoverians are busy establishing their rule and dealing with Ireland (to be discussed). Can't last forever though...



As for the overwhelming power of a Bourbon kingdom including Spain, France and the combined colonial empires that would be the same combination which went down to defeat in the War of Spanish Succession only recently ended.

This war, barely months(!) over when this TL starts, saw France and Spain consistently unable to match the total number of soldiers fielded by their opponents and which saw almost every battle for more than a decade end in defeat for the Bourbons. Further, the aggressions of Louis XIV had shattered Bourbon credibility in diplomatic circles to the point that only three minor powers served briefly as Bourbon allies in the war and two let the coalition buy them off in 1704.


For this TL to work you need to somehow pretend that the past few decades of history wrought by the Bourbons, ending only months earlier, has somehow been forgotten by all of the statesmen of Europe.

Deafeat for the Bourbons in the Spanish War of Succession is a bit strong. After all they got what they aimed for, a Bourbon on the throne of Spain. And while during the war they were regularly defeated (thanks largely to Churchill) at the end they were regularly fighting the allies to a stalemate, as the alliance started bickering amongst themselves and Churchill was recalled.

Now you have to remember that the war of succession was fought largely by France, as Spain had just been conquered. What's more both naions were heavily in debt.

Here almost all Europe's in the same situation. The allies have got internal trouble, and as far as their concerned, the greatest european military power just hooked up with the largest empire in the world. Of course, like Scotland, this can't go on forever, but the Bourbons are definately in a stonger position than any other single nation. It will have to be an alliance to take it down, whihch will take time to arrange. What's more, the quiet Felipe will have somewhat repaired relations with the rest of Europe.

once again it's a question of bubbles. The image of the Bourbons is getting inflated beyond what their capable of. They have the potentiel, but will the bubble burst before they have secured thier hegemony? We'll find out. ;)
 
Part 6 : The Empires of the West


Following Philippe Bourbon's ascension to the French throne, most historians consider the Spanish and French colonial empires as one. However they were effectively ruled separately until 1719, when the French and Spanish empires were placed under the control of a new joint directory, at the treaty of Toulouse. Following economic difficulty Philippe relied on his almost complete control of America[1] to refill the Bourbon treasury.


While most of Europe had seen devastating war recently, America had remained surprisingly quiet, often forgotten and therefore saved from ravaging. The only real transfer of land had come with the treaty of Utrecht with the British domains expanding into New France, with Nova Scotia, Rupert's Land and the somewhat sneaky appropriation of Acadia[2]. However further British expansion had been halted with the confusion following the death of Queen Anne and the subsequent War of British Succession. However a few enterprising settlers sought to expand the colonies at the expense of Bourbon hegemony. At the time, the Bourbon military presence in the region remained limited and little fuss was made of the numerous Arcadians slowly forced to resettle, often in the newer territory of Illinois, around the Great Lakes.


The same was true further south. Brazilian expansion inland in the search for gold, had significantly slowed following the statement of Philip's disapproval in 1718. Officials attempted to curb expansion, due to King John's fears of Portugal being invaded. Settlers nonetheless poured into Minas Gerais, a region full of gold, gems and diamonds,setting up mining towns with rapidly growing populations. Slave built roads soon joined the mines to the growing port of Rio de Janeiro[3]. Further illicit expansion inland was generally stopped by the growing power and native armies of the Jesuit missions[4], who also knew expansion during this period, with the enthusiastic support of both Philip and the Pope.


With the new colonial directory came reform. A distinct western approach was followed, evidenced by the complete indifference to the loss of Pondicherry in India to the British during the Anglo-Bourbon war. The American territories were organised into 4 vice-royalties: New France, Louisiana, New Spain and Peru, with a fifth and sixth added soon after: Caribbea, with it's capital at Havana, was aimed at defending the Caribbean islands from the increasing pirate activity, and was the first to regroup French and Spanish possessions together, notably Hispanola which was united once again. Meanwhile Florida was left in a somewhat ambiguous position, nominally part of New Spain, but generally being governed from Bourbonbourg which was much closer. Platonia, based around Buenos Aires was aimed mainly at countering Portuguese influence in the region, and reducing smuggling which had become endemic in the region[5]. The focus for new, qualified (often French) viceroys was to encourage settlers, increase the number of black slaves, and to reduce the power of the Criollos, thus hopefully increasing the gold which could be shipped over to Spain and France.


In the first years, success was achieved, but not directly as a result of the reforms. The large quotas for Black slaves to be imported, led to “out sourcing” to foreign companies to provide, notably the British and then the Sicilians. This, even limited, opening up to foreign trade stimulated the wider economy providing for a boom in the mid to late 1720s. Furthermore the number of white settlers provided both labour and a market for products. Still restricted to European Catholics, the numbers were largely made up for by Irishmen, driven from their homes by the harsh Whiggish repression, or Scots, seeking to escape the poverty at home, or fleeing after the Scots War. These immigrants were encouraged by their respective overlords, either for religious or economic reasons. Another portion of the settlers were French Jansenists and Gallicans exiled to the new world colonies. The latter often ended up in New France or Louisiana, making Bourbonbourg a centre for religious dissent. However many of the Irish and Scottish settlers found themselves as indentured labourers in Platonia, or settled as a buffer against the ruthless Patagonians further south[6]. Despite several years of devastating raids, more settlers took the place of those lost and soon adapted to the native methods, adopting horses themselves and taking to cattle raising. These “Celtic lancers”, earned the respect of both the Spanish authorities (allowing Spanish colonisation further south) and the natives. When James VIII of Scotland sought to establish a colonial empire, Philip suggested he establish a small settlement at the mouth of the Sauce river[7]. The small settlement, established in 1722, would become known as Jamestown, named after the king and also a reference to the first English colony in America.


However, both the changes and the success led to resentment. The reinvigorated empire had come to be entirely run by the Peninsulares from Spain and increasingly the Franceses from France. Criollos, Americans of European descent, found themselves cut out from power and increasingly from wealth. What's more the new governors came down hard on contraband, which was important to a large number of Criollos. The administration cared little for the Americans, and increasingly lower caste groups were being treated more harshly and forced to pay higher taxes. A number of revolts occurred throughout the empire in the 1720s, all ruthlessly crushed by the increasing number of soldiers present.


Expansion for the Spanish was generally spurred by Americans driven by increasing poverty to seek new land. A large number also moved into the sparsely populated French colonies, adding to the already cosmopolitan population of Louisiana. Spanish control extended slowly into Patagonia at one extreme but at the other, expansion of the French was favoured, greatly annoying the Spanish colonists. A small number of expeditions were initiated, with the goal of increasing knowledge of lands already claimed for the bourbons. The Bourgmont expedition[7] set out from Bourbonbourg in 1721, to explore the furthest reaches of the Misouri, and establish a French presence in the region. Notable among those that took part was a young Olympe de Voltaire[8] and Joseph Cadillac[9]. The expedition succeeded in extending Bourbon influence over the Great Plains and peaceful trading relation with the natives. Outside of America however, expansion and exploration were extremely limited. Nevertheless other nations were throwing themselves into colonization. Denmark bought the islands of St Jan and St Croix from the Bourbons, adding to St Thomas which was already Danish[10]. The Swedish were given the Salter Islands[11] from Britain in exchange for landing rights in Greenland for British whalers. Meanwhile Breton settlers from St Malo were the first to arrive at the Maloan Isles[12].


The peace enjoyed in Europe during the period was mirrored in America, however, internally, conflict was almost constant. A series of Indian wars[13] in North America instigated by French/British rivalries led to a number of tribes disappearing or amalgamating. However with pressure from Bourbon colonies, the British took an increasingly friendly approach to the natives limiting settlement in their lands and creating treaties, while the Bourbons, who generally had good relations, came into increasing conflict with new settlement encroaching on native lands. Overall however, many tribes fled the colonies for empty land either north or west. For the colonists themselves, unrest was generally simmering. The British settlers of the Thirteen Colonies chaffed under increasing interference from London, as the Whigs sought to create a bulwark against the Bourbons in America. Quite a few moved to the Caribbean seeking fresh land on the islands, or taking to privateering which was becoming more and more common. The Spanish colonials however were the most restless, simmering under the new found authority of the Bourbons. And it would only be a matter of time before something gave...

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[1] - The Spanish and French Empires combined is certainly a large chunk of America, but quite far from all of it. This is a view held TTL by the Bourbons. Expect references to the treaty of Tordisillas.
[2] - Acadia had been reliquished to the British at Utrect, but the French stayed anyway OTL until the 7 years war. TTL they have other fish to fry, and the British are focusing here rather than elsewhere.
[3] - All this expansion into Minas Gerais is OTL, including the roads. Difference here is the authorities' reluctance to push matters with the Bourbons. Portugal at this time is in a vulnarable position.
[4] - The Jesuit native missons, were settlements of converted indians who lived in autonomy under a Jesuit mission. OTL they were in decline due to controversies back in Europe, but heere they have the full support of the Bourbons and the pope and so are flourishing, much to the annoyance of the Brazilians and Spanish colonists who seek expansion.
[5] - Extra Viceroyalties would be created OTL quite a bit later but for similar reasons. TTL the reforms underway have sped up the process.
[6] - Patagonian raids kept the Argentinians and Chilians from expanding south OTL for much longer. Here it's not much but a start, thanks largely to the celtic buffers, who enjoy better relations with the natives, and better success.
[7] - Sauce river (named after the Spanish word for willow trees that grow along the river) is OTL Rio Negro in Argentina, and Jamestown is around Viedma.
[8] - Yes; OTLs Voltaire has a slightly different name and is in America, banished their by his father both as a punishment and as protection. TTL Voltaire was a fan of the Duc D'Orléans' tolerant policies (quite the opposite of OTL where he was sent to the Bastille for critisizing him). Keep an eye out for him.
[9] - Son of Antoine Laumet de La Mothe, sieur de Cadillac, French explorer and founder of Detroit
[10] - All OTL but slightly later on. These islands now form the US Virgin Islands
[11] - OTLs Turk and Caicos islands, originally settled by pirates and salt panners.
[12] - The Falkland Isles, which were OTL settled by people from St Malo, les Malouins, hence the Spanish version Malvinas.
[13] - These Indian Wars happened OTL (the Fox, Tuscarora and Yamasee Wars)
 
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