Chapter 37: The German naval expansion plan and TL.
The discussion between Raeder and Hitler had revolved into an understanding by Raeder of Hitler’s plans of increasingly calculated risks. Until 1935, Hitler and the navy had understated the risk Germany posted, following 1935, when the AGN was announced Hitler had wanted to appear safe from a British perspective and more than a pushover for France. That Hitler had succeeded so far was clear when German troops moved into the previously demilitarized Rhineland.
The next task was for the German army to expand, so that it in reality was not a pushover, because Hitler wanted to increase the stakes by dismantling the alliances and understandings of Status Quo that was aligned against Germany. The alignment between Benito Mussolini and Hitler was perhaps the most important of these changes and followed international embargoes against Italy when they declared war against Ethiopia.
Hitler would now consolidate the rearmaments process that was currently threatened by a steel crisis, and Raeder’s job was to rebuild the navy in the interim. In making the naval rearmament, the Kriegsmarine had to walk a precarious balance with the British and the Royal Navy. To maintain the illusion of abiding to the AGN agreement, and only break the illusion when the Kriegsmarine had already acquired the strength to act as a deterrent.
The naval rearmament managed to navigate the steel crisis in an unconventional fashion, as it directly acquired iron and processed steel from abroad in return for selling of merchant ships. The downside of this was that some activity had to be postponed.
Here follows an overview of what the German possessed and had in the making in the summer of 1936:
Floating:
12 800 tons motortorpedoboats
12 coastal submarines
12 E-boats
6 modern light cruisers
2 converted transports acting as carriers (these were unarmed, and not officially marine ships)
6 Panzerschiffe officially at 10000 tons. The wo newest ones were launched with 3x2 11’’ guns, two had been upgraded and were indergoing sea trials, two were in drydock and were being upgraded.
6 heavy cruisers. These had all been launched and equipped with the 3x8’’ inch turrets from the first 4 of the Panzer shiffe. All 6 were still fitting out with the last expecting commission in 1937.
6 Diesel Destroyers armed with 4x 150 mm DP guns, long range, 8 torpedo launchers and a good complement of AA guns.
Non-comissioned civilian ships designed for later conversion:
4 major liners (2 at 50000 tons, 2 at 60000 tons), 3 smaller liners at 25000 tons designed for carrier conversions.
6 fleet support ships that currently served as transports.
On the slipways:
Germany had 5-6 (depending on whether we include ships build in Bremen for which the draught of the Bismarck class battleships are at the limits) for battleships and carrier sized ships. These were engaged in:
3 officially 35000 tons battleships to be armed with 3x3 14 inch guns (unofficially 45000+ and 3x2 420 mm guns) laid down in 1935 and expecting launch in late 1937-early 1938*
2 23000 tons carriers also laid down in 1935 and expecting launch in mid-1937*
All smaller slipways were also active:
6 E-boats (the yards were to build these as fast as possible and would evolve in construction time from 6 months to 3 months over the coming years)
6 2600 tons Destroyers were building in Hamborg, Kiel and Bremen.
6 ocean going submarines and a further 12 coastal submarines were building in Wilhelmshafen and Kiel. 6 further slipways were being made for ocean going submarines.
In 1936 6 further slipways capable of building light cruiser sized vessels were taken up by civilian construction. In the mean time, the equipment, guns and machinery had been order for a further 12 light cruisers. 6 to be laid down in 1937, 6 in late 1938.
2 slipways were being established to build larger ships. These would serve orders for the large fleet support ships to be made in 1937, 1938 and possibly 2 in 1939.
With this level of activity, it was possible for the Kriegsmarine to lay down shipping in excess of the AGN in 1937, but the heavy ships were not likely to commission until 1938-9. This had the potential to generate a threat before the build-up of a deterrent, a conundrum that could not be solved easily unless at the risk of confrontation. Currently, the policy would be to order engines and guns in advance, but this could not entirely solve the problem.
*Based on OTL Bismarck and Graf Zeppelin timelines from laying down to launch.