robertp6165 said:
One intriguing scenario that is rarely considered is, what if the Assyrian Empire had focused more energy on the conquest of Anatolia, and as a result, has ended up in control of the region, by 700 BC. Assyria begins to meddle with the Greek city states of Ionia, who, as they did in OTL when oppressed by Persia, call on their mainland cousins for aid. King Sennacherib of Assyria is thus faced with the same problem faced by Kings Darius I and Xerxes of Persia...what to do with these troublesome Greeks?
The Assyrian army was at the height of it's power at this time, and Assyria is ruled by one of it's most capable rulers. Greece, on the other hand, is a set of small city states, still ruled by kings or oligarchies. Militarily, they are still in transition between the old tactics of the Dark Age period and the Classical phalanx.
What do you think Greece's chances are against the Assyrian juggernaut?
Here's a suggested timeline of the Assyrian conquest.
721 BC--King Shalmaneser V of Assyria is assassinated while besieging the Israelite capital at Samaria. One of his generals usurps the throne. He rules as King Sargon II. Sargon completes the successful siege of Samaria, destroys the city, and deports approximately 30,000 Israelites. The Kingdom of Israel is no more. Also in this year, Marduk-apal-iddina, a Chaldean Chieftain, in alliance with Elamite King Ummanigash, takes Babylon and establishes himself there as King.
720 BC--Sargon II moves against Elam, but is defeated at the Battle of Der. However, the victory is very costly to the Elamites, who will remain quiet for some time to come. Later that same year, he defeats a Syrian coalition at Qarqar, gaining control of Arpad, Simirra, and Damascus. He then moves against Palestine again, where an alliance with the Philistines and Egyptians is attacking King Ahaz of Judah, who is allied to Assyria. Sargon defeats the enemy coalition and destroys the Philistine cities of Gaza and Raphia. Assyrian rule is firmly established over all of Palestine. Also at about this time, the Cimmerians, an Indo-European tribe living in the region of the Crimea, are defeated by the Scythians and begin to migrate south through the Caucasus Mountains into Anatolia, where they attack the kingdom of Urartu. The Urartians, Assyria's most powerful enemy, will be sorely beset by these tribesmen for some time to come.
717 BC--Sargon II of Assyria takes Carchemish, the last major independent Hittite city, located on the upper Euphrates.
717-715 BC--Sargon II campaigns in Iran. Among the tribes he subjugates are the Medes and the Parsuash, ancestors of the Persians, who at the time lived near Lake Urmia.
715 BC--King Ahaz of Judah dies. His son, Hezekiah, is not content to be an Assyrian vassal, and begins scheming with the Egyptians and other surrounding states.
714 BC--The Cimmerians inflict a major defeat on the forces of Urartu, capturing and burning the city of Mushashir. King Sargon II of Assyria, taking advantage of the overthrow of Assyria's great enemy, invades Urartu. He decisively defeats the Urartian army at Lake Urmia, killing King Rusas I. Urartian power is completely broken, although the kingdom will survive until it is finally destroyed by the Scythians and Medes in 612 BC.
713-709 BC--In 713 BC, having learned of illicit aid by King Midas III of Phrygia given to King Rusas I of Urartu during the recent campaign, Sargon II leads the Assyrian army into Anatolia in the first of several yearly campaigns. During these campaigns he conquers the last of the independent Hittite cities, destroys Phrygia, as well as decisively defeating the Cimmerians, who had settled in the bend of the Halys River. King Midas III commits suicide as his capital city, Gordium, falls to the Assyrians in 709 BC. Thousands of Hittites, Phrygians, and Cimmerians are deported to Assyria, and thousands of other conquered peoples are transported to Anatolia. The Assyrians grant independence to the Phrygian vassal state of Lydia, whose king, Gyges, had allied himself with Assyria against his Phrygian overlord.
711 BC--A Palestinian coalition, consisting of the Philistine King of Ashdod, King Hezekiah of Judah, and the kings of Moab and Edom, rises in rebellion against Assyria. This coalition has the support of Shabaka, the Kushite Pharaoh of Egypt. An Assyrian army (commanded by one of his generals, as King Sargon himself is in Anatolia) defeats the coalition outside of Ashdod. The rebels surrender and once again swear allegiance to Assyria.
710 BC--With the conquest of Phrygia virtually complete, King Sargon II of Assyria returns to Assyria, where he begins planning a new campaign against his arch-enemies, Babylonia and Elam. One Assyrian army moves against Elamite King Shutruk-Nahunte II and another moves against King Marduk-apal-iddina of Babylon. Sargon lays siege to Babylon, which surrenders later that year. Marduk-apal-iddina flees the city, but is captured and executed. Sargon is proclaimed King of Babylonia. Meanwhile, his army also inflicts a major defeat on the Elamites, who sue for peace and will not threaten Assyria for many years. Also in this year, the city-states of Cyprus submit to Assyria, and Cyprus is incorporated into the Assyrian Empire.
705 BC--King Sargon II of Assyria is killed in battle with the Cimmerians, who had rebelled against Assyrian rule. His son, Sennacherib, takes the throne.
704 BC--The son of the Babylonian king who had been captured and executed by Sargon, siezes the throne of Babylon, where he rules as King Marduk-apal-iddina II.
703-702 BC--King Sennacherib of Assyria marches against Babylon and it's ally, the King of Elam, defeating them and capturing Marduk-apal-iddina of Babylon, who he has flayed alive. Sennacherib installs another Chaldean prince, Bel-Ibni, on the throne of Babylon. 208,000 Babylonians and Chaldeans are deported.
701 BC--King Hezekiah of Judah forms an alliance with Pharoah Shebitku of Egypt and the kings of various other Phoenician and Palestinian states. King Sennacherib of Assyria defeats the combined forces of the coalition at the Battle of Eltekeh in Syria. He then advances into Palestine, where he sacks several of the cities of Judah and places Jerusalem under siege. Fortunately for Hezekiah, he had foreseen this eventuality and had a 533 meter long tunnel dug through solid rock so as to give Jerusalem access to the Spring of Gihon, thus ensuring a safe water supply for the city. He then ordered the springs outside the city poisoned, so that the besieging Assyrians would have no water. Nevertheless, the Assyrians press the siege, and seeing impending doom, King Hezekiah offers Sennacherib a huge tribute of 300 talents of silver and 30 talents of gold. Sennacherib accepts Hezekiah's submission...and the tribute...and retires, leaving Hezekiah still on his throne.
699 BC--King Sennacherib of Assyria, suspecting King Hezekiah (probably rightly) of once again plotting with the Egyptians, invades Judah. Once again he sacks several Judahite cities and besieges Jerusalem. But a plague strikes his army, forcing him to abandon the siege. King Hezekiah celebrates the miracle, claiming it as the intervention of the Lord, but he clearly knows he has had a close call. He does not rise against Assyria again.
694-692 BC--King Gyges of Lydia begins raiding the Greek cities along the coast of Anatolia. The sorely pressed Greeks call on their mainland brethren for aid. King Eryxias of Athens, King Pheidon of Argos, and the aristocratic oligarchy ruling Corinth all respond to this request with troops and ships. They defeat the Lydians, and lay siege to the capital of King Gyges at Sardis. Gyges appeals to his Assyrian allies for aid, but King Sennacherib, heavily involved in a war against the Elamites and the Babylonians, sends his regrets, but no aid. Sardis falls in 692 BC, and Gyges flees to the court of Sennacherib.
694-689 BC--King Bel Ibni of Babylon, in alliance with the Elamites, declares the independence of Babylonia in 694 BC. King Sennacherib invades, and in
691 BC, defeats the Babylonians and Elamites at the Battle of Hallulina. The war goes on, however, and finally Sennacherib lays siege to Babylon itself, which he captures and destroys in 689 BC. Sennacherib deports thousands of Babylonians and carries god Marduk off to Assyria.
689 BC--Having finally dealt a crushing blow to the Elamites and destroyed Babylon, Assyria's southern frontier is secure, and Sennacherib can now spare a glance toward his Anatolian frontier, where Greek pirates are now raiding the cities on the coast and a Greek army controls Lydia, in a position to threaten the Assyrian provinces in Phrygia and Cilicia. On the pretext of restoring his ally, Gyges, to the throne of Lydia, King Sennacherib declares war on the Greeks.
688-682 BC--The Greek Campaigns: In 688 BC, having gathered a huge army and secured the services of a powerful fleet of Phoenician and Cypriot ships, King Sennacherib moves against the troublesome Greeks. He first advances into Lydia, where he defeats the Greek armies encamped there, and then he besieges and takes the Greek cities on the Ionian coast. Using these cities as a base, he then transports an army by sea to Athens. Landing on the plain of Marathon in 685 BC, he defeats the Athenian army and lays siege to the city, which falls by the end of the year. Sennacherib destroys the city and deports most of the population to Babylonia and Palestine. In the following years, he takes and destroys the cities of Thebes, Corinth, Argos, and Sparta, deporting large portions their populations as he did that of Athens. Forbidden to rebuild their homes, most of the remaining populations of the destroyed cities take ship to the west, where they settle in the budding cities of Magna Graecia (Sicily and southern Italy). The other Greek cities, seeing the Assyrian coming down on them "like the wolf on the fold," sue for peace and submit to Assyrian rule. Assyrian governors are installed, and the process of integrating the newly conquered territory into the Assyrian empire begins.
681 BC--While offering prayers of thanks for the recent victory over the Greeks to the god Ninurta in Nineveh, Sennacherib is assassinated by his sons, Adramelech and Sharezer. These two are soon forced to flee by their younger brother, who assumes the throne as King Esarhaddon.