The Aisin-Gioro Romanov Marriage and the Sino-Soviet War

I am happy to say that I am almost at the conclusion of my alternate Qing timeline. I have basically reached a part that I don't know if I want to include in the timeline, but would be fun to share.

Before we get to the main subject, let me give a brief summery of what happens prior. In 1875, Empress Dowager Cixi dies, resulting in Prince Gong ruling as Prince Regent. He modernizes China industrially and militarily until 1887, when the Gunagxu Emperor is able to rule by his own right. By 1890, China has a modern and centralized military. After the Sino-Japanese war, China was able too keep Formosa, but unfortunately lost Korea to Japan. Regardless, Guangxu remained graceful of the situation and decided to learn about Japan's modernization to help modernize China even further. In 1898, the Qing Dynasty is reformed into a constitutional Monarchy with Cen Chunxuan as its first prime minister.

Through out the turn of the Century, China would have developed healthy diplomatic relations with its neighbors as the conditions were impossible for the Boxer Rebellion to occur. During, World War 1, China would remain neutral, but would make profits off the war and have their defenses up along its coast.

And now we get to the subject of this post.

In 1918, Guangxu would grant asylum for the Romanovs and allow them to live in the Palace in Nanjing. (In this alternate timeline, Guangxu has a western style regional palace in Nanjing built on the grounds where the Ming Palace once stood.) In addition, an agreement is made for Gunagxu's son, Crown Prince Jianxin, to marry Tsar Nicholas II's youngest Daughter, Grand Duchess Anastasia. The Prince even agrees to convert to Russian Orthodox Christianity so that the bride and groom are equally yoked. The wedding is held at Saint Sophia Cathedral in Harbin in 1919. By then, Anastasia is 18 and Jianxin is 17.

News of this marriage would spread across the globe. The Bolsheviks don't take kindly to this, believing it to be an attempt by the Romanovs to have themselves reinstated as rulers of Russia via the Chinese military. As a result, the Bolsheviks declare war on the Qing Dynasty.

How the war would end is beyond me. Do the Bolsheviks successfully invade China, kill the Romanovs and the Aisin-Gioros, and set up a communist government? Or do they loose and retreat, leaving the royals alone?
 
Is this invasion supposed to happen in 1919? I don't even know that the Bolsheviks would hold territory bordering China, let alone be able to carry out a successful invasion. The Soviets would never invade what seems to be at this point a great power over the Romanovs when their own civil war isn't even done.
 
I am happy to say that I am almost at the conclusion of my alternate Qing timeline. I have basically reached a part that I don't know if I want to include in the timeline, but would be fun to share.

Before we get to the main subject, let me give a brief summery of what happens prior. In 1875, Empress Dowager Cixi dies, resulting in Prince Gong ruling as Prince Regent. He modernizes China industrially and militarily until 1887, when the Gunagxu Emperor is able to rule by his own right. By 1890, China has a modern and centralized military. After the Sino-Japanese war, China was able too keep Formosa, but unfortunately lost Korea to Japan. Regardless, Guangxu remained graceful of the situation and decided to learn about Japan's modernization to help modernize China even further. In 1898, the Qing Dynasty is reformed into a constitutional Monarchy with Cen Chunxuan as its first prime minister.

Through out the turn of the Century, China would have developed healthy diplomatic relations with its neighbors as the conditions were impossible for the Boxer Rebellion to occur. During, World War 1, China would remain neutral, but would make profits off the war and have their defenses up along its coast.

And now we get to the subject of this post.

In 1918, Guangxu would grant asylum for the Romanovs and allow them to live in the Palace in Nanjing. (In this alternate timeline, Guangxu has a western style regional palace in Nanjing built on the grounds where the Ming Palace once stood.) In addition, an agreement is made for Gunagxu's son, Crown Prince Jianxin, to marry Tsar Nicholas II's youngest Daughter, Grand Duchess Anastasia. The Prince even agrees to convert to Russian Orthodox Christianity so that the bride and groom are equally yoked. The wedding is held at Saint Sophia Cathedral in Harbin in 1919. By then, Anastasia is 18 and Jianxin is 17.

News of this marriage would spread across the globe. The Bolsheviks don't take kindly to this, believing it to be an attempt by the Romanovs to have themselves reinstated as rulers of Russia via the Chinese military. As a result, the Bolsheviks declare war on the Qing Dynasty.

How the war would end is beyond me. Do the Bolsheviks successfully invade China, kill the Romanovs and the Aisin-Gioros, and set up a communist government? Or do they loose and retreat, leaving the royals alone?
This is during or after Russian civil war so they would certainly lose. Most likely there is coup against leader then apology to qing. Qing would work with the white army to destroy the ussr, they can send some soldiers and supplies I think whites would win. But Soviets wouldn't do this anyway
 
In addition, an agreement is made for Gunagxu's son, Crown Prince Jianxin, to marry Tsar Nicholas II's youngest Daughter, Grand Duchess Anastasia. The Prince even agrees to convert to Russian Orthodox Christianity...
China is not especially racist, but even a modernizing monarchy would remain deeply traditionalist. Marriage of the heir to the Imperial Throne to a gwei-lo? Unthinkable.
News of this marriage would spread across the globe. The Bolsheviks don't take kindly to this, believing it to be an attempt by the Romanovs to have themselves reinstated as rulers of Russia via the Chinese military. As a result, the Bolsheviks declare war on the Qing Dynasty.
Equally unlikely. The Romanovs and especially Nicholas were throroughly discredited by 1918. None of the White armies pledged to restore the monarchy. The Bolsheviks would be somewhat alarmed, but not so much that they would start a war they can't win.

They don't even have secure control of Russia, much less Central Asia, Transcaucasia, or Siberia, and are in very messy war with Poland. They've lost Finland and the Baltic states. Japan, the US, and IIRC Britain and France are all intervening against them to some extent.

Invading China like this would guarantee a determined anti-Bolshevik coalition.
 
China is not especially racist, but even a modernizing monarchy would remain deeply traditionalist. Marriage of the heir to the Imperial Throne to a gwei-lo? Unthinkable.

Equally unlikely. The Romanovs and especially Nicholas were throroughly discredited by 1918. None of the White armies pledged to restore the monarchy. The Bolsheviks would be somewhat alarmed, but not so much that they would start a war they can't win.

They don't even have secure control of Russia, much less Central Asia, Transcaucasia, or Siberia, and are in very messy war with Poland. They've lost Finland and the Baltic states. Japan, the US, and IIRC Britain and France are all intervening against them to some extent.

Invading China like this would guarantee a determined anti-Bolshevik coalition.
You make some good points.
 
If China has achieved Great Power status, they might intervene in the civil war perhaps to secure their own borders and maybe back one of the anti-Bolshevik factions, but I dont think they'd marry their Crown a European princess of a deposed crown. I also dont think the Chinese population would be happy with the idea of eventually being ruled by foreign monarch and TBH neither would any remaining Russian monarchists.

They'd find more "suitable prospects" for the Son of Heaven, because that guy is going to be running a VERY powerful state.

Also as others have pointed out, the USSR hadn't consolidated itself by this point, it was still largely restricted to the West of Siberia. Even if they win, the country is going to be in utter ruin and in no real position to challenge a great power undamaged by WWI. Even if the Russian Monarchy made it to the Qing Empire, the Bolsheviks would probably issue a statement condemning it, but would be too weak to do anything about it for a long time.
 
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