The African Superpowers (a TL)

1990s (Part 1)

The 1990s would be a turbulent time, and one which redrew the world as everyone knew it.

1990 started off with the Iron Curtain in tatters, and now many parts of the USSR were agitating for independence from Moscow. Perhaps a natural consequence of being essentially held together by force for decades, many of the nations of the USSR were agitating loudly for their independence. The protests got vicious and ugly in January and February 1990 in the Baltics and the Caucasus region, which had been shaken to bits just 14 months before by the massive earthquake of December 7, 1988. The explosive growth in nationalist media and the Soviet Union's rotten to the core economy contributed to the situation getting wildly out of control, By 1991, the Baltics, Armenia, Moldova and Azerbaijan had declared their independence. Gorbachev's attempts to keep the USSR together through a referendum in May 1991 failed, causing the Soviet Union to disintegrate. A coup by hardline forces in August 1991 just caused the military to turn on each other, causing much of Russia, Ukraine and several of the republics to devolve into a nasty, vicious civil war.

The USSR's collapse caused numerous incidents. One of the famous ones was numerous Soviet warships being unwilling to serve the coup plotters. The largest of these was nuclear-powered battlecruiser Kirov, which turned up without a flag flying at Simonstown, South Africa, in escort with a Udaloy-class destroyer and a Krivak class frigate. The South Africans interned the vessels and allowed the people who wished to stay in South Africa - which was virtually all of them - to stay in South Africa. Others included fighter pilots landing in Sweden, Finland, Japan and Turkey, and a number of other warships not wishing to be in the middle of the mess.

Ukraine was broken in half by the war. At least three cases of tactical nuclear weapons being used on opposing sides of the conflict were well known, and by 1992 the humanitarian situation was desperate. Some 125,000 refugees were accepted by South Africa and nearly 160,000 were accepted by East Africa, with others also being accepted by nations as far away as Australia, Canada and Argentina. By 1992, millions of refugees were reliant on food aid from everybody. Kennedy mobilized many aircraft of the US Air Force to do food deliveries, but when the Russian combatants refused to allow landings, the USAF air-dropped food and medical supplies into Ukraine, Belarus and Russia. Fearing shoot-downs, many European Air Forces launched aircraft to protect the airlifters, and in one case in January 1992, MiG-29s of the Russian Air Force ran into allied escort aircraft, including Arrow FG.4s of the South African Air Force. Despite the age and size of the Arrows, their AIM-7M Sparrow missiles still did the job, destroying three MiGs with no losses. After several skirmishes resulted in only three fighters - two Luftwaffe F-4F Phantoms and a RAF Tornado ADV - being shot down and over two dozen Russian aircraft shot down, the Russians gave up trying to shoot down the airlifters.

By early 1994, both sides were exhausted, and the death toll had been ghastly to say the least - estimates ranged from 250,000 deaths to a million plus. Russia had broken into the European Russian Republic and the Russian Federation, the latter of which was largely east of the Urals. The economic damage was immense, and much of the population was forced to rely on Western aid for their survival. With the official armistice on March 24, 1994, food and supplies moved into European Russia by truck, train, ship and aircraft. Nobody had had the stomach to nuke any cities, so Russian cities were somewhat intact, but starvation was a major problem. Operation Restore Hope, as it was called by US President Bill Clinton, involved virtually every airlifter the USAF had and most of those of the NATO allies, and those of many other nations, as well as every truck and train that could be scrounged, as well as bulk cargo carries and grain vessels, who moved an astounding 224,000 tons of food into European Russia in a three-month period between May and August 1994. Russia, still led by President Boris Yeltsin, had little way of paying anyone back for the help, with his country's economy in shambles. That didn't stop him trying, though. Among other things, he said that any military gear that had been used for defections could be kept by the nations involved. When Prime Minister Biko pointed out to Yeltsin that a billion-dollar nuclear-powered battlecruiser was in South Africa's custody, his response was "If you can use it, keep it. I have no use for it with my nation in such a state, do I?" The nukes held by the two sides were quickly secured, as they in many cases unusable in any case. The nuclear scientists were quickly hired away by the various powers, including the African nations.

The mess in Russia was not the first event of the 1990s, however. That went to Iraq. Iraq, after its long and bitter 1980s war with Iran, had amassed a huge army, over half a million strong with thousands of tanks and heavy vehicles, and a massive air force. But the costs of the war with Iran had left Iraq virtually bankrupt, and the collapse of oil prices in the late 1980s made this situation worse. Iraq had always claimed that Kuwait was part of Iraq, and on August 2, 1990, sent its huge army to take the territory over by force. Caught unawares, the Kuwaiti army collapsed within hours and much of it fled across the border into Saudi Arabia. Saddam had figured that the world's attention was turned to the north with the crumbling USSR. A bad assumption, to say the least. Saddam had also taken a substantial number of westerners hostage, which did not sit well with most of the Allies. Within days, a naval embargo was established on Iraq, many vessels, including HMEAS Nairobi, HMSAS Witwatersrand and SWAS Kalahari, were on the scene to ensure the embargo was enforced. The United States assembled a coalition of nearly 50 nations to shove the Iraqis out, including all four of the African powers, as well as Egypt, Nigeria and the Ivory Coast. Over a million troops assembled in the deserts of Saudi Arabia, but the House of Saud, facing massive internal opposition, tried to placate it by allowing famed zealot Osama bin Laden and his Al-Qaeda group to help protect the holy cities of Mecca and Medina. That did not turn out to be a good idea. As the troops massed in the Desert, Saddam had started fortifying his positions. On November 29, 1990, the UN laid down an ultimatum - Iraq would get out of Kuwait by January 15, 1991 or face being driven out by the coalition. Saddam responded to this by stupidly attacking a number of his neighbors and the coalition with Scud missiles. One of these landed on a children's hospital in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, killing 35 people and wounding over 300. Another hit the barracks of the Korean Army near Hafar al Batin, killing 21 Korean soldiers. These attacks did nothing but tick people off and improve the support for the war. The Iraqis actions during the war, which included incredible amounts of pillaging and crimes against women, didn't help.

On January 15, 1991, the deadline passed and the Allies struck. The first shots were fired by battleship USS Missouri, and more fire from HMSAS Cape Town and SWAS Kalahari joined in the naval pasting. Over 120,000 aerial sorties were flown during the war, and one of the first was the demolition of an Iraqi supply depot by SAAF Victor bombers, which each dropped fifty-two 1000-pound bombs on the site. One escorting F-16 fighter was shot down by an Iraqi SAM in the raid, but the bombers escaped without loss. Ship-launched and ground-launched air strikes caused massive damage, though the Iraqi air force did attempt to put up a fight, they did little more than just lose planes in the attempt. Many of Iraq's air force fled to Iran, hoping to go back after the war was over. (The pilots were allowed to go home, but Iran kept the planes.) The air war was effective in wrecking any hopes Iraq had of organizing a major fight.

The ground war was equally effective. The coalition armies rolled over the Iraqis at the Battle of Khafji, though both sides took substantial casualties. A SAAF Canberra bomber was hit by anti-aircraft fire and crash-landed on its way back home, though the crew was rescued. Less lucky was a EAAF F-111, which was also hit by ground fire and crashed, killing both crewmen. The African armies had the advantage of their East African-designed Merkava IV main battle tanks, which were among the best in the world and easily a match to the American M1 Abrams and British Challenger 1 tanks, and leagues above Iraqi T-72s and T-62s. South African MT-40 "Rooikat" AFVs and MT-44 "Terminator" IFVs also cut Iraqi armored personnel carriers to pieces. The African I Corps, as the African army became known, was brutally effective - much more so than many had imagined. The units had virtually every advantage on the Iraqis, and even in tactical bungles, the African forces cleaned house, Taking only 27 dead in the Battle of 73 Easting but annihilating an Iraqi brigade. On February 25, the Africa Corps led the way into Iraq itself, having flatsmacked the Iraqi V Corps.

On March 1, Saddam attacked the African Forces with chemical weapons, claiming the lives of nearly 2000 troops. Now thoroughly pissed off, the Africans raced reinforcements to the area, and in many cases NBC-protected recovery vehicles grabbed the vehicles lost by unprotected troops and hauled them back, and when decontaminated and cleaned they went back out to destroy the Iraqis. The Saudis, who had not wanted a drive on Baghdad, now had little choice in the matter.

And then the Iraqis got lucky. A Scud attack landed on one of the palaces of the House of Saud, killing King Fahd and Crown Prince Abdullah. That caused a power vacuum right when it was not wanted. The Saudi leadership allowed the fight to continue, but there was now many problems and the remaining government only grudgingly supported the foreign intervention. The Africans headed all the way to Baghdad, but the Americans, to the surprise of many, decided not to go all the way. The British sided with their former colonies and went the distance, as did most of the fighters from the Commonwealth. The US kept them logistically supported in any case. The African I Corps and their allies, a force nearly 350,000 strong, quickly powered through Iraq, with Saddam's forces only able to offer token resistance. Africa's Air Forces did not have any real trouble helping their brothers on the ground out, either. On April 12, the African armies rolled into Baghdad, having taken 65,000 prisoners in the process. Saddam died when one of his palaces was bombed into rubble by SAAF Canberras and EAAF F-111s. His two sons were ambushed and killed in Sadr City, a mostly Shiite slum in Baghdad - of course, the leaders had been tipped off the Mossad. The African powers accepted the independence of Kurdistan, which briefly pissed off the Turks (but they came to like the idea after terrorist activity in the area largely stopped as a result) but brought down what little was left. The war over, the armies left some behind to help the new Iraqi government negotiate peace terms and get a new government set up.

But the mess in Saudi Arabia was getting nasty in one big hurry. Osama bin Laden's men had taken up defensive positions inside the holy cities, and Saudi Army personnel were expecting major problems rooting them out. The idea of fighting inside a holy city for the democratic government was not something even most of the Saudi Army liked very much. Realizing that many things could come out of this and few of them were good, by January 1992 the Saudi Army was being left to handle bin Laden and his men, realizing that non-Muslim forces helping the Saudis would just cause more problems. While the armies were home by April 1992, the mess in Saudi Arabia was just beginning. While the oil kept on flowing, the fighters in Saudi did not let up for some time.
 

Ming777

Monthly Donor
Out of curiosity, besides the Avro Arrow, what else composes this timeline's RCAF?

PS: After this week, I'll be trying to mod a shipbucket image of the USS JFK for the other TL.
 
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Out of curiosity, besides the Avro Arrow, what else composes this timeline's RCAF?

PS: After this week, I'll be trying to mod a shipbucket image of the USS JFK for the other TL.

It's CF instead of RCAF, but I get your point entirely. Avro updated the arrow several times in the 1960s and 1970s, with turbofan engines, external hardpoints, better electronics, wing extensions and other improvements. As of the 1990s, the Arrow is still used by several users, including the CF and the air forces of Britain, Australia, South Africa, East Africa and India.

Beyond that, I'm not sure exactly. I know the Navy is more powerful (has to be with Canada having five Carribbean provinces that are all islands), but beyond that I'm not 100% sure yet.
 
I wonder if an independent Hezaj state would be a possibility? Have it a conservative Muslim society in which the Islamists can live as they choose. Then it can be isolated from international affairs, so the holy Muslim state can exist without Western intervention and without Islamist expansion outside of its borders.
 
I wonder if an independent Hezaj state would be a possibility? Have it a conservative Muslim society in which the Islamists can live as they choose. Then it can be isolated from international affairs, so the holy Muslim state can exist without Western intervention and without Islamist expansion outside of its borders.

I was gonna have the House of Saud eventually win the war and exterminate bin Laden and his minions, but in the process they become a pariah like Iran, leaving the Gulf states to liberalize in the 1990s, forming a line of good guys (Egypt, Jordan, Iraq, Kurdistan, Kuwait, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Oman) between the bad guys (Iran and Saudi Arabia).
 

yourworstnightmare

Banned
Donor
Hmm, independent Iraqi Kurdistan, that will certainky be the trigger for several new wars in the Middle East (Iraqi-Kursih war, Turkish-Kurdish war, Iranian- Kurdish war and Syrian- Kurdish war).

And the corrupt Saudi- monarchy must be overthrown and replaced by an Islamic Arab Republic.:D
 
Hmm, independent Iraqi Kurdistan, that will certainky be the trigger for several new wars in the Middle East (Iraqi-Kurdish war, Turkish-Kurdish war, Iranian- Kurdish war and Syrian- Kurdish war).

The Turks do not have a problem with Kurdistan because it has substantially reduced the amount of terrorism the Turks have to deal with, and after what happened to the African armies, they have no wish to piss them off. Iran and Syria don't have as actively militant Kurdish populations as Iraq and Turkey do, and I suspect many of them would have left those nations to go to Kurdistan in any case.

And the corrupt Saudi- monarchy must be overthrown and replaced by an Islamic Arab Republic.:D

The House of Saud has way too much influence to be kicked over that easily, and you can bet that there is lots of allied air power backing them up with air strikes on rebel positions and the like.
 
1990s (Part 2)

In the aftermath of the treaty signing with Iraq, the land forces of the African armies began heading for home in December 1991, partly out of being tired of fighting in Iraq and party because with Iran next door and the disintegrating Saudi Arabia on the other side, few had any wishes to stay and fight in the Middle East. But the air forces were kinda stuck, because of the mess in Saudi Arabia.

Violence tore through Saudi Arabia like a tornado-driven wildfire in 1992, as bin Laden's Militia of God and Al-Qaeda groups and their supporters fought bitterly with the Royal Saudi Land Forces. Both sides were tough and experienced, and it showed. Little fighting was actually done in Mecca or Medina for all of the obvious reasons, but the rest of the country was rapidly becoming a war zone, and it was just a matter of time before the fighting effected oil prices. Iraq, realizing this, did its best to make up from the losses from Saudi Arabia. While the Sunni minority and Shiite majority did at times not get along very one, the nationalism of the situation and the ability to be a major oil supplier to the West and the wealth that could come with it was just too good to pass up, and with the efforts of Islamic extremists focused on Iran and Saudi Arabia, there was little to fear in this regard, and as a result Iraq spent the 1990s dramatically rebuilding its infrastructure and exporting oil in ever-larger quantities. Starting in July 1992, they were assisted in this by a preferential oil price deal from the European Economic Community and in January 1993, the Americans did the same. Iraq had no wishes to see Arabia fall into a major mess, and they allowed their air bases to be used by African, European and American air units to help beat down the extremists in Arabia.

Those extremists found out through 1992 that allied air power could hurt them as much as it hurt Saddam. The most feared were the big Victor B.3 bombers of the SAAF and their huge bomb loads, though the F-111 and Canberra SA.14T were often more effective with their laser-guided bombs and air to surface missiles. The number of Strela SAMs used by insurgents was high, but hundreds of shots resulted in just three kills, two on low-flying fighters and one on a Canberra. The same ratio was true on Saudi and other allied fighters. One of the big raids on an insurgent training camp in July 1992 killed bin Laden himself, when American B-52 and B-1 and South African Victor bombers flattened the place with nearly eight hundred 1000-lb bombs. One survivor put it after that raid "they bombed the camp into rubble, and then bombed the rubble into dust." Out of concern about raids on tankers, through the war tankers continued to be escorted from Kuwait and Iraq by allied naval vessels. While the occasional potshot was made on commercial vessels, few attempts did anything in the first place, and even then nothing was lost to the attempts. By the fall of 1992, the House of Saud had the upper hand, and they consolidated control over their nation in January 1993. But the war and the problems with it made the House of Saud about as popular as plague rats, and through the 1990s both Iran and Saudi Arabia fought between conservative elements in their society wanting a return to the past, and modernist elements wanting a full rapprochement with the West.

The victories in the wars ensured President Kennedy's successor was a Democrat, Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton, and the African leaders were all re-elected in early 1993 elections, which took place in all four of the African powers, as well as in Nigeria and Madagascar. Politically, the 1990s after the Middle East and Russian wars was quite stable, with many people talking about a new era of global peace and prosperity. It didn't turn out quite that way, of course, and the Europeans themselves had a new problem right on their doorstep in the former Yugoslavia, which had started fracturing in 1991, and by mid-1992 was a full-blown mess. The Europeans responded slowly at first, but by the time news of the atrocities in the country became known in 1994, they were acting. An intense aerial bombing campaign by European NATO members reduced the will of much of the combatants, and the entry of the United States Navy into this in July 1994 added to the pressure. On June 13, 1995, however, for the Africans, the crap hit the fan in the town of Srebrenica.

Srebrenica had been designated a safe zone by UN peacekeepers, and was guarded a 600-strong battalion of peacekeepers, mostly Dutch but with a company of East Africans, the latter of which in many cases were descendants of survivors of racial violence themselves, and while all disliked the fighting sides, the Africans absolutely loathed the Serbs, namely because of their awful tactics. After the Serbs started attacking civilians, the East African team, despite orders to simply keep the peace, fought back against the Serbs. Taking this as a war declaration, Serbian forces wiped out the East African unit, including its commander, Major Jacob Karame. News of the dead East African and Dutch soldiers soon reached headquarters, where the Dutch fought successfully to keep it out of the media for several days. By the time news hit Nairobi on June 21, the genocide was all but over, but nearly 8,000 people had been murdered.

Nairobi was livid, to say the least, and within 48 Hours the other African nations were also notified. The East African armed forces organized to go to Bosnia to assist in the UN mission, which the UN happily accepted, but it was soon clear that the Africans wanted vengeance for their dead brothers. The East Africans, upon learning of the Dutch trying to cover things up, expelled the Dutch ambassador and for a brief time broke off diplomatic relations altogether. The UN demanded that the East African force simply try to keep the peace, but that plea fell on deaf ears. After a series of ambushes by Serb forces between June 28 and July 11 claimed the lives of 16 British and Canadian peacekeepers, the Canadian Forces and British Army joined the East African led effort.

The intervention in Bosnia would not come with UN help, but the three nations involved by this point simply didn't care, and by the time operations were well underway, the three nations had grown to six as Japan, Australia and South Africa joined in, the first nation being their first overseas military mission since WWII.

The forces landed first by water at the city of Neum, and a Serb attempt to stop the landing was seen early by fighters from HMEAS Nairobi and silenced by the guns of HMEAS Mwazumzenti. Paratroopers and the Maccabees (East African Special Forces) also conducted raids around Bosnia, as allied aircraft had quickly established almost total air superiority, shooting down eleven Yugoslav aircraft in the process, including one Arrow FG.4 crew, Captain Alan Olamide and 1st Lt. Leah Graiman, becoming aces after shooting down four J-22 Orao and two MiG-21 fighters on two separate missions over Bosnia. some 23,000 soldiers of the East African Army landed in Bosnia, along with some 60,000 more from their allies.

The Serbs crumbled like a house of cards against this serious opposition, and they finally agreed to go to the table in September 1995. On October 12, 1995, the Dayton Accords finally ended the Yugoslav wars. The Africans insisted on the arrest of Ratko Mladic, but he slipped away. But his freedom was short-lived, as the Maccabees tracked him down near the town of Vlasenica on January 7, 1996. After a short firefight that killed two Maccabees and fifteen Serb soldiers, Mladic and Radovan Karadzic were taken into custody, for war crimes trials. This caused an explosion of anger amongst the Republika Srpska, and Bosnia's President asked the Africans to give back Mladic and Karadzic. A blunt refusal followed: "there can be no lasting peace without justice." The two were put on trial at the International Criminal Tribunal for Yugoslavia, which found them guilty on August 11, 1998 and sentenced them to life imprisonment. Over 700,000 Bosniaks found asylum in Africa, with most landing in East Africa and South Africa, while others landed in the Ivory Coast, Rhodesia, South West Africa and even some in Nigeria and Senegal.

The wars in Iraq and Bosnia had made much of the world respect the Africans and their capabilities - and it was not hard to see why. Having led a continent to prosperity and now having shut down massive wars twice in five years, the respect was there. By the mid-1990s, the world's media was using the word "superpower" to describe East Africa and South Africa. Considering that both nations had substantial militaries, major economic influence and effectively led the rest of the African Continent (though Nigeria was working hard to challenge this), the term was somewhat accurate.

By the late 1990s, the leaders on the continent were already talking about the idea of uniting the four powers with an organization above the national governments themselves, an idea spurred on by the creation of the European Union on November 1, 1993. The African Federation had served well and had led the way in the integration of much of the continent's infrastructure and economic policies, which had been to everyone's benefit, and bigger plans were underway still, plans which would become clear in the 21st Century......
 

yourworstnightmare

Banned
Donor
The Turks do not have a problem with Kurdistan because it has substantially reduced the amount of terrorism the Turks have to deal with, and after what happened to the African armies, they have no wish to piss them off. Iran and Syria don't have as actively militant Kurdish populations as Iraq and Turkey do, and I suspect many of them would have left those nations to go to Kurdistan in any case.

I am not sure, I think the opposite would happen, Kurds in Turkey, Iran and Syria rise up to join their areas with the new Kurdish nation (With support from Kurdistan of course), and then we have the Mosul/ Kirkuk issue in Iraq.
 
exelent storyline

Exelent storyline , i realy hope it´s not over, next bring this timeline to the XXI century, Space , new tecnologies, Discovery of ways to send colonist to other star Systems ,at the speed of light , using suspended animation, and then later Discovery of FTL , wich will improve much more space exploration , and colonization. And maybye 1st contact with allien Civilization. Hope to see soon another Update. :):D
 
I just read through this. Bloody good TL. I'm enjoying TheManns work. But I presume this TL is now dead, since there hasn't been a new post since April?
 
I just finished reading through this; it's really excellent. You did an especially good job in determining how big the butterflies were. Keep up the good work!
 
Just Finished the TL

Awesome TL! It's interesting to see Africa as prosperous and an effective force in world affairs, rather than the pitiful basket case it has been in many ways IOTL, but not all. I see the coin flips you made with many of the political developments some things exactly as IOTL, some not for flavor.
As an Texan Democrat, I love the idea of a general strike helping PATCO stand its ground and Teddy Kennedy and Scoop not letting the Rust Belt become so, but actually do a lot to keep prosperity for many alive.
The idea of Nelson Mandela and the EAF offering to help America with desegregation was made of win, though as a Southerner, it was bad enough in the 1960's the rest of the US were telling us to join the 20th century, but foreigners?!?
They'd be lucky not to have several assassination attempts on SA/EAF dignitaries, mass demonstrations and riots that made Watts and Newark look like a day in the park. I wouldn't say it'd be World of Laughter, World of Tears grimdark, but worse than OTL. Cue lots of African products burned or smashed and folks getting hassled.

I love the idea that Korea is united and Japan fesses up in 1960 to the WWII atrocities, allowing them to kiss and make up. Also, EAF rising to the occasion during and after Srebrenica as CMOA's among many in the TL.
I remember being very worried when the August coup against Gorby went down, hoping it didn't degenerate into Russian Civil War, part II. You wrote it as ugly but not the full-scale horror show it could've been, prompting a much more decisive Western response to help when things went pear-shaped.
IDK if that makes it better than IOTL with the wholesale collapse of many civic institutions in the former USSR. Lots of Russians hoped we'd ride to the rescue, Marshall Plan style, and were rather pissed we didn't, just sorta leaving them to twist in the wind as we did.
Anyway, keep 'em coming. Superb work!
 
Awesome TL! It's interesting to see Africa as prosperous and an effective force in world affairs, rather than the pitiful basket case it has been in many ways IOTL, but not all. I see the coin flips you made with many of the political developments some things exactly as IOTL, some not for flavor.

Mandela the crop that led the ANC in the 1960s and 1970s - Oliver Tambo, Albert Luthuli, Anton Lembede, Joe Slovo and the like were quite up to the task of running a nation, and here the apartheid state does not circle wagons because apartheid never exists. White South Africans aren't worried about being swamped by the blacks - they are 2/5 of the population as of the mid '90s - so they are more willing to work on desegregation.

As an Texan Democrat, I love the idea of a general strike helping PATCO stand its ground and Teddy Kennedy and Scoop not letting the Rust Belt become so, but actually do a lot to keep prosperity for many alive.

Why the AFL/CIO did not go bananas over this is something I do not know at all. Previous strikes by federal employees had not resulted in the mass firing of 11,000 people. Here, I just had the unions get their backs up, and cause a shitstorm. Teddy and Scoop ride to power on this anger, also managing to co-op many of Reagan's more popular policies in the process.

The idea of Nelson Mandela and the EAF offering to help America with desegregation was made of win, though as a Southerner, it was bad enough in the 1960's the rest of the US were telling us to join the 20th century, but foreigners?!?
They'd be lucky not to have several assassination attempts on SA/EAF dignitaries, mass demonstrations and riots that made Watts and Newark look like a day in the park. I wouldn't say it'd be World of Laughter, World of Tears grimdark, but worse than OTL. Cue lots of African products burned or smashed and folks getting hassled.

One can be assured of that. The reason Mandela made that offer was because the African states had been there before, and figured "Hey, might as well help the Americans, they've helped us in the past." That would not go down well with those opposed to segregation, though it certainly made Mandela a hero in the eyes of many African Americans.

I love the idea that Korea is united and Japan fesses up in 1960 to the WWII atrocities, allowing them to kiss and make up.

That needs to happen IOTL. Japan has never fully admitted to the crimes it committed during WWII, and the allies didn't push the issue because they wanted Japan on their side during the Cold War. Here, Japan's loss is taken hard by its people, and the allies encourage them to look into their pasts and history and see what can be changed. The destruction of the communists in Korea ends the influence of communism in Japan and Korea, and with the ROC holding Hainan along with Taiwan, it makes the PRC spreading influence a somewhat iffy proposition.

I remember being very worried when the August coup against Gorby went down, hoping it didn't degenerate into Russian Civil War, part II. You wrote it as ugly but not the full-scale horror show it could've been, prompting a much more decisive Western response to help when things went pear-shaped.

Another case of something that would have had to happen. In a nation with thousands of nukes, you need to keep things at least somewhat under control. The Russians needed help after this mess, and they got it, which keeps them from thoroughly hating the West as many Russians came to feel in the 1990s.
 
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