Tecumseh's Confederacy without Tecumseh

If the British did much better in the war of 1812, they had planned on establishing a Native American Buffer state based on Tecumseh's Confederacy.

While my timeline does feature the British doing much better in 1812, it does not ret-con Tecumseh's death, he still dies taking Detroit [a successful capture ITTL]. I was creating a basic idea of this alternate Treaty of Ghent when I began to wonder why the British would still establish this buffer state.

If they went back on this plan, it wouldn't be the first time the British betrayed a deal they made with the Native Americans. So how likely is it for the British to go back on their proposed buffer state?
 
Eh. Without Tecumseh, the Confederacy was over, and dead. He's brother Tenskwatawa was no good, already a outcast, and not since Tecumseh has there been really anything like the Tecumseh's Confederacy.

If anything, the English would backstab their Native 'Allies', and take over the Midwest for themselves.
 
If the British did much better in the war of 1812, they had planned on establishing a Native American Buffer state based on Tecumseh's Confederacy.

While my timeline does feature the British doing much better in 1812, it does not ret-con Tecumseh's death, he still dies taking Detroit [a successful capture ITTL]. I was creating a basic idea of this alternate Treaty of Ghent when I began to wonder why the British would still establish this buffer state.

If they went back on this plan, it wouldn't be the first time the British betrayed a deal they made with the Native Americans. So how likely is it for the British to go back on their proposed buffer state?

It becomes Upper Canada 2.0. The Indians get a bit of extra time but land hungry Canadians will replace the land hungry Americans. Expect more treaties, less wars but by and large the same result. If they're canny enough and have enough foresight they might be able to secure enough support with the colonizers to get the vote and become an influential minority, but given the way both sides operated I'd say that's not all that likely, especially with Tecumseh dead.
 
It becomes Upper Canada 2.0. The Indians get a bit of extra time but land hungry Canadians will replace the land hungry Americans. Expect more treaties, less wars but by and large the same result. If they're canny enough and have enough foresight they might be able to secure enough support with the colonizers to get the vote and become an influential minority, but given the way both sides operated I'd say that's not all that likely, especially with Tecumseh dead.

Should I expect the area to become a part of Upper Canada, or it's own province? My current thoughts are that the area would become two provinces; Huron [OTL lower Michigan] and Wisconsin [OTL Wisconsin + upper peninsula]
 
Should I expect the area to become a part of Upper Canada, or it's own province? My current thoughts are that the area would become two provinces; Huron [OTL lower Michigan] and Wisconsin [OTL Wisconsin + upper peninsula]

I suspect it starts off as part of Upper Canada before being broken in two due to pressure from the locals and Lower Canada. The he Upper Peninsula might prove to be fairly contentious though. Upper Canada, Huron and Wisconsin are all going to want it and Upper Canada has a massive edge in population and might try to strong arm it from everyone else and once mining gets underway. It will probably be a process before its finalized and likely shifts hands a few times.
 
I suspect it starts off as part of Upper Canada before being broken in two due to pressure from the locals and Lower Canada. The he Upper Peninsula might prove to be fairly contentious though. Upper Canada, Huron and Wisconsin are all going to want it and Upper Canada has a massive edge in population and might try to strong arm it from everyone else and once mining gets underway. It will probably be a process before its finalized and likely shifts hands a few times.

That seems like a good idea, thank you
 
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