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A) Satsuma Japanese conquest of Taiwan, starting with the northern, Spanish part, after the Shimazu takeover of the Ryukyus? Could this lead to a situation where Koxinga never takes over the island or where it is the Satsuma Japanese who drive him out, putting Manchu concerns to rest?

If Japanese control over Taiwan is established before the historic introduction of Sakoku, can Japan enforce Sakoku over this widened territorial and maritime realm through the 1850s?

B) WI no Koxinga- Does Taiwan remain a perpetually Dutch, giant Hong Kong, sort of a northern outpost of the DEI ?

C) AHC/PC, Qing-Dutch alliance against Ming loyalists - Koxinga's heir is forced into a 2 front-war, in which the Dutch get to reclaim all Taiwan, and possibly the Pescadores, while the Qing consolidate control of the China coast? In this one, the Qing allow Dutch conquest of Taiwan as part of solving the Ming loyalist problem.
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