Vladimir
Banned
During the Second Lebanon War in 2006, Syria which had been supplying Hezbollah with weaponry, intervened. President Bashar al-Assad considered Hezbollah an important asset. Now lets say that Assad was under heavy pressure from his close ally Iran, who considered Hezbollah's rocket arsenal a deterrent to an Israeli attack and feared its destruction, and let's also say Israel implemented an plan which was scrapped that included bombing two Syrian transport targets as part of its effort to choke off Hezbollah.
Israeli intelligence had detected Syria's buildup and imminent attack, so in the days preceding the attack, aircraft and ground forces were placed on high alert, and Israel increased its troops and armor.
During the Battle of Bint Jbeil in late July, the Syrians make their move. Armor and infantry attack the left flank of IDF brigades operating in South Lebanon. Mobile anti-aircraft units are included in the advance to counter the threat of air attack. At the same time, the Syrian Air Force deploys over Lebanon to counter the IAF. Syrian missiles are also fired at Israeli airbases and IDF forces positioned along the Lebanon border, and though Israel's Arrow missile defense system is formidable, I cannot rule out the possibility that at least some of them will hit. Although Syria's Soviet-era tanks are inferior to the Merkava, they vastly outnumber IDF armored forces. Syrian troops are inferior in equipment in training, but somewhat outnumber the IDF's combat brigades in Lebanon: numbers aren't all that significant because the IDF had detected the Syrian threat and reinforced its brigades. Syrian pilots are less trained than their Israeli counterparts, and most of their aircraft are inferior to the IAF, but their MiG-29s are still a formidable match to Israel's F-15s and F-16s. Syria decides to confine the war to Lebanon and thus does not go after Israeli population centers.
How does the rest of the war play out? Is there more international pressure for a ceasefire? How does Israel retaliate? And what will be the geopolitical implications of Syrian intervention?
Israeli intelligence had detected Syria's buildup and imminent attack, so in the days preceding the attack, aircraft and ground forces were placed on high alert, and Israel increased its troops and armor.
During the Battle of Bint Jbeil in late July, the Syrians make their move. Armor and infantry attack the left flank of IDF brigades operating in South Lebanon. Mobile anti-aircraft units are included in the advance to counter the threat of air attack. At the same time, the Syrian Air Force deploys over Lebanon to counter the IAF. Syrian missiles are also fired at Israeli airbases and IDF forces positioned along the Lebanon border, and though Israel's Arrow missile defense system is formidable, I cannot rule out the possibility that at least some of them will hit. Although Syria's Soviet-era tanks are inferior to the Merkava, they vastly outnumber IDF armored forces. Syrian troops are inferior in equipment in training, but somewhat outnumber the IDF's combat brigades in Lebanon: numbers aren't all that significant because the IDF had detected the Syrian threat and reinforced its brigades. Syrian pilots are less trained than their Israeli counterparts, and most of their aircraft are inferior to the IAF, but their MiG-29s are still a formidable match to Israel's F-15s and F-16s. Syria decides to confine the war to Lebanon and thus does not go after Israeli population centers.
How does the rest of the war play out? Is there more international pressure for a ceasefire? How does Israel retaliate? And what will be the geopolitical implications of Syrian intervention?