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This is kind of a difficult question to ask without butchering too many butterflies, so I'll actually ask a couple of questions.

First of all, is it at all possible that the Ottoman Empire might have survived as a geopolitical entity into 2016? Let's say they remained neutral in the First World War, and in a hypothetical Second World War.

Secondly, what does the Ottoman Empire look like in 2016? Now, I know that, due to the butterfly effect, it's difficult to predict what the world will look like in a 2016 where the Ottoman Empire stayed out of European wars in the early 20th Century, but I'm genuinely curious. As best I understand it, the Ottomans were fairly decent to their minority populations, including Christians, Jews, Arabs, and so on. Is this something that would remain in place?

Would the Ottomans eventually politically liberalise and introduce more democracy? Establish autonomous entities? Lose territory to nationalism in the Middle East? Or would the oil industry's importance mean they would likely crack down on dissidents in order to maintain their monopoly, becoming more authoritarian? Would they be more like the Saudis, or less?
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