Successful Irish Newfoundland Rebellion?

In 1800, a group of Irishmen in Saint John, Newfoundland began a plot to overthrow the British colonial rule. Among this group were about 80 soldiers and over 300 civilians. However, the conspiracy was soon discovered by the authorities and the conspirators were apprehended.

Now, what if they had kept it more quiet, until it grew to the point that they could launch a full-scale rebellion? Would it be successful? And if so, what would happen to the newly independent Newfoundland?
 
Now, what if they had kept it more quiet, until it grew to the point that they could launch a full-scale rebellion?

It would have been ferreted out sooner or later, and then that puts the kiboosh on that effort. If, despite that, it did grow into a large-scale rebellion:

Would it be successful?

No, it would not. The persons responsible would either be shipped out to transportation or hanged. (Also, don't forget that at that point in time Newfoundland was governed by a combination of the Royal Navy and the Board of Trade; neither of them would be happy to have a rebellion in their turf, particularly this early in the colonization process - if only to provide a population for managing the fisheries.)

And if so, what would happen to the newly independent Newfoundland?

There wouldn't be an independent Newfoundland.
 
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