Stanley Baldwin stays

Pretty hard to convince him, Baldwin has ten years left to live and, while he doesn't of course know this, he is, to use modern colloquialism, 'getting too old for this shit'. The stress of the abdication crisis was really the straw that broke the camel's back - he'd been in high office on and off since the Great War and the man was 70, let's not forget.

If he does stay in the job, I can see him resigning the next time there's a stressful event the government has to face - Chamberlain would probably go from PM-in-waiting to de-facto PM if Baldwin was somehow convinced to stay on as some kind of figurehead.

In short, if he stays he'll only be around for a short while longer, unless you handwave him a body and mind untouched by twenty years of stress at the highest level of government. Foreign policy (ie Appeasement) wouldn't change that much IIRC, it was on his watch that the limp-wristedness of the 1930s began, don't forget (no response to re-entering the Rhineland, and of course the shameful Hoare-Laval Pact over Abyssinia). Economics I don't see much changing either, Chamberlain was his Chancellor after all so the policies he pursued as PM would have continued.
 
Would Baldwin eventually start the rearmament programme initiated by Chamberlain IOTL? I know he refused Chamberlain's advice to fight an election explicitly on hawkishness, or at least rearmament, for fear of rocking the proverbial "consensus" boat. Probably events transpire as per OTL, but without Chamberlain's naivete vis-a-vis Hitler, being a cynic rather than an idealist. I don't think he would be keen on bringing Churchill back into the Cabinet any more than Chamberlain was due to their policy differences and Churchill's unconditional support of Edward the previous year, though without the personal animus of Chamberlain-Churchill.
 
Foreign policy (ie Appeasement) wouldn't change that much IIRC, it was on his watch that the limp-wristedness of the 1930s began, don't forget (no response to re-entering the Rhineland, and of course the shameful Hoare-Laval Pact over Abyssinia).


Actually it began before him.

The 1935 Anglo-German Naval Agreement, repudiating the naval clauses of the ToV, was negotiated under Ramsay MacDonald, though the actual signing took place a few days after Baldwin had succeeded him.
 
Depending on how long he manages to stay, does this affect:
-Anglo Irish relations particularly the Treaty Ports and Trade War;
-Chamberlain's domestic reforms as OTL;
-Would he have kept Eden & Co. on leash at the FO or dabbled directly in the developing foreign problems in Europe?
 
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