Speculative 2008 Presidential Election: Bush vs Obama

Who would have won?

  • Third party candidate/independent (Please explain)

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    90
So let's say that at some point between 2001-2008 the 22nd Amendment is removed and President Bush decides to run for a third term.

Could he have beaten Obama?

Please vote for who you think would have won and not who you would have voted for.
 
This is Bush of the historical record low job approval ratings?

Surprised you even felt the need to make a thread on this.
 
The real question is whether or not George W. Bush could have beaten Bill Clinton in 2000. I would suspect that Clinton still could have won a third term. We're still playing with too many butterflies at this point.
 
The real question is whether or not George W. Bush could have beaten Bill Clinton in 2000. I would suspect that Clinton still could have won a third term. We're still playing with too many butterflies at this point.

I was thinking of posting that one as well, I think Clinton would have pulled it off.
 
I think Clinton could have done it too simply because his approval rating was high enough. Of course, one has to wonder if Reagan might have been able to win a third term as well. I doubt Reagan would have run for a fourth term simply because he was getting up there in age. It could have been potentially interesting to see two three-term Presidents back-to-back. This might be worth a timeline. :D
 
Bill Clinton could have won a third term, but his heart condition was such that he probably wouldn't have sought it. After all, a third Clinton terms more or less means he's going to die in office. Though to be fair, I'm not sure if Clinton and his advisers knew how bad his heart health was until he was forced to undergo surgery, which of course, was after the time when a "Clinton/Gore 2000" race would have taken place.

As to Bush v. Obama I think the answer is obvious. Obama wins in an even bigger landslide. However, I wonder if running against President Bush in the middle of the crisis means Obama has to adopt a more oppositional attitude towards the Bush administration's efforts in dealing with that crisis, simply to differentiate himself from Bush. Even without the 22, Bush in 2008 is pretty unlikely, for the same reason Truman 1952 is unlikely. Bush doesn't strike me as the type to run when his numbers are so low. Sure, Rove might be able to bring it up, but there's absolutely no way Bush wins.
 
rm as well. I doubt Reagan would have run for a fourth term simply because he was getting up there in age. It could have been potentially interesting to see two three-term Presidents back-to-back. This might be worth a timeline. :D

Based on what I've read, if Reagan could have run for a third term and seemed likely to do so, there's a strong possibility that he's impeached in 1987. Now, he probably is not convicted in the senate, because Iran-Contra is not Watergate, but that's going to have an impact on "Reagan 88", and probably a more detrimental one than the Clinton impeachment would have had on a hypothetical "Clinton 2000"
 
Reagan wasn't in locus mens for years; he was barely mentally capable of being President in 1989 let alone 1993. Clinton, on the other hand, could easily have won a third term. I think that after that though the Presidency would go to a Republican rather than Gore; I don't think that sixteen years of Democratic rule would be plausible.

As for Bush/Obama...I think it's obvious.
 
Based on what I've read, if Reagan could have run for a third term and seemed likely to do so, there's a strong possibility that he's impeached in 1987. Now, he probably is not convicted in the senate, because Iran-Contra is not Watergate, but that's going to have an impact on "Reagan 88", and probably a more detrimental one than the Clinton impeachment would have had on a hypothetical "Clinton 2000"

Considering Reagan was starting to show significant signs of Alzheimer's Disease in his last year in office, I'm not sure he would have run again. He was getting pretty old, and you don't want someone with senile dementia with their finger on the red button.

Clinton on the other hand... I think he would have run again. Wouldn't a TL in which Clinton is re-elected in 2000, then suffers a heart attack upon hearing about 9/11, leaving a traumatized nation under the leadership of Al Gore, be interesting?
 
If the 22nd Amendment was removed, that must mean Dubya did the best job anyone alive can even remember for them to want to allow him a third term. Therfore, George Bush wins.

:p
 
I want to hear from the eight of you who voted for Bush. What were you thinking. How on Earth could he have overcome his low approval rating and the tanking economy. I could give him the six states that McCain won by over 60%.Alasaka, Idaho, utah, Wyoming, Oklahoma and Alabama for 31 electoral votes.
 
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