Spectre of Europe - An Alternative Paris Commune Timeline

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Chapter 16 - The Treaty of Ambert
Chapter Sixteen: The Treaty of Ambert

Thanks for all the kind comments guys! Next post will have a map (got to work out how to upload it) and will take stock of the situation more generally before we get on with the story. So any clarifications anyone wants, let me know in the comments!

Chapter Sixteen: The Treaty of Ambert

“Let them pay through the nose and grow anaemic and ripe for defeat, or let them default and pay the Prussian creditor in blood”
Minister of the Interior, Charles Beulé, to his wife, 1871



It took three long weeks, three weeks of mistrust and skirmishing and positioning, for the peace talks to be arranged. The Communards, fearful of being executed, refused to leave their own territory. The Royalists resolutely refused to legitimise their regime by meeting them in Paris.

But the meeting had to happen. Both sides were at breaking point. MacMahon, exhausted, was trying in the countryside beyond Versailles to keep his army together with both hands. These men were conscripts, called up in 1870 to fight Prussians, and now, with the spring turning to summer, were desperate to get back to their farms and villages. They had been in uniform too long and the bitter defeat at the walls of Paris had seen morale plummet. Without access to the Bank of France in Paris, the King was unable to pay his men either, and each night pickets struggled to stop men slipping away into the night. In Paris, meanwhile, the dead were being counted. The Commune’s soldiers were workers and artisans, men it was supposed to serve, and such rates of casualty couldn’t be sustained. Whether they wanted it or not, both sides needed peace.

Finally the sleepy rural town of Ambert, nestled in the centre of the country, was selected. It rotunda market place, small and musty with the smell of grain, provided the venue for the two delegations.

Leading the Communard one was the trio of Leo Frankel , Eugene Varlin, and Emile Eudes, three young men sent by Blanqui and the Assembly to find whatever terms they could. For the Royalist the Minister of the Interior, Charles Beulé, a professor of archaeology, assembled his own weary team.
Debate was painfully slow. For the first day Beulé, under direct orders from MacMahon, refused resolutely any suggestion of power-sharing. Varlin and Eudes, from the outset, had proposed the reunion of the country under a Republic, with the abdication of the King, and new elections. Annoyed, Beulé simply dismissed the suggestion out of hand. “The King is here to stay gentlemen” he announced at one point, to which Eudes snapped “and so are we sir!”. At times the three days of peace talks seemed like a farce, albeit a not particularly funny one. On the morning of the second day the talks almost collapsed when it turned out that the Communards had been tapping the telegraph line of the Royalists, listening in to how their suggestions were being treated back at court. The situation was only diffused when the town clerk came forward to point out that the Royalists were also listening in to the Communards through the thin walls of their hotel room.

It was late on the third day that Frankel laid out the groundwork of the treaty as it became known. Perhaps his status as a foreigner, a Hungarian Jew, allowed him to think what was unthinkable for the other men present – the dismemberment of France. From La Havre in the north, along a strip of land just wide enough to include Paris but exclude Versailles, the border Frankel sketched out found the Loire valley and followed the river as far south as Saint Etienne. Then it crossed land to the Rhone, travelling back up a little to near Lyon, before switching to the Isere and following that river to the Italian border. Standing back, Frankel revealed a map that placed a third of the country, roughly, in the hands of the Commune.

“Many historians have, over the years, questioned the precise nature of the new border” wrote Professor Marc Bloc, in the 1927, “yet this is to misunderstand the nature of France at the time”.

Perhaps the best summary came in the two volumes of Eugen Weber’s Modern France. Peasants into Subjects (1976) and Workers into Comrades (1977) emphasised the split. Crucial is Weber’s discussion of language. In 1871, at the time of the division, he argued, only 30% of France spoke what was considered “French”. Loyalty to the region was much more important than to the nation for many, and played into political concerns. The Royalists had, since before 1789, viewed Paris as chaotic and ungovernable, whilst the Communards, looking back to the 1790s, were able to point to the West and South as essentially anti-Republican.

Whilst all men were, at first, aghast at Frankel’s suggestion, it seemed, the more they talked, to be the only solution. The Communards could never hope, beyond wild dreams, to conquer France entirely, let alone hold it down. The Royalists, meanwhile, lost the prestige of Paris but gained a buffer state.

Ever the opportunist, however, Beulé was able to sting the Communards one last time as they signed. There could be, he said airily as the ink dried, no question of the Kingdom of France paying for a peace treaty they did not agree too. The Communards had agreed it, he said looking at Varlin, so they had better pay.

After three days, it was decided, France would be split in two.
 
What a bloody and glorious day!
But the Commune cannot survive another such battle, I think: in the long run Paris, or even Paris and Lyon are not sustainable.

As an aside, did they give all the money of the National bank to the germans?

Keep up the good work!

Thanks!

The Communards had, roughly, about 100 million in gold and 166 million in bank notes.

They have, as historically, burnt through most of their cash reserves and yes, ITTL, have given that 100 million to the Germans. Although so far only the Deputies know about it.
 
Bismarck will be extremely happy of this arrangement, but I wonder what will happen in the UK: there is now a red monster just on the other side of the Channel...

I am afraid the prospects for the Communards are not great, but they could inspire similar movements in other European countries, maybe even Germany herself? Might all this backfire spectacularly for the Prussians?
 
Bismarck will be extremely happy of this arrangement, but I wonder what will happen in the UK: there is now a red monster just on the other side of the Channel...

I am afraid the prospects for the Communards are not great, but they could inspire similar movements in other European countries, maybe even Germany herself? Might all this backfire spectacularly for the Prussians?

Well Spain can be a very fertile ground in this period, due to the uncertain internal situation that plagued her.

The big change is that France is now divided in two and this mean that is both less powerfull and with more pressant problems, this can open a lot of occasion for other powers to get their place in the sun.
 
Well Spain can be a very fertile ground in this period, due to the uncertain internal situation that plagued her.

The big change is that France is now divided in two and this mean that is both less powerfull and with more pressant problems, this can open a lot of occasion for other powers to get their place in the sun.

Are you thinking Italian Tunisia too?
 
Well Spain can be a very fertile ground in this period, due to the uncertain internal situation that plagued her.

The big change is that France is now divided in two and this mean that is both less powerfull and with more pressant problems, this can open a lot of occasion for other powers to get their place in the sun.

Royal France would fight tooth and nail against it, but Spain is a possibility.

Also: ANy chance of a Map?
 
Interlude One: Taking Stock

(I wish I knew how to do a sweet wikibox to sum up the Civil War!)


France.jpg


The two new Frances 1871

Kingdom of France to receive all overseas territories and colonies.
Commune to continue to pay war debt to Germany



New post to come soon....
 
Chapter 17 - The Return from Icaria
Chapter Seventeen – The Return from Icaria

Chapter Seventeen – The Return from Icaria

In the hot autumn of 1871 around 200 Frenchmen, women and children, left the rustling cornfields of Iowa. They had stayed long enough to see out the harvest, selling at a profit in an economy still recovering from its own Civil War, and to sell up their series of farmsteads to Mormon settlers interested in establishing a colony of their own. Then they joined the small but eager exodus to the East Coast and, ultimately, back to France.

The Icarians, followers of a Utopian socialist dream set out by writer Ettienne Cabet in the 1840s were not powerful, numerous, or influential. But they were symbolic of the ideological push and pull migration that was taking place in Francophone communities across both France and the wider world. It is estimated that, as news of the breakup of France and the birth of the Republique Populaire spread, around 9,000 migrants returned to Commune controlled areas. They came from communes and colonies in America, Brazil, South Africa, and Universities and student quarters across Europe, but they all shared a hope that, now, they did not have to leave the land of their birth to establish their vision of socialism.

Across France refugees and migrants flooded back and forth across the new informal borders. Many of those prisoners of war released into Communard hands by the Germans were from the new Kingdom and, apart from a few radicals amongst the ranks and young men with no ties to pull them back, few expressed any interest in staying. There was more uncertainty amongst those who homes were in the new People’s Republic, but the vast majority did just want to return home.

Of those who did move across borders, the majority fleeing to Royalist France were priests. The expected bourgeois mass-exodus did not occur – leaving home was a huge upheaval and, besides, many of those who could have fled had already moved before the Prussians had arrived. Thousands of priests, curates, and bishops, however, fled south and west, the example of the Archbishop of Paris ringing in their ears.

Georges Darboy, swept up by Raoul Rigault and his secret police in the wave of terror following the defeat at Versailles, was dead. Officially, according to Rigault, the Royalists were to blame. The prison he was being held in had been hit by shells and the Archbishop, along with several of his fellows, had been killed in the blast. Theofile Ferre, the Commune’s official prosecutor, still in mourning for the loss of his beloved Louise Michel, investigated in the early hours of the morning after the battle. In private correspondence with Blanqui he was sceptical. ‘I am unsure of the chances of a piece of shrapnel the size and shape of a bullet striking him so perfectly in the forehead’ he demurred, but in public the Commune stuck to the story of accidental death.
The world was not convinced. Pope Pius IX, never a fan of Darboy, nevertheless took the opportunity to condemn the Commune as fervently anti-clerical, avow the King as the rightful ruler of all France, and begin the process of turning Darboy into a saint and martyr of the faith.

This stink, however, was nothing in comparison to the news of the Treaty of Kammerzal. Breaking a week after the armistice, Kammerzal saw public support for the Commune plummet. Even left-wing groups were shaken, clinging only to the hope the Commune represented. “A Disgrace!” announced Le Figaro. “Shame, shame, a thousand times shame” wrote the novelist Victor Hugo to a friend.

Disgraced in the eyes of public opinion the news of Darboy and Kammerzal, together, forced the Commune to turn inwards. Criticised and mistrusted abroad, its executive focused on two things: the upcoming meeting of the Working Man’s International in November that year and, the preceding October, the first ever elections to the Republic’s National Council. Given the political climate, they promised to be a chaotic affair.
 
Chapter 18 - Factions and Elections
Chapter Eighteen – Factions and Elections

Thanks guinazacity. The Icarians are silly but I've always had a soft spot for them and wanted to put them in. You'll have to wait to see what happens with Bakunin and Rigault.

Chapter Eighteen – Factions and Elections

There had been no solid plan, in Blanqui’s mind, as to what form of government might emerge from the Commune. Unlike the work of Marx or Bakunin, Blanquism was a creed that preached forceful revolution first, social revolution later. Now that the later was staring him in the face, the old man blinked. He yielded to pressure and relinquished overall control in favour of elections.

In the first chaotic months of the Republic it became rapidly clear that the organic socialist-anarchist structure of society that many activists had hoped would spring to the fore was not unfolding. The regions under their control were, after almost two years of war and occupation, relatively calm, but disordered. Frustration was mounting with a lack of clear direction and there were sporadic incidences of arson and violence, usually around church property.

The planned structure of the new National Council, proposed by the current Assembly, was for every Commune in the Republic to be represented by a number of delegates dependent on population size. Parisian Arrondissements, for instance, would each send one deputy, whilst smaller rural areas would be combined into seats. The tally convened, after much wrangling, was an unwieldy 277 seats.

The election, covered in a variety of regional and “national” newspapers, was a strange affair. Used to squabbling on the fringes of politics, now socialist and anarchist groups were thrust front and centre into the fray. With very few party affiliations, no money, and, for many, no recognition amongst voters outside of Paris itself, alliances and groupings were hard to establish. Roughly, four key groups emerged.

The Blanquists had, with the figure of Blanqui himself and their interest in cadres, a rough party system, although it had never sought mass appeal. Emile Eudes, however, found himself a capable campaign managers and utilised ably a number of key political figures in his campaign. Blanqui himself, clearly, was almost guaranteed a seat in the new Council, whilst Rigault, although problematic for some, was seen by others as the sort of man needed to secure the new state. Blanqui’s cause was bolstered by a series of high-profile arrivals from new groups – the feminist Paule Minck and, in a stroke of surprise to many, the former General Georges Boulanger. Captured at the crater, the general now proclaimed his eyes opened by the cause of the new Republic.

The anarchists had a groundswell of popular support to draw on, with a clearer vision of a utopian world, but predictably floundered when it came to organisation. Bakunin, nominal head of the group, did well to attract a number of prominent figures, including Chairwoman of the Social Credit Bank Nathalie Lemel and the anarchists Elisee Reclus and Elie Reclus (no relation). Anarchists, unlike Blanquists whose appeal was urban and spoke to the desire for order and discipline among voters, appealed instead to rural and poor voters.

Varlin and Frankel, adrift after being exposed as the main authors of Kammerzal, were left in uncertain grounds. The death of Pyat during the Battle for Paris, and the resignation of Delecluze shortly after on health grounds, had left only Blanqui’s voice at the helm. The duo eventually moved towards a centrist position, realising that a more practical socialism was needed to actually run the new state. Their supporters were often young, and educated, but were drawn from across the political spectrum and Varlin, a long term supporter of women’s rights, drew in the growing feminist movement to what became known as the Centrist party.

Finally, given that great swathes of Commune territory had never risen up for the new regime, it was natural that opposition would occur. Blanqui had forbidden, at the urging of the Assembly, openly Royalist or conservative parties in the election, and opposition began instead to coalesce around the moderate Republican Jules Ferry. Given charge of Paris during the war with Germany, Ferry’s star had sunk so low in France that he had considered suicide. Yet, with his hometown of Saint-Dix now on the border with the newly German Lorraine, Ferry found himself in a unique position to rally the forces dissatisfied with the Commune. Watched closely and unpopular with many, his Moderate faction nevertheless competed the election in many constituencies, Ferry himself bravely withstanding verbal and physical abuse on countless hustings.

As, in Paris, preparations for the International Congress drew near, ballot boxes began to arrive at the bullet-scarred Hotel de Ville. Counting up the election resulting took four hundred clerks almost a week…
 
Chapter 19 - Congress
Chapter Nineteen – Congress

Contains major butterflies.
Also, please let me know if you guys want to see an overview of Europe or more on the Commune or visit the Kingdom in upcoming posts!


Chapter Nineteen – Congress

‘Events have moved so fast I can barely keep you informed quickly enough!’
George Howell, Trade Unionist and part of the British Delegation, writes back to Henry Hyndman, chair of the newly formed Social Democratic Federation.


They came from across the Republic. From Picardy to Lyon to Paris itself. From Portugal and Spain, Italy and Switzerland, the decaying Austro-Hungarian Empire and the new German one, from Scandinavia, Ireland, Britain, North America and Russia. Men, and women, workers and intellectuals, they arrived in Paris in their hundreds that mild November, as drizzling rain spattered the roof-tops of the grey city.

Meanwhile, in the new National Council, meeting in the Hotel de Ville, reflected the divided mood of the country.

Of 277 seats the results were as follows:
Blanquists: 131
Anarchist Federation: 98
Centrists: 43
Moderates: 5

It was a frustrating result all-round. Blanqui secured a majority but nothing outright. The anarchists lacked a cohesive structure to mobilise their representatives, their “party” disrupted by hundreds of caucuses and internal groupings and cliques, whilst Varlin and Frankel had, on the back of Kammerzal, received an electoral beating.

Little of this had impact on the delegates arriving from across the world, however, for they had traveled for the International Workingmen’s Congress.

Arrayed in the Great Hall of the Tuilleries Palace, now very much in Commune control, the first day was little more than a rapturous series of self-congratulating of the victorious Communards. Blanqui himself took the standing ovation with aplomb, whilst even Varlin and Frankel received congratulations from more pragmatic and foreign delegates.

By the second day, however, the splits in the Republic were seeping into the International. The organisation had always been diffuse, a mess of ideas, and now, with the nature of a successful revolution to fight over, they became more entrenched and vitriolic.

The key issue that divided the conference was on what had caused the success of the Commune, ideologically speaking. For the Blanquists, most numerous amongst the French delegates, it was obvious – armed force from the cadre had been, as their leader had predicted, decisive. Bakunin, speaking for the assembled anarchists, presented a different view. The people had thrown off their oppressor, the state, he argued. Now was the time for workers and peasants to come together, as they were across France, and replace the state with a more organic structure. The third faction, led by Marx and Engels, argued that workers needed to take over the state itself.

By the second afternoon the verbal duelling became deadly. Eudes’s speech on armed cadres was interrupted by shouts of “What then? What then?” from anarchists in the audience, to which he snapped “You tell me, gentlemen, for you are the obstacles!”. Yet the Blanquists also struggled to keep control of the mood of the meeting, Blanqui himself resolutely refusing to outline any plan he may or may not have had for the reshaping of society.

By the third day, sick of locking horns with a man he knew he couldn’t shift given his successful revolutionary credentials, Bakunin paused, only to find himself under attack from Marx. Marx, hand on lapel, delivered a blistering speech that depicted the anarchists as the roadblock to state construction in the new Republic. “Idle dreamers, careless rakes, third rate nobility flakes, and chronic wastrels” he denounced them, drawing sporadic applause from the Blanquists in the process. It was an assault which had been bubbling away for some time, ever since the International was first convened in 1864. But here, in Paris, Marx had misjudged his audience.

Anarchists had, whatever the current situation in France was, bled and died on the barricades whilst Marx, not even in France, had yet to attract anything even resembling a major following. It fell to one of Bakunin’s disciples, the young Russian Peter Kropotkin who had travelled in the Swiss delegation, to deliver the rebuttal.

‘Karl Marx is not comparable to any revolutionary figure in history. Revolutionaries have had ideals. Marx has none. He is drained of thought, anaemic and weak, at a time when the flame of justice and social revolution burns bright. A servant of the state in a time where it is dying.’
Bakunin, later, was to return to this theme. ‘A Doctor desperately trying to pronounce a corpse healthy’ was his verdict on Marx and the state.
The waters shifted quickly. Within the hour the Blanquist faction realised Marx was now a figure onto which they could heap the problems of the peace. They joined in, a withering barrage of verbal attack that was carried in newspapers each day to the eager crowds, that decried this new “Marxism” as out-dated and irrelevant.

Bakunin_speaking.png

Bakunin expels Karl Marx​

By the middle of the fourth day, Bakunin, beaming in triumph, was able to deliver a decisive death-blow. At 1.32p.m. on 6th November 1871 Karl Marx and Frederick Engels were expelled from the International.

Whatever shape the politics of the Republic were to take, it was clear that the idea of a centralised working-class state was now dead and buried.
 
I caught up to this a little while ago, and subscribed.

Someone who knows my opinions will know I'm not pleased to see Marx shown the door. Not because I want an Orwellian state or anything like that, but because I think he had the correct analysis of capitalism, and a sound world-view in general.

That said I can hardly object to the events depicted--Marx was pretty terrible at organizing, as far as I can tell. Awful at interpersonal politics. I don't know that he would be inflexibly dogmatic in a position of pragmatic power; I suspect the contrary. But no one would give him a position of pragmatic power; he made enemies far too easily.

Too bad, because I think the People's Republic could use some cold-blooded analysis of their situation. But that's one thing people often don't like to hear, and especially not from someone as hot-blooded as Marx could be.

So--right or wrong, Marx is for the moment useless. It is also sobering to realize that while I think he had a pretty good notion of what a communist society ought to be like, he didn't put much effort into spelling it out. He's sort of an intellectual, academic version of Blanqui--he was keenly interested in the mechanism of revolution and became IMHO the unsurpassed scholar of what it was the working people should rebel against, and why. But Marx's writings don't give much direct guidance to socialists who have won and need to reorganize society in a new way.

It is pretty scary to me to see how puny the Centrists look in terms of election winnings, and that the Blanquists and anarchists have so far only found the common ground of despising Marx.

What the PR needs right now is solidarity. They are in a very precarious, unstable situation. They have just two major assets protecting them:

For one thing, the despised Treaty of Kammerzal. By ceding Alsace and much of Lorraine (it looks to me on the map like Germany got a lot more of Lorraine than they took OTL, too) and offering the reparations payments, suddenly Bismarck and the new Kaiser have been snookered into having a vested interest in the PR surviving. If the King could suddenly come back for a second round against the Communards, and break the Republic and take back his full kingdom--well, trying to take back what the Communard negotiators traded away would mean another war with the Germans, obviously--but the Kingdom would never have signed off on ceding them, and this would make for a tense and dangerous situation, if France were to either grow stronger on its own or gain powerful allies with interests against German ones. It would make it harder for the Kaiserreich to integrate the new provinces into itself, if the locals have any reason for discontent with Berlin at all. OTL--despite the hopes that some Germans (not Bismarck; he was against trying to take them) might have held that the German-dialect speaking, culturally German native majority would be glad to be in the German empire, the fact is the Alsatians, when given votes, voted strongly for a regionalist party for themselves alone. Whether that meant they were separatist, secessionist, or pro-French or not would be a matter of nuance and subtext--they could hardly get away with proclaiming open treason. My impression is that there was some potential for them to be reconciled to a German identity and some gradual movement toward electing party representatives of more pan-German agendas--but then Wilhelm II pretty much scuppered it by his arrogance, anti-democratic inclinations, and particular contempt for the Alsatians shared by many of his Prussian cronies. Alsace and Lorraine were run as a direct Imperial domain, not as a member state of federated Germany, so the whims of the Kaiser and his circle were of particular relevance there. The overbearing manner in which the rulers demanded integration on their terms put all the grievances Germanic Alsatians might have remembered from their subjugation to the French nation in a rosier perspective.

This is an ATL and perhaps somehow the Germans don't blow it. But even in the best case, it would take a long time for the new acquisitions to be integrated and reconciled. If the Communards were swept aside and an irredentist French kingdom were again on their borders, any discontents the Alsatians might harbor would turn at least a few of them toward subversion in the hope of French favor and gratitude. If the Prussian ruling circles make the same mistakes they did OTL, this could become a seething quagmire.

Therefore, the German Kaiser's immediate interests are better served with the Peoples Republic run by the treacherous Communards who handed the Germanic provinces over to the Germans. The Republic is bound by treaty to let the cession ride and has no friends or allies to overturn German power, nor do they have the street cred among disgruntled Alsatians a "purer" France would.

And of course the Communards also promised the Germans a lot of money, payable on schedule, which the King of France never agreed to do. If the Republic defaults, they would be in trouble, but at any rate at this point they might pay, and probably will if they know what is good for them.

Now obviously men like the new Kaiser and his chancellor Bismarck would much prefer not to deal with leftist radicals, still less rely on their statesmanship and good sense and fiscal rectitude. But Bourbon France is offering them nothing but headaches.

That might change. If the new French King would get together with the Germans and agree to some level of reparations and formally rescind all claim on the ceded territories in perpetuity (perhaps haggling to get back some of the more undigestable bits with too French and not German enough of an identity) then suddenly a grand Coalition to stomp the Republic might emerge. But will the Bourbon King take on these humbling terms?
--
The second asset they enjoy, alongside the dubious and ambivalent interest of the German Reich, is their street cred as successful revolutionaries, specifically as a working class revolution. At the same time this fact and identity could be seen as their worst liability--this is why the crowned heads and indeed the rising moneyed powers of Europe both fear and loathe them.

But the basis of their fear and loathing, aside perhaps from the thought that the Communards might manage to pull off a quantum leap in social organization comparable to what the old 1789 Revolution did, transforming French society in a way that multiplies the powers available to the new-fangled state and perhaps (once the insanity of popular power burns itself out and power again devolves as it should to an elite) produce another Napoleon to grind Europe under another unstoppable Juggernaut of drastic change--well actually, it is that the Communards might manage to do that without losing at least the aura and repute of popular rule, and the specific Juggernaut they fear most would be the rising of their own peoples against them, to either flock to the People's Republican banner--or set up new People's Republics of their own.

Thus, the same fear that most motivates the surrounding bourgeois powers to crush the Communards and quickly, also can check or even paralyze their resolve to move against them, lest they trigger a cascade of copycat revolutions as in the to them dread year of 1848. Having seen the Communard militia both clever and resolute enough to break the King's best efforts to defeat them, they know armed suppression will not be cheap in blood or treasure, and will not be swift, and the more drawn out the war to destroy the Communards is the more likely that they will find sympathy and allies behind the backs of the invading armies, and what they are trying to repress with bayonets and lead in Northern France takes over their capitals and countryside.

The surrounding hostile rulers are watching and waiting. If the Republic betrays fatal weakness they can move in for the kill, but this weakness must be of a form that discredits the idealism of the movement, or shatters its solidarity. It goes without saying that the combined arms of the Republic (today, this is not to speak of what might come about in the future) are puny against the combined forces the conservative powers can order in against them-but the question is, would such legions remain loyal themselves, and would red rebellion undermine the power the reactionaries can muster--on paper?

It is not then encouraging to look at the deep divisions among the leadership of the new Republic, the lack of common ground and what is worse, apparent lack of patience.
 
Centralisation of the state was brought by France,
Nationalism was brought by the people of France.
Now it's time for Communism to be brought by the workers of France.
(God I have the largest communist boner right now)
 
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