Spanish-American Wars (1846-48, 1898)

hey. part of a large ATL im working on involves spain remaining a significant power into the 20th century and still remaining as a lesser world power through to the 21st, but they kind of have a slippery slope starting in the 19th century. if you remember from some of my other threads for this ATL, the aztecs and other natives of mexico and central america persist and are not given independence because of a continued resistance that they stage. so, when the americans annex texas, its not mexico that gets pissed at them, but spain.

how do you all think the First Spanish-American War, lasting from 1846 to 1848 (or possibly from 1845) would go if it was spain itself fighting the war instead of an independent mexico, and if the native resistance was helping the americans?
 
That we don't know if the same events with Texas would develop the same with Spain instead of Mexico.

And the situation about the indigenous resistance is weird, I guess it could happen if the spanish managed to stablish the Virreinato de la Nueva España along Mexico's gulf coast, while central Mexico and the west coast remain under control of the Mexica (Aztecs). Less succesful Cortez, then?

But I cannot see indigenous resistance surving without Tenochtitlan, as it was the center of the civilization, the pillar that (forcefully) held Mexico together then.
 
well im not trying to cover the native resistance up to this point itself, just the wars themselves
 
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