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After the troubles of the late 80s and the early 90s, the Soviet Union manages to survive with its political and economic form preserved (somewhat), but just barely. It has lost its influence over its former satellite states, and all but one of the SSRs have declared independence. This is how the world looks in 1995:
Let's say a hardliner has ended up premier, Yeltsin is dead or jailed. What are the consequences for the Soviet Union (of Russia and Belarus) and the rest of the world?