If the NEP were to continue obviously it would be modified and so would many policies across the country.
If the NEP were to continue then there would be no collectivization and the deaths related to that. Not only deaths, but also lack of productivity because of less food.
I do not agree that there would have been less industrialization, I think there would have been more because now more people are alive.
I do not agree that it would have been easier for the Germans to invade because now people would have initially resisted harder than they did in the original timeline, before they discovered that the nazis wanted to exterminate them.
This link here can require a bit of time to load, and if it says pages not available just scroll up and down for 15 seconds and they become available.
This all shows that initially the nazis were greeted as liberators, before it became clear to the people that the nazis were there to enslave and exterminate.
https://books.google.se/books?id=e_...BAIHcabA2gQ6AEwA3oECAkQAQ#v=onepage&q&f=false
The last paragraph on page 69 : "In every village we are being showered with bouquets of flowers, even more beautiful ones than we got in Vienna"
"General Guderian (the commander of the 2nd Panzer Army) was virtually taken prisoner by the residents of one happy Ukrainian village, which refused to let him go until they felt he had been properly honored"
From page 69 to page 70
"The villagers and peasants greeted the German troops in their native costumes carrying bread and salt (the traditional Ukrainian welcome for honored guests), serenaded them with balalaika music, offered them food and drink, and erected arches bearing slogans as: "The Ukrainian peoples thank their liberators, the brave German Army." AND THEN THE LAST PART YOU HAVE TO READ YOURSELF TO BELIEVE.
So what would happen with NEP still going.
The "normal" "consumer" part of the economy would grow, to get the farmers to produce more one most create things that the farmers want. So therefore there would be an increase in furniture, clothing etc etc production
The laws would change so that people could own their own furniture and clothes, the laws MAY change so that people could own their own houses or at least "lease" them for 99 years and be allowed to improve their houses.
Also, even if someway the industrialization is not as large as in the original timeline and the nazis still invade I believe that because of higher motivation and local resistance the nazis wont advance as far which means less industry is damaged.
If there is no collectivization then there may not bee any purges or not as large, which means more of the scientific community is alive and unharmed. The idiot Trofim Lysenko and his crackpot theories may possibly never be implemented without collectivization and the purges, so many lives would be saved there and because of that all production would have been higher, more people alive.
And the "easiest" way to avoid a nazi invasion is that the USSR invades Romania 1 week after the nazis have gone into France, without the Romanian oil Germany is lost. Hitler himself said so:
“I always feared - that Russia suddenly would attack Romania in the late fall - and occupy the petroleum wells, and we would have not been ready in the late fall of 1940. If Russia indeed had taken Romanian petroleum wells, than Germany would have been lost. It would have required - just 60 Russian divisions to handle that matter.
In Romania we had of course - at that time - no major units. The Romanian government had turned to us only recently - and what we did have there was laughable. They only had to occupy the petroleum wells. Of course, with our weapons I could not start a, war in September or October. That was out of the question. Naturally, the transfer to the east wasn't that far advanced yet. Of course, the units first had to reconsolidate in the west. First the armaments had to be taken care of because we too had - yes, we also had losses in our campaign in the west. It would have been impossible to attack - before the spring of 19, 41. And if the Russians at that time - in the fall of 1940 - had occupied Romania - taken the petroleum wells, then we would have been, helpless in 1941.
Another Voice In Background: Without petroleum...
Hitler: (Interrupting) We had huge German production: however, the demands of the air force, our Panzer divisions - they are really huge. It is level of consumption that surpasses the imagination. And without the addition of four to five million tons of Romanian petroleum, we could not have fought the war - and would have had to let it be - and that was my big worry. ”
I made post about it
https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/how-stalin-defeats-hitler-in-1940.464428/
As the NEP continue it will be changed, overtime there will probably be a decrease in total number of farmers as they or their children go to work in other areas of the economy, advances in technology will also increase this.
There are many variables to consider.