Soviet-Chinese War in 1969 - aftermath

Suppose the USSR and China went to actual full-blown war in 1969 - what are the results and what is the aftermath?
 
I think there was already a timeline about that I think the name was along the lines of the dragon versus the bear or something similar.
 
North Vietnam will not have the supplies. With this, can US and S. Vietnam go on offensive to extinguish communists. It is after Tet, N Vietnam needs to recoup some, but still has the psychological victory that Tet achieved. Nixon should take advantage with this.

China and USA reach agreement. USA keeps Taiwan and S. Korea out of conflict. China does not let any supplies into N. Vietnam. USA supplies China with arms and supplies.

USA ups pressure on N. Vietnam, keeps draft going to reinforce Japan, S. Korea, and NATO.

I do not see USA direct involvement. US will try to exploit Soviet distractions in Cuba and East Europe.

This could speed up the fall of communism in E Europe especially if E European troops are fed into a meat grinder with China.
 

Jack Brisco

Banned
USSR uses nukes, most likely bombers, maybe IRBMS, does a limited decapitation/counterforce strike. Notifies the USA one hour before bombs drop/missiles impact. China tries to retaliate with the few bombs they have, Soviet air defense shoots all bombers down. PVO Strany gives it 110%. China still doesn't sue for peace. Soviets take out a city a day until the Chinese give in. Takes maybe a week. China now Soviet satellite state.

USA really can't do anything, being mired in Vietnam. Fallout could be a problem if there were ground bursts, affecting Soviet Far East, Korea, Japan, western/northwestern USA, maybe Taiwan/Philippines.

USSR - they broke it, they bought it. IMHO "their" China will be one hell of a mess. USSR may have to stop supporting North Vietnam. If that happens NVN eventually agrees to a peace of some sort. At best, they pull totally out of the South. USA/Allies and ARVN can now finish cleaning up on the Viet Cong, who got wrecked during Tet in 1968. Once Viet Cong have been reduced to manageable size we continue pullout of ground forces.
 
China is either reduced to a Soviet client state or if it is independent and still on a different path to the Soviet Union, depending on whether or not nuclear weapons are used and how many, you might see China set back at least 2 or 3 decades if not longer.

Expect the possibility that Vladivostok and/or one or two cities in the Siberian region might still go up in flames before the Chinese surrender. Not a crippling loss the the Soviets, but the Soviet Pacific Fleet had a lot of ships and assets in Vladivostok, so Soviet presence in the Pacific and parts of Asia may lessen considerably if they loose any major warships or shore installations.

Expect the possibility of a flood of refugees out of China.

Depending on the political and military fallout, going into the 1980s, China might be willing to extend the lease of Hong Kong to Britain in exchange for aid, of of the British just don't bring up the subject and decide to retain Hong Kong regardless, the Chinese government might not be willing or interested in pushing the matter.
 
The Soviets quickly overwhelm the Chinese forces. They end up partitioning China, instilling Independent Communist client states in Tibet, East Turkistan, and Manchuria. Mongolia annexes inner Mongolia. The rest of China is turned into a Soviet Satellite but with suck low popular support is basically erupts into an anti-Soviet Revolution a few weeks after it’s foundation. With parts of China in the Soviet’s pockets their collapse takes longer. China is much poorer and less populated ITTL, because of the war. Because of how unstable China is even after the Chinese get there sovereignty back because of the destruction of the war there will be no economic trade with America, because such trade would be unprofitable. ITTL Han China is a second India, however Tibet, East Turkistan, and Manchuria are all independent semi-developed countries with close ties to Russia. Who is the dominate power in East Asia because of the collapse of China.
 
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