South Africa - Divided

After seeing the threads about South Africa ending in Civil war, genocide etc. what about the other way:

What if de Klerk, Mandela, Tutu had told the world that NO WAY the Whites and blacks could live together and pointed at the USA and the still ongoing struggle against racism.
And let them include Zimbabwe, that turned out not so good.

So, what if it was decided to divide South Africa into two parts, with Cape Town as neutral City and the territory not directly connected to Cape Town given an extraterritorial railway and street to it.

And make the mood in South Africa that they want to stay divided.

So, how does it turn out and how would South Africa look today?
 
ASB on a Post-1900 POD. The Bantustan thing had already been tried and found wanting, especially given all the moving about that xame with rapid economic changes.
 
You would need very different Mandela and probably different Klerk and Tutu too. They hardly are favour of dividing the country to "White State" and "Black State". And many wouldn't accept that.
 
It wouldn't be Mandela and De Klerk leading this movement. You would need someone else at the top of the ANC (meaning no Tambo, Sisulu, Mandela), someone more radical and someone who supports segregation.

As for the white side, it would also need someone who is far more about white nationalism and the sort.

However, black state and white state is far too simplistic for the country, you have to remember, their are coloured people and indians who do make up a big chunk of the population also. Not to mention, within the white people their are the english and the boers. Then you have the various different groups of black people (Xhosa, Zulu, Sesotho, Venda just to mention a few).

If there is to be segregation you'd have more than 2 nations, i'd expect, on top of a 'white' and 'black' nation, I imagine you get at least 1 race neutral nation also (maybe hugging the coastline, from cape town to durban).
 
The population distribution would also be messy for that. Lots of people would have to migrate to guarantee European majority in some areas and the latter would want to keep good ones (read fertile, with industry or natural resources) in order to make the future state viable.

You would need some traumatic event to make whites go this way.
 
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