Slightly different Great War - Ottomans to the Entente, Russians to the CPs

The League of the Three Empires survives until the Great War erupts sometime around the same time as it did OTL, but to counter Russia, the Entente approaches the Ottomans instead. How would such a war is most likely to end? And what might the winners demand of the losers in this scenario?

I believe the British along with the Ottomans would easily be able to open a new front in the Balkans or the Caucasus. Correct?
 
It depends what is political situation in these countries and their relationship with other nations. And it too is important, when war breaks and why.
 
I find it very hard to see how such a war would break out in the first place. It would imply that Russia and Austria-Hungary found some way of balancing their interests in the Balkans (probably to the detriment of the Ottomans, so they might well be inclined to join the other side). That removes the biggest European flashpoint, and the one that triggered war IOTL.

Without a Russian military convention, and knowing Germany's eastern flank is covered, France is unlikelky to chance a war, and Germany has no real reason to, given diplomacy has tamed the cauchemar des alliances.

With Russia having managed to lay to rest the spectre of a Russo-Austrian confrontation, its primary conflict is with Britain, so that part works. But you would still need to lay to rest Franco-British differences and encourage the resulting two-power entente sufficiently to choose to go to war with Germany and Russia. I can't see London or Paris (the most hesitant of the August sleepwalkers) choosing to do that.

Of course, I also find it hard to see how a Berlin-Vienna-St Petersburg coalition can continue in the first place. It would require either an external threat felt equally by all (a far more assertive and arrogant Britain?) or a triumph of skilful diplomacy over geopolitics. Assuming the endgame is an Austro-Russian partition of the Ottoman corpse, I wonder what's keeping Germany in the club. The threat of a Franco-Russian entente would be far removed, given how much France is invested in protecting the Mediterranean (the last thing they want is another fleet in there). Would that make Germany a promising candidate for 'turning', the target of diplomatic blandishments by London and Paris? It would be an amusing scenario, Germany (with no obvious potential gains and no interest in expanding territorially to the west) suddenly and brusquely telling its loyal allies to sod off and reaping the resulting peace dividend (or even carving the choicest cuts out of the Russian carcass). Bismarck was that kind of magnificent arsehole, but I don't think there's that kind of sang-froid in Wilhelmine Berlin.
 
I possible POD is the situation during the Russo-japanese war.

A stupid move by the Brits like DOW on Russia , maybe following the dogger bank incident. France thells the Russians their alliance is directed against Germany NOT Britain (following the French-British agreements). Russia is angry on Britain and France.

fast forward a few years. In 1908 the Newly developed friendship between Germany and Russia allows the Russians and Austrians to iron out an agreement how the balkans is to be split (1908 Bosnian annexation crisis - russia achieves its goals, with German and Austrian support) Britain decides to go to war (with French, Italian and Ottoman support).

Russia concentrates on the OE in the Caucasus and sends troops to support its Bulgarian and Serbian allies. Austria sends a few troops to them too, attacks Albania. Keeps a watchful eye on Italy (assuming Italy stays out first - if it EVER sides with Britain ITTL). France faces the full "might" of the German Army. The war really is over by Christmas...
 
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