1 October 1938. 10:00hrs. Newcastle-Upon-Tyne. England.
Like most of the men turning up for work that day, Sir John Carden had read the newspaper reports of Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain’s “Peace in our time” speech. As he entered Sir Noel Birch’s office and took a cup of tea that was the only topic for conversation.
Birch’s contacts in the army had been on high alert. There had been quite a lot of watching of the German army’s preparations for the possible invasion of Czechoslovakia. The War Office was buzzing with rumours and counter-rumours about what would have happened between the German troops and the Czechs if it had come to war. Knowing how the German Condor Legion were doing in Spain, there weren’t too many who gave the Czechs much hope for success.
Reading between the lines of all that had been going on, Birch was of the firm opinion that re-armament was now very firmly on the agenda for Britain. It wouldn’t be just the Royal Navy and Royal Air Force either, the chances were that the British army would soon be thinking seriously about a British Expeditionary Force. Obviously, Hitler wasn’t going to be satisfied with just the Sudetenland, and looking at the state of the British army, especially its tank forces, Birch hoped that Chamberlain had bought the country enough time to get its act together. Carden noted that especially now that the Germans would likely benefit from Czechoslovakian industry, including tank manufacturers, the need for rearmament was ever more pressing.
The first 60 A11s which had been ordered in April 1937 were under construction and progressing well. Deliveries would begin in the new year and be completed before the summer of 1939. The second and third batches, for another 120 tanks, which had been ordered in April and September 1938, would be for the A11 mark II. The army had been persuaded to allow Vickers to replace the Meadows engine (used in the light Mark VIB tank) in the A11 mark I with the AEC bus engine, producing 135hp, as used in the A9 and A10. This would give the 12 ton tank a bit more power and therefore speed, taking it up to about 10-12mph. The first 60 A11 Mark IIs would be in the hands of the army by Autumn 1939, the other sixty being delivered in the winter of 1939/1940. Knowing the problems with Vulcan Foundry’s A12, Birch was confident that the company would receive orders for more A11s before the end of the year.
The fact that the most recent order for another 70 Mark VIbs had just been given to Vulcan Foundry was interesting. There had been a downturn during 1937 and Vulcan had shed workers that year. The War Office was obviously concerned about the A12 program that giving such a large order of light tanks to Vulcan Foundry was an incentive to increase the workforce so that when the A12 went into full production they would have the men to build it. So even although there was a recession during 1938, Vulcan, like Vickers, had been expanding the workforce.
What concerned Carden was how the company were going to get the Valiant into full scale production. If the last order for the A11 was only being fulfilled in early 1940, then realistically that would be when the Valiant would be able to be produced. Birch was confident, from his conversations with Martel at the War Office, that allowing for the prototype to successfully complete its trials, then a substantial order, over 200 Valiants, would follow. If that came before the end of 1938, then beginning to produce the Valiant in early 1940 would be about right. That would mean the first fully equipped and trained units would be ready around the late summer of 1940.
An alternative suggestion from Carden was for the company to do in Chertsey what it had done in Elswick: expand the facilities and create a new tank shop. Creating a complete tank factory would take about a year, but it would mean that orders for the Valiant would more likely stay within Vickers itself rather than going, as with the A9 and A10, to companies like Harland & Wolff, Birmingham Railway Carriage & Wagon Company and Metropolitan-Cammell Carriage & Wagon Company. If war was coming, then the dribs and drabs of orders for tanks from the War Office would become a flood. If Vickers had the production facilities to put its designs into fast production, then the company, and the country would prosper. Hopefully Neville Chamberlain had won the country enough time to rearm, because neither Birch nor Carden really believed that there would be peace in their time.