Sigismund Vasa dies in 1587: consequences in Poland and Sweden?

Just an idea I was thinking to use in my TL: if Sigismund Vasa had died in 1587 after his landing at Danzig but before the battle of Byczyna (for example, if at the time of his arrival Danzig is being affected by a plague and he dies) how would it affect both Poland and Sweden? Would Archduke Maximilian be accepted as king? And in Sweden, assuming that John III and his wife still have a male son born around 1589 (IOTL he would be John, Duke of Östergötland ) would this three years old boy be accepted as king or the throne would go to Duke Charles ?
 
Just an idea I was thinking to use in my TL: if Sigismund Vasa had died in 1587 after his landing at Danzig but before the battle of Byczyna (for example, if at the time of his arrival Danzig is being affected by a plague and he dies) how would it affect both Poland and Sweden? Would Archduke Maximilian be accepted as king? And in Sweden, assuming that John III and his wife still have a male son born around 1589 (IOTL he would be John, Duke of Östergötland ) would this three years old boy be accepted as king or the throne would go to Duke Charles ?


Off the top of my head, the Polish faction probably still wins and will put forward Anna Vasa (Jadwiga can do it after all so its not without precedent)

Sweden could still go to Karl though he may prefer to be the power behind the throne leading the regency of the 3 yr old John.

That insures no dynastic union....whether she returns to Catholicism publicly but favours Lutheranism privately I guess would depend on how badly she wants to be "Queen of P-L" Protestantism will probably gain a measure of acceptance under her rule. NO wide spread embrace of the counter -reformation. But she won't tolerate religious discord either.

Anna will of course have to marry. She can as Queen marry Brahe, but it may not be the best for P-L.

Poland and Sweden could remain allies though perhaps with a Vasa on both thrones. Karl may have disliked Anna but as long as John is alive and he is regent It would not be a bad thing to have a relative on the throne in P-L favourable both to protestantism and capable of lending aid against Russia if need be.


As to plague in Danzig, wouldn't Sigismund simply land in Konigsberg or Elbing instead in that case.

Just another thought, given that Anna is Lutheran, Would the Polish faction not ask Anna Jagiellonska to rule alone until a suitable replacement can be decided on by the Polish faction. That would then give her time to work on Anna or at least convince her of finding a suitable co-ruler if she were to be put fwd with her support at her death. There is a few years here afterall...and will Anna Vasa may not have countenanced marrying anyone other than Brahe, there is the draw of the throne and the direct influence she can wield as ruler of the Commonwealth...
 
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Off the top of my head, the Polish faction probably still wins and will put forward Anna Vasa (Jadwiga can do it after all so its not without precedent)
There were the more recent precedent when Anna Jagiellon wasn't crowned by herself, only as co-ruler of her spouse. IMO in this case there would be elected a king not connected to Jagiellons with condition to marry Anna Vasa.
Just another thought, given that Anna is Lutheran, Would the Polish faction not ask Anna Jagiellonska to rule alone until a suitable replacement can be decided on by the Polish faction. That would then give her time to work on Anna or at least convince her of finding a suitable co-ruler if she were to be put fwd with her support at her death. There is a few years here afterall...and will Anna Vasa may not have countenanced marrying anyone other than Brahe, there is the draw of the throne and the direct influence she can wield as ruler of the Commonwealth...
Keep in mind, that both pretenders were elected by Poles alone with GDL remaining neutral till 1588.
 
There were the more recent precedent when Anna Jagiellon wasn't crowned by herself, only as co-ruler of her spouse. IMO in this case there would be elected a king not connected to Jagiellons with condition to marry Anna Vasa. Keep in mind, that both pretenders were elected by Poles alone with GDL remaining neutral till 1588.

well the thought was that having ruled as co-ruler already..with Sigismund dropping dead suddenly, and Anna Vasa Lutheran the sentimentality of continuing with the last of Jagiellonicas might will out while a suitable candidate is found who could the wed Anna Vasa, and for the widow of Stefan Bathory
to convince her to continue the line of the Jagiellonicas and marry for the good of the state, and the dynasty...

a continuation of the Jagiellonica-Vasa line.

What about Jan Zamoyski...He did marry again in 1592 for a fourth time. A Calvinist convert to RC.

By polish faction, I mean those opposed to the magnate faction in the Commonwealth, of which Jan is also an opponent and opposed to centralisation of authority that would occur under the Hapsburgs.
 
And what about the chances of this guy: Andrew Cardinal Báthory. He was a nephew of king Stephen Bathory and a candidate for the Polish throne. Apparently Andrew was initially supported byZamoyski before he turned to Sigismund. Given how well esteemed Stephen was among the Polish his nephew could probably have good chances.
 
well the thought was that having ruled as co-ruler already..with Sigismund dropping dead suddenly, and Anna Vasa Lutheran the sentimentality of continuing with the last of Jagiellonicas might will out while a suitable candidate is found who could the wed Anna Vasa, and for the widow of Stefan Bathory
to convince her to continue the line of the Jagiellonicas and marry for the good of the state, and the dynasty...

a continuation of the Jagiellonica-Vasa line.

What about Jan Zamoyski...He did marry again in 1592 for a fourth time. A Calvinist convert to RC.

By polish faction, I mean those opposed to the magnate faction in the Commonwealth, of which Jan is also an opponent and opposed to centralisation of authority that would occur under the Hapsburgs.
Pro-Vasa faction would have little room to manoeuvre.
I pointed that there were two factions in Poland,not in the Commonwealth. Lithuanians presented united position and thus were the third faction. They took Sigismund's side only in January of 1588.
 
There's no way a Polish-Lithuanian noble is getting the throne at this point, especially a relative upstart like Zamoyski.

Well your probably right at this point in time as petty jealousies would prevent any one noble family from assuming the throne..But in short order you would soon have Jan Sobieski and Stanislaw Leczinski. But then your right the circumstances there are far different.

Well Can Anna marry Gustav Brahe then. A Swede in service to the P-L military.
 
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