Shining Path Victory?

So, do you lovely folk think theres any way the Shining Path could have succeeded in Peru? If so, what would the resulting regime be like?
 
Improbable but not impossible they did have over 70,000 members at their peak, however the regime it would usher in would be nothing short of nightmarish.
 
The regime would depend on your politics.

If you were an avowed Maoist and had ties to someone in the movement you might do well.

If you were some form of Marxist, you'd do ok.

If you were a democratic capitalist, you'd be dead or in prison camp
 
it would be really difficult; we were on the verge of the fall; the optimal election of Fujimori and the use of new estrategies was effective to wipe out terrorism in the country;
if other like Vargas Loosa had won, well, that wold be other scenary
 
Would the US stand for something like that? During the Cold War anything that even looks in the general direction of communism is getting stepped on hard, even after the USSR collapses the fact that they're probably funding themselves with drugs and expropriating foreign owned businesses (a lot of whom would probably be owned by US interests) it's going to see them heavily supporting the government against them.
 
Would the US stand for something like that? During the Cold War anything that even looks in the general direction of communism is getting stepped on hard, even after the USSR collapses the fact that they're probably funding themselves with drugs and expropriating foreign owned businesses (a lot of whom would probably be owned by US interests) it's going to see them heavily supporting the government against them.

Before the cold War, the Us would have tried to do something against them. But if it happens in the early 1990is, let's say, in 1991/1992, the US might be more concerned about what's happening elsewhere (Iraq, Eastern Europe, Russia) to care much. And, after all, it's not that they'd be a base for Russian submarines or missils. Unless they try to establish a close alliance with Chine, and invite Chinese troops in (which is something the Chinese wouldn't accept anyways, not in those years) they may probably be more or less alone. At most the US would support neighbouring countries (Bolivia, Ecuador, Colombia and Chile) and back up any internal oppossition that arrises in Peru.
 
If you were some form of Marxist, you'd do ok.

Maaaybe. I wouldn't count on it though. The Shining Path is militantly "anti-revisionist". But ya, I guess it'd still be better than being a capitalist.

They were incredibly brutal, especially to the people they were allegedly representing. Whoever said "Khmer Rouge", I was thinking the same thing. It would be just that bad if they actually maintained power.
 
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