Serbian Counteroffensive in 1915

Effects of the Serbian Offensive on the Eastern Front

When the Serbian preparations for their final offensive were underway, Austria-Hungary captured the city of Lvov, the Galician capital and 4th largest city of the Austrian-Hungarian Empire on 22 June and Russian orders for retreat began on 27 June. With this loss, which meant that most of Galicia had returned to Austrian hands, the lines stabilized in the south. The penetration progressed about 160 km (99 mi) at its deepest, reducing the Polish salient to about half of its pre-war size. However, the Serbian offensive would temporarily deprieve Austria-Hungary of its gains as the 7th Army was sent southwards to avert the Serbian offensive and deter Romanian intervention now that the 5th Army was fighting the Italians on the Isonzo Front. Although the Russian threat to Hungary was averted, the Balkan threat only resurfaced in the wake of the Austro-Hungarian offensive in the east, focus on Italy and negligence of Balkan defences following the shift in priorities and led to the offensive.
From the book https://books.google.com.my/books?id=qIEdKnC2YuAC&pg=PA102&dq=gorlice+tarnow&source=gbs_toc_r&cad=4#v=onepage&q=gorlice%20tarnow&f=false:
The recovery of most of Galicia had solved a major problem. The lull in operations following Lemberg's fall had provided the Central Powers an occasion to reconsider their strategic options and the situation demanded no less.
[Western, Ottoman and Italian Fronts are similar to reality until September 1915, August 1915 and 1916 respectively.]
Like those of the neutral countries in 1914, the Bulgarian Government had competing factions for the Entente and Central Powers. Unfortunately, the senior heads were Radoslavov and Ferdinand. Both sides were suspectible to the rewards promised by the belligerent sides. Historically, Bulgaria's government always showed Russophilla streaks due to Russian assistance for the country's independence in the 1877-1878 war. This was obviously manisfested in the departure of lower ranking generals, officers and soldiers such as Radko-Dimitriev from Bulgaria for service in the Russian Army.
Even before Italy's entry, Falkenhayn was convinced that the Serbian problem could be dealt with before Italy joined the Entente and it might deter the Italians. The dangers of a Serbian Offensive was considered minimal until the 5th Austro-Hungarian Army was removed in June, given the need by Serbia to defend her eastern borders and the complicated terrains and rivers the Serbs needed to cross, however, he was wrong. In the actual event, with Italy contained and Romania quieted by events in Galicia, and realizing that significant Austrian and Bulgarian support was needed to invade Serbia without German involvement, Falkenhayn got the permission to invade Serbia after completing operations against Russia. [Rest of the stuff about Eastern Front discussions is similar to reality.]
General Staff of the 11th Army chief Hans Von Seeckt considered the possibility of encircling the Russians at Lemberg as unrealistic and decided against it, as the Russians would be able to avoid the encirclement. Once Lemberg and its surroundings were captured, he considered the 11th Army's mission accomplished. Any further missions to recover the silver of eastern Galicia still in Russian hands could be accomplished by the Austro-Hungarian 7th Army and the German South Army, however, the Serbian Offensive disrupted the strategic plans as 11th Army had to shudder the burden. With the eastern advance of the 11th Army finished, Seeckt proposed that it turn north, but only the Austro-Hungarian 2nd Army and supporting corps of the 4th Army could participate as the rest of the latter had to capture and defend Galicia from Russian counterattacks. The prospective advance would use the land bridge bordering the Bug and Vistula Rivers and depends on the crossing. The armies would advance on Lublin and Cholm. The ultimate aim was Brest-Litvosk, one of the major railway centres to eastern Poland. "Thus, a decision would be made against the Russian Western and Northwestern Fronts," concluded Seeckt.
Now that the broad plans for Central Power operations in the east were decided on, preparations could be made, albeit with slight reduction to allow the Austro-Hungarian 4th Army replace the 7th Army for Serbia. In the cases for the forces north of Lemberg, logistical difficulties had to be overcome in the preparations first. On June 26, 11th Army General Mackensen's realized that all armies in his front depended upon railroads for supply. Mosicska and Lubaczow [to the east of the cities of Przemysl and Lemberg] were the areas where the rail lines ended after crossing the San River. The double-tracked railroad line to Lemberg would not be reopened until late July to allow consolidation, repairs and denying its use in case of Russian counterattacks. It must be noted that thankfully, all of Mackensen's May and June operations were conducted within pre-war Austro-Hungarian territory, so the troops assigned to repair the railway did not have to worry about the gauge. Unfortunately, the railroads were single tracked even when repaired and this caused logistical problems in the transportation of ammunition, food, equipment, supplies and troops.
 
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Aftermath

With the Balkan flank cleared by Bulgaria and Austria-Hungary for the Central Powers, the German need to send an army to Serbia was alievated and despite the temporary Austro-Hungarian setback, the offensive against Russia succeeded spectacularly that it resulted in the Great Retreat. Given the rate of deterioration of the Russian armies' combat power due to a weak reinforcement system, particularly of officers, this dramatically turned the tide in the eastern theatre to the Central powers as 12 Central Powers armies were opposed by nine Russian armies. Although Ludendorff and Chief of the Austro-Hungarian General Staff Conrad von Hötzendorf favoured an encirclement operation (attacking the extreme north-east and south-east of the salient), just as STAVKA feared, Falkehayn was against this on the grounds of the Central Powers' extremely poor logistical abilities which restricted them to slow advances along the major railway lines, especially since supply by railroad would be the only logical course of action for the armies on that front. Commanders of the Russian Field Armies in Poland had already worked toask the Stavka, Russian High Army Command, to withdraw from the salient, but STAVKA had felt that the drastic move was impossible due to the political implications. STAVKA also did not permit tactical withdrawals within the salient such as the Second Army's proposal to withdraw behind the Vistula, forcing the field armies to hold tactically disadvantageous or even indefensible positions.
[ Eastern Front Offensive remains similar to the actual Great Retreat of 1915 and the military operations are mentioned in this article. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Retreat_(Russian)]
After the battle of Riga, the Germans crossed the Dvina River with 2 extra corps and encircled most of a Russian Army as the Russians attempted to stabilize at the city. The Russian retreat became even widespread, with the city falling into German hands on 11 October and continuing into Latvia, clearing the Eastern Front of the Russian 5th Army and then threatening Dunaburg. The new frontline after the German advance stopped on 11 November due to logistical difficulties ran from the Baltic sea to the Romanian border by way of the Belarusian forests and disease-ridden Pripyet Marshes and was roughly from Parnu-Pskov-Rezekme-Baranovchi-Pinsk-Dubno-Tarnopil. After the failed Baranovchi Offensive, the frontline spread northwards to Reval before being stopped by Russian defences, however, the Brusilov Offensive was weakened and along with Bulgarian army strength on the Romanian borders plus Entente defeats in Greece, Romania stayed neutral throughout the war.
The Germans reinforced the Somme and southern portions of the Eastern and Western Fronts in mid 1916 and inflicted heavy losses on the Entente, despite suffering heavy casualties. Russia would surrender in 1917 after internal weaknesses and a Bolshevik Revolution while the Germans stalled the Entente advances in the west despite American entry in the war over unrestricted submarine warfare. After the failure of the Spring Offensives, the Entente took the offensive role and the Central Powers were slowly defeated, culminating in German surrender during November of 1919 after the surrender of the Ottomans, Bulgaria and Austria-Hungary along with the final entrance of Romania on the side of the Entente after a 4 year delay and the liberation of Yugoslav territories and Greece following the surrender of Austra-Hungary, Bulgaria and the Ottoman Empire. Meanwhile, a catastrophe at Caporetto would wreck the Italian Army and although the Austro-Hungarians were repulsed at the Piave, the counter offensive stopped on the Isonzo and Tyrol lines; resulting in half a year of 1919 spent to finalize the penetration of the Isonzo into Croatia and Serbia before causing Bulgarian and Ottoman surrenders. [Essentially, this is a Romania stays neutral scenario in its consequences.]
 
1915 Serbian Offensive Success

[Note that the posts are already written in Microsoft Word.]
Success of the Serbian Offensive
The 2nd Army was thinking that it would win after Romania joined and its fellow armies destroyed the 6th Austro Hungarian Army. It would provoke Romanian entry to divert reinforcements from the Eastern Front and to enable its flanking attack or invasion of Hungary to succeed. There was minimal resistance in Vojvodina, which was nearly undefended to free up Austrian and Hungarian troops for the southern attack. The port of Cattaro was also threatened and the Italian Navy sortied in support of the Montenegrin advance, to capture some Croatian islands and destroy the Austro Hungarian Navy by luring them into a minefield, torpedo and submarine ambush covered by the Italian fleet before the French Navy arrived to complete its wrecking. The Serbian 2nd Army proceeded northwards to envelop the Austro-Hungarian 6th Army and encircle it. With reinforcements coming from Macedonia and Bosnia, the Montenegrin Army was reinforced sufficiently and able to play an active role in the offensive. It took Cattaro and Dubrovnik, to the delight of hundreds of delighted Croats and Montenegrins.
Suddenly, on 15 July, the advance of the 2nd Serbian Army was accelerated when two corps of the 7th Austro Hungarian Army coming to encircle it were diverted to Romania. Meanwhile, the Russians were counterattacking on the southern flank on the Eastern Front despite the retreat and the temporary reorganization of the German and Austrian armies on the Eastern Front would permit a temporary recapture of Lvov city, a major morale dropper to the newly victorious Central Powers' armies there. Any continuation of the advance could result in heavy casualties to the Austro Hungarians again and the mere withdrawal of an Austrian Army, especially on the southern flank, would not only permit a threatening Russian advance on Hungary, but also encourage Romanian aggressive actions against Transylvania, either through Russian support or the loss of Austro Hungarian troops in encirclements, counterattacks, territorial loss or displacements of troops in reorganization of the army until the 7th Austro-Hungarian Army defeated the Romanians. Even with the triumphant destruction of a Serbian Army for minimal losses and providing another victorious Tannenberg, it wasn't adequate with the expected rout in the east,] Romanian intervention and the triumph of Serbia and its army without Bulgarian help, which seemed likely in the circumstances surrounding the moment.
The catalyst behind the Romanian intervention was the encirclement of the 6th Austro- Hungarian army, which was pushed out of Bosnia slowly and faced imminent destruction. After the capture of Sarajevo city, the fight against Bosnian and Croat defenders took several days and a Serbian division was tied up fighting the insurgents with another was struggling with supply line issues. The Romanian army took advantage of the fact to isolate and destroy the diverted Austro-Hungarian 7th Army piecemeal. Hungarian defenders of Ujdivek and Szadbadka fought valiantly before being routed from the cities out of fear of encirclement by Serbs at the surroundings of the town. Then, Landwehr breakout attempts were suffering from a lack of food despite their heavy artillery bombardments, which forced the surrender of the defenders itself when the two divisions linked up and encircled the army itself. After the 'heroic Battle for Ujdivek', the 7th Army came reinforce the 1st Serbian Army's flank to prevent the advance on Hungary, but the troops in Translavania withdrew, losing troops in the process. Romania declared war to take opportunity of the 6th Army's destruction in Bosnia and save Serbia even without saving the Serbs from heavy casualties and taking the cherished province of Transylvania with minimal casualties. The 3rd Army was moved south to save Galicia with the expected support from one corps of the 7th Army to prevent a counteroffensive. Then, the corps of the same army sent there and assigned to the 3rd Army was to tell Romania that joining the Entente wouldn't pay off with a defeat of Russia and the resurgence of the Bulgarian Army's threat to Serbia and Romania.
The advance of the corps continued and the 6th Austro Hungarian Army surrendered by 25 July, with the consolidation of captured Bosnia being a matter of a week. It was sudden for the slow, but steadily progressing army at risk of capturing Sarajevo if the Austro Hungarian 6th Army refused to retreat and avoid the imminent encirclement. Also, the loss of Sarajevo would be another morale boost to the Serbs and weaken the enemy’s morale even without causing heavy casualties to Austria. In fact, the city, where Archduke Franz Ferdinand's assassination took place and started the war outright, was supposed to be in Serbian hands by 15 July, but resistance and Austro Hungarian artillery shells delayed its expected fall by at least a week. Despite being encircled while its fellow armies were triumphant in the east, it was now too late for the Austro-Hungarian 7th Army to escape and the only hope for Austria was the halting of Gorlice-Tarnow and a successful coastal defence from landings and Montenegrins, with the latter’s offensive role delayed by naval ship and army artillery shells from the seawards flank, fortress defences and mountains. As a consequence, the Second Army had to return to Serbia after 11 months in the east. Also, the loss of further national pride following the loss of an entire army from the country itself had to be averted.
Italian naval support for the Montenegrin role in the 'Serbian Offensive' was minimal, but helpful. However, disaster struck on 18 July, when 2 Italian cruisers were sunk by Austrian submarines. One battleship was sunk by an Austrian destroyer, contributing to the decision to retreat, and torpedoes from a disguised German submarine sank its escorts while picking up survivors. Another cruiser struck a mine and foundered after its scuttling. Overall, the Italian naval losses in support of the Montenegrin Offensive were a battleship, 3 cruisers and 2 destroyers while the Austrians lost a destroyer. The losses and withdrawal permitted the Austrians to retreat from Montenegrin controlled Cattaro, as well as preventing the Montenegrin Army from encircling the Austro Hungarian 6th Army, however, the Serbian Army’s Macedonian reinforcements pierced through the 6th Army’s left flank after Austrian troops were withdrawn from the Montenegrin frontier to counter the Serbian Offensive. The present situation was threatening to Austria-Hungary's southern flank in the Balkan theatre. The Italian Navy was criticized for failing to assist its Balkan allies with its superiority over the Austrians, but when the statement was rebuked by an admiral, who stated that both combatant navies were numerically similar and he needed to preserve his ships for a future battle with the Austrians, blame was laid on the French ships at Corfu which refused to support the offensive adequately and ensure total naval superiority over the Austrians, which would wreck its navy and encourage the Italians to continue supporting the advance with bombardments and continue the Austrian retreat as troops had to be sent for coastal defence purposes.
 
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Landings at Suvla Bay and the east

Landings at Suvla Bay and the east
On 16 August, the British landed at Suvla Bay in support of the Gallipoli Offensive. It was also hoped that a successful outflanking of Gallipoli would enable the final surrender of the Ottomans and impress the Bulgarians. After all, the German offensive in the east was still raging albeit with less Russian losses than contemplated due to the diversion of Austro-Hungarian forces southwards. An army holding the Carpathians should repulse weak Romanians. Also, all the Austrians needed were to defend the south and hope that Gorlice Tarnow compelled Russian surrender. Another army was holding the Serbs, who suffered heavy casualties with their frontier assaults during their successful encirclement of the Austrian 6th Army, losing an army or two’s worth of casualties to reckless advances and Austro-Hungarian artillery, which mostly escaped covered by starving soldiers.
From the book https://books.google.com.my/books?id...tarnow&f=false:
Every war had 2 sides, and WW1 was no exception. Just as the Germans and Austrians reduced their eastern front offensive to reinforce the Balkans, the offensive proceeded on a modest scale to enable the annihilation of the Russians in the salient of Congress Poland. One thing to be certain was that there would be no more offensive operations outside Russia as the eastern threat was severe. If any were contemplated, they had to be postponed to 1916. Also, the Western and Ottoman Fronts had to be defended thoroughly to prevent Entente breakthroughs. If the situation was needed, 1916 would be focused on getting Russia to surrender and sacrificing captured French territory and the Ottomans for success. The decision was not explicitly made public for the fears that morale would decrease, but Russia was the bigger enemy and without its surrender, the Central Powers would lose the war. On the other hand, an early Russian and Balkan surrender would permit Germany and Austria-Hungary to focus their strength on the Western and Italian Fronts, which only needed defending. Anyway, priorities were priorities, especially for Falkenhayn, Crown Prince Ruppercht, Conrad, Boroevic and others who preferred the western and Italian strategies for defeating the Entente. Paul Von Hindenburg was appointed Chief of the General Staff to ensure focus on the east, while Falkenhayn took bigger control of the west as a compensation.
Hey Slavic Brothers and the Austrian defence of Croatia
The Serbian offensive continued and threatened the Austrians despite heavy casualties and the transfer of an army’s worth of troops to cover Bosnia and Croatia. As of now, it seemed that a defence of Austria proper had to be conducted from the Sava and Drina Rivers, which would sacrifice most of southern Slavic portions of the empire and increase pan-Slavic sentiment among the Slovenes, Croats, Serbs and even Bosnians. Also, encouraging Italian offensives on the Isonzo was not the solution.
[The Gorlice-Tarnow Offensive gained the same amount of territory as in reality without German troop transfer to Serbia and Conrad’s 1915 Eastern Offensive. Heavier attacks on the north would compensate for assaults in the south.]
Bulgaria remained on the sidelines, watching for the offensive’s expected results. Dobruja was tempting and without fighting, there was little to gain. On the other hand, Ottoman Thrace sounded like an option with the renewed pressure on Gallipoli and if the army was lost in the sector, Thrace would only be defended by a vulnerable corps facing Constantinople. The landings, however, had to be coordinated with a Bulgarian Offensive on Thrace to ensure its success and pressure on Greek participation was increasing with the Austrians suffering reverses. That said, the Allies could continue the assault on Gallipoli and capturing Cape Helles plus a subsequent Ottoman retreat would encourage Bulgarian participation.
Serbia’s offensive had put most of Bosnia under its control during the autumn, with mountains, forests and Piltvice’s terrain and lakes holding the Serbs from advancing further when combined with supply issues. Meanwhile, enthusiastic Croat and Slovene demonstrations resurged in Serbia when the offensive’s success was revealed. These were pro-Slavic and Russian in nature, and included chants to national poems, including the pan-Slavic anthem.
Bosnians and pro-Austrian Croats were disappointed with the Serbian administration and pro-Slavic propaganda given to them. For Bosnians, the ‘Holy War’ of the Ottomans and hatred of Serbia propagated by Austria-Hungary were dominant, and the somewhat anti-Muslim and independence sentiment of Serbs reduced their faith in Serbian rule. Austrian attempts to foment an Albanian revolt were partially successful in tying up the Montenegrins, but the front was stalemated anyway and 1916 would see Serbia’s death if Gallipoli wasn’t progressing, especially with Bulgaria finding solace in Dobruja and fears of its Balkan neighbours. The new front line now stretched to the following locations: from Mulkovic -Mostar—Jacanica-Banja Luka—Gradiska—Osijek-.
The situation all changed with the capture of Suvla Bay. A deception had been placed at Bolayir and all effort was placed at Suvla Bay. Diversions at the stalled Anzac and Helles beaches were planned to prevent reinforcement from Gallipoli and was to begin at 10:00 pm on the planned day, an hour after the two assaulting columns had broken out of Anzac heading for the Sari Bair heights. Initially, the 11th Division was to wade ashore south of Nibrunesi Point, the southern headland of the bay, as it was not unsafe for a dark landing within the bay itself with unmarked shoals. The 30th and 31st Brigades of the 10th Division would land the following morning. The objective of IX Corps was to capture Suvla plain and the surrounding hills; Kiretch Tepe to the north along the Gulf of Saros, Tekke Tepe to the east and the Anafarta Spur to the south-east.
When Stopford received the plan on 25 July, he declared, "It is a good plan. I am sure it will succeed and I congratulate whoever has been responsible for framing it." Stopford's chief-of-staff, Brigadier General Hamilton Reed, had different opinions due to lack of confidence. Reed received the Victoria Cross during the Boer War for his role as an artillery officer. Having served on the Western Front, he thought no offensives on entrenched positions could be made when assistance of artillery was deficient. Reconnaissance, however, proved no prepared fortifications at Suvla were present and yet Stopford proceeded to limit the objectives of the landing and Hamilton failed to stop him. The final orders issued by Stopford and the 11th Division commander, Major General Frederick Hammersley, were imprecise, requiring only that the high ground be taken "if possible" and hoping to weaken the Turks with counterattacks until Bulgarian assistance arrived.
Stopford and Reed demanded the 34th Brigade of the 11th Division to be landed within Suvla Bay itself. In contrast with the April landings, IX Corps received proper landing craft known as "Beetles" . These were armoured and capable of self-propulsion, as well as resistant to enemy gunfire. This fleet of landing craft was commanded by Commander Edward Unwin who had captained the SS River Clyde during the April landing on V Beach at Cape Helles.

Although Ottoman 5th Army General Otto Liman von Sanders had information regarding an imminent renewed assault through reports of troop build-ups in the Greek islands, the sites were dubious to his mind. British deceptions encouraged fears of an Asian Turkish coastal landing that three divisions were sent there while three more were stationed 30 miles (48 km) north of Suvla at Bulair on the neck of the peninsula. Suvla was defended by three battalions, the "Anafarta Detachment", under the command of a Bavarian cavalry officer, Major Wilhelm Willmer, whose task was to delay any enemy advance until reinforcements arrived. Willmer lacked machine guns and artillery pieces. Willmer built 3 defence positions; one on Kiretch Tepe to the north, one on Hill 10 in the centre and one on Chocolate Hill, near the southern end of the salt lake that lay behind the beach. There were also isolated defence pockets, including on Lala Baba, a small hill between the beach and the salt lake. When the attack at Lone Pine commenced, Willmer was ordered to send one battalion as reinforcements so that when 20,000 British began landing at Suvla, they were opposed by only 1,500 Ottoman soldiers.
Sources and extra information for Gallipoli [Note that if Suvla landings fail, reality would be the expected outcome, except for the Tyrolean Offensive being replaced by one against the Balkans. If the landings succeed, Bulgaria joins the Entente, the Ottoman Empire is finished in 1916 and 1917 onwards would have butterflies on the scale of 'Successful Gallipoli' timelines. Also, the pod for both scenarios is avoiding the typhus epidemic of late 1914, enabling the Serbs to go on the offensive.]:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landing_at_Suvla_Bay
https://www.alternatehistory.com/discussion/showthread.php?t=193008
 
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Continuing the Serbian Offensive

The feared Serbian offensive that seemed like a reality now manifested itself after the destruction of Serbia's 1st Army to be lost. Meanwhile, the Bulgarian Army, which was hated and under watch by Serbia since the Second Balkan War, was turning its opinions away from Serbia. After the loss of the Austro-Hungarian 6th Army and Romania, plus the June transfer of Macedonia anti Serbian and Russian sentiments in the country ceased. Russia prepared an offensive should the Austrians lose more troops. During the first year of war, the Entente and Central Powers sought Bulgarian participation on their respective sides, but the long term hostilities between these two countries since the 35 years after their independence from the Ottomans [actually 37] that caused two wars over the last 30 years [one in 1885 and another in 1913, mentioned above].
The result was that the Bulgarian government and people felt that Serbia was in possession of lands to which Bulgaria was entitled, and when the Central Powers offered to give them what they claimed, the Bulgarians entered the war on their side. Although the Bulgarian government tilted towards the Entente or neutrality in April 1915, by July, the turn subsided towards a pro-German sentiment, as evidenced by the anti-Serb and Russian attitudes of Radoslavov and Tsar Ferdinand. The Entente defeat in the east and pro-German stalemates at the west, Gallipoli and Italy were no conditions for Bulgarian participation with the Central Powers despite the temptation of Dobruja and eastern Serbia.
Serbian Macedonia was ceded to Bulgaria under the Treaty of Skopje on 15 June 1915. This was in response to Entente pressure for Bulgarian intervention on their side. Under the terms of the treaty, Florina, Veles, Skopje, Monastir and Ohrid were among the towns ceded. Although the terms sounded unreasonable for Serbia, not willing to be deprived of 1913 conquests, the compensation of Slovenia, Croatia and Bosnia sounded reasonable. After all, the southern flank had to be secured to prevent Bulgarian stabbing and permit the formation of a reserve army for southern flank operations. Bulgarian rights were to be promoted in Serbia and 1 million dollars of reparations were paid for Bulgaria. It was later remarked by Crown Prince Alexander that Serbia would rather surrender than pay off expensive sums of money and conquests just for the sake of pleasing an enemy that would remain neutral or join the Entente if his offensive succeeded, which would happen anyway even without Macedonian reinforcements and after all, Bulgaria was supposed to be dealt with when WW1 and the Ottoman and Austro-Hungarian Empires ended after an Entente victory. According to the treaty, each of the contracting sides agreed not to enter an alliance or agreement directed against the other. France and Serbia were obliged to protect Bulgarian political independence and territorial integrity against all attack which could result without provocation on the side of the Bulgarian government. In exchange Bulgaria was obligated to take action against any of its neighboring states had they attacked Serbia and was to assault the Ottomans, preferably in conjunction with the next Gallipoli landings in August. The treaty was to last for 5 years.
The Serbs halted the Hungarian thrust after taking Vojvodina, but enveloped the northern flank and took Osijek, Vukovar and destroying the 6th Army’s remnants. Armies left isolated Montenegrin and Serbian 1st Army units under threat and it was soon encircled. After 1 August, the army started surrendering in isolated portions over the proceeding few days, with the last soldier rising the white flag by 7 August. The Bulgarian Army was mobilized in Sofia waiting for the destruction of the 1st Army, but the long awaited news of a flanking landing on the Ottomans' Sulva Bay coastline delayed the news by a week. After a division and some artillery were moved to Suvla from Thrace and Constantinople, the landings were contested on the 10th and halted after 2 days. A counteroffensive would push the troops back to the original positions over the next few days, when the bad news came from the Macedonian Front.
Montenegro was threatened by Austria Hungary, but the Italian Navy, after losing another ship to submarine torpedoes, returned to base. The withdrawal of the naval support was a concern for the Entente, however, the encirclement of the 6th Austrian Army had been achieved by diverting coastal defence troops with effective support by Entente naval superiority as mentioned in earlier reports, although these might be exaggerated. The 3rd Austrian Army held the Romanian Army's offensive until Bulgaria declared war and advanced onto Macedonia. The Romanian 1st Army destroyed an isolated division defending Hermannstadt just as the Serbian offensive was about halt for supply issues. Upon receiving the news of the Austro-Hungarian retreat on the Eastern and Balkan Fronts, the Germans were ordered to launch a continued blow against Russia and ensure its crippling by the end of the year, with its surrender or destruction contemplated for 1916.

The Allies accepted Romanian terms for joining the Entente despite Russian opposition over Bessarabia and the Romanian government signed a treaty with the Allies (France, Britain, Italy and Russia) on 17 July 1915, pledging to declare war on Austria-Hungary ten days later. Actually, the government announced the declaration of war a few hours earlier than expected. Germany, caught by surprise, responded with a declaration of war on Romania the next day. Due to Bulgarian doubts, there would be no threatening of the southern flank and the Ottomans were too busy with Gallipoli to reinforce the east, much less land at the Romanian coast.
Later in his life, Hindenburg wrote in his autobiography:
[It is certain that so relatively small a state as Rumania had never before been given a role so important, and, indeed, so decisive for the history of the world at so favorable a moment. Never before had two great Powers like Germany and Austria found themselves so much at the mercy of the military resources of a country which had scarcely one twentieth of the population of the two great states. Judging by the military situation, it was to be expected that Rumania had only to advance where she wished to decide the world war in favor of those Powers which had been hurling themselves at us in vain for years. Thus everything seemed to depend on whether Rumania was ready to make any sort of use of her momentary advantage.]
On the night of 27 July, 2 Romanian Armies entered defended Transylvania to inflict Austria Hungary’s death blow, as it was anticipated. Support was anticipated from 2nd Serbian Army if Hungary was attacked, but the Serbs wished to consolidate gains for a future Yugoslav state. The 2nd Austrian Army’s flank was precarious with Serbian attacks, but these never came and the Austrians held the Romanians. The question was whether the Suvla Bay landing operation would succeed in the following week, which would decide Bulgarian opinion, along with the situation on the eastern front. The Austro-Hungarians sent only an extra division to reinforce their lines and by the middle of August, the Romanian offensive was halted. The Russians loaned them three divisions for operations in the north of Romania but hampered their efforts by failing to provide much-needed supplies. 9th Russian Army was sent southwards to deter the Bulgarians from attacking, but the presumption was unnecessary for the time being.
Despite the 600,000 men strength of the Romanian Army when reinforced with liberated compatriots, conscripts and reserves, the quality was quite poor. It was feared that most of the troops were illiterate and unaccustomed to weapons. Nevertheless, the action in the south, when combined with non-Bulgarian intervention, would enable success against Austria and probably the Ottomans. Brasov, Sibiu, Fagaras and Mercurea Cur were captured and coal mines lost in the towns would wreck military operations in the east. As Romania had to defend what might be the longest European Front, the operations against the Ottomans were crucial to ensure Bulgaria’s neutrality.
As a result of the Balkan events, the Ottomans retained I corps on the Bulgarian border to keep a reserve for Bulgarian intervention or Romanian landings. This was opposed by Mustafa Kemal, who wanted every soldier in European Turkey defending Gallipoli and preparing for engagements against Russia. After all, Bulgaria was supposed to stay neutral. The counter-response was fear of Bulgarian participation for the Entente and the need to keep reserves for the Russian Fronts. To save Bulair from outflanking, the Ottomans transferred a division from Gallipoli and reinforced Cape Helles with another from Asian Turkey.
[Now, is this outcome possible so far?]
 
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Suvla Bay success

The landings on Suvla Bay took the Ottomans by surprise, as they didn't anticipate a landing by Entente troops in Suvla. The division nearby, the 19th Division under aggressive Mustafa Kemal, was selected to support the Gallipoli flanks because of his capabilities. Another was on the way if a corps could be fed to the Gallipoli or Suvla meatgrinders, but amphibious invasions to outflank Gallipoli, Constantinople, the Asian Turkish coast or the Levant and Palestine would tie up several divisions that could be transported when combined with naval superiority. The landings were successful and the Ottomans were under threat of being outflanked, but if they emptied Thrace, Bulgarian intervention would come and devastate the Ottomans as events of 1912-3 were in thought.
Concessions were to be made to Bulgaria and it was hoped that Bulgaria would declare war on Romania and Serbia and support the flanks, but the treaty between Serbia over Macedonia and the Serbian victory changed the Bulgarian Government's opinions. Why Bulgaria would do something 'treacherous' was in the Central Powers' thoughts, but why Serbia would consider the cessation of Macedonia as necessary was bigger in light of the offensive against Austria-Hungary being victorious for Serbia.
Back at Suvla Bay, silence reigned as the Anzac troops disembarked from their ships and marched to the battlefield for victory, as it seemed. British 11th Division began landed ashore at "B Beach" south of Nibrunesi Point early at night and the troops warmed themselves up with picnic suppers, practice and rest. By midnight, they were supposed to capture positions unoccupied by the Ottomans and draw them into a costly defence. The Yorkshire Regiment was the first New Army Unit to be involved in combat when it captured Lala Baba with the Ottomans being driven off the post with heavy casualties. The 34th Brigade landed at 'A' Beach before discovering some problems with the landing site being 1 kilometre too far to the south and facing shoal water. It was on the wrong side of the channel, which provided the bay with sea water and the groundings further increased the distance as well as [nearly] drowning several marching soldiers. The darkness caused some confusion as to actual landing sites and captured objectives when combined with tiredness, but 'Hill 10' was captured without Ottoman resistance. Sloop HMS Jonquil, where Stopford received information about the landings, was telegraphed that landings in Suvla Bay were encouraged if the Bulgarians were convinced about British success in the sector. Despite the heavy Australian role at Gallipoli, the Royal Australian Navy Bridging Train units composed the only Australians to participate until exploitation of the offensive was reached.
The advances of 7 August were modest, but successful as the 10th Division landed despite causing confusion. Drinking water, rest and food were needed after heat and exhaustion, but the experiences of advancing too slowly and enabling Ottoman Divisions to reinforce sectors on time were realised.Towards the evening, the hills east of the salt lake were captured; these represented the sole gains for the first day ashore at Suvla. IX Corps received 2,000 casualties on the offensive's first day, a figure exceeding the total size of Willmer's detachment. Three brigades of different Commonwealth nationalities were supposed to capture hills around Sari Bair and deny high ground for the Ottomans, supported by diversionary assaults from Helles and Anzac beaches. This sounded counterproductive because informing the Ottomans about offensive intentions would encourage reinforcement, but Bulgarian intervention was hopeful among the stalemated Entente powers.
Rododendron, Abdul Rahman and Damakjelik Spurs were captured along with Hills 'X', 971 and 60. The next phrase was the capture of Chunuk Bair, 'The Nek', 'Battleship' and 'Destroyer' Hills and other minor positions. By 5:00 a.m., Chunuk Bair was in Commonwealth hands and disaster was waiting for the Ottomans. Why they retained a corps in Thrace and several others on Gallipoli beaches and the coast was a matter of controversy, but the Bulgarian turn towards the Entente was a cited reason, albeit exaggerated. In the morning, a last ditch Ottoman offensive by General Mustafa Kemal was underway to prevent retreat, but being late for occupying these critical hills, along with some gunfire support from 'battleships' were the main reasons cited. Anyway, the failed offensive would doom the Ottoman position at Suvla to retreat by 25 August, when Ottoman supplies were exhausted in the sector. Although several troops managed to resist and breakout, the Ottomans were outflanked and doomed in the Gallipoli beaches and Suvla, even with a successful defence of the south and heavy casualties caused by the Commonwealth troops posing as targets to the Ottoman snipers. Even temporary success at 'The Nek', where Ottoman snipers inflicted massive losses on many dozens of Australians, couldn't change the situation and improve it.
The British Imperial troops were out of artillery and warship range, but the Ottomans had stationed critical troops and artillery in Thrace and Constantinople. Once news arrived at Ottoman 5th Army headquarters at Maidos, the divisions were to be moved south. Indecision and a Bulgarian divisional parade would bring the 'Bulgarian Deception' that won Gallipoli for the Entente. The remaining troops that could be collected were particularly stragglers and routed forces that would be outflanked and transfer of reinforcements from Gallipoli was impossible with the Imperial troops moving to block reinforcement southwards. The Australians reached Yalova, the last village before the Dardanelles coast by 20 August. There, with his makeshift organization of troops, Ottoman 7th Division's commander started to establish a defence, facing up the slope. He also sent warning about a crucial need for reinforcements from the Thrace and Gallipoli defences and to quickly try and sever the ANZAC advance off from the beaches at Suvla Bay with sources of supplies and reinforcements. By the end of the first day, he was informed that Ottoman divisional remnants down on the central valley from the slopes which overlooked it were shooting more ferociously, but no artillery was able to do so in time and he criticized the Ottoman decision to keep Thrace safe. Engagements were observed as Ottomans and ANZACs fought for control of the ridgeline. In most places, the ANZACs had consolidated them after capture, putting Turks at a disadvantage. Many small, bitter hand-to-hand actions were happening as observed by patrols, but the Australian superiority would win the battle. Although reinforcements were supposed to arrive at short notice and temporarily hold the line, another British division landed diverted the last chance of Ottoman victory by landing at Suvla, supporting the capture of Sari and Chanak 'Bair'. Reinforcements from Thrace were hampered by battleship bombardment, which increased the vulnerability of outflanking by Bulgaria or other unanticipated landings, despite the battleship [Suffren] being sunk by a u-boat when it was too late.
 
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The breakthrough to Constantinople and Russian operations in the Caucasus

Afterwards, the pace of the offensive increased. "Farta" Road, the fastest and only road linking the peninsula with Thrace fell into Allied hands. Afterwards, it was time for Bulgaria to declare war on the Ottomans on 31 August and the I Corps defending the border was doomed when facing the might of the entire Bulgarian Army. After the siege of Adrianople and battle for the Cathaldja Line, which wrecked the Ottoman troops just as reinforcements were coming from Gallipoli and a naval bombardment of Bulgaria and its troops was defeated by a battleship's sinking. The triumph of the siege in less than half the time of the former was believed to be a gigantic military victory because the defenses of city were prepared throughly by leading German siege experts and were claimed to be invincible, like the previous war. The Bulgarian army previously won the siege after two bold night attacks following virtually 5 months of sieging and captured the Ottoman fortress and although the time taken was significantly faster, the truth was the concentration of the Bulgarian Army on the Ottomans. After defeat in Adrianople, the Ottomans lost Thrace and with it, any hopes of obtaining a victory over the invaders. What was left was to survive 1916 in Asia and prevail. A lack of food and relief attempts helped Bulgarian aggressiveness and superiority over the Ottomans in Thrace. By November, the road to Constantinople was open and the city became a 'Christmas' present to the Entente 'Christians' to celebrate in after the city's surrender to the Bulgarians and diversion of resources that could have stabilized the Gallipoli front and ensured a last ditch chance of victory. Nevertheless, the Russians couldn't believe why they had to lose the prize that started 8 months of nearly stalled campaigning to someone weaker, but the Russian Black Sea Fleet would take part in the Constantinople Offensive to capture its long deserved prize under the guise of 'assisting the Bulgarians'.
Tsar Ferdinand was preparing his Christmas celebration and feast as a sign of 'gratefulness for capturing his beloved city from Muslim oppressors'. Despite this, the Russian Navy's landings did little, if anything, to increase his pleasure. The navy sank Goeben, a pre-dreadnought and 2 light cruisers along with several torpedo craft [with butterflies regarding Thrace, a cruiser was sent instead of a pre-dreadnought to the bottom by submarine E11, which raided Constantinople earlier]. Unfortunately, the Russians lost a dreadnought, a division of pre dreadnoughts and several minor vesels to minefields, with another dreadnought heavily damaged by torpedoes and ran aground. Had it been not for the success in Constantinople, it would have been scuttled to deny the Ottomans of gunfire support or morale victory. The Anzacs raced up to envelope the Ottomans, but it was only after the Ottomans ran out of supplies in October that the empire's valiant forces surrendered and getting the necessary logistics ready would require a month's delay. By the time, Constantinople wouldn't be in British, French or Commonwealth hands despite the wish of hard fought soldiers, but this was necessarily believed. And, the Serbs actually deserved the credit for the actions changing Bulgarian belligerent attitudes.
It was proven that despite the strength of positions east of Suvla, they were actually vulnerable to attack, as shown by the Comonwealth troops' experience. If the advance had been a bit slower or faster, who knows that the Ottomans might have prevailed. In fact, a slight turn in Bulgarian attitudes would have provided the Ottomans the divisions needed to stabilize the front. Or awakeness on the night of 16/17 August. Or delays in capturing the positions. Even a counteroffensive being successful, which it nearly was, could stall the Anzacs for the time to come. And all these because of the Serbian offensive and survival in 1915. While the transfer of Macedonia to Bulgaria pleased the latter, all it did was to win Gallipoli for the Entente and save the corrupt Tsar, although the latter claim was dubious. Austria-Hungary was blamed for not launching an offensive on Serbia and preserving Italian and Romanian neutrality over the crucial year of 1915, but it wasted too many troops in the cold of the Carphathians and the Isonzo front, despite the assuring mountains. That said, mountains without defence were no guarantee for success in holding ground.
The Russians also launched their offensive against the Caucasus with reinforcements from Romania by November 1915. The Ottomans had poor logistics, but this was a final attempt at preventing reinforcements for Constantinople. Also, getting a victory was needed in the face of Ottoman defeat and saving Caucasian Christians. Another British offensive in Egypt was also launched to exploit Ottoman retreat and decrease in strength. The Romanian Navy was tasked with protecting the ships from attacks, but only submarines were the dangers involved, with the loss of relatively minor torpedo boats that intercepted torpedoes intended for a convoy.
The Ottoman 3rd Army was persistently on the retreat since the Erzerum Offensive began on 20 November. The Russians took the lessons of Sarikamish to heart to prevent a reverse of the battle and they provided winter equipment for the soldiers, along with Armenian support. Erzerum was surrounded by forts and mountains, but surprise would prevent any effective defence from being contemplated. After the forts and city fell on 25 December, the advance progressed faster as Erzerum was the key to Caucasian defence. Any gun that could've defended Erzerum was moved to Gallipoli, Thrace and Egypt in conjunction with the Bulgarian and Entente breakthrough, along with anticipated sea landings. Koprukoy and Hasankale fell into Russian hands before 30 November, which hindered the Ottoman defence plans. Deve-Boyun and Mush were lost as well despite the impossibility of Russian attacks and Ottoman reserves were taken from the decisive attack northwards. With the flanks threatened, Erzerum lost its 'one of the strongest' reputation among Turkish towns, but the Ottomans lacked soldiers to man the fortress and use the ammunition. In fact, just about every siege gun that was found was on its way to Constantinople and Turkey itself. There were no reinforcements coming for the Turks there. In three days after the first shell landed on the city, Russians reached the heights overlooking the Erzurum plain. It was now apparent for the Ottoman Third Army command that the town was lost. Turkish units retreated from the fortified zones at the front and abandoned Erzurum, including reinforcements. Trebizond was the new year's objective for 1916 and fell into Russian and Armenian hands before March, enabling the return of displaced Armenians.
Following the continued retreat, plans for Erzincan were planned, but events in the east would change the situation.
 
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Aftermath of the Constantinople defeat

When the city of Constantinople fell, the Ottomans were supposed to sign a treaty asking for their empire's unconditional surrender, but they fought on stubbornly. However, defeat would continue without any chance of persisting with the offensive on other fronts or retaking the city without any navy. So far, the Entente lost 3 pre-dreadnoughts trying to force the straits and another 3 to torpedoes while piercing Gallipoli defences and breaking through to Constantinople along with several monitors besides the earlier losses of 18 March and May, along with the flanking bombardment by the French battleship division that resulted in 3 losses, including one nearly foundering on the return voyage and another ran aground and scuttled to support the landings, but these attacks diverted German submarines from the true objective to be taken. Also, the Constantinople u-boat flotilla was diverted southwards. One submarine was even used in watching Greek neutrality and the safety of the Ottoman Mediterranean coast despite the potential it had in stalling the landings. That said, forcing the straights to enforce victory and panic proved its worth, although unnecessary compared to what should have happened on 19 March. There were several minor losses in smaller ships, but these wouldn't bring too significant an impact on operations. The Russian cruisers in the Black Sea, along with the only Romanian cruiser and Askold, would raid the Black Sea Coast and claim the city for the Russians. Sweeping of minefields was also done when combined with warship escort, even with several losses incurred. Overall, the losses were quite heavy, but they ensured the offensive's success and Bulgarian intervention, along with the wrecking of the Ottoman Empire. 1916 would be decision year as the Entente decided on finishing 'the European sick man's' Asian provinces.
Meanwhile, there was consternation as to what the Austro-Hungarian performance in the Balkans was and why it remained passive despite defeats. The truth was that the Austro-Hungarian Army was decimated, but couldn't take the offensive without weakening the Balkans. After the Eastern Front offensive diverted several Russian corps northwards, the Austrians launched their first 1915 major offensive to capture Ukrainian grain and consolidate positions in the east for a 1916 defeat of Russia. It was hoped that mopping up and destroying the Ottoman Empire would take all or the better portion of 1916, when Russia's collapse was anticipated. Now, Lutsk was the furthest the Austrians advanced to.
In 1916, upon receiving news of the Ottoman defeat and lost of Constantinople, factional fighting broke out between supporters of Sultan Mehmed v and a pro-Entente prince. After the demoralization and surprise of winter 1915, the Ottomans considered a last ditch offensive in Egypt to increase morale within the army and divert British troops from Gallipoli, but their attempt turned into a fiasco after a British long range raid took the Ottomans by surprise and dropped demoralizing propaganda on Ottoman troops. The assault on Katia did shock an entire division which was caught off guard for rest and refit, but the troops rallied to protect the canal from Ottoman capture, which would have decreased British morale and chased the enemy into Egypt for the anticipated revolt. If the British diverted troops from Gallipoli, it could be considered successful even if it failed in the long run and something triumphant to please the retreating government. These were the opinions of Djemal Pasha and Friedrich Kressentein as the offensive began on 1 December 1915. Water from Sweet Water Canal supplied the British and Imperial troops amidst the scorching sun and a doubled railway enabled defence and solving of logistical problems. The British defence of the Suez Canal was organized into three sectors for simplicity:
No. 1 (Southern) sector, with the town of Suez as headquarters and responsible for defending Suez to Kabrit, No. 2 (Central) sector with headquarters at Ismailia and covered Kabrit to Ferdan, and No. 3 (Northern) sector, with its headquarters at Port Said, covered Ferdan to Port Said. Kantara also served as auxillary headquarters for British troops.
El Arish was planned as the target of the mentioned raid to destroy Ottoman water sources and preparations. Jifjata was also assaulted to deny wells to Ottoman water sources. The raid was undertaken by a British brigade which had previously seen little, if any, action. The Camel, Army Service, Flying and Transportation Corps were readied to prepare for the assault when Jifjata was found dilapidated and abandoned by the Ottoman Army with its guns taken along. Adopting the normal cavalry and mounted divisional position of the ANZAC's only [Mounted] Division in the region, the animals used rested after 50 minutes, with 10 minutes meant for feeding and raising humps, before continuing.
The offensive began with several bombings on the British Imperial positions of Oraghtina, Katia and Romani. After several hours of shelling, the Ottomans took Oraghtina and wrecked the 5th Mounted Brigade, but reinforcements were quickly brought up to the spot. British camps were assaulted and lost with hundreds of prisoners. Rather than retiring to Romani or to Bir el Hamisah, troops at Katia, after repulsing 2 attacks, decided to stay at Katia and pray for assistance from Romani. The Gloucestershire squadron shelled the increasing numbers of Ottoman attackers rapidly, and just before noon that day, British reinforcements from Romani and Bir el Hamisah arrived on Katia. Heavy fire from Ottoman guns at Katia persisted for several hours, and the Ottomans gradually pierced the yeomanry's front and flanks.Eventually working their way to within 50 yards (46 m), the Ottomans rushed the squadron shortly before 15:00 and forced its retreat. All the British Imperial troops and horses caught were surprised and captured. At Dueidar, loss of communications prompted the British troops to investigate the matter and they prepared for the offensive, barely repulsing it after the line was lost and regained once.
However, British Imperial reinforcements arrived just in time to stabilize the frontline and the Ottomans retreated after approaching the canal towns, despite heavy casualties to wounds. Long halts were made to permit the horses which needed water and injured soldiers to catch up with the counterattack and retreat. The garrisons on the Suez were reinforced by ANZAC troops from the reserves and a division from Gallipoli and stabilized the frontline, while the supply starved Ottomans were incapable of launching further offensives. In the spring of 1916, the Ottomans would retreat.
 
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Final Ottoman collapse and surrender

In late March 1916, to exploit the defeat of the Ottomans, the Entente launched its amphibious landings on the Asiatic Turkish coast. After the shells landed, the Turks began to counterattack, but were stopped by Royal navy gunfire. The Greeks in the south declared war on the Ottoman Empire despite the loss of Thrace and Constantinople to Bulgaria and Russia respectively, but Symrna, Aegean islands and parts of Greek populated Anatolia could compensate for Thrace. In the battle for Canakkale, the Royal Navy lost 2 cruisers, several monitors and 2 obsolete pre-dreadnoughts scuttled, but the mission of getting the Ottoman Asian and Dardanelles defences pierced was accomplished. The Greek landings at Syrmna would end any hope of continued Ottoman resistance in Asia and reinforcements from the Levant and Middle East.
In the aftermath of the Ottoman defeat, Arab nationalists planned their long prepared uprising against their Ottoman overlords. The revolt began on 4 April 1916 and was meant to secure Arabian independence with Grand Sharif Hussein of Mecca as leader. Corruption, collapse and German dependence were seen by the rebel leaders as signs of the Ottoman government not following Islamic tenets, especially under 'Young Turks'. Arabs would have preferred authentic Islam reigning supreme under conservative sultans [such as Abdul Hamid II] and/or a government that was receptive to Arab nationalism, which weren't met by 'Young Turkish' pashas. During the first month, the forces mobilized for the revolt grew by the hundreds with the support of Entente weapons.
Logistical difficulties and supply issues, along with a lack of reinforcements impeded the Ottoman strategy for defending and attacking the revolts, even with the German weapons provided to the Ottomans. Besides, the air squadrons stationed in Arabia were sent to Turkey and Egypt following the defeats of 1915. After the battles for Medina and Mecca cities, the Ottomans were triumphant, but under siege and the heavy Ottoman shelling of Islam's 2 most holy cities was seen as evidence of Ottoman disrespect for their religion, giving the Entente Muslims and Arabs a well needed morale boost. Jeddah, Yanbu, Quafida and other coastal cities were taken with French naval and British seaplane support. The large scale Ottoman offensive against Western Arabia failed in the presence of Entente support.
The Greeks advanced on the Anatolian coast and made some gains. The Greek Army landed at Smyrna on 1 April 1916 and secured the Turkish Aegean coast starting from Canakkale. By 20 April, the Greek objectives were obtained for the loss of only a battleship to a submarine. Bulgarians assisted the Russian advance on the Black Sea coast and the Black Sea Fleet. Turkish revolutionaries took their arms with several displaced Muslim refugees and volunteers, but the tactically and initially numerically superior Greek Army defeated the revolts and began their advance to the Anatolian hinterland. Greeks in Asia Minor and Thrace welcomed the liberators, as expected by Prime Minister Venizelos and well-bodied young men joined the Entente's partition of Turkey in doves, securing the initial gains. Italian gains weren't honoured because of the minimal belligerence of Italy against the Ottomans other than the declaration of war, but the Italians had bigger issues to deal with against Austria-Hungary.
The first modern Greek offensive in Asia Minor commenced on 10 June and took Akhisar, Kircagac, Alasehir, Bursa and Balikhesir. Kusadasi with its ruins, Mugla, Manisa, Denizil, Fethiye, Antalya, Kas, Silifke, Adana, Iskenderun and Alanya were occupied by the Greeks over the summer, after the northern flank was secured by Bulgarian and British Imperial support and the isolation of Konya and Antalya. Greek ships supported the occupations.
To the south, the British troops would rout the defeated and demoralized Egyptian forces of the Ottomans and a long retreat back to Turkey was underway, with the Battle of Romani defeating the Ottoman Fourth Army. The offensive commenced when the British reinforcements arrived from Gallipoli and took the town of Romani, just as the Ottomans were preparing their Easter offensive against Egypt on 22 April. A lack of water and ammunition would restrict the sector of Ottoman attack to the north, and the British troops were prepared to exploit that advantage. A cavalry division from the sand dunes supported the defending corps to the south. Hill 70 and Dueidar were secured by British attacking troops.
German, Ottoman and British planes made reconnaissance operations along the frontline, but there was little sign of an offensive being underway. Wellington Ridge and Mount Royston were assaulted by Ottoman counterattacks, but lost to British Imperial troops again. A Light Horse Brigade held the frontline and counterattacked, although delaying the Ottoman retreat as the Ottomans temporarily rallied and prepared to cross the desert and reach the canal with artillery. After the British positions at Mounts Royston and Meredith returned to British hands, the losses of the Ottomans began to increase that memories of Pelusium were in the mind of a colonel.

The counteroffensive of the British began on 24 April and had the following objectives. The Anzac Mounted and 1st [Infantry] Divisions pressed forward to the Hod el Enna and its left in contact with the infantry from the 156th (Scottish Rifles) Brigade and 52nd (Lowland) Division while assaulting the Katib Gannit to Mount Meredith line. British 3rd Light Horse Brigade charged on Bir el Nuss to capture Hod el Enna from the south with the Anzac Mounted Division. 5th Mounted Brigade received orders from the 42nd Infantry Division to assist the 3rd Light Horse Brigade's link with the Anzac Mounted Division's right. 42nd Division was to advance along the line Canterbury Hill–Mount Royston–Hod el Enna line and repulse enemy resistance to the offensive of the mounted troops in coordination of Anzac Mounted Division's right flank. 52nd (Lowland) Division to move in close support of Anzac Mounted Division's left flank towards Mount Meredith and to prepare for a general advance towards Abu Hamra which was not to be undertaken until further orders from Lawrence at No. 3 Section Headquarters. The British Naval Division took the southeast and charged against the southern flank, causing the encirclement of the Ottomans.
By 25 April, 1 year since the Gallipoli landings, the initiative was in British hands and the Ottoman force was encircled by a decisive maneuver. ANZAC cavalry troops suffered a defeat at the hands of the retreating Ottomans, who pursued the ANZACs to Romani, but the focus on the ANZACs weakened the right flank of the offensive and enabled exploitation by the British. Without water, the Ottoman force surrendered on 2 May and Palestine was vulnerable. Logistical Corps supplied the British and Imperial troops with supplies before continuing the offensive, seeing that several troops wouldn't advance without water and knowledge of marching across sands dunes to face the Ottomans. There was a last counterattack other than the breakout attempts against thirsty and artillery deprived cavalry, but this failed to dislodge the Australians caught between the Turks and British Imperial troops. After the final mop up and fall of Ograhtina, the British troops stopped their 2 week long advance on 6 May. Dead, wounded or missing Ottomans and Brits were searched by ambulances and taken to hospitals along the front.
The British offensive continued on 10 May and defeated the Ottoman remnants and reserves at Bir el Abd. Although the Ottomans were supplied with howitzers and guns, they were decisively outnumbered and forced to retreat, eventually facing surrender by 14 May. However, heavy guns that outranged the British would prove crucial in the delay of the offensive, as these had to be neutralised by planes and bombardments. Even then, this provided local air superiority for the Ottomans and gaps in the frontline were pierced by Turks before being resealed by ANZAC and British troops. In fact, reconnaissance still proved the remnants to be worthy of reckoning until withdrawing following the threat to the south-eastern flank.

After the defeat of the Ottomans in Egypt and Anatolia, the Russians prepared their Caucasian offensive, but were disrupted by a joint German and Austro-Hungarian offensive. This was intended to alleviate the pressure imposed in the Middle East. As a result, the Russian Caucasian Army was withdrawn from the front, leaving Armenia and Georgia, 2 new administrative regions of Russia about to receive independence, vulnerable. Ottoman Third Army was heavily defeated and Bulgarian reinforcements were coming. El Arish, Magdhaba, Nekhl and Bir el Hassana were raided in June and captured after consolidation and solving of supply issues by railroad construction and Rekah was entered by 28 June, signifying the entrance of the British to Palestine. Russia received Armenian, Azerbaijani and Turkish Central Asian portions of Turkey while Bulgarians maintained control of the hinterland with Greeks, British and French. The region from Erzincan to Lake Van was captured later over the summer after the Ottoman retreat to face the Greek Army. Despite the supplies sent to Russia, they weren't enough with the German-Austrian offensive capturing Ukraine and would lead to the fall of the Entente empire in the winter of 1916/7.

An aggressive pursuit to Inonu defeated the Ottomans and civil war raging in the Anatolian hinterland helped the Greek offensive as troops were fighting each other when they should be fighting the Ottomans. Afyonkarahisar, Kutanya and Eskisehir fell on 15 August and the Ottomans retreated after losing the army to an encirclement. Ankara fell by 30 August and all of Central Anatolia was consolidated by September. It was time for the final armistice and peace treaty to be signed in Ankara [the latter being signed in 1919 after heavy disagreement at Constantinople]. Gaza to Beersheba fell in July and the Egyptian Expeditionary Force camped over the summer in Jerusalem before meeting French troops at Beirut. French troops were in the northern Levant to impose their authority over local Christians, Muslims, Druze, Jews and other groups.

The Ottoman Empire was gone forever. After further deterioration of the situation, Sultan Mehmed V was shot and in the confusion, a republic was declared in Sivas. The republic would retake more of Anatolia by negotiations, but its opportune time for revenge would come only in the next decade at earliest.
 
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  1. Serbs beat Austrians back
  2. Serbs beat Ottomans
  3. ???
  4. Profit
Entente beats Ottomans back, not the Serbs. The Serbian defeat of Austria -Hungary and the weaker situation in the east would change Bulgarian opinions and cause an Entente victory at Sulva, followed by subsequent Bulgarian intervention against the Ottomans.
 
German-Austrian Eastern Front offensive and end of WW1

[Reviving this thread after 2.5 months of absence.]
To exploit the German-Austrian victory over Russia and to relieve pressure on the Ottomans, the Baltic-Ukrainian Offensive was launched on 1 May 1916. It was hoped that the pressure of an offensive would divert Entente attention from the Middle East. The British had occupied Mesopotamia and Persia while Russia mopped up the Turkic provinces of Central Asia besides contributing to the carving up of the former Ottoman Empire.
At Riga and Lake Naroch, the Russian pre-empting April offensive initially gained some ground and entered Lithuania, but the Germans held their ground and encircled the Russians in a 2nd Tannenberg off Siauliai. The Russians started to retreat and the Germans pursued them to Riga, which fell on 30 May 1916. After Jutland [similar to reality until 1 June with some butterflies], the British chased the German Navy, only to be struck by minefields and torpedoes and gave up the battle. The Germans had to support the offensive against Russia and invaded several Baltic islands, destroying the Russian Baltic Fleet in the process, but this deprived Germany an opportunity to exploit the victory at Jutland.
By August, Smolensk and Pskov were within German reach and fell by 18 August that month. The German 8th Army then pursued retreating Russian soldiers to Petrograd, which was besieged until November. Reinforcements from Galicia were sent to relieve pressure on the city and stopped the siege, which was then followed up by the encircling of the 8th Army. Although the encirclement failed, the attack was repulsed, but the Tsar was deposed over the winter and a revolutionary provisional government was formed [like in reality].
After the revolutionary battles for Petrograd city, German threat and the internal situation, it was time for the newly established provisional Russian Government to make peace on 10 April 1917. The Treaty was signed at Brest-Litvosk, giving its name. [Terms are similar to the actual treaty's counterpart.] The Serbian and Romanian Armies, anxious to assist their Russian ally and assert their expected territorial gains, launched their individual offensives into Croatia and Transylvania in the summer of 1916, but the 'Balkan Offensive' gained some ground before stopping deep into Hungary and Croatia. However, the offensives caused Austria-Hungary to divert an army's worth of troops to the Balkans from Italy, stopping an offensive launched there from the Trentino from succeeding. It must be mentioned that this offensive did nearly capture Zagreb and Debrecen before being repulsed and pushed back by counterattacking Austro-Hungarian reinforcements.
Also, the Entente Armies in the west launched two offensives to relieve pressure on the west after the initial failure of a German offensive in Verdun. In the offensive, the renowned town was nearly captured after the fall of its surroundings and its fortresses were occupied by Germans. [In this scenario, the strategy was to capture Verdun and exploit a breakthrough that later failed and the Germans were slightly more successful.] By June 1916, the French Army was ready for an offensive that would be costly, but crucial to defeating Germany and nearly causing Russia's survival. This offensive was launched on 4 June and after retaking several fortresses around the town, besieged it and secured all of Verdun by the end of the month. This was followed by an offensive deep into the Saint Michel salient and the Argonne Forest for want of German troops before a counteroffensive and defensive terrain inflicted severe casualties and restored the German frontline.
In August, the British offensive against the Somme would inflict 500,000 German casualties while the British and French suffered around 600,000 [due to better Entente preparation butterflies and more German troops in Russia] and the Ancre fell into British hands by November 1916 after a heavy engagement, compelling a German retreat to what would be later known as the 'Hindenburg Line'. The German Army inflicted costly victories on the Entente in the west, but these were at the expense of retreating to the Hindenburg Line with its first noticeable Western Front defeat and heavy losses. Now, the stage was set for the final offensives in 1917 on the western and eastern fronts and the Balkan responses. It was noted that on the first day [unlike reality], the advance was done after a week's work on heavy destruction of trenches and the Germans had to retreat with heavy losses from surrender and injuries after many trenches collapsed, leaving the British in control of the shattered trenches and a failed German counterattack. Tanks were also used to multiply the panic and induce the German retreat as the 'mobile monsters' penetrated into German lines deeply and caused chaos before being stopped by artillery.
 
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gaijin

Banned
So to summarize this thread: you start by asking about the feasibility of a POD. People explain to you the POD is not feasible due to logistics (an epidemic is a logistics hurdle of some sort).

Then you simply ignore people's feedback.

I have seen you do this before and have one simple question: why even bother for people's feedback if you have no intention of listening to it??
 
The Final Offensives and peace treaties to be signed

By 1917, WW1 was not going well for the Central Powers other than the surrender of Russia. Serbia and Romania were threatening Austria-Hungary while the Middle Eastern Campaign was totally finished for the Entente [although roughly finished, Ottoman remnants could be dealt by the Arabs, local Greeks and garrisoning colonial troops]. On 6 August 1917, America entered WW1 on the Entente side after unrestricted submarine warfare and the Zimmerman Telegraph [delayed by four months due to Russia's surrender, Western Front events and delayed unrestricted submarine warfare]. This prompted the Germans to launch their fatal offensive against Paris and with it, their defeat.

That said, the fatal German offensive was launched after a series of successful, but indecisive offensives against the British and defeats inflicted on Austria-Hungary. The spring of 1917 saw the Balkan countries making their first and crucial decisive victory over the Central Powers with the Balkan offensive. On 1 March, the Germans prepared to reallocate troops west with the intention of launching their western offensive and to make peace with the new Russian government while the Entente Balkan states, reinforced by European troops from the Middle East, started preparations for their victorious offensive that would lead the Entente to victory. Mentioned offensive took place on 1 April 1917, just as the German-Russian peace treaty was about to be signed.

The Romanian Army launched its offensive into Debrecen, which was shelled over several months before, and took the city with Bulgarian support. Then, the Serbs launched their offensive from Sibenik-Bihac-Nova Gradiska-Mohacs [the line of 1916 after the Serbian offensives] with Greek assistance. It was known earlier that the Russians had signed an armistice on 12 March and the peace treaty of 10 April that year was imminent, but the presence of Entente troops prevented any pro-peace decisions from being made. After the defeat of the Russians, Austro-Hungarian troops had to be transferred to the Balkans, resulting in German reinforcements intended for the west being diverted to defend the Isonzo region from Italian attacks. By 14 May, Zadar and southern Dalmatia were in Entente hands and future preparations for a Yugoslav state could be realised. Then, the transfer of reinforcements resulted in Zagreb's encirclement before the beginning of July. Romania was threatened by an Austro-Hungarian and German offensive from Ukraine and Hungary, but Bulgarian and Russian reserves and assistance saved the day with a counterattack that prevented the Romanian Second Army from being destroyed and the counteroffensive destroyed the Austro-Hungarian 1st Army, sending other Austro-Hungarian and German troops in retreat to the Danube. Due to the threat to the Austro-Hungarian coastline and Croatia, the Austro-Hungarian Navy sortied on 10 June 1917 and was destroyed in a decisive defeat, although with costly losses to the Italian, Greek and French Navies. Then, the Austro-Hungarians had Croatia evacuated.

On the Italian front, an offensive launched on 24 March 1917 defeated the Italian Second Army before the Balkan breakthrough and weather stopped it flat on the Tagliamento River. On 13 April, a failed offensive from the Trentino saw the province being lost and the Italian counteroffensive on 24 May succeeded that Trieste was temporarily evacuated on 14 June and the Austro-Hungarian 10th and 11th Armies were defeated by the same month. In July, the Italians were posed to enter Slovenia and Istria, linking up with Serbian, Greek, British, Commonwealth and French troops before the next month. The Austro-Hungarians were totally defeated and German troops had to be transferred from the west to assist Austria-Hungary. This would prove fatal to the next German offensive in August 1917, especially Entente naval support was available to halt the Germans and bring their imminent doom amidst the delays imposed. In fact, Austria-Hungary had an armistice sent on 29 August, after the surrender of the 'Croatian Pocket' and the following rout, resulting in its surrender by 3 September, with a delay of 24 hours to terminate combat operations. Hungary was also in open revolt as the Romanian Army entered Budapest and was besieging the Hungarian capital. The offensive to defeat Germany from the south was to begin in November. This was the period when the first American troops entered Europe. [Long post due to contents. Western Front and treaties would be posted later.]

Western Front offensives
After the defeat of Russia, the Germans prepared to launch their first combat offensive of 1917, which included 2 armies transferred from the Eastern Front. The offensive began on 31 March with an attack from the Hindenburg Line that succeeded in capturing its objectives of Arras and Amiens before being pushed out by a British counteroffensive. During the offensive, it was noted that most of the recaptured German-occupied French territory was lost over the 1916 Somme battles and stained with shells, mud and blood typical of earlier 1916 trench battles. Also, there was a state of panic and demoralisation following the offensives of 1916 as a result of Russia's surrender and heavy losses involved. Besides, the defences of several sectors weren't sufficiently readied to face the German offensive on time. In the end, the offensive was a defeat for Germany as the newly captured city of Amiens was lost to a counterattack. This left many supplies uncaptured from the Entente when the final assault against Amiens began on 15 April.

The next offensive began with the objective of capturing Hazebrouck and severing British supplies from the north on 19 April. This assault failed for the lack of adequate men and horses. Also, another German army intended for the Western Front was diverted to Italy for defeating the country before continuing the offensive in the west. Although the Italian offensive yielded spectacular results for a threatened Austria-Hungary, it did little to save the latter empire. When the Central Powers' Italian offensive halted on 10 April due to logistical issues, the Germans simply relocated their 14th Army [with Austro-Hungarian troops] to the west and launched diversionary attacks on the British at Ypres on 7 May, but other than diverting troops from the intended British-French counteroffensives and stopping the flow of reinforcements to France proper and the Mediterranean. There was less panic than its actual counterpart as less [but better-trained] German soldiers could be scourged for the offensive. Overall, losses for the 2 offensives were 225,000 British and French and 239,000 German troops for the first and 105,000 Entente soldiers for 120,000 Germans in the second. Although heavy, the Germans would be brought closer to their doom than acknowledged by them.

On 27 May, the Germans made their last successful offensive effort against the French. The offensive took Rheims and Compiegne by early June with several losses compensated by Eastern Front reinforcements. Paris was within reach of the Germans when the offensive stopped short of the Marne, with the suburbs of the city under shelling and visible views of guns when the Germans had to retreat from the city due to a counterattack on 8 June following the right flank's defeat the previous day. After the defeat, which took place over 8-14 June, the Germans lost 200,000 troops for 175,000 French. German soldiers were mutinying in droves and the next offensive was cancelled until troops could be released from the Eastern and Balkan Fronts since Austria-Hungary couldn't be saved. As reinforcements wouldn't arrive until August, the Germans went for unrestricted submarine warfare as an option effective 11 July. The aggressive policy led to Wilson's declaration of war 5 weeks later.

On 28 July 1917 [WW1's 3rd anniversary], the French stopped their offensive across the Aisne that began on 18 July which produced nearly equal losses and the final German offensive took the temporarily lost territories after it began on 31 July. The French maintained their morale as American intervention was forthcoming even with the loss of an army and the besieging of Paris. Also, Austria-Hungary was in its last throes and the linking of Entente forces in Croatia diverted several reinforcements from the west before combat. After the surrender of Austria-Hungary on 29 August, further reinforcements from the east and west were sent to occupy the defeated empire's Austrian portion and suppress revolts. This would result in the successful French counteroffensive from the Seine that barely saved Paris from its imminent 8 October surrender and defeat the Germans. After the Germans left the Marne during the great '100 days' retreat from 18 September to 21 December 1917, the Entente took advantage of the chaos and retook most of France, crossing the Hindenburg Line on 27 October and assaulting it in a decisive defeat for Germany. By December 11, an armistice was signed to be in effect within several hours following weeks of debate and reflection, but rejection of several requirements resulted in the fatal sortie of the German High Seas Fleet that failed in a resulting mutiny. WW1 ended on Christmas Day after the Entente offensive into Czechoslovakia and Bavaria ended with aims achieved on 22 December.
 
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Continuation of the previous post

After the end of WW1, the defeated Central Powers had to sign peace treaties before they could end their war. The treaties were discussed during the Berlin Peace Conferences starting 1 January 1918, a week after the end of WW1. At the same time, the Entente powers marched from their positions in recaptured Antwerp and Brussels to the Rhine to assert their peace treaties in force.
[Discussions and aims for defeated powers are more or less similar to reality despite the differences in opinions without significant American intervention. Serbia gained a bigger role than Italy for its offensive and sent its delegates to exert its gains should it turn victorious.]

Treaty of Versailles
On 28 June 1918, the first peace treaty was signed between the Entente and Germany after the former's defeat. In the treaty, 16 billion gold marks ($4 billion, reduced by one less year of war) had to be paid for war damage and Entente control over Germany. Originally, Germany was supposed to pay 4 billion more marks, but the money [if paid] had to go to Austria-Hungary [including former territories]. The treaty would lead to inflation and the rise of fascism [Nazism and/or German far-right nationalism] in the early 1930s.
Also, Germany only had a squadron's strength of fighters and non-combat planes permitted in its new air force, the rest being ceded or destroyed. After the treaty, the German Army would be reduced to 100,000 men in permanent strength and twice the number overall [unless in emergency] with the objective of maintaining world peace. The navy lost everything except for an obsolete torpedo boat flotilla [12 torpedo boats], 6 elderly cruisers, 6 pre-dreadnoughts and several miscellaneous but smaller ships, the justification given being the danger of a German Navy to Entente trade and colonies and the mass scuttling of ships at Scapa Flow.
Germany also lost its colonies and disputed [Entente coveted] border territories besides the newly-formed League of Nations mandates [like in reality]. Finally, Germany and Austria-Hungary acknowledged war guilt and ceded several ministers, royals, war criminals and generals for trials that were later cancelled. The treaty revoked the peace treaty with Russia and demanded the formation of independent states from the ruins of defeated and fallen empires, in line with Wilson's 14 points. With reduced American involvement, no separate peace treaties could be signed between different Entente members.

Treaties of Saint Germain and Trianon
Austria-Hungary [now divided into Austria and Hungary] signed its peace treaties like in reality exactly one year earlier respectively, but with more of Istria and Slovenia ceded to Italy, although Dalmatia was proposed until Serbian appeals. Other Italian gains included Carinthia and actually ceded territories in real life. Also, the new Yugoslav kingdom received none of Bulgaria, Montenegro and [Italian-controlled] Albania, but more of southern Hungary. Italy wasn't satisfied with its gains, though, and Yugoslavia even more.

The treaty demanded the Austrians to declare Czechoslovakia, Poland, Ukraine, Hungary and Yugoslavia independent and acknowledged their gains. Hungary later lost Slovakia, its 'Yugoslav' holdings, Transylvania and Galicia. Reparations were $4 billion more than reality overall, but this led to an economic crisis and $2 billion were paid by America and Germany each. Also, Bulgaria [and the actual Entente] received several lighter ships and the bigger Entente members took the cruisers and battleships left [one each for Yugoslavia and others to be disposed by the Entente].

The Ottoman Empire
On 27 September 1919, the final treaty for the Ottoman Empire [now a republic] was signed. [Contents were similar to the Treaty of Sevres, with the deposition of the monarchy, several politicians and military figures. In addition, the Turkish independence attempts in Entente-occupied territories were crushed and Kurdistan became independent like the actual states formed from its ruins. Finally, Bulgaria and Greece received all of Thrace except for Constantinople and the Dardanelles, which would be controlled by the League of Nations and Russia should it deserve it after a White victory.] Although the rump 'Turkish Republic', which had its capital in Sivas moved to Ankara after central Anatolia was ceded to Turkey in exchange for the Turkish coast and islands survived, the territorial losses would lead to a defeat during later recapture attempts. The Turkish Air Force was also disbanded. In exchange for Thracian and Serbian gains and concessions [including several islands], it had to acknowledge the fact that Greek territories belonged to Greece and southern Dobruja was to be controlled to Romania.

[Most League of Nations events and the lead up to WW2 [including the war itself] are similar to reality. There might be one less dictatorship, but the impacts could be seen in reality or typing all the inter-war dictatorships in the forum for relevant issues and scenarios.]
 
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