Second A-bomb destroys Kokura instead of Nagasaki

Hi!

I read somewhere that supposedly Kokura had been the primary target for the second atomic bomb. Nagasaki was the backup target. As it turned out, Kokura was clouded or fogged over so the crew of the bomber decided to go after Nagasaki instead.

What would have happened (probably after the war) had Kokura been bombed instead of Nagasaki? Kokura must have had some important infrastructure associated with it which warranted its position as a higher-priority target. The loss of this infrastructure (assuming it exists) could have had repercussions on postwar Japan.

You may assume that the bomb has the same destructive profile in Kokura as it did at Nagasaki (i.e. 90% die at radius X from ground zero) and that the most valuable piece of infrastructure is targeted (assuming the desired Kokura target is unknown -- if it's known, assume that the weapon makes a direct hit on it).

ACG
 
Nagasaki, from what I understand, was the most western city in Japan, particularly in matters of faith. That likely continues in this timeline.
 
Hi!

I read somewhere that supposedly Kokura had been the primary target for the second atomic bomb. Nagasaki was the backup target. As it turned out, Kokura was clouded or fogged over so the crew of the bomber decided to go after Nagasaki instead.

What would have happened (probably after the war) had Kokura been bombed instead of Nagasaki? Kokura must have had some important infrastructure associated with it which warranted its position as a higher-priority target. The loss of this infrastructure (assuming it exists) could have had repercussions on postwar Japan.

You may assume that the bomb has the same destructive profile in Kokura as it did at Nagasaki (i.e. 90% die at radius X from ground zero) and that the most valuable piece of infrastructure is targeted (assuming the desired Kokura target is unknown -- if it's known, assume that the weapon makes a direct hit on it).

ACG

Nagasaki was a port city and had naval ship building infrastructure. Kokura was a center of army weapons manufacture.

In the long term I wouldn't expect any major change for postwar Japanese recovery.
 
The big thing here are going to be the little things, I think- you're killing a bunch of people who would have lived OTL, and letting people who died OTL live. In the short term, the differences are not as large, and I do expect the end of WW2 to go mostly as expected.
 
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