Originally posted by Chris
The germans had two oppotunities to launch a sealion, with roughly a 30% chance of sucess. After October 1940, it rapidly becomes impossible as britain grows stronger. IN 1941, it was never a realistic possibility.
As I have suggested elsewhere, with a POD in 1936 the Germans could have made reasonable preperations to try, which would have made the odds a lot more even.
Hmm, at risk to that the orthodox sector accuse me of heretic

I support your positions, (I think I remember that thread that you said "as I have suggested elsewhere" if I remember well I think I intervene also in that thread supporting the possibilities (not a lot but some) of a possible succesful Sealion)
...................
" Inquisitioner: you are accused of heresy and name that unholy word, you know referring to some maritime mammal that inhabits in the poles.
Iñaki and Chris: Aah yes! Sealion!
Inquisitioner and crowd in the judgement: Aaargh! Heretics! we need to use the magical words against this word: Royal Navy Royal Air Force Shazam Shalom.
Inquisitioner: Bring the other accuseds, beginning with Len Deighton and Kenneth Macksey, after we have Kim Newman and Eugene Byrne....
Len Deighton: Ey, this kind of things only happens in SS-GB.
Kenneth Macksey: july or september 1940 this is the question.
Iñaki and Chris: hello friends.
Kenneth Macksey: So all we are here because that operation, because that...
Inquisitioner: not mentions the word.
Len Deighton: You refers to Sealion?
Inquisitioner and crowd: Aarrgh, Royal Navy Royal Air Force Shazam Shalom

"