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Ireland secedes from the UK; France and the U.S. declare war in support of the Irish.
ON EDIT: And there's no famine, so there are 8 million Irish in 1840. And, France is trying to impose an Austrian prince on the throne of Scotland...
Can Britain survive?
ON EDIT: More importantly, can
England survive?
There will always be one, after all... being surrounded by that wet and (generally) blue stuff has an impact, after all.
Best,